Matthew Barnett

Karma: 10,861

My Twitter: https://twitter.com/MatthewJBar

My Substack: https://matthewbarnett.substack.com/

Most AI value will come from broad automation, not from R&D

Matthew Barnett22 Apr 2025 3:22 UTC

10 points

6 comments2 min readLW link

(epoch.ai)

We probably won’t just play status games with each other after AGI

Matthew Barnett15 Jan 2025 4:56 UTC

97 points

21 comments4 min readLW link

Some arguments against a land value tax

Matthew Barnett29 Dec 2024 15:17 UTC

83 points

45 comments15 min readLW link

Distinguishing ways AI can be “concentrated”

Matthew Barnett21 Oct 2024 22:21 UTC

34 points

2 comments4 min readLW link

Against most, but not all, AI risk analogies

Matthew Barnett14 Jan 2024 3:36 UTC

63 points

41 comments7 min readLW link

My thoughts on the social response to AI risk

Matthew Barnett1 Nov 2023 21:17 UTC

146 points

37 comments10 min readLW link

Announcing Epoch’s newly expanded Parameters, Compute and Data Trends in Machine Learning database

Robi Rahman, Jaime Sevilla Molina, Tamay, Ege Erdil, Pablo Villalobos, Ben Cottier and Matthew Barnett

25 Oct 2023 2:55 UTC

18 points

0 comments1 min readLW link

(epochai.org)

Evaluating the historical value misspecification argument

Matthew Barnett5 Oct 2023 18:34 UTC

192 points

163 comments7 min readLW link 3 reviews

Updating Drexler’s CAIS model

Matthew Barnett16 Jun 2023 22:53 UTC

47 points

32 comments4 min readLW link

Are Emergent Abilities of Large Language Models a Mirage? [linkpost]

Matthew Barnett2 May 2023 21:01 UTC

53 points

21 comments1 min readLW link

(arxiv.org)

Shutting down AI is not enough. We need to destroy all technology.

Matthew Barnett1 Apr 2023 21:03 UTC

145 points

36 comments1 min readLW link

Conceding a short timelines bet early

Matthew Barnett16 Mar 2023 21:49 UTC

134 points

17 comments1 min readLW link

A proposed method for forecasting transformative AI

Matthew Barnett10 Feb 2023 19:34 UTC

122 points

21 comments10 min readLW link

Noting an error in Inadequate Equilibria

Matthew Barnett8 Feb 2023 1:33 UTC

376 points

60 comments2 min readLW link 2 reviews

Slightly against aligning with neo-luddites

Matthew Barnett26 Dec 2022 22:46 UTC

104 points

31 comments4 min readLW link

Updating my AI timelines

Matthew Barnett5 Dec 2022 20:46 UTC

145 points

50 comments2 min readLW link

Could a single alien message destroy us?

Writer and Matthew Barnett

25 Nov 2022 7:32 UTC

62 points

23 comments6 min readLW link

(youtu.be)

A conversation about Katja’s counterarguments to AI risk

Matthew Barnett and Ege Erdil

18 Oct 2022 18:40 UTC

43 points

9 comments33 min readLW link

The Most Important Century: The Animation

Writer and Matthew Barnett

24 Jul 2022 20:58 UTC

46 points

2 comments20 min readLW link

(youtu.be)

A concrete bet offer to those with short AGI timelines

Matthew Barnett and Tamay

9 Apr 2022 21:41 UTC

200 points

120 comments5 min readLW link