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Ege Erdil(Ege Erdil)

Karma: 2,938

If you have any questions for me or just want to talk, feel free to reach out by sending a private message on this site or by sending an e-mail to egeerdil96@gmail.com.

You can also find me on Metaculus at https://​​www.metaculus.com/​​accounts/​​profile/​​116023/​​, or on Discord with the username starfall7651.

In­fer­ring the model di­men­sion of API-pro­tected LLMs

Ege Erdil18 Mar 2024 6:19 UTC
32 points
3 comments4 min readLW link
(arxiv.org)

Pro­ces­sor clock speeds are not how fast AIs think

Ege Erdil29 Jan 2024 14:39 UTC
128 points
55 comments2 min readLW link

AI Timelines

10 Nov 2023 5:28 UTC
255 points
74 comments51 min readLW link

An­nounc­ing Epoch’s newly ex­panded Pa­ram­e­ters, Com­pute and Data Trends in Ma­chine Learn­ing database

25 Oct 2023 2:55 UTC
18 points
0 comments1 min readLW link
(epochai.org)

Me­mory band­width con­straints im­ply economies of scale in AI inference

Ege Erdil17 Sep 2023 14:01 UTC
76 points
33 comments4 min readLW link

The lost millennium

Ege Erdil24 Aug 2023 3:48 UTC
51 points
14 comments3 min readLW link

Effi­ciency and re­source use scal­ing parity

Ege Erdil21 Aug 2023 0:18 UTC
47 points
0 comments20 min readLW link

Is Chi­nese to­tal fac­tor pro­duc­tivity lower to­day than it was in 1956?

Ege Erdil18 Aug 2023 22:33 UTC
43 points
0 comments26 min readLW link

A short calcu­la­tion about a Twit­ter poll

Ege Erdil14 Aug 2023 19:48 UTC
62 points
64 comments11 min readLW link

Should you an­nounce your bets pub­li­cly?

Ege Erdil4 Jul 2023 0:11 UTC
15 points
1 comment4 min readLW link

When is cor­re­la­tion tran­si­tive?

Ege Erdil23 Jun 2023 16:09 UTC
83 points
7 comments6 min readLW link

My im­pres­sion of sin­gu­lar learn­ing theory

Ege Erdil18 Jun 2023 15:34 UTC
45 points
30 comments2 min readLW link

Are Bayesian meth­ods guaran­teed to overfit?

Ege Erdil17 Jun 2023 12:52 UTC
52 points
5 comments3 min readLW link
(www.yulingyao.com)

Power laws in Speedrun­ning and Ma­chine Learning

24 Apr 2023 10:06 UTC
71 points
1 comment1 min readLW link
(arxiv.org)

Re­vis­it­ing al­gorith­mic progress

13 Dec 2022 1:39 UTC
94 points
15 comments2 min readLW link1 review
(arxiv.org)

Brun’s the­o­rem and sieve theory

Ege Erdil2 Dec 2022 20:57 UTC
31 points
1 comment73 min readLW link

Nash equil­ibria of sym­met­ric zero-sum games

Ege Erdil27 Oct 2022 23:50 UTC
14 points
0 comments14 min readLW link

A con­ver­sa­tion about Katja’s coun­ter­ar­gu­ments to AI risk

18 Oct 2022 18:40 UTC
43 points
9 comments33 min readLW link

[Question] Do an­thropic con­sid­er­a­tions un­der­cut the evolu­tion an­chor from the Bio An­chors re­port?

Ege Erdil1 Oct 2022 20:02 UTC
22 points
13 comments2 min readLW link

Vari­a­tional Bayesian methods

Ege Erdil25 Aug 2022 20:49 UTC
51 points
1 comment9 min readLW link