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Rationality

Core TagLast edit: 26 Apr 2021 19:19 UTC by MichaelA

Rationality is the art of thinking in ways that result in accurate beliefs and good decisions. It is the primary topic of LessWrong.

Rationality is not only about avoiding the vices of self-deception and obfuscation (the failure to communicate clearly), but also about the virtue of curiosity, seeing the world more clearly than before, and achieving things previously unreachable to you. The study of rationality on LessWrong includes a theoretical understanding of ideal cognitive algorithms, as well as building a practice that uses these idealized algorithms to inform heuristics, habits, and techniques, to successfully reason and make decisions in the real world.

Topics covered in rationality include (but are not limited to): normative and theoretical explorations of ideal reasoning; the capabilities and limitations of our brain, mind and psychology; applied advice such as introspection techniques and how to achieve truth collaboratively; practical techniques and methodologies for figuring out what’s true ranging from rough quantitative modeling to full research guides.

Note that content about how the world is can be found under World Modeling, and practical advice about how to change the world is categorized under World Optimization or Practical.


Theory /​ Concepts

Anticipated Experiences
Aumann’s Agreement Theorem
Bayes Theorem
Bounded Rationality
Conservation of Expected
Contrarianism
Decision Theory
Epistemology
Game Theory
Gears-Level
Hansonian Pre-Rationality
Law-Thinking
Map and Territory
Newcomb’s Problem
Occam’s razor
Robust Agents
Solomonoff Induction
Truth, Semantics, & Meaning
Utility Functions

Applied Topics

Alief
Betting
Cached Thoughts
Calibration
Dark Arts
Empiricism
Epistemic Modesty
Forecasting & Prediction
Group Rationality
Identity
Inside/​Outside View
Introspection
Intuition
Practice & Philosophy of Science
Scholarship & Learning
Taking Ideas Seriously
Value of Information

Failure Modes

Affect Heuristic
Bucket Errors
Compartmentalization
Confirmation Bias
Fallacies
Goodhart’s Law
Groupthink
Heuristics and Biases
Mind Projection Fallacy
Motivated Reasoning
Pica
Pitfalls of Rationality
Rationalization
Self-Deception
Sunk-Cost Fallacy

Communication

Common Knowledge
Conversation
Decoupling vs Contextualizing
Disagreement
Distillation & Pedagogy
Double-Crux
Good Explanations (Advice)
Ideological Turing Tests
Inferential Distance
Information Cascades
Memetic Immune System
Philosophy of Language
Steelmanning

Techniques

Double-Crux
Focusing
Goal Factoring
Internal Double Crux
Hamming Questions
Noticing
Techniques
Trigger Action Planning/​Patterns

Models of the Mind

Consciousness
Dual Process Theory (System 1 & 2)
General Intelligence
Subagents
Predictive Processing
Perceptual Control Theory
Zombies

Other

Center for Applied Rationality
Curiosity
Rationality Quotes
Updated Beliefs (examples of)

This list is not comprehensive! The tagging system is new. Many needed tags have not been created and/​or added to the above list.


What we’re calling “rationality”

A good heuristic is that rationality is about cognitive algorithms. Rather than being a synonym for true or optimal, the term rational should be reserved for describing whether or not a cognitive algorithm results in true beliefs and optimal actions.

This is distinct from practical advice, such as how to improve relationships or implement productivity systems, which should not be considered “rationality” per se. Some have pushed against labeling self-help as “rational dating”, etc. for reasons along these lines [1, 2], and they are probably correct.

In accordance with this, LessWrong classifies most self-help type advice under the World Optimization tag and not the Rationality tag.

Similarly, most object-level material about how the world is, e.g. math, biology, history, etc. is tagged under World Modeling tag, with exceptions for neuroscience and probability theory, etc., which have concrete consequences for how one ought to think.

Heuristics and Biases

Early material on LessWrong frequently describes rationality with reference to heuristics and biases [1, 2]. Indeed, LessWrong grew out of the blog Overcoming Bias and even Rationality: A-Z opens with a discussion of biases [1] with the opening chapter titled Predictably Wrong. The idea is that human mind has been shown to systematically make certain errors of reasoning, like confirmation bias. Rationality then consists of overcoming these biases.

