I don’t understand what your hypothesis is or what hypothesis you’re arguing against.
Elizabeth
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Plausibly Rohypnol and GHB are on the list of substances bees and wasps can be trained to detect. Unlike drug-sniffing dogs, bees and wasps can only be trained on a single scent and are less influenced by their handlers, so it’s less of a privacy invasion and you can worry less about accidentally detecting drugs you don’t mind. My impression is the bees need to be in a cylinder that’s held fairly close to the source of drugs, but I really really want your friend to release trained roofie hunting bees into clubs where they swarm rapists, Jupiter Ascending style.
yes, thank you
What happens if someone is suspected of drugging a drink? Making it costly to do so or be in a position to do so even if you don’t use it could increase safety.
Yeah, I don’t think lids do much without a tamper-evident seal.
When I went to urgent care over this they said they were seeing a lot of people with post-vaccine complaints (no denominator, obviously) and kept being surprised I didn’t have fatigue. I think they also expected brain fog but am less certain of that. I haven’t looked very actively for more because the signal: noise ratio is so bad.
My doctor gave me a glutathione nebulizer and I went on a vitamin stack I’ll be writing up at my blog soon (and will probably make its way to LessWrong) and have talked about a little on twitter already.
I had Pfizer, with typical scheduling.
I believe that most of these questions should be answered like a good obstetrician/gynecologist who knows you and not by someone without rigorous medical training who volunteers to comb through google scholar
People without conventional credentials combing through google scholar is a mainstay of LessWrong (this includes me). If you object to that practice or think people are doing a bad job then I think you should make a top-level post laying out your case, where it can be debated without hijacking someone else’s request. Criticizing just one post feels both unfair to that one post and shortchanging the argument, since only people interested in this particular question will see it.
I show care and respect for people by only scheduling things when I know even a 5th percentile outcome has me showing up on time and in a reasonably good mood, at the cost of scheduling fewer things. A very good friend of mine shows care and respect for people by squeezing them in when she doesn’t really have time, so she’s often late and kind of frazzled. We never solved this, and we could never agree on how to solve it, in part because that required agreeing on a time to do so.
Some of the difficulty is baggage from when we were worse at things and I think if I ran into the same problem with a new person I’d do somewhat better, but in my heart I still kind of believe the answer is “you stop being wrong”.
My impression was that eyes were definitely a plausible route, but I find the lack of oculur symptoms a pretty strong argument that it isn’t common for covid in particular, and find the glasses evidence better explained by the fact that fogging glasses are a good feedback loop/incentive to wear your mask properly.
This was very interesting, thank you.
For AoE in particular, would any of the following be policy-preserving?:
unit or building costs are higher/resources are slower to gather
units move slower
units are proportionally weaker but maintain the same ordinal ranking of what they are vulnerable to and strong against
units or buildings take longer to build
I only played AoE very casually as a teenager so I don’t have a sense of what matters at a competitive level, but it is interesting to think about.
Ray said haggle, not barter. The concept of fixed prices for literally everyone including strangers is quite recent.
Quite possibly- the frequency of intubation certainly went down over time, and my overall impression is we’ve gotten better at treating covid over time.
This isn’t cruxy for me, but:
95% of healthy people have been infected with Epstein-Barr, it just doesn’t have acute symptoms in many people
Both Epstein-Barr and chickenpox are herpes viruses, all of which establish residence in your cells forever. “Postherpetic” doesn’t necessarily mean HSV1/2, it includes multiple viruses that are (EB, cytomegalovirus) or were (chickenpox, pre-vaccine) nearly impossible to avoid without living in a bubble.
Editing can improve quality, or it can keep quality constant while reducing writing time, which is also pretty valuable.
You’re right, thank you. I fixed it on my blog and thought LW had picked it up but apparently not.
100%, I think too many people are unreflectively seeking money past when its marginal returns are worth it for them, and they should think about that more explicitly. I do think (and expect you agree, but it’s useful to put in the conversation) that it’s good that someone aligned work on money, and that it is some people’s comparative advantage. But I expect people who for whom that is true to know that.
Some very quick numbers (populations may overlap):
13.15 CFS diagnoses per 100,000 person-years (13.58 if you include idiopathic fatigue)
430 fibromyalgia diagnoses per 100,000 person-years
10-20% chance of “failure to treat” acute Lyme, given Lyme
30-80% chance of post-ICU syndrome, given admission to ICU (but that’s not tracking the counterfactual). There are ~4 million ICU admissions in the US per year, although those have a heavy long tail.
Lifetime chance of 30% for shingles (which is a manifestation of dormant chicken pox), although that should be trending down with the chickenpox vaccine. 10%-18% of people who develop shingles will develop postherpetic neuralgia (another source has lifetime chance of postherpetic neuralgia at 20%).
500 traumatic brain injuries per 100,000 person-years (albeit concentrated amoung children) of which 26-30 will create a long term disability and 17 will cause death.
Yes, that’s helpful, thank you. I don’t agree though. I think characterizing autistic people as “emotionally unresponsive” is incorrect, and that they share with borderlines the trait of… ~when sufficiently stressed, only holding one emotion at a time, and holding that one very strongly. Things get very black and white and very overwhelming.
Sources: autists and BPDs I have known, every discussion of BPD, Temple Grandin on her autism.