The link to the website is still broken.
DanielFilan
Karma: 8,532
AXRP Episode 38.5 - Adrià Garriga-Alonso on Detecting AI Scheming
Looking back on this thread, I’m so confused why this comment was highly upvoted. Isn’t it kind of obvious that it’s reasonable to focus on Eliezer / MIRI because they are super influential (or at least were, with their influence continuing to wane over time)? I think this holds even if there are other problems with shard theory one could address, and even if TurnTrout’s complaints about Eliezer/MIRI don’t hold water.
MATS mentor selection
AXRP Episode 38.4 - Shakeel Hashim on AI Journalism
AXRP Episode 38.3 - Erik Jenner on Learned Look-Ahead
Would being in a room with people who are vaping have the same benefits as the fog machine? Obviously it has downsides of smell and other additives, but still—I think this should predict that people maybe don’t get airborne illnesses at vaping conventions.
Typo:
We sequencing a typical sample to between one and two billion reads.
Should maybe be “We will be sequencing...”?
Wait I’m a moron and the thing I checked was actually whether it was an exponential function, sorry.
Votes cost quadratic points – a vote strength of “1” costs 1 point. A vote of strength 4 costs 10 points. A vote of strength 9 costs 45.
FYI this is not a quadratic function.
Dojo Organizations What organizations are you aware of that are providing some kind of rationality dojo format (courses focused on improving the skill of rationality)?
Seems like the stuff after “Dojo Organizations” should be on a new line.
About how often do you use LLMs like ChatGPT while active?
What does “while active” mean in this question?
AXRP Episode 39 - Evan Hubinger on Model Organisms of Misalignment
If one wants to investigate [the Alignment of Complex Systems research group] further, he has an AXRP podcast episode, which I haven’t listened to.
Note that if you want to investigate further but would rather read a transcript than watch a video, AXRP has you covered.
AXRP Episode 38.2 - Jesse Hoogland on Singular Learning Theory
Yeah but a bunch of people might actually answer how their neigbours will vote, given that that’s what the pollster asked—and if the question is phrased as the post assumes, that’s going to be a massive issue.
AXRP Episode 38.1 - Alan Chan on Agent Infrastructure
So I guess 1.5% of Americans have worse judgment than I expected (by my lights, as someone who thinks that Trump is really bad). Those 1.5% were incredibly important for the outcome of the election and for the future of the country, but they are only 1.5% of the population.
Nitpick: they are 1.5% of the voting population, making them around 0.7% of the US population.
If you ask people who they’re voting for, 50% will say they’re voting for Harris. But if you ask them who most of their neighbors are voting for, only 25% will say Harris and 75% will say Trump!
Note this issue could be fixed if you instead ask people who the neighbour immediately to the right of their house/apartment will vote for, which I think is compatible with what we know about this poll. That said, the critique of “do people actually know” stands.
Clicking on the word “Here” in the post works.