RSS

A Crash Course in the Neu­ro­science of Hu­man Motivation

lukeprog
19 Aug 2011 21:15 UTC
141 points
91 comments38 min readLW link

Quan­tum Explanations

Eliezer Yudkowsky
9 Apr 2008 8:15 UTC
51 points
58 comments6 min readLW link

Monopoly: A Man­i­festo and Fact Post

sarahconstantin
31 May 2018 18:40 UTC
84 points
65 comments5 min readLW link
(srconstantin.wordpress.com)

Dis­con­tin­u­ous progress in his­tory: an update

KatjaGrace
14 Apr 2020 0:00 UTC
162 points
20 comments31 min readLW link
(aiimpacts.org)

In­sights from Eu­clid’s ‘Ele­ments’

TurnTrout
4 May 2020 15:45 UTC
121 points
16 comments4 min readLW link

Fact Posts: How and Why

sarahconstantin
2 Dec 2016 18:55 UTC
121 points
32 comments3 min readLW link

Co­or­di­na­tion Prob­lems in Evolu­tion: Ei­gen’s Paradox

Martin Sustrik
12 Oct 2018 12:40 UTC
99 points
6 comments8 min readLW link1 nomination
(250bpm.com)

Liter­a­ture Re­view For Aca­demic Out­siders: What, How, and Why

namespace
9 May 2020 22:58 UTC
163 points
5 comments15 min readLW link
(www.thelastrationalist.com)

Trans­porta­tion as a Constraint

johnswentworth
6 Apr 2020 4:58 UTC
142 points
22 comments6 min readLW link

Tech­nol­ogy Changes Constraints

johnswentworth
25 Jan 2020 23:13 UTC
81 points
6 comments4 min readLW link

In Defense of Politics

ChristianKl
10 Apr 2020 19:26 UTC
14 points
23 comments7 min readLW link

How to Mea­sure Anything

lukeprog
7 Aug 2013 4:05 UTC
71 points
51 comments22 min readLW link

What failure looks like

paulfchristiano
17 Mar 2019 20:18 UTC
222 points
43 comments8 min readLW link

Paper-Read­ing for Gears

johnswentworth
4 Dec 2019 21:02 UTC
122 points
3 comments4 min readLW link

Repli­ca­tion Dy­nam­ics Bridge to RL in Ther­mo­dy­namic Limit

Zachary Robertson
18 May 2020 1:02 UTC
6 points
1 comment2 min readLW link

We’ve built Con­nected Papers—a vi­sual tool for re­searchers to find and ex­plore aca­demic papers

discordy
8 Jun 2020 18:44 UTC
157 points
28 comments2 min readLW link

How to an­a­lyze progress, stag­na­tion, and low-hang­ing fruit

jasoncrawford
15 Jun 2020 21:02 UTC
37 points
9 comments4 min readLW link
(rootsofprogress.org)

Model­ling Con­tin­u­ous Progress

SDM
23 Jun 2020 18:06 UTC
27 points
3 comments7 min readLW link

The His­tory of Color in Chinese

lsusr
12 Apr 2020 4:05 UTC
29 points
3 comments1 min readLW link

Con­sid­er­a­tions On Cost Disease

Scott Alexander
10 Feb 2017 4:33 UTC
22 points
3 comments22 min readLW link

Every sys­tem seems ran­dom from the inside

eapache
19 Apr 2020 23:02 UTC
11 points
3 comments1 min readLW link

So­lar sys­tem colon­i­sa­tion might not be driven by economics

Stuart_Armstrong
21 Apr 2020 17:10 UTC
24 points
44 comments2 min readLW link

The Best Text­books on Every Subject

lukeprog
16 Jan 2011 8:30 UTC
315 points
360 comments7 min readLW link

Sex, Lies, and Canaanites

Jacobian
23 Apr 2020 16:26 UTC
15 points
2 comments14 min readLW link

Me­la­tonin: Much More Than You Wanted To Know

Scott Alexander
11 Jul 2018 17:40 UTC
94 points
11 comments15 min readLW link1 nomination
(slatestarcodex.com)

Writ­ing Causal Models Like We Write Programs

johnswentworth
5 May 2020 18:05 UTC
52 points
5 comments4 min readLW link

English Bread Regulations

jefftk
18 May 2020 13:20 UTC
18 points
10 comments6 min readLW link
(www.jefftk.com)

Point­ing to a Flower

johnswentworth
18 May 2020 18:54 UTC
51 points
18 comments9 min readLW link

An ex­tra way to gain from mul­ti­verse-wide cooperation

Sublation
11 Apr 2020 14:50 UTC
6 points
4 comments2 min readLW link

Mar­ijuana: Much More Than You Wanted To Know

Scott Alexander
5 Jan 2014 20:41 UTC
19 points
0 comments19 min readLW link

[Question] What are your fa­vorite ex­am­ples of dis­til­la­tion?

NaiveTortoise
25 Apr 2020 17:06 UTC
42 points
6 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] Juke­box: how to up­date from AI imi­tat­ing hu­mans?

Michaël Trazzi
30 Apr 2020 20:50 UTC
9 points
0 comments1 min readLW link

SlateS­tarCodex 2020 Pre­dic­tions: Buy, Sell, Hold

Zvi
1 May 2020 14:30 UTC
56 points
15 comments15 min readLW link
(thezvi.wordpress.com)

A Prob­lem With Patternism

Bob Jacobs
19 May 2020 20:16 UTC
5 points
52 comments1 min readLW link

Every­day Les­sons from High-Di­men­sional Optimization

johnswentworth
6 Jun 2020 20:57 UTC
112 points
32 comments6 min readLW link

Si­mu­lacra Levels and their Interactions

Zvi
15 Jun 2020 13:10 UTC
138 points
44 comments17 min readLW link
(thezvi.wordpress.com)

[Question] By what met­ric do you judge a refer­ence class?

