My wife’s doctor said chloroquine (a treatment for malaria) was shown to be very promising in treating COVID-19. I guess it’s public now as well: https://www.wired.com/story/an-old-malaria-drug-may-fight-covid-19-and-silicon-valleys-into-it/
The whole abstract:
For over a hundred years Finnish sauna has been documented as a physiotherapeutic method in respiratory diseases. Physiological changes of ventilation remain small (about 10%) in the sauna. Heat load, sauna air and sympathetic stimulation generally do not cause problems to the lungs. Electron microscopic studies have not shown irreversible damages to the airway epithelium. Sauna takers should avoid bathing during acute respiratory infections. Sympathomimetic drugs may provoke tachycardia and arrhythmias in the sauna.
So I think they’re specifically talking about bathing; while the sauna (dry air) is actually good.
I can’t find the entire paper but if someone send me a link, I’ll look more into it.
A random thought: If the virus doesn’t survive well in high temperatures would going to a sauna help treat it?
Yeah, I think this is spot on. I’ve had this idea for a few years and have been holding a few stocks of each company that I think has a chance at AGI.
Part of my interest behind this question is that recently I’ve been noticing the subtle (but also not so subtle) ways our choices affect the people and the social fabric around us. Also, listening to Jordan Peterson highlight historical cases where the moral fabric of society fails (e.g. Nazi Germany and Soviet Union). It makes me think there’s a lot of under-appreciated value in being a morally upright person. Some of the value is in directly impacting the people around you, but the majority is in signaling that “this is the kind of society we live in.”
Love your posts! I’d recommend publishing them at a slower pace so people get a chance to see and read them. It’s also a bit confusing on LW when several posts are published on the same day, and you can’t tell which one is first in the series (just from the front page).
One source I looked at was: https://parentsguidecordblood.org/en
There are three public cord blood banks in CA, but non in the bay area. So donating might be hard if that’s where you’re delivering.
The expected cost of cryo preserving is a bit under $2,000 upfront and $150 / yr.
It costs about $30,000 to obtain a cord blood collection from a public bank, and that cost is charged to the patient’s health insurance.
Looks like the stem cells could be used by the family members too. (Assuming it’s a match, I’m guessing?). But actually the child might not be able to use them. (Is it only while they are a child?)
The main advantage of cord blood is that it does not have to be exactly matched to the patient like transplants from an adult donor.
In the United States, about 80% of cord blood donations are discarded.
In the United States, the net probability that a child will need any type of stem cell transplant by age 20 is 3 in 5,000 or .06%.
Can you expand on “ AI/ML capabilities research in finance” or shoot me a PM?
I’m definitely not an expert, but it does sound like a few people moved the goalposts. It sounds very similar to the “AI can’t play chess” argument switching to “well, it’s not really playing chess, it’s just following rules” and then to *quietly mumbling something about it not having the True representation of chess*.
So, I agree with the core point. GPT-2 is writing! And it’s writing pretty damn well. Whatever is left has more to do with the general cognition skill than writing.
I will just say that I had such an experience, but don’t know how to share it in a way that feels adequate for me.
I think you can lead a healthy and happy life playing tennis most of your time, while avoiding the (incorrect and unhealthy, in my opinion) belief that “getting a life is finding a singular passion and pursuing it to the end”. It seems to me like a motivated reasoning used to defend what the person is doing. However the rest of the post is closer to the real truth: “I enjoy playing and teaching tennis and I find meaning in it.”
Also I think the singular/plural purpose divide is pretty smooth with plenty of people on both sides. I’ve met lots of people who say that to live your life you basically need to specialize like crazy.
My invitation to the author would be to write a similar essay to steel man the other side.
Wow, this seems huge to me! Great find!
I’m not in the business of constructing tests, but if I ever do any home schooling with my children, I’ll definitely try this method.
Your decision / advice is rooted in anxiety / fear. This is much more about you than about the thing you’re talking about.
This post convinced me to watch the movies. Was not disappointed: great world building indeed.
This was back in 2013. At that point I have been developing games (as a hobby and then professionally) for 13 years. During my free time in high school and college, that’s basically all I did. And then right out of college I got a job in the game industry. I also developed and published my own game. In 2011 I moved to the bay area, joined a game startup, and it was acquired. (By Zynga, so not that exciting, but overall, I’d say things were going well.)
Around that time, I realized that there was no way making games would help with x-risk. So I left the industry. This involved letting go of the deepest passion and the most developed skill I’ve had at the time. It involved changing which circles I networked in. And it included abandoning all the knowledge I accumulated of the programming libraries and framework, game design, game lore, and all the half-baked game ideas I had and was hoping to develop some day.
I still stand by that decision. But I’ve also found a way to incorporate a bit of that old self into my present life. For example, sometimes I design a board game. Or write down and explore game ideas until I can “see” how it would be developed. Or dream about having enough money to just hire an entire studio and have them develop it.
Found this video and it reminded me of this story: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gNVqRC4mcSI
Tangentially related: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/RasFpce3fNZ8xp2T4/open-and-welcome-thread-november-2019?commentId=trSeGziLqLZ5jiAgv