Mati_Roy(Mati Roy)
A new one, as of 2020-10-16: HPRick and MoRty
What if Harry and Quirrell in “Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality” had the personalities of Rick and Morty from “Rick & Morty”?
I didn’t say extinction risk.
Existential risk – One where an adverse outcome would either annihilate Earth-originating intelligent life or permanently and drastically curtail its potential.
source: https://www.nickbostrom.com/existential/risks.html
Woops, not sure how I missed that; I’ll retract my comment
Representing existential risks. A lost opportunity to grab the Reachable Universe (edit: /expand through the cosmos). (at least, that’s my interpretation)
The true patronus was discovered (possibly rediscovered) by Harry Potter, when he finally understood that Dementors represent Death incarnate. His empathetic desire to protect all of humanity from the pain of that loss allowed him to not just drive away the fear of Death, but to conquer Death itself. This caused his Patronus to evolve into its true form; his Patronus took on the shape of an androgynous human. In this form, the Patronus gains additional abilities, including the ability to destroy Dementors and block the “unblockable” curse, Avada Kedavra.
(source: https://hpmor.fandom.com/wiki/Expecto_Patronum)
Was the Sun exactly above you? ^_^
maybe The Egg
maybe this could be transformed into a fable: https://www.smbc-comics.com/comic/2013-06-02
yes, but it’s a rather small consideration
The cryonics dewars are in buildings at the same temperature than any other businesses in Phoenix, or any other cryonics organizations in the world, pretty much. So liquid nitrogen doesn’t evaporate faster than other cryonics organizations, and electricity cost to cool down the building are just as high as any businesses in Phoenix. Not a big concern.
The context of my comment is this LessWrong post.
The context of writing the Google Doc is just me that wanted to pitch Montreal to EAs in general.
if you predict updating your temporal distribution after 2021 conditional on it not having happened before, then you already have: the shape of the curve after 2021 shouldn’t change just based on learning that it hasn’t happened before 2021
Pinned open threads about recurrent topics. Maybe linked to wikis, or just a selected few. I would like for example to read comments on social norms, but they are spread across many open threads and short form posts.
0) basic features
a) username, login
b) probably other basic things I take for granted
1) oriented towards long content
a) exportable, ideally in an open source format
b) archivable, notably on the Wayback Machine
c) organizational infrastructure and commitment to keep the prediction platform up for the very long term
d) notifications for when a prediction is due (if I’m the one that has to resolve it) or notification for when a prediction is resolved
2) able to input predictions in various formats
a) notably distribution over time
3) able to share a page summarizing my predictions, ideally with the option to have a comment on each
a) categorizing predictions
4) Community features
a) moderators reviewing public questions
b) able to predict on all public questions
c) have a point system that allows never closing questions (unlike Metaculus)
d) able to comment on predictions, reply to comments, tag users, and adjust notifications
5) Advanced predictions
a) able to use the output of some predictions as input for other predictions
[Question] What features would you like a prediction platform to have?
I was talking about MIRI moving to Montreal with all employees, not about remote work
imagine having a physical window that allowed you to look directly in the past (but people in the past wouldn’t see you / the window). that would be amazing, right? well, that’s what videos are. with the window it feels like it’s happening now, whereas with videos it feels like it’s happening in the past, but it’s the same
x-post: https://www.facebook.com/mati.roy.09/posts/10158977624499579