Bob Jacobs
15 Jun 2020 18:34 UTC
6 points
0 comments1 min readLW link

Me­di­a­tors of History

johnswentworth
27 Jun 2020 19:55 UTC
25 points
0 comments4 min readLW link

The Equa­tion of Knowledge

Lê Nguyên Hoang
7 Jul 2020 16:09 UTC
57 points
3 comments7 min readLW link

[Question] What are the Nth Order Effects of the Coron­avirus?

Yoav Ravid
7 Apr 2020 13:55 UTC
9 points
7 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] What should I study to un­der­stand real-world eco­nomics? (I.e., To gain fi­nan­cial liter­acy)

Rudi C
8 Apr 2020 19:22 UTC
4 points
3 comments1 min readLW link

Prob­lems with p-values

lifelonglearner
8 Apr 2020 0:58 UTC
10 points
5 comments1 min readLW link
(mlu.red)

The Ori­gin of Con­scious­ness Read­ing Com­pan­ion, Part 1

Jacobian
6 Apr 2020 22:07 UTC
21 points
1 comment9 min readLW link

Would 2014-2016 Ebola ring the alarm bell?

AllAmericanBreakfast
8 Apr 2020 2:01 UTC
16 points
7 comments5 min readLW link

On R0

Zvi
7 Apr 2020 23:20 UTC
66 points
6 comments15 min readLW link
(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Link Ret­ro­spec­tive for 2020 Q1

mraxilus
8 Apr 2020 12:38 UTC
11 points
4 comments7 min readLW link
(write.as)

Would 2009 H1N1 (Swine Flu) ring the alarm bell?

AllAmericanBreakfast
7 Apr 2020 7:16 UTC
33 points
13 comments5 min readLW link

Assess­ing Kurzweil’s 1999 pre­dic­tions for 2019

Stuart_Armstrong
8 Apr 2020 14:27 UTC
37 points
9 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] Test­ing and con­tact trac­ing im­pact as­sess­ment model?

JustinShovelain
9 Apr 2020 17:42 UTC
8 points
3 comments1 min readLW link

The One Mis­take Rule

Zvi
10 Apr 2020 14:50 UTC
45 points
15 comments2 min readLW link
(thezvi.wordpress.com)

How to eval­u­ate (50%) predictions

Rafael Harth
10 Apr 2020 17:12 UTC
117 points
48 comments9 min readLW link

[Question] Have epistemic con­di­tions always been this bad?

Wei_Dai
25 Jan 2020 4:42 UTC
163 points
103 comments4 min readLW link

Cu­ri­os­ity: A Greedy Feeling

AllAmericanBreakfast
11 Apr 2020 4:38 UTC
41 points
7 comments10 min readLW link

Law school taught me nothing

ketchupduck
11 Apr 2020 14:30 UTC
23 points
13 comments7 min readLW link

[Question] How should we model com­plex sys­tems?

OxDoc
12 Apr 2020 21:23 UTC
18 points
48 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] Are there any nat­u­rally oc­cur­ring heat pumps?

FactorialCode
13 Apr 2020 5:24 UTC
14 points
9 comments1 min readLW link

In­for­ma­tion cas­cades in sci­en­tific practice

RichardKennaway
29 Jul 2009 12:08 UTC
8 points
6 comments1 min readLW link

Pre­ma­ture death paradox

bfinn
13 Apr 2020 23:15 UTC
8 points
21 comments3 min readLW link

Math­e­mat­i­cal In­tu­ition­ism and the Flow of Time

Polytopos
14 Apr 2020 0:25 UTC
12 points
5 comments6 min readLW link

The World Ac­cord­ing to Do­minic Cummings

Chris_Leong
14 Apr 2020 5:05 UTC
48 points
10 comments7 min readLW link

[Question] Is this vi­able physics?

Daniel Kokotajlo
14 Apr 2020 19:29 UTC
55 points
24 comments1 min readLW link

No­body does the thing that they are sup­pos­edly doing

Kaj_Sotala
23 Sep 2017 10:40 UTC
69 points
6 comments2 min readLW link
(kajsotala.fi)

Noise Simplifies

johnswentworth
15 Apr 2020 19:48 UTC
24 points
1 comment2 min readLW link

In­te­grat­ing Hid­den Vari­ables Im­proves Approximation

johnswentworth
16 Apr 2020 21:43 UTC
15 points
2 comments1 min readLW link

Treat­ments cor­re­lated with harm

Connor_Flexman
16 Apr 2020 21:02 UTC
40 points
2 comments3 min readLW link

[Question] How much mo­ti­va­tion do you de­rive from cu­ri­os­ity alone in your work/​re­search?

NaiveTortoise
17 Apr 2020 14:04 UTC
25 points
5 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] Bet­ter name for “Heavy-tailed­ness of the world?”

Daniel Kokotajlo
17 Apr 2020 20:50 UTC
28 points
7 comments2 min readLW link

What Hap­pens Dur­ing a Recession

Elizabeth
20 Apr 2020 3:03 UTC
49 points
4 comments5 min readLW link

[Question] What are the ex­ter­nal­ities of pre­dic­tions on wars?

Mati_Roy
20 Apr 2020 17:37 UTC
6 points
8 comments1 min readLW link

Link Sum­mary: Top 10 Repli­cated Find­ings from Be­hav­ioral Genetics

ErickBall
19 Apr 2020 1:32 UTC
15 points
0 comments3 min readLW link

Web Au­dio Echo?

jefftk
19 Apr 2020 2:30 UTC
8 points
7 comments1 min readLW link
(www.jefftk.com)

In­tu­itions on Univer­sal Be­hav­ior of In­for­ma­tion at a Distance

johnswentworth
20 Apr 2020 21:44 UTC
26 points
3 comments8 min readLW link

De­scrip­tion vs simu­lated prediction

Richard Korzekwa
22 Apr 2020 16:40 UTC
27 points
0 comments5 min readLW link
(aiimpacts.org)

In­ner al­ign­ment in the brain

steve2152
22 Apr 2020 13:14 UTC
69 points
9 comments15 min readLW link

Last chance for as­sess­ing Kurzweil

Stuart_Armstrong
22 Apr 2020 11:51 UTC
12 points
0 comments1 min readLW link

What’s Hard About Long Tails?

johnswentworth
23 Apr 2020 16:32 UTC
24 points
18 comments2 min readLW link

Mo­du­lar em­piri­cal science

yhoiseth
23 Apr 2020 11:22 UTC
4 points
0 comments1 min readLW link
(yngve.hoiseth.net)

[Question] Do you trust the re­search on hand­writ­ing vs. typ­ing for notes?

