RSS

SimonM

Karma: 886

How to In­ter­pret Pre­dic­tion Mar­ket Prices as Probabilities

SimonM9 May 2023 14:12 UTC
14 points
1 comment4 min readLW link

Is Me­tac­u­lus Slow to Up­date?

SimonM25 Mar 2022 19:44 UTC
75 points
9 comments2 min readLW link