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Raemon(Raymond Arnold)

Karma: 50,448

LessWrong team member /​ moderator. I’ve been a LessWrong organizer since 2011, with roughly equal focus on the cultural, practical and intellectual aspects of the community. My first project was creating the Secular Solstice and helping groups across the world run their own version of it. More recently I’ve been interested in improving my own epistemic standards and helping others to do so as well.

Op­ti­mistic As­sump­tions, Longterm Plan­ning, and “Cope”

Raemon17 Jul 2024 22:14 UTC
177 points
43 comments7 min readLW link

Fluent, Cruxy Predictions

Raemon10 Jul 2024 18:00 UTC
79 points
10 comments14 min readLW link

80,000 hours should re­move OpenAI from the Job Board (and similar EA orgs should do similarly)

Raemon3 Jul 2024 20:34 UTC
268 points
62 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] What per­cent of the sun would a Dyson Sphere cover?

Raemon3 Jul 2024 17:27 UTC
24 points
26 comments1 min readLW link

What dis­t­in­guishes “early”, “mid” and “end” games?

Raemon21 Jun 2024 17:41 UTC
47 points
22 comments1 min readLW link

“Me­tas­trate­gic Brain­storm­ing”, a core build­ing-block skill

Raemon11 Jun 2024 4:27 UTC
50 points
5 comments6 min readLW link

Can we build a bet­ter Public Dou­ble­crux?

Raemon11 May 2024 19:21 UTC
52 points
6 comments4 min readLW link

some thoughts on LessOnline

Raemon8 May 2024 23:17 UTC
56 points
5 comments5 min readLW link

Prompts for Big-Pic­ture Planning

Raemon13 Apr 2024 3:04 UTC
68 points
1 comment2 min readLW link

“Frac­tal Strat­egy” work­shop report

Raemon6 Apr 2024 21:26 UTC
61 points
18 comments10 min readLW link

One-shot strat­egy games?

Raemon11 Mar 2024 0:19 UTC
40 points
41 comments1 min readLW link

Ra­tion­al­ity Re­search Re­port: Towards 10x OODA Loop­ing?

Raemon24 Feb 2024 21:06 UTC
112 points
21 comments15 min readLW link

Ex­er­cise: Plan­mak­ing, Sur­prise An­ti­ci­pa­tion, and “Baba is You”

Raemon24 Feb 2024 20:33 UTC
45 points
17 comments6 min readLW link

Things I’ve Grieved

Raemon18 Feb 2024 19:32 UTC
122 points
6 comments2 min readLW link

CFAR Take­aways: An­drew Critch

Raemon14 Feb 2024 1:37 UTC
215 points
62 comments5 min readLW link

Skills I’d like my col­lab­o­ra­tors to have

Raemon9 Feb 2024 8:20 UTC
105 points
9 comments8 min readLW link

“Does your paradigm beget new, good, paradigms?”

Raemon25 Jan 2024 18:23 UTC
40 points
6 comments2 min readLW link

Univer­sal Love In­te­gra­tion Test: Hitler

Raemon10 Jan 2024 23:55 UTC
76 points
65 comments9 min readLW link

2022 (and All Time) Posts by Ping­back Count

Raemon16 Dec 2023 21:17 UTC
53 points
14 comments6 min readLW link

Rae­mon’s De­liber­ate (“Pur­pose­ful?”) Prac­tice Club

14 Nov 2023 18:24 UTC
61 points
11 comments22 min readLW link