Research orgs benefit from having a number of smart people bouncing ideas around.
Probably most of (more of?) this benefit can also be unlocked by an ecosystem of multiple orgs in friendly competition who regularly talk to each other in ways that feel psychologically safe.
Not my only concern but definitely seems important. (Otherwise you’re constrained by what you can personally maintain.)
A browser plugin seems like a good approach.
Okay, but I don’t really understand the incentives here. Why is bad policy attractive to anyone? Is it all NIMBY-ism or are you pointing to other drivers also?
For this issue, you could implement something like a ‘first seen’ timestamp in your link database and only create the final archive & substituting after a certain time period—I think a period like 3 months would capture 99% of the changes which are ever going to be made, while not risking exposing readers to too much linkrot.
This makes sense, but it takes a lot of activation energy. I don’t think a practice like this will spread (like even I probably won’t chunk out the time to learn how to implement it, and I care a bunch about this stuff).
Plausibly “(a)” could spread in some circles – activation energy is low and it only adds 10-20 seconds of friction per archived link.
But even “(a)” probably won’t spread far (10-20 seconds of friction per link is too much for almost everyone). Maybe there’s room for a company doing this as a service...
People vote in bad government because of NIMBY-ism, or something else?
Thanks, this is great. (And I didn’t know about your Archiving URLs page!)
And the functionality is one that will be rarely exercised by users, who will click on only a few links and will click on the archived version for only a small subset of said links, unless link rot is a huge issue—in which case, why are you linking to the broken link at all instead of the working archived version?
I feel like I’m often publishing content with two audiences in mind – my present-tense audience and a future audience who may come across the post.
The original link feels important to include because it’s more helpful to the present-tense audience. e.g. Often folks update the content of a linked page in response to reactions elsewhere, and it’s good to be able quickly point to the latest version of the link.
The archived link is more aimed at the future audience. By the time they stumble across the post, the original link will likely be broken, and there’s a better chance that the archived version will still be intact. (e.g. many of the links on Aaron Swartz’s blog are now broken; whenever I read it I find myself wishing there were convenient archived versions of the links).
Though note most of this (in Marin) is park land.
These are all abandoned:
Oakland army base
Oakland outer harbor
Naval Air Station Alameda
Yerba Buena Island coast guard base
Most of Treasure Island
Parts of Hunters Point
Parts of South San Francisco are undeveloped, though I don’t know how that interacts with San Bruno Mountain State Park.
Large swaths of the western side of the Peninsula are undeveloped.
Not arguing against this proposal, but want to note that there’s plenty of land in the Bay Area that’s only developed to low density or hasn’t been developed at all.
Changing housing policy such that it’s easier to build is probably upstream of both making new land and making existing land higher density.
What are the main ways by which Foretold.io is differentiated from Metaculus?
+1 to targeting finance-types, though probably many/most are savvy enough that they won’t find EA compelling.
Plausibly a lot of them have something like Drexler’s or Hanson’s view, such that it doesn’t seem super-urgent & isn’t aligned with their comparative advantage.
But presumably it’s possible to be too relaxed, calm, and/or happy, and one should instead be anxious, angry, and/or sad. How can I tell when this is the case, and what should I do to increase my neuroticism in-the-moment?
This stuff is mutually reinforcing with ego’s ‘forever’ identity based narratives. ‘If I relax then I become the sort of person who is just relaxed all the time and never does anything AHHHH!’ Whereas what actually happens is that given the ability to choose which stresses to take on, rather than it being an involuntary process, we choose a lot better in apportioning our efforts to the things we care about. One of the noticeable changes is that people take on fewer projects, but put more effort into those they do take on. Most of us, if we were taking a rigorous accounting, would be forced to admit that our project start:project finish ratio is quite bad by default. Core Transformation puts us directly in touch with these and potentially lots of other objections. The point isn’t to sweep them under the rug but to identify the true content of these objections and figure out how we want to engage with that while letting the non-true parts drop away once all objecting parts are actually satisfied.
Though we’re still actively searching for the senior web developer role: https://ought.org/careers/web-developer
I’m finding it fruitful to consider the “exiles” discussion in this post alongside Hunting the Shadow.
Try harder to learn from tradition than you have been on the margin. Current = noisy.
What does “Current = noisy” mean here?