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nikos

Karma: 263

Con­tra pa­pers claiming su­per­hu­man AI forecasting

12 Sep 2024 18:10 UTC
177 points
16 comments7 min readLW link

Unit eco­nomics of LLM APIs

27 Aug 2024 16:51 UTC
42 points
0 comments2 min readLW link

Mir­ror, Mir­ror on the Wall: How Do Fore­cast­ers Fare by Their Own Call?

nikos7 Nov 2023 17:39 UTC
14 points
5 comments14 min readLW link

Com­par­ing Two Fore­cast­ers in an Ideal World

nikos9 Oct 2023 19:52 UTC
5 points
0 comments6 min readLW link

Pre­dic­tive Perfor­mance on Me­tac­u­lus vs. Man­i­fold Markets

nikos4 Mar 2023 8:10 UTC
18 points
0 comments5 min readLW link

Creat­ing a database for base rates

nikos12 Dec 2022 10:09 UTC
2 points
1 comment3 min readLW link
(forum.effectivealtruism.org)

An­nounc­ing the Fore­cast­ing Wiki

nikos15 Apr 2022 9:52 UTC
7 points
0 comments1 min readLW link

Göt­tin­gen, Ger­many – ACX Mee­tups Every­where 2021

nikos23 Aug 2021 8:46 UTC
3 points
0 comments1 min readLW link

An­nounc­ing the UK Covid-19 Crowd Fore­cast­ing Challenge

nikos17 May 2021 17:29 UTC
7 points
0 comments2 min readLW link

Crowd-Fore­cast­ing Covid-19

nikos31 Dec 2020 19:30 UTC
17 points
0 comments5 min readLW link