NaiveTortoise
23 Apr 2020 20:49 UTC
25 points
16 comments2 min readLW link

Player vs. Char­ac­ter: A Two-Level Model of Ethics

sarahconstantin
14 Dec 2018 19:40 UTC
77 points
25 comments7 min readLW link2 nominations3 reviews
(srconstantin.wordpress.com)

The Ineffi­cient Mar­ket Hypothesis

lsusr
24 Apr 2020 7:33 UTC
53 points
16 comments2 min readLW link

Teach­ers: Much More Than You Wanted To Know

Scott Alexander
19 May 2016 6:13 UTC
6 points
1 comment22 min readLW link

Wheat: Much More Than You Wanted To Know

Scott Alexander
31 Mar 2014 0:26 UTC
10 points
0 comments17 min readLW link

Kin­der­garten in NYC: Much More than You Wanted to Know

Laura B
9 Dec 2018 15:36 UTC
34 points
1 comment11 min readLW link

Autism And In­tel­li­gence: Much More Than You Wanted To Know

Scott Alexander
14 Nov 2019 5:30 UTC
65 points
6 comments7 min readLW link
(slatestarcodex.com)

SSRIs: Much More Than You Wanted To Know

Scott Alexander
8 Jul 2014 2:06 UTC
10 points
0 comments27 min readLW link

Origi­nal Re­search on Less Wrong

lukeprog
29 Oct 2012 22:50 UTC
25 points
47 comments12 min readLW link

Fast Take­off in Biolog­i­cal Intelligence

eapache
25 Apr 2020 12:21 UTC
14 points
21 comments2 min readLW link

What truths are worth seek­ing?

Natália Mendonça
27 Apr 2020 1:06 UTC
11 points
9 comments3 min readLW link

Ma­chine Learn­ing Anal­ogy for Med­i­ta­tion (illus­trated)

abramdemski
28 Jun 2018 22:51 UTC
101 points
48 comments1 min readLW link

UAP and Global Catas­trophic Risks

avturchin
28 Apr 2020 13:07 UTC
7 points
12 comments1 min readLW link

Mark Eichen­laub: How to de­velop sci­en­tific intuition

Kaj_Sotala
23 Oct 2018 13:30 UTC
81 points
6 comments8 min readLW link
(kajsotala.fi)

Face­book AI: A state-of-the-art open source chatbot

FactorialCode
29 Apr 2020 17:21 UTC
9 points
0 comments1 min readLW link
(ai.facebook.com)

I do not like math

lsusr
29 Apr 2020 11:27 UTC
31 points
6 comments1 min readLW link

Fore­cast­ing Newslet­ter: April 2020

NunoSempere
30 Apr 2020 16:41 UTC
21 points
3 comments6 min readLW link

Against strong bayesianism

ricraz
30 Apr 2020 10:48 UTC
49 points
63 comments6 min readLW link

Gen­er­al­ized Effi­cient Mar­kets and Academia

johnswentworth
30 Apr 2020 21:59 UTC
45 points
29 comments2 min readLW link

FLI Pod­cast: On Su­perfore­cast­ing with Robert de Neufville

Palus Astra
30 Apr 2020 23:08 UTC
6 points
0 comments52 min readLW link

Topolog­i­cal meta­physics: re­lat­ing point-set topol­ogy and lo­cale theory

jessicata
1 May 2020 3:57 UTC
13 points
6 comments3 min readLW link
(unstableontology.com)

In­ter­view with Aubrey de Grey, chief sci­ence officer of the SENS Re­search Foundation

emanuele ascani
1 May 2020 9:04 UTC
13 points
7 comments14 min readLW link

[Question] Value of build­ing an on­line “knowl­edge web”

Joe Kwon
1 May 2020 4:31 UTC
2 points
8 comments1 min readLW link

2020 predictions

Bucky
1 May 2020 20:11 UTC
12 points
5 comments7 min readLW link

Stop say­ing wrong things

lc
1 May 2020 20:50 UTC
71 points
34 comments6 min readLW link

Book Re­view: Narconomics

ketchupduck
3 May 2020 1:19 UTC
65 points
11 comments7 min readLW link

Biolog­i­cal evolu­tion as an anal­ogy for the mar­ket economy

Snorkelfarsan
3 May 2020 18:51 UTC
5 points
2 comments5 min readLW link

How uniform is the neo­cor­tex?

zhukeepa
4 May 2020 2:16 UTC
69 points
22 comments11 min readLW link

Con­struc­tive Definitions

Chris_Leong
4 May 2020 23:50 UTC
15 points
2 comments3 min readLW link

“AI and Effi­ciency”, OA (44✕ im­prove­ment in CNNs since 2012)

gwern
5 May 2020 16:32 UTC
47 points
0 comments1 min readLW link
(openai.com)

A non-mys­ti­cal ex­pla­na­tion of in­sight med­i­ta­tion and the three char­ac­ter­is­tics of ex­is­tence: in­tro­duc­tion and preamble

Kaj_Sotala
5 May 2020 19:09 UTC
91 points
36 comments12 min readLW link

Assess­ing Kurzweil pre­dic­tions about 2019: the results

Stuart_Armstrong
6 May 2020 13:36 UTC
126 points
17 comments4 min readLW link

Maths writer/​cowrit­ter needed: how you can’t dis­t­in­guish early ex­po­nen­tial from early sigmoid

Stuart_Armstrong
6 May 2020 9:41 UTC
39 points
13 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] How to quan­tify un­cer­tainty about a prob­a­bil­ity es­ti­mate?