Apart from the issue of the replication crises which discredited many examples of bias that were commonly referenced on LessWrong, e.g. priming, the “overcoming biases” frame of rationality is too limited. Rationality requires the development of many positive skills, not just removing negative biases to reveal underlying perfect reasoning. These are skills such as how to update the correct amount in response to evidence, how to resolve disagreements with others, how to introspect, and many more.

Instrumental vs Epistemic Rationality

Classically, on LessWrong, a distinction has been made between instrumental rationality and epistemic rationality, however, these terms may be misleading – it’s not as though epistemic rationality can be traded off for gains in instrumental rationality. Only apparently, and to think one should do this is a trap.

Instrumental rationality is defined as being concerned with achieving goals. More specifically, instrumental rationality is the art of choosing and implementing actions that steer the future toward outcomes ranked higher in one’s preferences. Said preferences are not limited to ‘selfish’ preferences or unshared values; they include anything one cares about.

Epistemic rationality is defined as the part of rationality which involves achieving accurate beliefs about the world. It involves updating on receiving new evidence, mitigating cognitive biases, and examining why you believe what you believe. It can be seen as a form of instrumental rationality in which knowledge and truth are goals in themselves, whereas in other forms of instrumental rationality, knowledge and truth are only potential aids to achieving goals. Someone practicing instrumental rationality might even find falsehood useful.

The Art and Science of Rationality

In a field like biology, we can draw a distinction between the science of biology, which involves various theories and empirical data about biological life, and the art of being a biologist, which is the specific way that a biologist thinks and plays with ideas and interacts to the world around them. Similarly, rationality is both a science and an art. There’s study of the iron-clad laws of reasoning and mechanics of the human mind, but there’s also the general training to be the kind of person who reasons well.

Rationalist

The term rationalist as a description of people is used in a couple of ways. It can refer to someone who endeavors to think better and implement as much rationality as they can. Many prefer the term aspiring rationalist to convey that the identifier is a claim to the goal of being more rational rather than a claim of having attained it already.

Perhaps more commonly, rationalist is used to refer culturally to someone associated with various rationalist communities separate from their efforts to improve their rationality.

Twelve Virtues of Rationality

Eliezer Yudkowsky1 Jan 2006 8:00 UTC
91 points
2 comments7 min readLW link

Real­ity-Re­veal­ing and Real­ity-Mask­ing Puzzles

AnnaSalamon16 Jan 2020 16:15 UTC
240 points
57 comments13 min readLW link

Hu­mans are not au­to­mat­i­cally strategic

AnnaSalamon8 Sep 2010 7:02 UTC
320 points
274 comments4 min readLW link

Ra­tion­al­ity: Ap­pre­ci­at­ing Cog­ni­tive Algorithms

Eliezer Yudkowsky6 Oct 2012 9:59 UTC
71 points
136 comments5 min readLW link

The Bot­tom Line

Eliezer Yudkowsky28 Sep 2007 17:47 UTC
97 points
14 comments4 min readLW link

What Do We Mean By “Ra­tion­al­ity”?

Eliezer Yudkowsky16 Mar 2009 22:33 UTC
240 points
7 comments6 min readLW link

Babble

alkjash10 Jan 2018 21:56 UTC
131 points
31 comments5 min readLW link
(radimentary.wordpress.com)

[Question] What are the open prob­lems in Hu­man Ra­tion­al­ity?

