Matthew Barnett

Karma: 10,615

Someone who is interested in learning and doing good.

My Twitter: https://twitter.com/MatthewJBar

My Substack: https://matthewbarnett.substack.com/

Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D

Matthew BarnettApr 22, 2025, 3:22 AM

10 points

6 comments2 min readLW link

(epoch.ai)

We probably won’t just play status games with each other after AGI

Matthew BarnettJan 15, 2025, 4:56 AM

93 points

21 comments4 min readLW link

Some arguments against a land value tax

Matthew BarnettDec 29, 2024, 3:17 PM

83 points

40 comments15 min readLW link

Distinguishing ways AI can be “concentrated”

Matthew BarnettOct 21, 2024, 10:21 PM

28 points

2 comments LW link

Against most, but not all, AI risk analogies

Matthew BarnettJan 14, 2024, 3:36 AM

63 points

41 comments7 min readLW link

My thoughts on the social response to AI risk

Matthew BarnettNov 1, 2023, 9:17 PM

157 points

37 comments10 min readLW link

Announcing Epoch’s newly expanded Parameters, Compute and Data Trends in Machine Learning database

Robi Rahman, Jaime Sevilla Molina, Tamay, Ege Erdil, Pablo Villalobos, Ben Cottier and Matthew Barnett

Oct 25, 2023, 2:55 AM

18 points

0 comments1 min readLW link

(epochai.org)

Evaluating the historical value misspecification argument

Matthew BarnettOct 5, 2023, 6:34 PM

188 points

162 comments7 min readLW link 3 reviews

Updating Drexler’s CAIS model

Matthew BarnettJun 16, 2023, 10:53 PM

47 points

32 comments4 min readLW link

Are Emergent Abilities of Large Language Models a Mirage? [linkpost]

Matthew BarnettMay 2, 2023, 9:01 PM

53 points

19 comments1 min readLW link

(arxiv.org)

Shutting down AI is not enough. We need to destroy all technology.

Matthew BarnettApr 1, 2023, 9:03 PM

152 points

36 comments1 min readLW link

Conceding a short timelines bet early

Matthew BarnettMar 16, 2023, 9:49 PM

133 points

17 comments1 min readLW link

A proposed method for forecasting transformative AI

Matthew BarnettFeb 10, 2023, 7:34 PM

121 points

21 comments10 min readLW link

Noting an error in Inadequate Equilibria

Matthew BarnettFeb 8, 2023, 1:33 AM

366 points

60 comments2 min readLW link 2 reviews

Slightly against aligning with neo-luddites

Matthew BarnettDec 26, 2022, 10:46 PM

104 points

31 comments4 min readLW link

Updating my AI timelines

Matthew BarnettDec 5, 2022, 8:46 PM

145 points

50 comments2 min readLW link

Could a single alien message destroy us?

Writer and Matthew Barnett

25 Nov 2022 7:32 UTC

61 points

23 comments6 min readLW link

(youtu.be)

A conversation about Katja’s counterarguments to AI risk

Matthew Barnett and Ege Erdil

18 Oct 2022 18:40 UTC

43 points

9 comments33 min readLW link

The Most Important Century: The Animation

Writer and Matthew Barnett

24 Jul 2022 20:58 UTC

46 points

2 comments20 min readLW link

(youtu.be)

A concrete bet offer to those with short AGI timelines

Matthew Barnett and Tamay

9 Apr 2022 21:41 UTC

199 points

120 comments5 min readLW link