Michael Chen
6 May 2020 12:06 UTC
3 points
0 comments1 min readLW link

In­tro­duc­tion to fore­cast­ing work­sheet

edoarad
6 May 2020 13:54 UTC
4 points
0 comments1 min readLW link
(www.foretold.io)

[Question] Tips/​tricks/​notes on op­ti­miz­ing investments

Wei_Dai
6 May 2020 23:21 UTC
76 points
38 comments1 min readLW link

[link] How many hu­mans will have their brain pre­served? Fore­casts and trends

Mati_Roy
7 May 2020 6:11 UTC
10 points
0 comments1 min readLW link

Kurzweil’s pre­dic­tions’ in­di­vi­d­ual scores

Stuart_Armstrong
7 May 2020 17:10 UTC
17 points
0 comments1 min readLW link

Covid-19 5/​7: Fight­ing Limbo

Zvi
7 May 2020 19:00 UTC
28 points
7 comments10 min readLW link
(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Failures in tech­nol­ogy fore­cast­ing? A re­ply to Ord and Yudkowsky

MichaelA
8 May 2020 12:41 UTC
46 points
19 comments11 min readLW link

[Question] Is there any sci­en­tific ev­i­dence for benefits of med­i­ta­tion?

CheerfulWarrior
9 May 2020 8:53 UTC
12 points
16 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] What are ex­am­ples of peren­nial dis­cov­er­ies?

Mati_Roy
9 May 2020 6:17 UTC
10 points
9 comments1 min readLW link

Pro­ject Pro­posal: Gears of Aging

johnswentworth
9 May 2020 18:47 UTC
62 points
38 comments7 min readLW link

There is a war.

Benquo
24 May 2018 6:44 UTC
71 points
31 comments14 min readLW link
(benjaminrosshoffman.com)

Really Fresh Baking

jefftk
10 May 2020 11:40 UTC
27 points
8 comments1 min readLW link
(www.jefftk.com)

The Great­est Host

trentbrick
10 May 2020 20:28 UTC
32 points
8 comments14 min readLW link

Book re­port: The­ory of Games and Eco­nomic Be­hav­ior (von Neu­mann & Mor­gen­stern)

Nisan
11 May 2020 9:47 UTC
37 points
4 comments6 min readLW link

Zoom Tech­nolo­gies, Inc. vs. the Effi­cient Mar­kets Hypothesis

Zack_M_Davis
11 May 2020 6:00 UTC
61 points
46 comments4 min readLW link

Time­less Identity

Eliezer Yudkowsky
3 Jun 2008 8:16 UTC
37 points
246 comments14 min readLW link

How to take smart notes (Ahrens, 2017)

Yuxi_Liu
23 Jul 2019 15:34 UTC
58 points
10 comments6 min readLW link

Le­gends of Runeterra: Early Review

Zvi
13 May 2020 10:50 UTC
14 points
12 comments11 min readLW link
(thezvi.wordpress.com)

[Question] What are ar­ti­cles on “lifel­og­ging as life ex­ten­sion”?

Mati_Roy
13 May 2020 20:35 UTC
10 points
5 comments1 min readLW link

Dist­in­guish­ing lo­gis­tic curves

Stuart_Armstrong
15 May 2020 11:38 UTC
23 points
0 comments7 min readLW link

Small Data

lsusr
14 May 2020 4:29 UTC
21 points
11 comments4 min readLW link

Covid 5/​21: Limbo Under

Zvi
14 May 2020 22:30 UTC
16 points
0 comments2 min readLW link
(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Stud­ies On Slack

Scott Alexander
13 May 2020 5:00 UTC
118 points
26 comments24 min readLW link
(slatestarcodex.com)

Sub­space optima

chrisvm
15 May 2020 12:38 UTC
50 points
6 comments1 min readLW link

Dist­in­guish­ing lo­gis­tic curves: visual

Stuart_Armstrong
15 May 2020 10:33 UTC
9 points
0 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] What are Michael Vas­sar’s be­liefs?

Chris_Leong
15 May 2020 6:15 UTC
19 points
17 comments1 min readLW link

The Ne­glected Virtue of Scholarship

lukeprog
5 Jan 2011 7:22 UTC
205 points
153 comments3 min readLW link

Mak­ing your­self small

Helen
8 Mar 2018 14:26 UTC
216 points
53 comments11 min readLW link1 nomination

The Tails Com­ing Apart As Me­taphor For Life

Scott Alexander
25 Sep 2018 19:10 UTC
107 points
35 comments7 min readLW link2 nominations4 reviews
(slatestarcodex.com)

Why the tails come apart

Thrasymachus
1 Aug 2014 22:41 UTC
168 points
99 comments7 min readLW link

Book Re­view: The Se­cret Of Our Success

Scott Alexander
5 Jun 2019 6:50 UTC
138 points
8 comments25 min readLW link
(slatestarcodex.com)

The EMH Aten’t Dead

Richard Meadows
15 May 2020 20:44 UTC
140 points
76 comments19 min readLW link

[Question] Do any mam­mal species ex­hibit an im­mune re­sponse in some of the herd in re­sponse to the in­fec­tion in other herd mem­bers?

jmh
16 May 2020 17:33 UTC
5 points
2 comments1 min readLW link

In­tro­duc­tion to In­tro­duc­tion to Cat­e­gory Theory

countedblessings
6 Oct 2019 14:43 UTC
119 points
18 comments2 min readLW link

Sig­nal­ing: Why Peo­ple Have Conversations

liam_hinzman
20 May 2020 3:18 UTC
13 points
16 comments3 min readLW link
(liamhinzman.com)

An­nounc­ing Progress Stud­ies for Young Schol­ars, an on­line sum­mer pro­gram in the his­tory of technology

jasoncrawford
20 May 2020 0:52 UTC
19 points
0 comments1 min readLW link
(rootsofprogress.org)

[Question] Is there a way to repli­cate pho­to­syn­the­sis ar­tifi­cially?

basu_enterprise
20 May 2020 19:45 UTC
−2 points
3 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] If bac­te­ria gave us a tool for bio en­g­ineer­ing, have viruses given us a de­liv­ery mechanism?

jmh
20 May 2020 22:31 UTC
5 points
3 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] How does pub­lish­ing a pa­per work?