Raemon13 Jan 2019 4:46 UTC
93 points
93 comments1 min readLW link2 nominations3 reviews

“Flinch­ing away from truth” is of­ten about *pro­tect­ing* the epistemology

AnnaSalamon20 Dec 2016 18:39 UTC
191 points
56 comments7 min readLW link

The Apol­o­gist and the Revolutionary

Scott Alexander11 Mar 2009 21:39 UTC
214 points
100 comments5 min readLW link

Lo­cal Val­idity as a Key to San­ity and Civilization

Eliezer Yudkowsky7 Apr 2018 4:25 UTC
133 points
65 comments13 min readLW link

Trapped Pri­ors As A Ba­sic Prob­lem Of Rationality

Scott Alexander12 Mar 2021 20:02 UTC
111 points
28 comments14 min readLW link

Prob­a­bil­ity is in the Mind

Eliezer Yudkowsky12 Mar 2008 4:08 UTC
109 points
193 comments6 min readLW link

Toolbox-think­ing and Law-thinking

Eliezer Yudkowsky31 May 2018 21:28 UTC
104 points
48 comments12 min readLW link

A Sketch of Good Communication

Ben Pace31 Mar 2018 22:48 UTC
115 points
34 comments3 min readLW link

Ra­tion­al­ity is Sys­tem­atized Winning

Eliezer Yudkowsky3 Apr 2009 14:41 UTC
65 points
265 comments3 min readLW link

The Mar­tial Art of Rationality

Eliezer Yudkowsky22 Nov 2006 20:00 UTC
154 points
47 comments3 min readLW link

Eight Short Stud­ies On Excuses

Scott Alexander20 Apr 2010 23:01 UTC
558 points
237 comments10 min readLW link

The non­cen­tral fal­lacy—the worst ar­gu­ment in the world?

Scott Alexander27 Aug 2012 3:36 UTC
298 points
1,756 comments7 min readLW link

Con­cep­tual en­g­ineer­ing: the rev­olu­tion in philos­o­phy you’ve never heard of

Suspended Reason2 Jun 2020 18:30 UTC
123 points
48 comments21 min readLW link

Hid­ing Complexity

Rafael Harth20 Nov 2020 16:35 UTC
28 points
14 comments7 min readLW link

Creat­ing a truly formidable Art

Valentine14 Oct 2021 4:39 UTC
102 points
21 comments23 min readLW link

Diseased think­ing: dis­solv­ing ques­tions about disease

Scott Alexander30 May 2010 21:16 UTC
399 points
355 comments9 min readLW link

The Cog­ni­tive Science of Rationality

lukeprog12 Sep 2011 20:48 UTC
128 points
110 comments15 min readLW link

Com­ment on “En­doge­nous Epistemic Fac­tion­al­iza­tion”

Zack_M_Davis20 May 2020 18:04 UTC
136 points
7 comments7 min readLW link

Ra­tion­al­ity Cardinality

jimrandomh27 Apr 2021 22:27 UTC
49 points
5 comments1 min readLW link

How to eval­u­ate (50%) predictions

Rafael Harth10 Apr 2020 17:12 UTC
117 points
48 comments9 min readLW link

Hero Licensing

Eliezer Yudkowsky21 Nov 2017 21:13 UTC
171 points
83 comments52 min readLW link

On Platitudes

Ouroborus22 Apr 2020 5:55 UTC
28 points
6 comments2 min readLW link
(ouroborusdotblog.wordpress.com)

Stop say­ing wrong things

lc1 May 2020 20:50 UTC
69 points
34 comments6 min readLW link

Strat­egy is the De­con­fu­sion of Action

ryan_b2 Jan 2019 20:56 UTC
69 points
4 comments6 min readLW link

Intuition

Rafael Harth20 Dec 2020 21:49 UTC
26 points
1 comment6 min readLW link

[Question] Col­lider bias as a cog­ni­tive blindspot?

TurnTrout30 Dec 2020 2:39 UTC
54 points
12 comments2 min readLW link

Your Strength as a Rationalist

Eliezer Yudkowsky11 Aug 2007 0:21 UTC
147 points
121 comments2 min readLW link

Precognition

jasoncrawford14 Jun 2021 0:38 UTC
194 points
34 comments2 min readLW link
(jasoncrawford.org)

[Question] Why didn’t we find katas for ra­tio­nal­ity?

