Karma: 8,626

Pandemic Prediction Checklist: H5N1

Pandemic Prediction Checklist: Monkeypox

Correlation does imply some sort of causal link.

For guessing its direction, simple models help you think.

Controlled experiments, if they are well beyond the brink

Of .05 significance will make your unknowns shrink.

Replications prove there’s something new under the sun.

Did one cause the other? Did the other cause the one?

Are they both controlled by something already begun?

Or was it their coincidence that caused it to be done?

Fea­ture pro­posal: in­te­grate LessWrong with ChatGPT to pro­mote ac­tive reading

DirectedEvolution19 Mar 2023 3:41 UTC
6 points
4 comments1 min readLW link