Google AI PM; Foundation board member
Dave Orr
Karma: 775
Seems to work in an incognito window on Chrome, so I think it’s generally available...
A couple of thoughts, having been through this.
Not all of the issues caught would have made it to birth, so it’s less than 1⁄270 live births—a bunch of chromosomal abnormalities end in miscarriage. It’s a little hard to say exactly how this affects the benefit of amnio. On the one hand, maybe you didn’t need to do anything for the cases that would miscarry anyway. On the other hand, there’s probably some value in knowing that this isn’t going to be a good outcome, and being able to choose a more defined outcome if you want.
It’s worth thinking a bit about what you would do if you found something. For instance, if you’re not going to abort if you find Down’s, then the value of finding goes down a lot. ~90% of people do abort in that situation so maybe that’s not the mainstream case, but that could cut down on 10% of the amnios done.
It’s a big-ass needle that they use for amnio. Possibly this will freak out some people more than others—i.e. the cost is higher if you don’t enjoy being stabbed by a giant syringe. I thought it was interesting to watch, but I wasn’t the one being stabbed, so YMMV.
I’m not sure what I expected for this one.
https://labs.openai.com/s/om7P2fNw2V3zzJZmMcODheni
On the upside, at least we have a specific answer?: https://labs.openai.com/s/EZ1MV59rW87XgvppGKypmy1E
The stock market crash one turned out well.
Thanks for a super clear and well written overview!
It’s not always fashionable around these parts to worry more about ML bias than safety, but this seems like a case where there’s essentially no safety risk, but potentially there’s bias risk.
So something around making sure that the impact is similar across different stakeholder groups, often demographic groups, might be in order.
I tried the buffalo sentence on my own on the first day, it just was a bunch of buffalo. Unsurprising, I guess.
Posted!
Posted a few of these.
Posted the best one.
The most beautiful thing that I’ve ever seen
This turns out to be: nature.
A dragon in shape of a zeebra
The intelligence explosion happening
The end of the world
The beginning of the world
That last one is one of my favorites. Some beautiful, some weird.
Intellectual progress
An awesome house
A lego spaceship
A spaceship made of legos
An animal that will exist one day
The 4 elements
(I’m guessing that it knows what they are, but maybe not?)
The periodic table
Superhero Thor vs mythological Thor
Comic book Spider-man vs. movie Spider-man
Posted!
Had to take out “explosive” in the first one to get it through.
The second one is a policy violation.
Adorable! Also more realistic and less cartoon-y than I anticipated.
Posted!
‘The aftermath of Global nuclear war’
Unsurprisingly, policy violation.
Tricky! Posted.
Added a couple of takes on this idea.
Added.
I looked up some stats, but unfortunately this was ~15 years ago and I have no idea where I found them or what they are.