Matthew Barnett

Karma: 7,622

Someone who is interested in learning and doing good.

My Twitter: https://twitter.com/MatthewJBar

My Substack: https://matthewbarnett.substack.com/

Updating Drexler’s CAIS model

Matthew Barnett16 Jun 2023 22:53 UTC

46 points

32 comments4 min readLW link

Are Emergent Abilities of Large Language Models a Mirage? [linkpost]

Matthew Barnett2 May 2023 21:01 UTC

52 points

19 comments1 min readLW link

(arxiv.org)

Shutting down AI is not enough. We need to destroy all technology.

Matthew Barnett1 Apr 2023 21:03 UTC

149 points

35 comments1 min readLW link

Conceding a short timelines bet early

Matthew Barnett16 Mar 2023 21:49 UTC

132 points

16 comments1 min readLW link

A proposed method for forecasting transformative AI

Matthew Barnett10 Feb 2023 19:34 UTC

121 points

20 comments10 min readLW link

Noting an error in Inadequate Equilibria

Matthew Barnett8 Feb 2023 1:33 UTC

346 points

55 comments2 min readLW link

Slightly against aligning with neo-luddites

Matthew Barnett26 Dec 2022 22:46 UTC

104 points

31 comments4 min readLW link

Updating my AI timelines

Matthew Barnett5 Dec 2022 20:46 UTC

142 points

50 comments2 min readLW link

Could a single alien message destroy us?

Writer and Matthew Barnett

25 Nov 2022 7:32 UTC

59 points

23 comments6 min readLW link

(youtu.be)

A conversation about Katja’s counterarguments to AI risk

Matthew Barnett, Ege Erdil and Brangus Brangus

18 Oct 2022 18:40 UTC

43 points

9 comments33 min readLW link

The Most Important Century: The Animation

Writer and Matthew Barnett

24 Jul 2022 20:58 UTC

46 points

2 comments20 min readLW link

(youtu.be)

A concrete bet offer to those with short AGI timelines

Matthew Barnett and Tamay

9 Apr 2022 21:41 UTC

194 points

116 comments5 min readLW link

Google’s new 540 billion parameter language model

Matthew Barnett4 Apr 2022 17:49 UTC

108 points

81 comments1 min readLW link

(storage.googleapis.com)

Using prediction markets to generate LessWrong posts

Matthew Barnett1 Apr 2022 16:33 UTC

85 points

11 comments1 min readLW link

My current thoughts on the risks from SETI

Matthew Barnett15 Mar 2022 17:18 UTC

128 points

27 comments10 min readLW link

A comment on Ajeya Cotra’s draft report on AI timelines

Matthew Barnett24 Feb 2022 0:41 UTC

74 points

13 comments7 min readLW link

Does needle anxiety drive vaccine hesitancy?

Matthew Barnett11 Feb 2022 19:35 UTC

60 points

11 comments3 min readLW link

Clarifying the palatability theory of obesity

Matthew Barnett10 Feb 2022 19:16 UTC

87 points

19 comments10 min readLW link

Forecasting progress in language models

Matthew Barnett and Metaculus

28 Oct 2021 20:40 UTC

62 points

6 comments11 min readLW link

(www.metaculus.com)

A review of Steven Pinker’s new book on rationality

Matthew Barnett29 Sep 2021 1:29 UTC

140 points

43 comments6 min readLW link