Liron
21 May 2020 12:14 UTC
41 points
5 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] What was your rea­son­ing for de­cid­ing to have ‘your own’/​ nat­u­ral-birthed chil­dren?

R L
21 May 2020 1:30 UTC
2 points
3 comments1 min readLW link

Orthogonality

lsusr
21 May 2020 3:17 UTC
21 points
3 comments1 min readLW link

The Oil Cri­sis of 1973

Elizabeth
22 May 2020 15:50 UTC
57 points
9 comments3 min readLW link
(acesounderglass.com)

High­lights of Com­par­a­tive and Evolu­tion­ary Aging

johnswentworth
22 May 2020 17:01 UTC
49 points
9 comments2 min readLW link

[Question] Pre­dic­tions/​ques­tions about con­quis­ta­dors?

Daniel Kokotajlo
22 May 2020 11:43 UTC
7 points
17 comments1 min readLW link

Post-crash mar­ket effi­ciency 1696-2020

bfinn
22 May 2020 14:13 UTC
17 points
8 comments3 min readLW link

Mazes Se­quence Summary

Zvi
23 May 2020 16:40 UTC
69 points
1 comment7 min readLW link
(thezvi.wordpress.com)

In Search of Slack

Martin Sustrik
23 May 2020 11:20 UTC
30 points
3 comments6 min readLW link
(250bpm.com)

Evolu­tion is sam­pling error

willbradshaw
23 May 2020 16:21 UTC
30 points
2 comments6 min readLW link
(apomorphic.com)

[Question] Is tak­ing ba­copa good for life ex­ten­sion?

Mati_Roy
23 May 2020 8:54 UTC
8 points
1 comment1 min readLW link

Plague in As­sas­sin’s Creed Odyssey

Zvi
24 May 2020 12:00 UTC
30 points
3 comments1 min readLW link
(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Why We Age, Part 1: What age­ing is and is not

willbradshaw
24 May 2020 9:06 UTC
44 points
4 comments7 min readLW link
(apomorphic.com)

[Question] What is your in­ter­net search method­ol­ogy ?

George
23 May 2020 20:33 UTC
13 points
13 comments1 min readLW link

Op­pos­ing a hi­er­ar­chy does not im­ply egalitarianism

Viliam
23 May 2020 20:51 UTC
6 points
5 comments7 min readLW link

Notes about psychopharmacology

ksenia
23 May 2020 19:31 UTC
3 points
0 comments1 min readLW link
(n2t.net)

Why Ra­tion­al­ists Shouldn’t be In­ter­ested in To­pos Theory

jollybard
25 May 2020 5:35 UTC
70 points
12 comments5 min readLW link

An ad­den­dum on effec­tive pop­u­la­tion size

willbradshaw
25 May 2020 12:35 UTC
17 points
0 comments3 min readLW link
(apomorphic.com)

On the Loss and Preser­va­tion of Knowledge

Samo Burja
8 Mar 2018 18:40 UTC
110 points
20 comments7 min readLW link2 nominations
(medium.com)

Book re­view: The Sleep­walk­ers by Arthur Koestler

ricraz
23 Apr 2019 0:10 UTC
75 points
26 comments9 min readLW link
(thinkingcomplete.blogspot.com)

The Coper­ni­can Revolu­tion from the Inside

jacobjacob
1 Nov 2017 10:51 UTC
146 points
44 comments19 min readLW link

Two Kinds of Tech­nol­ogy Change

johnswentworth
11 Oct 2018 4:54 UTC
61 points
19 comments3 min readLW link

Why We Age, Part 2: Non-adap­tive theories

willbradshaw
26 May 2020 17:41 UTC
72 points
21 comments11 min readLW link
(apomorphic.com)

Wrinkles

johnswentworth
19 Nov 2019 22:59 UTC
67 points
15 comments4 min readLW link

Homeosta­sis and “Root Causes” in Aging

johnswentworth
5 Jan 2020 18:43 UTC
77 points
25 comments3 min readLW link

The Lens, Proge­rias and Polycausality

johnswentworth
8 Mar 2020 17:53 UTC
62 points
6 comments3 min readLW link

Adap­tive Im­mune Sys­tem Aging

johnswentworth
13 Mar 2020 3:47 UTC
64 points
6 comments3 min readLW link

Im­mor­tal­ity: A Prac­ti­cal Guide

G0W51
26 Jan 2015 16:17 UTC
38 points
61 comments37 min readLW link

Your ab­strac­tion isn’t wrong, it’s just re­ally bad

George
26 May 2020 20:14 UTC
32 points
17 comments17 min readLW link
(blog.cerebralab.com)

Shut­tling be­tween sci­ence and invention

jasoncrawford
27 May 2020 21:25 UTC
34 points
0 comments6 min readLW link
(rootsofprogress.org)

Nor­mal­iza­tion of Deviance

G Gordon Worley III
2 Jan 2020 22:58 UTC
59 points
9 comments2 min readLW link

Spec­u­la­tions on the Fu­ture of Fic­tion Writing

johnswentworth
28 May 2020 16:34 UTC
34 points
14 comments2 min readLW link

How to (not) do a liter­a­ture review

Katarina Slama
30 May 2020 0:11 UTC
64 points
7 comments6 min readLW link
(katarinaslama.github.io)

