I like the idea and would consider doing something like that in the future. Thanks! FWIW, I found the explanation of poker completely extraneous to the main point.
Alexei(Alexei Andreev)
Karma: 3,393
Vernor suggested a principle: The bad beings nearly always optimize for engagement, for pulling you ever deeper into their influence. They want to make themselves more firmly a part of your OODA loop. The good ones send you out, away from themselves in an open ended way, but better than before.
That is profound!
Oh, I should clarify that we won’t be doing Circling. We’ll just be talking.
Circle of Support (Oct 14th @ 10am PST)
Recently I watched “The Tangle.” It’s an indie movie written and directed by the main actor from Ink, if that means anything to you. (Ink is also an indie movie, but it’s in my top 5 of all time.) Anyway, The Tangle is set in a world right after the singularity (of sorts), but where humans haven’t fully gave up control. Don’t want to spoil too much here, but I found a lot of the ideas there that were popular 5-10 years ago in the rationalist circles. Quite unexpected for an indie movie. I really enjoyed it and I think you would too.
I’d also post in the “welcome” thread.
Before building a whole website, just try this technique on some students. Whether with just paper or a quickly built web page for a few specific concepts.
I’m not using ChatGPT or any of its ilk and plan to continue to do so for the foreseeable future. Basically for the rough reasons described by OP.
I see people make the argument that an additional subscriber doesn’t make a big difference on the margin. But as far as individual choices consumer choices go, that’s all the leverage you have!
I think most people would agree that the eventual logical outcome of this technology is highly volatile, potentially including some very very negative outcomes in the mix. I think basic moral logic compels us not to engage with something like that. Doing otherwise is like destroying the commons but with no easy way of reparation.
Justifying it with “it increases my productivity” seems laughable and ironic when you consider the long term consequences.
The way I’m approaching this internally though is kind of like most vegans approach their choice, I think. It’s becoming a life choice, a moral one, and I think ultimately the right one. But I do not want to be militaristic about it. And while everyone is using ChatGPT around me I continue to love them and will do so until the end.
Interest in enrolling in CS, AI, and ML degrees goes up 5-10x from start to end of 2023.
I’m willing to bet it will be less than 2x.
I don’t think I define it rigorously. Maybe someone with deeper technical understanding of these models could.
But if I had to come up with a hack somehow, you could look at the distribution of probabilities for various words as ChatGPT is predicting the next token. Presumably you’ll noticed a certain kind of probability distribution when it’s in the “Luigi” mode and another when it’s in “Waluigi” mode. Then prodding it in the right direction might be weighing more the tokens that are a lot more frequent in the Luigi mode than Waluigi.
Super-Luigi = Luigi + (Luigi—Waluigi)
We have no idea how to have a program detect AI-written text in a useful way.
This approach seems very doable:
I suppose you can call me lucky, but my wife and I had about two years of doing “quality of time spent” very well. And then we switched to building a family and that’s going well too. I guess you can have it all. 😊
Yup, I like it! Describes where I am pretty well.
I’ve been in the rationalist community since 2011. I too am focused on the “long path”. And I’d say my timelines are pretty short. But I have two young kids and I do not regret it. In fact we’ll probably have a third one.
Strongly agree with
tangren. Try to start interviewing and see if:Can you even get the interviews? If you can’t all, then your resume is probably not good. Also maybe you need to work with a recruiter.
If you can get the interviews but not the offers, then it’s probably your interviewing skills. You can study up. (For this reason it’s recommended to first interview with companies you don’t particularly want to join.)
I will caution that right now is probably a particularly difficult time to find an engineering job. There were a lot of layoffs in big tech companies and a lot of them have a hiring freeze.
Excellent! Maybe there’s a way to pitch this for a Black Mirror episode.
I recently heard that it’s possible that long-covid cough cause is actually neurological. Source: https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8041436/ (Abstract below)
Has anyone heard about this? Anecdotally, the friend that told me about this took the required medicine and it cured his cough (which lasted 7 weeks up to that point) in half a day. This happened once he reached the right dose, which for him was 300 mg of gabapentin 2-3 times a day.
Quoting the abstract here:
Cough is one of the most common presenting symptoms of COVID-19, along with fever and loss of taste and smell. Cough can persist for weeks or months after SARS-CoV-2 infection, often accompanied by chronic fatigue, cognitive impairment, dyspnoea, or pain—a collection of long-term effects referred to as the post-COVID syndrome or long COVID. We hypothesise that the pathways of neurotropism, neuroinflammation, and neuroimmunomodulation through the vagal sensory nerves, which are implicated in SARS-CoV-2 infection, lead to a cough hypersensitivity state. The post-COVID syndrome might also result from neuroinflammatory events in the brain. We highlight gaps in understanding of the mechanisms of acute and chronic COVID-19-associated cough and post-COVID syndrome, consider potential ways to reduce the effect of COVID-19 by controlling cough, and suggest future directions for research and clinical practice. Although neuromodulators such as gabapentin or opioids might be considered for acute and chronic COVID-19 cough, we discuss the possible mechanisms of COVID-19-associated cough and the promise of new anti-inflammatories or neuromodulators that might successfully target both the cough of COVID-19 and the post-COVID syndrome.
The former. I think you can just explain the blinds without explaining the entire poker game.