ChristianKl14 Sep 2021 16:43 UTC
7 points
35 comments1 min readLW link

Rea­son as memetic im­mune disorder

PhilGoetz19 Sep 2009 21:05 UTC
360 points
179 comments5 min readLW link

Prob­lem re­lax­ation as a tactic

TurnTrout22 Apr 2020 23:44 UTC
105 points
8 comments7 min readLW link

Deal­ing with Cu­ri­os­ity-Stoppers

adamShimi30 Jul 2020 22:05 UTC
47 points
6 comments10 min readLW link

Zen and Ra­tion­al­ity: Trust in Mind

G Gordon Worley III11 Aug 2020 20:23 UTC
23 points
3 comments4 min readLW link

On Creativity—The joys of 5 minute timers

Neel Nanda18 Aug 2020 6:26 UTC
10 points
1 comment6 min readLW link
(www.neelnanda.io)

Math That Clicks: Look for Two-Way Correspondences

TurnTrout2 Oct 2020 1:22 UTC
31 points
4 comments3 min readLW link

The Treach­er­ous Path to Rationality

Jacob Falkovich9 Oct 2020 15:34 UTC
178 points
114 comments11 min readLW link

[Question] What could one do with truly un­limited com­pu­ta­tional power?

Yitz11 Nov 2020 10:03 UTC
30 points
22 comments2 min readLW link

Defend­ing the non-cen­tral fallacy

Matthew Barnett9 Mar 2021 21:42 UTC
108 points
39 comments6 min readLW link

Ra­tion­al­ism be­fore the Sequences

Eric Raymond30 Mar 2021 14:04 UTC
474 points
79 comments10 min readLW link

The Sand­wich Argument

Chris_Leong9 Apr 2020 3:58 UTC
26 points
4 comments1 min readLW link

In­for­ma­tion cascades

Johnicholas6 Mar 2009 4:08 UTC
58 points
36 comments2 min readLW link

The Archety­pal Ra­tional and Post-Rational

Ouroborus15 Apr 2020 9:40 UTC
19 points
0 comments2 min readLW link
(ouroborusdotblog.wordpress.com)

Gen­er­al­iz­ing From One Example

Scott Alexander28 Apr 2009 22:00 UTC
365 points
413 comments6 min readLW link

Preface

Eliezer Yudkowsky11 Mar 2015 19:00 UTC
479 points
12 comments4 min readLW link

Train­ing Regime Day 16: Ham­ming Questions

Mark Xu20 Apr 2020 14:51 UTC
14 points
0 comments4 min readLW link

[Question] What are good defense mechanisms against dan­ger­ous bul­let bit­ing?

Mati_Roy21 Apr 2020 20:51 UTC
7 points
15 comments1 min readLW link

Notic­ing the Taste of Lotus

Valentine27 Apr 2018 20:05 UTC
160 points
80 comments3 min readLW link

Heads I Win, Tails?—Never Heard of Her; Or, Selec­tive Re­port­ing and the Tragedy of the Green Rationalists

Zack_M_Davis24 Sep 2019 4:12 UTC
225 points
37 comments8 min readLW link2 nominations2 reviews

My ex­pe­rience with the “ra­tio­nal­ist un­canny valley”

Thomas Kwa23 Apr 2020 20:27 UTC
62 points
18 comments5 min readLW link

Train­ing Regime Day 20: OODA Loop

Mark Xu24 Apr 2020 18:11 UTC
23 points
1 comment7 min readLW link

Ra­tion­al­ity vs. Taleb’s Antifragilism

Mellivora2 May 2020 14:07 UTC
16 points
3 comments4 min readLW link

Stud­ies On Slack

Scott Alexander13 May 2020 5:00 UTC
128 points
28 comments24 min readLW link
(slatestarcodex.com)

The Mechanis­tic and Nor­ma­tive Struc­ture of Agency

G Gordon Worley III18 May 2020 16:03 UTC
14 points
4 comments1 min readLW link
(philpapers.org)

Rad­i­cal Prob­a­bil­ism [Tran­script]