The Pre­sump­tu­ous Philoso­pher, self-lo­cat­ing in­for­ma­tion, and Solomonoff induction

Charlie Steiner
31 May 2020 16:35 UTC
40 points
26 comments3 min readLW link

[Link] Lex Frid­man In­ter­views Karl Friston

Adam Scholl
31 May 2020 9:53 UTC
8 points
2 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] Any­one recom­mend a video course on the the­ory of com­pu­ta­tion?

elityre
30 May 2020 19:52 UTC
9 points
7 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] Restricted Diet and Longevity, does eat­ing pat­tern mat­ter?

jmh
1 Jun 2020 21:28 UTC
6 points
6 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] Un­der which con­di­tions are hu­man be­ings most likely to be al­tru­is­ti­cally mo­ti­vated?

toonalfrink
1 Jun 2020 19:16 UTC
16 points
5 comments1 min readLW link

Frac­tal Har­monic Waves

lsusr
31 May 2020 1:31 UTC
10 points
2 comments3 min readLW link

May Gw­ern.net newslet­ter (w/​GPT-3 com­men­tary)

gwern
2 Jun 2020 15:40 UTC
32 points
7 comments1 min readLW link
(www.gwern.net)

Spar­sity and in­ter­pretabil­ity?

1 Jun 2020 13:25 UTC
41 points
3 comments7 min readLW link

Har­monic Wave Resonance

lsusr
31 May 2020 4:10 UTC
7 points
2 comments2 min readLW link

Con­cep­tual en­g­ineer­ing: the rev­olu­tion in philos­o­phy you’ve never heard of

Suspended Reason
2 Jun 2020 18:30 UTC
80 points
15 comments21 min readLW link

The Law of Cul­tural Proximity

eapache
3 Jun 2020 2:18 UTC
7 points
3 comments4 min readLW link

[Question] Why isn’t as­sas­si­na­tion/​sab­o­tage more com­mon?

Rudi C
4 Jun 2020 18:04 UTC
9 points
23 comments1 min readLW link

Pas­teur’s quadrant

jasoncrawford
5 Jun 2020 17:47 UTC
33 points
2 comments5 min readLW link
(rootsofprogress.org)

[Question] What is Ra?

Chris_Leong
6 Jun 2020 4:29 UTC
16 points
8 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] Most re­li­able news sources?

elityre
6 Jun 2020 20:24 UTC
36 points
15 comments1 min readLW link

Philos­o­phy in the Dark­est Timeline: Ba­sics of the Evolu­tion of Meaning

Zack_M_Davis
7 Jun 2020 7:52 UTC
82 points
12 comments14 min readLW link

Con­scious­ness as Me­taphor: What Jaynes Has to Offer

Hazard
7 Jun 2020 18:41 UTC
14 points
4 comments9 min readLW link

An Illus­trated Proof of the No Free Lunch Theorem

lifelonglearner
8 Jun 2020 1:54 UTC
17 points
0 comments1 min readLW link
(mlu.red)

Leg­i­bil­ity: Notes on “Man as a Ra­tion­al­ist An­i­mal”

Hazard
8 Jun 2020 2:18 UTC
14 points
6 comments4 min readLW link

[Question] Are there good ways to find ex­pert re­views of pop­u­lar sci­ence books?

Kaj_Sotala
9 Jun 2020 14:54 UTC
25 points
4 comments1 min readLW link

Public Static: What is Ab­strac­tion?

johnswentworth
9 Jun 2020 18:36 UTC
64 points
15 comments12 min readLW link

More on dis­am­biguat­ing “dis­con­ti­nu­ity”

alenglander
9 Jun 2020 15:16 UTC
16 points
1 comment3 min readLW link

Self-Pre­dict­ing Markets

eapache
10 Jun 2020 22:39 UTC
27 points
20 comments2 min readLW link

[Question] Is there some­thing like a “meta-en­cy­clo­pe­dia”?

Pablo_Stafforini
11 Jun 2020 12:16 UTC
14 points
5 comments1 min readLW link

Carte­sian Boundary as Ab­strac­tion Boundary

johnswentworth
11 Jun 2020 17:38 UTC
24 points
3 comments5 min readLW link

Does equa­nim­ity pre­vent nega­tive util­ity?

Chris_Leong
11 Jun 2020 7:00 UTC
14 points
9 comments1 min readLW link

Two Kinds of Mis­take Theorists

AllAmericanBreakfast
11 Jun 2020 14:49 UTC
8 points
7 comments3 min readLW link

Ide­ol­ogy/​nar­ra­tive sta­bi­lizes path-de­pen­dent equilibria

elityre
11 Jun 2020 2:50 UTC
20 points
5 comments5 min readLW link

Good and bad ways to think about down­side risks

MichaelA
11 Jun 2020 1:38 UTC
17 points
11 comments11 min readLW link

[Link] “Will He Go?” book re­view (Scott Aaron­son)

ioannes_shade
12 Jun 2020 22:16 UTC
15 points
3 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] For mod­er­ately well-re­sourced peo­ple in the US, how quickly will things go from “un­com­fortable” to “too late to exit”?

Dagon
12 Jun 2020 16:59 UTC
71 points
9 comments1 min readLW link

Down with Solomonoff In­duc­tion, up with the Pre­sump­tu­ous Philosopher

Charlie Steiner
12 Jun 2020 9:44 UTC
13 points
9 comments2 min readLW link

Test­ing Han­son’s hy­poth­e­sis about the use­less­ness of health care.

