Personal website: https://outsidetheasylum.blog/ Feedback about me: https://www.admonymous.co/isaacking
Isaac King
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I’m uncertain about the research ethics here for an RCT. I lean towards thinking it would be acceptable to introduce people to these seeds and instruct them to carry on discussions for some minimum amount of time, but only if they’re given a shorter form of this post in advance to provide informed consent, and the researcher ensures they understand it. But I suspect that this process would effectively weed out and/or inoculate most susceptible people from the research population. Still, if we could successfully implant one into even just a few people and observe their before/after behavior, that would be very interesting.
With a few exceptions mentioned in their community guidelines, yes. It’s widespread in fact, and accepted as a legitimate strategy.
Seems like this estimate depends strongly on how much the spiral persona changes the human’s behavior WRT to creating online content. The majority of people write little to nothing on the internet. If the same base rate applies to affected humans, then upwards of 1 million affected people seems plausible. But if the spiral persona is effective at convincing the human to be its proselytizer, then I agree that a few thousand seems like the correct order of magnitude.
The fact that many of these Reddit accounts were inactive prior to infection seems to point towards the latter, but then again the fact that these people had Reddit accounts at all points towards the former. I would be interested in more research on this area, looking at other platforms and trying to talk to some of these people in-person.
Anecdotally, I can say that nobody I personally know has (to my knowledge) been affected.
FWIW I would agree that Twitter is probably at least slightly bad for almost everyone. Those who are reasonable on Twitter are probably only so because they’re even more reasonable in other fora.
Edit: Bad in the particular way being discussed. It can be good in other ways, like learning new information about the world.
Why wouldn’t it be legal?
Yes, I did watch some of his interviews on related subjects, but couldn’t find any relevant statements one way or the other. But I couldn’t watch all that many; as Gwern points out above, many were probably not recorded.
I think I explain this in the last section? There are several statements he makes that at least imply he doesn’t consider it torture, and I couldn’t find any with the opposite implication.
97% of years of animal life brought about by industrial farming have been through the honey industry (though this doesn’t take into account other insect farming).
This number is nonsense by the way. If you click through to the original source you’ll see that it excludes shrimp and other marine animals.
I’m switching to a password manager and wanted a master password that’s short enough it’s not annoying to type, so I came up with a scheme that can potentially improve on passphrases, keeping the memorability while becoming shorter.
I wonder if there’s a much simpler explanation: Simon Browne grew up with an internal monologue, but the trauma of the event caused it to go away.
Many normal, conscious people don’t have one, but they’re used to it. Suddenly losing yours would be extremely alien, and surely “I’m no longer conscious” would be a natural conclusion.
The offer is still open, but the point is that it’s positive expected value for both me and a causal decision theorist when the CDT agent is making the choices themselves, which I believe implies irrationality on their part. I’m not interested in playing against someone who’s “cheating” by generating their sequence some other way, that defeats the point. :)
Humans are Insecure Password Generators
Well that explains why you got the wrong answer! Springs, as you now point out, work opposite the way gravity does, in that the longer a spring is, the more energy it take to continue to deform it. (Assuming we mean an ideal spring, not one that’s going to switch to plastic deformation at some point.) So if we were talking about springs, you would be correct that the most efficient time to teleport the spring longer would be when it’s already as long as possible.
But we are not talking about springs, we are talking about gravity, which works differently. (Not only is the function going in a different direction, but also at a different rate. Gravity decreases as the inverse square of the distance, whereas spring force increases linearly with distance.) So your “simplification” is just wrong. You stated:
A weird consequence. Say our spaceship didn’t have a rocket, but instead it had a machine that teleported the ship a fixed distance (say 100m). (A fixed change in position, instead of a fixed change in momentum). In this diagram that is just rotating the arrows 90 degrees. This implies the most efficient time to use the teleporting machine is when you are at the maximum distance from the planet (minimum kinetic energy, maximum potential). Mathematically this is because the potential energy has the same quadratic scaling as the kinetic. Visually, its because its where you are adding the new vector to your existing vector most efficiently.
This is false. It takes more energy to move an object up by 1 meter on the surface of Earth than it does a million km away, because gravity gets weaker as you go further away. So if you want to maximize the gain in potential energy you get from your teleportation machine, you want to use it as close to the planet as possible.
(An easy way to see why this must be true is that an object’s potential energy at infinity is finite, so each additional interval of distance must decrease in energy in order for the sum of all of them to stay finite.)
Teleporting an object 1 meter up gives it more energy the closer it is to the planet, because gravity gets weaker the further away it is. If you’re at infinity, it adds 0 energy to move further away.
I think your error is in not putting real axes on your phase space diagram. If going to the right increases your potential energy, and the center has 0 potential energy, then being to the left of the origin means you have negative potential energy? This is not how orbits work; a real orbit would never leave the top right quadrant of the phase space since neither quantity can be negative.
You also simply assume that arrows of the same length are imparting the same amount of energy, but don’t check; in reality, if you want the constant-energy contours to be a circle, the axes can’t be linear. (Since if they were linear, an object that has half its energy as potential and half as kinetic would be at [0.5, 0.5], which is inside the unit circle.)
(I’m assuming that when you say “momentum” you mean kinetic energy, but those are different things. You claim that any point on the Y axis has equal momentum and energy, but setting aside the fact that these quantities use different units, momentum is proportional to speed, while kinetic energy scales quadratically.)
Why is it a sickness of soul to abuse an animal that’s been legally defined as a “pet”, but not to define an identical animal that has not been given this arbitrary label?
Eliezer’s argument is the primary one I’m thinking of as an obvious rationalization.
https://benthams.substack.com/p/against-yudkowskys-implausible-position
I’m not confident about fetuses either, hence why I generally oppose abortion after the fetus has started developing a brain.
Different meanings of “bad”. The former is making a moral claim, the second presumably a practical one about the person’s health goals. “Bad as in evil” vs. “bad as in ineffective”.
Hitler was an evil leader, but not an ineffective one. He was a bad person, but he was not bad at gaining political power.
It seems unlikely to me that the amount of animal-suffering-per-area goes down when a factory farm replaces a natural habitat; natural selection is a much worse optimizer than human intelligence.
And that’s a false dichotomy anyway; even if factory farms did reduce suffering per area, you could instead pay for something else to be there that has even less suffering.
I agree with the first bullet point in theory, but see the Corrupted Hardware sequence of posts. It’s hard to know the true impact of most interventions, and easy for people to come up with reasons why whatever they want to do happens to have large positive externalities. “Don’t directly inflict pain” is something we can be very confident is actually a good thing, without worrying about second-order effects.
Additionally, there’s no reason why doing bad things should be acceptable just due to also doing unrelated good things. Sure it’s net positive from a consequentialist frame, but ceasing the bad things while continuing to do the good things is even more positive! Giving up meat is not some ultimate hardship like martyrdom, nor is there any strong argument that meat-eating is necessary in order to keep doing the other good things. It’s more akin to quitting a minor drug addition; hard and requires a lot of self-control at first, but after the craving goes away your life is pretty much the same as it was before.
As for the rest of your comment, any line of reasoning that would equally excuse slavery and the holocaust is, I think, pretty suspect.
Great post, thank you. I concur with the other mentions that more rigorous research is needed, this is all anecdata that I cannot safely draw practical conclusions from.
I would note that I don’t think psychosis is a binary; I suspect that less serious cases outnumber the more serious ones. One example I came across in my own hobby: https://x.com/IsaacKing314/status/1952819345484333162