26 Jun 2020 22:14 UTC
46 points
12 comments6 min readLW link

Ne­go­ti­at­ing With Yourself

orthonormal26 Jun 2020 23:55 UTC
23 points
0 comments5 min readLW link

The alle­gory of the hospital

Sunny from QAD2 Jul 2020 21:46 UTC
5 points
20 comments2 min readLW link
(questionsanddaylight.com)

Models of Value of Learning

johnswentworth7 Jul 2020 19:08 UTC
24 points
0 comments5 min readLW link

Null-box­ing New­comb’s Problem

Yitz13 Jul 2020 16:32 UTC
30 points
10 comments4 min readLW link

Book Re­view: Fooled by Randomness

Sherrinford13 Jul 2020 21:02 UTC
33 points
10 comments5 min readLW link

Al­gorith­mic In­tent: A Han­so­nian Gen­er­al­ized Anti-Zom­bie Principle

Zack_M_Davis14 Jul 2020 6:03 UTC
35 points
17 comments12 min readLW link

More Right

adamzerner22 Jul 2020 3:36 UTC
22 points
29 comments4 min readLW link

Be­come a per­son who Ac­tu­ally Does Things

Neel Nanda25 Jul 2020 9:29 UTC
46 points
17 comments3 min readLW link
(www.neelnanda.io)

Let Your Mind Be Not Fixed

G Gordon Worley III31 Jul 2020 17:54 UTC
46 points
2 comments3 min readLW link

Unify­ing the Si­mu­lacra Definitions

Zvi3 Aug 2020 12:10 UTC
82 points
30 comments12 min readLW link
(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Maybe Ly­ing Can’t Ex­ist?!

Zack_M_Davis23 Aug 2020 0:36 UTC
43 points
16 comments5 min readLW link

Mean­ingful Rest

Neel Nanda29 Aug 2020 15:50 UTC
47 points
4 comments4 min readLW link
(www.neelnanda.io)

Stop press­ing the Try Harder button

Neel Nanda5 Sep 2020 9:10 UTC
33 points
5 comments3 min readLW link
(www.neelnanda.io)

Zen and Ra­tion­al­ity: Map and Territory

G Gordon Worley III12 Sep 2020 0:45 UTC
15 points
4 comments2 min readLW link

Zen and Ra­tion­al­ity: Just This Is It

G Gordon Worley III20 Sep 2020 22:31 UTC
30 points
5 comments2 min readLW link

Los­ing the for­est for the trees with grid drawings

adamzerner24 Sep 2020 21:13 UTC
19 points
1 comment2 min readLW link

[Question] Fermi Challenge: Trains and Air Cargo

Ben Pace5 Oct 2020 21:51 UTC
29 points
21 comments1 min readLW link

Mes­sage Length

Zack_M_Davis20 Oct 2020 5:52 UTC
124 points
24 comments12 min readLW link

[Question] What are some good ex­am­ples of fake be­liefs?

adamzerner14 Nov 2020 7:40 UTC
18 points
8 comments1 min readLW link

Map and Ter­ri­tory: Sum­mary and Thoughts

adamzerner5 Dec 2020 8:21 UTC
15 points
4 comments26 min readLW link

Travers­ing a Cog­ni­tion Space

Rafael Harth7 Dec 2020 18:32 UTC
16 points
5 comments12 min readLW link

On Reflection

Neel Nanda14 Dec 2020 16:14 UTC
26 points
2 comments13 min readLW link
(www.neelnanda.io)

The First Sam­ple Gives the Most Information

Mark Xu24 Dec 2020 20:39 UTC
92 points
11 comments1 min readLW link
(markxu.com)

TAPs for Tutoring

Mark Xu24 Dec 2020 20:46 UTC
20 points
2 comments5 min readLW link

Great minds might not think alike

UnexpectedValues26 Dec 2020 19:51 UTC
254 points
43 comments11 min readLW link
(ericneyman.wordpress.com)

Cog­ni­tive mis­takes I’ve made about COVID-19

DanielFilan27 Dec 2020 0:50 UTC
45 points
3 comments2 min readLW link
(danielfilan.com)