JoshuaFox
13 Jun 2020 18:34 UTC
26 points
1 comment1 min readLW link

You Can Do Futarchy Yourself

Tetraspace Grouping
14 Jun 2020 0:16 UTC
50 points
3 comments5 min readLW link

In­tu­itive La­grangian Mechanics

lsusr
13 Jun 2020 9:19 UTC
24 points
7 comments2 min readLW link

The Eco­nomic Con­se­quences of Noise Traders

FactorialCode
14 Jun 2020 17:14 UTC
45 points
3 comments1 min readLW link
(www.nber.org)

Causal­ity Adds Up to Normality

johnswentworth
15 Jun 2020 17:19 UTC
12 points
0 comments4 min readLW link

Su­per­ex­po­nen­tial His­toric Growth, by David Roodman

Ben Pace
15 Jun 2020 21:49 UTC
43 points
6 comments5 min readLW link
(www.openphilanthropy.org)

Re­search snap-shot: ques­tion about Global Workspace Theory

Hazard
15 Jun 2020 21:00 UTC
13 points
12 comments7 min readLW link

High-School Alge­bra for Data Structures

johnswentworth
17 Jun 2020 18:09 UTC
20 points
0 comments2 min readLW link

Bathing Machines and the Lindy Effect

AllAmericanBreakfast
17 Jun 2020 21:44 UTC
15 points
6 comments1 min readLW link

Deriv­ing Gen­eral Relativity

lsusr
22 Jun 2020 9:52 UTC
3 points
0 comments2 min readLW link

[Question] Re­quest­ing feed­back/​ad­vice: what Type The­ory to study for AI safety?

rvnnt
23 Jun 2020 17:03 UTC
7 points
4 comments3 min readLW link

Ab­strac­tion, Evolu­tion and Gears

johnswentworth
24 Jun 2020 17:39 UTC
22 points
11 comments4 min readLW link

Quick Look #1 Dio­phan­tus of Alexandria

JohnBuridan
24 Jun 2020 19:12 UTC
20 points
0 comments2 min readLW link

The Dark Mir­a­cle of Optics

Suspended Reason
24 Jun 2020 3:09 UTC
18 points
0 comments8 min readLW link

Re­duc­tive Reference

Eliezer Yudkowsky
3 Apr 2008 1:37 UTC
30 points
46 comments6 min readLW link

An ag­ile ap­proach to pre-research

AllAmericanBreakfast
25 Jun 2020 18:29 UTC
13 points
0 comments3 min readLW link

In­dus­try and workers

smaslennikov
25 Jun 2020 20:03 UTC
−4 points
12 comments4 min readLW link
(smaslennikov.com)

Black Death at the Golden Gate (book re­view)

PeterMcCluskey
26 Jun 2020 16:09 UTC
17 points
0 comments4 min readLW link
(www.bayesianinvestor.com)

Miss­ing dog rea­son­ing [Tran­script]

26 Jun 2020 21:30 UTC
28 points
3 comments5 min readLW link

Covid 6/​25: The Dam Breaks

Zvi
25 Jun 2020 18:30 UTC
120 points
21 comments8 min readLW link
(thezvi.wordpress.com)

In­sti­tu­tional Senescence

Martin Sustrik
26 Jun 2020 4:40 UTC
25 points
7 comments2 min readLW link
(250bpm.com)

[Question] How ought I spend time?

Quinn
30 Jun 2020 16:53 UTC
10 points
8 comments1 min readLW link

The ground of optimization

alexflint
20 Jun 2020 0:38 UTC
108 points
59 comments27 min readLW link

How to Find Sources in an Un­re­li­able World

Elizabeth
1 Jul 2020 18:30 UTC
40 points
10 comments2 min readLW link
(acesounderglass.com)

Fore­cast­ing Newslet­ter. June 2020.

NunoSempere
1 Jul 2020 9:46 UTC
26 points
0 comments8 min readLW link

Se­cond-Order Ex­is­ten­tial Risk

Ideopunk
1 Jul 2020 18:46 UTC
2 points
1 comment3 min readLW link

High Stock Prices Make Sense Right Now

johnswentworth
3 Jul 2020 20:16 UTC
78 points
24 comments4 min readLW link

The silence is deaf­en­ing – Devon Zuegel

Ben Pace
4 Jul 2020 2:30 UTC
28 points
11 comments1 min readLW link
(devonzuegel.com)

Causal­ity and its harms

George
4 Jul 2020 14:42 UTC
16 points
17 comments11 min readLW link
(blog.cerebralab.com)

Let There be Sound: A Fris­to­nian Med­i­ta­tion on Creativity

jollybard
4 Jul 2020 3:33 UTC
3 points
2 comments1 min readLW link
(jollybard.wordpress.com)

[Question] Could Nixon go­ing to China be a cause for the big stag­na­tion?

ChristianKl
5 Jul 2020 6:58 UTC
12 points
4 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] How do you vi­su­al­ize the Pois­son PDF?

Rudi C
5 Jul 2020 15:54 UTC
6 points
3 comments1 min readLW link

The Se­cond Law of Ther­mo­dy­nam­ics, and Eng­ines of Cognition

Eliezer Yudkowsky
27 Feb 2008 0:48 UTC
86 points
67 comments9 min readLW link

[Question] When a sta­tus sym­bol loses its plau­si­ble de­ni­a­bil­ity, how much power does it lose?

Mati_Roy
7 Jul 2020 0:48 UTC
7 points
12 comments1 min readLW link

What should we do about net­work-effect mo­nop­o­lies?

benkuhn
6 Jul 2020 0:40 UTC
34 points
11 comments1 min readLW link
(www.benkuhn.net)

[Question] [Refer­ence re­quest] Can Love be Ex­plained?

Self-Embedded Agent
7 Jul 2020 10:09 UTC
2 points
5 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] What is the sci­en­tific sta­tus of ‘Mus­cle Me­mory’?

Self-Embedded Agent
7 Jul 2020 9:57 UTC
2 points
2 comments1 min readLW link

Trans­late mu­sic in­to­na­tion into words us­ing color se­man­tics (as a means of com­mu­ni­ca­tion)

Alexey Smirnov
7 Jul 2020 15:26 UTC
3 points
2 comments2 min readLW link

Models of Value of Learning

johnswentworth
7 Jul 2020 19:08 UTC
22 points
0 comments5 min readLW link

Why Would A Cer­tain Hoax Story Be Re­ported For So Long?

