[Question] What are some trig­gers that prompt you to do a Fermi es­ti­mate, or to pull up a spread­sheet and make a sim­ple/​rough quan­ti­ta­tive model?

[Question] What is the net effect of memes that call out the huge im­pact of big play­ers in cli­mate change?

[Question] ($1000 bounty) How effec­tive are marginal vac­cine doses against the covid delta var­i­ant?

[Question] Jay­ne­sian in­ter­pre­ta­tion—How does “es­ti­mat­ing prob­a­bil­ities” make sense?

[Question] Why is Kleros val­ued so low?

[Question] Is there a rea­son­able read­ing ac­cord­ing to which Baric, Shi et al 2015 isn’t gain-of-func­tion re­search?

[Question] Work on Bayesian fit­ting of AI trends of perfor­mance?

[Question] Any tax­onomies of con­scious ex­pe­rience?

[Question] Equiv­a­lent of In­for­ma­tion The­ory but for Com­pu­ta­tion?

[Question] What are some ex­am­ples from his­tory where a sci­en­tific the­ory pre­dicted a sig­nifi­cant ex­per­i­men­tal ob­ser­va­tion in ad­vance?

[Question] What will the twen­ties look like if AGI is 30 years away?

[Question] Ex­plo­ra­tive Ques­tions to­wards Ar­gu­men­ta­tion + GitHub

[Question] Ideal Col­lege Ed­u­ca­tion for an Aspiring Ra­tion­al­ist?

[Question] What would it look like if it looked like AGI was very near?

[Question] How to make more peo­ple in­ter­ested in ra­tio­nal­ity?

[Question] Will the US have more than 100,000 new daily COVID-19 cases be­fore Jan­uary 1, 2022?

[Question] For re­duc­ing caf­feine de­pen­dence, does daily max­i­mum mat­ter more, or does to­tal daily in­take mat­ter more?

[Question] Con­se­quences of Bayesian Episte­mol­ogy?

[Question] Ra­tion­al­ity Yel­low Belt Test Ques­tions?

[Question] Is keep­ing AI “in the box” dur­ing train­ing enough?