Vac­ci­na­tion with the EMH

AllAmericanBreakfast29 Dec 2020 3:05 UTC
17 points
17 comments8 min readLW link

You are Dis­so­ci­at­ing (prob­a­bly)

G Gordon Worley III4 Jan 2021 14:37 UTC
27 points
4 comments4 min readLW link

Balance mo­ti­va­tion and discipline

toonalfrink7 Jan 2021 12:00 UTC
14 points
0 comments2 min readLW link

Science in a High-Di­men­sional World

johnswentworth8 Jan 2021 17:52 UTC
131 points
33 comments7 min readLW link

The Prob­lem of the Criterion

G Gordon Worley III21 Jan 2021 15:05 UTC
38 points
38 comments10 min readLW link

On clinging

Joe Carlsmith24 Jan 2021 23:25 UTC
45 points
10 comments8 min readLW link

Less Wrong Poetry Corner: Coven­try Pat­more’s “Magna Est Ver­i­tas”

Zack_M_Davis30 Jan 2021 5:16 UTC
14 points
1 comment1 min readLW link

Me­dia Bias

lsusr22 Feb 2021 21:14 UTC
34 points
9 comments2 min readLW link

Strong Ev­i­dence is Common

Mark Xu13 Mar 2021 22:04 UTC
150 points
42 comments1 min readLW link
(markxu.com)

Com­mu­ni­ca­tion Re­quires Com­mon In­ter­ests or Differ­en­tial Sig­nal Costs

Zack_M_Davis26 Mar 2021 6:41 UTC
30 points
7 comments3 min readLW link

Forc­ing your­self to keep your iden­tity small is self-harm

G Gordon Worley III3 Apr 2021 14:03 UTC
26 points
9 comments2 min readLW link

“Tak­ing your en­vi­ron­ment as ob­ject” vs “Be­ing sub­ject to your en­vi­ron­ment”

Ben Pace11 Apr 2021 22:47 UTC
76 points
18 comments3 min readLW link

An Ex­er­cise in Ra­tional Co­op­er­a­tion and Com­mu­ni­ca­tion: Let’s Play Hanabi

ejacob14 Apr 2021 8:36 UTC
14 points
10 comments7 min readLW link

A cog­ni­tive al­gorithm for “free will.”

AllAmericanBreakfast14 Jul 2021 21:33 UTC
22 points
27 comments3 min readLW link

Power vs Precision

abramdemski16 Aug 2021 18:34 UTC
48 points
16 comments4 min readLW link

18 pos­si­ble mean­ings of “I Like Red”

ozziegooen23 Aug 2021 23:25 UTC
24 points
13 comments3 min readLW link

Death by a Sin­gle Cut

lsusr29 Aug 2021 3:58 UTC
11 points
8 comments2 min readLW link

[Cross­post] On Hreha On Be­hav­ioral Economics

Scott Alexander31 Aug 2021 18:14 UTC
90 points
5 comments22 min readLW link

Blood Is Thicker Than Water ὂC

Zack_M_Davis28 Sep 2021 3:21 UTC
35 points
21 comments13 min readLW link

The Proper Use of Humility

Eliezer Yudkowsky1 Dec 2006 19:55 UTC
136 points
53 comments5 min readLW link

Ra­tion­al­ists Are Less Cre­d­u­lous But Bet­ter At Tak­ing Ideas Seriously

Scott Alexander21 Jan 2014 2:18 UTC
90 points
285 comments3 min readLW link

Lonely Dissent

Eliezer Yudkowsky28 Dec 2007 4:23 UTC
76 points
84 comments4 min readLW link

Train­ing Regime Day 19: Ham­ming Ques­tions for Pot­ted Plants

Mark Xu23 Apr 2020 16:00 UTC
43 points
1 comment3 min readLW link

Some­thing to Protect

Eliezer Yudkowsky30 Jan 2008 17:52 UTC
121 points
77 comments6 min readLW link

[Question] Why is my (our?) rea­son­ing pro­cess noisy?