Servant
24 Mar 2011 17:11 UTC
9 points
18 comments2 min readLW link

Worth re­mem­ber­ing (when com­par­ing ‘the US’ to ‘Europe’)

Curiousguy
13 Apr 2013 20:35 UTC
12 points
27 comments4 min readLW link

[Question] Does 3-2-1 Vot­ing work us­ing a six point scale?

TGetschman
7 Jul 2020 21:06 UTC
1 point
0 comments1 min readLW link

Say Wrong Things

G Gordon Worley III
24 May 2019 22:11 UTC
99 points
11 comments4 min readLW link

Ni­coti­namide ri­boside vs. SARS-coV-2 update

William Walker
8 Jul 2020 19:50 UTC
10 points
0 comments1 min readLW link

Pre­dic­tive cod­ing = RL + SL + Bayes + MPC

steve2152
10 Dec 2019 11:45 UTC
33 points
1 comment7 min readLW link

The Brain as a Univer­sal Learn­ing Machine

jacob_cannell
24 Jun 2015 21:45 UTC
103 points
169 comments19 min readLW link

Was a ter­mi­nal de­gree ~nec­es­sary for in­vent­ing Boyle’s desider­ata?

AllAmericanBreakfast
10 Jul 2020 4:47 UTC
32 points
14 comments5 min readLW link

I Can Tol­er­ate Any­thing Ex­cept The Outgroup

Scott Alexander
2 Sep 2017 8:22 UTC
24 points
1 comment28 min readLW link

How The West Was Won

Scott Alexander
26 Jul 2016 3:05 UTC
17 points
1 comment17 min readLW link

The Ide­ol­ogy Is Not The Movement

Scott Alexander
5 Apr 2016 1:52 UTC
17 points
1 comment24 min readLW link

Differ­ent Worlds

Scott Alexander
3 Oct 2017 4:10 UTC
92 points
16 comments14 min readLW link
(slatestarcodex.com)

Eth­nic Ten­sion And Mean­ingless Arguments

Scott Alexander
5 Nov 2014 3:38 UTC
40 points
5 comments22 min readLW link

The Cold War di­vided Science

Douglas_Knight
5 Apr 2014 23:10 UTC
21 points
53 comments1 min readLW link

Astron­omy, space ex­plo­ra­tion and the Great Filter

JoshuaZ
19 Apr 2015 19:26 UTC
23 points
68 comments20 min readLW link

How prob­a­ble is Molec­u­lar Nan­otech?

leplen
29 Jun 2013 7:06 UTC
45 points
56 comments8 min readLW link

Was a PhD nec­es­sary to solve out­stand­ing math prob­lems?

AllAmericanBreakfast
10 Jul 2020 18:43 UTC
22 points
23 comments3 min readLW link

Born as the sev­enth month dies …

Rudi C
10 Jul 2020 15:07 UTC
6 points
8 comments2 min readLW link

Why are cer­tain trends so pre­cisely ex­po­nen­tial?

orthonormal
6 Aug 2011 17:38 UTC
18 points
33 comments1 min readLW link

Canon­i­cal forms

sen
11 Jul 2020 18:53 UTC
4 points
0 comments1 min readLW link
(www.fimfiction.net)

Distinc­tions in Types of Thought

sarahconstantin
10 Oct 2017 3:36 UTC
62 points
24 comments13 min readLW link

The Power of Intelligence

Eliezer Yudkowsky
1 Jan 2007 20:00 UTC
29 points
3 comments4 min readLW link

Body Align­ment & Balance. Midline Anatomy & the Me­dian Plane.

leggi
22 Aug 2019 10:24 UTC
14 points
5 comments4 min readLW link

The Five Main Mus­cles for a Full Range of Nat­u­ral Move­ment, Dy­namic Align­ment & Balance.

leggi
1 Sep 2019 3:22 UTC
12 points
9 comments9 min readLW link

Myal­gia of Im­bal­ance. Phys­i­cal Restric­tions, Pain, Ten­sion & Weird Sen­sa­tions.

leggi
29 Oct 2019 14:58 UTC
4 points
4 comments13 min readLW link

Should the­o­ries have a con­trol group

George
24 Apr 2020 14:45 UTC
3 points
0 comments5 min readLW link
(blog.cerebralab.com)

A Book Review

Zack_M_Davis
28 Apr 2020 17:43 UTC
16 points
4 comments1 min readLW link
(unremediatedgender.space)

In­di­vi­d­ual Ra­tion­al­ity Needn’t Gen­er­al­ize to Ra­tional Consensus

Akshat Mahajan
4 May 2020 22:53 UTC
42 points
16 comments4 min readLW link

Kids and Mo­ral Agency

jefftk
8 May 2020 12:50 UTC
31 points
9 comments1 min readLW link
(www.jefftk.com)

Nihilism doesn’t matter

Bob Jacobs
21 May 2020 18:19 UTC
5 points
11 comments1 min readLW link

The Valley of Bad Theory

johnswentworth
6 Oct 2018 3:06 UTC
67 points
14 comments2 min readLW link

Will AI un­dergo dis­con­tin­u­ous progress?

SDM
21 Feb 2020 22:16 UTC
22 points
20 comments20 min readLW link

Coron­avirus as a test-run for X-risks

SDM
13 Jun 2020 21:00 UTC
63 points
8 comments18 min readLW link

A Sketch of Good Communication

Ben Pace
31 Mar 2018 22:48 UTC
167 points
34 comments3 min readLW link3 nominations1 review

Mea­sur­ing Meta-Certainty

Bob Jacobs
5 Jul 2020 21:15 UTC
8 points
11 comments3 min readLW link