emanuele ascani25 Apr 2020 12:19 UTC
9 points
4 comments2 min readLW link

Post/​meta-skep­ti­cism I

Ouroborus26 Apr 2020 0:18 UTC
8 points
11 comments3 min readLW link
(ouroborusdotblog.wordpress.com)

Train­ing Regime Day 24: Re­solve Cy­cles 2

Mark Xu28 Apr 2020 19:00 UTC
15 points
0 comments2 min readLW link

A Fable of Science and Politics

Eliezer Yudkowsky23 Dec 2006 4:50 UTC
231 points
102 comments5 min readLW link

Nega­tive Feed­back and Simulacra

Elizabeth29 Apr 2020 2:00 UTC
132 points
22 comments9 min readLW link
(acesounderglass.com)

What’s a Bias?

Eliezer Yudkowsky27 Nov 2006 1:50 UTC
108 points
14 comments2 min readLW link

[Question] How to learn from a stronger ra­tio­nal­ist in daily life?

Thomas Kwa20 May 2020 4:55 UTC
16 points
11 comments1 min readLW link

Reflec­tive Complaints

Raemon21 May 2020 21:11 UTC
35 points
20 comments1 min readLW link

Bak­ing is Not a Ritual

Sisi Cheng25 May 2020 18:08 UTC
109 points
26 comments4 min readLW link

Fo­cus: you are al­lowed to be bad at ac­com­plish­ing your goals

adamShimi3 Jun 2020 21:04 UTC
19 points
17 comments3 min readLW link

The Skill of Notic­ing Emotions

Neel Nanda4 Jun 2020 17:48 UTC
72 points
6 comments17 min readLW link

Every­day Les­sons from High-Di­men­sional Optimization

johnswentworth6 Jun 2020 20:57 UTC
135 points
36 comments6 min readLW link

Philos­o­phy in the Dark­est Timeline: Ba­sics of the Evolu­tion of Meaning

Zack_M_Davis7 Jun 2020 7:52 UTC
109 points
17 comments14 min readLW link

[Question] By what met­ric do you judge a refer­ence class?

Bob Jacobs15 Jun 2020 18:34 UTC
7 points
1 comment1 min readLW link

Where to Start Re­search?

Elizabeth16 Jun 2020 18:10 UTC
67 points
4 comments3 min readLW link
(acesounderglass.com)

Born as the sev­enth month dies …

Rudi C10 Jul 2020 15:07 UTC
6 points
8 comments2 min readLW link

Hu­man Evil and Mud­dled Thinking

Eliezer Yudkowsky13 Sep 2007 23:43 UTC
92 points
143 comments3 min readLW link

Reli­gion’s Claim to be Non-Disprovable

Eliezer Yudkowsky4 Aug 2007 3:21 UTC
219 points
325 comments4 min readLW link

But There’s Still A Chance, Right?

Eliezer Yudkowsky6 Jan 2008 1:56 UTC
86 points
58 comments2 min readLW link

Chains, Bot­tle­necks and Optimization

curi21 Jul 2020 2:07 UTC
14 points
12 comments4 min readLW link

Bot­tle­neck Examples

curi23 Jul 2020 18:23 UTC
11 points
0 comments9 min readLW link

What it means to optimise

Neel Nanda25 Jul 2020 9:40 UTC
5 points
0 comments8 min readLW link
(www.neelnanda.io)

How to learn from conversations

Neel Nanda25 Jul 2020 9:36 UTC
16 points
3 comments4 min readLW link
(www.neelnanda.io)

Tak­ing the first step

Neel Nanda25 Jul 2020 9:33 UTC
9 points
0 comments16 min readLW link
(www.neelnanda.io)

Why You Might Want a New Way to Vi­su­al­ize Biases

dtm27 Jul 2020 17:30 UTC
17 points
3 comments3 min readLW link

Reread­ing At­las Shrugged

Vaniver28 Jul 2020 18:54 UTC
128 points
27 comments13 min readLW link

En­forc­ing Type Distinction

lionhearted31 Jul 2020 11:39 UTC
25 points
1 comment2 min readLW link

Tear­ing down the Ch­ester­ton’s Fence principle

AllAmericanBreakfast2 Aug 2020 4:56 UTC
34 points
7 comments3 min readLW link

Zen and Ra­tion­al­ity: Don’t Know Mind

G Gordon Worley III6 Aug 2020 4:33 UTC
24 points
1 comment2 min readLW link

How to Ig­nore Your Emo­tions (while also think­ing you’re awe­some at emo­tions)

Hazard31 Jul 2019 13:34 UTC
216 points
69 comments4 min readLW link2 nominations4 reviews

The Law of Least Effort Con­tributes to the Con­junc­tion Fallacy

curi9 Aug 2020 19:38 UTC
7 points
53 comments3 min readLW link

Fan­tasy-For­bid­ding Ex­pert Opinion

yamabiko10 Aug 2020 0:01 UTC
18 points
9 comments3 min readLW link

“Good judge­ment” and its components

owencb24 Aug 2020 10:32 UTC
27 points
4 comments3 min readLW link

Math­e­mat­i­cal In­con­sis­tency in Solomonoff In­duc­tion?

curi25 Aug 2020 17:09 UTC
7 points
15 comments2 min readLW link

Ex­cus­ing a Failure to Adjust

Ronny26 Aug 2020 13:51 UTC
12 points
2 comments1 min readLW link

“On Bul­lshit” and “On Truth,” by Harry Frankfurt

Callmesalticidae28 Aug 2020 0:44 UTC
20 points
3 comments6 min readLW link

An­thropic Rea­son­ing and Per­spec­tive-Based Ar­gu­ments

dadadarren1 Sep 2020 12:36 UTC
16 points
59 comments2 min readLW link

How To Fermi Model

9 Sep 2020 5:13 UTC
75 points
7 comments11 min readLW link

Les­lie’s Firing Squad Can’t Save The Fine-Tun­ing Argument

dadadarren9 Sep 2020 15:21 UTC
9 points
6 comments4 min readLW link
(www.sleepingbeautyproblem.com)

‘Ugh fields’, or why you can’t even bear to think about that task (Rob Wiblin)

habryka11 Sep 2020 20:31 UTC
21 points
17 comments2 min readLW link
(medium.com)

Com­par­a­tive ad­van­tage and when to blow up your island

dynomight12 Sep 2020 6:20 UTC
139 points
40 comments1 min readLW link
(dynomight.net)

[Question] Ra­tion­al­ity for Kids?

goose00016 Sep 2020 22:58 UTC
49 points
28 comments1 min readLW link

Learn­ing how to learn

Neel Nanda30 Sep 2020 16:50 UTC
26 points
0 comments15 min readLW link
(www.neelnanda.io)

How to reach 80% of your goals. Ex­actly 80%.

Stuckwork10 Oct 2020 17:33 UTC
31 points
11 comments1 min readLW link

On Slack—Hav­ing room to be excited

Neel Nanda10 Oct 2020 19:02 UTC
18 points
7 comments13 min readLW link
(www.neelnanda.io)

Launch­ing Fore­cast, a com­mu­nity for crowd­sourced pre­dic­tions from Facebook

Rebecca Kossnick20 Oct 2020 6:20 UTC
110 points
15 comments3 min readLW link

Can we prime peo­ple to take risk?

tonyoconnor7 Nov 2020 17:17 UTC
5 points
11 comments3 min readLW link

Simp­son’s para­dox and the tyranny of strata

dynomight19 Nov 2020 17:46 UTC
27 points
4 comments4 min readLW link
(dyno-might.github.io)

My in­tel­lec­tual influences

Richard_Ngo22 Nov 2020 18:00 UTC
87 points
1 comment5 min readLW link
(thinkingcomplete.blogspot.com)

Learn­ing from counterfactuals

Gyrodiot25 Nov 2020 23:07 UTC
11 points
5 comments2 min readLW link

My Fear Heuristic

lsusr1 Dec 2020 8:00 UTC
82 points
10 comments1 min readLW link

12 Rules for Life

lsusr3 Dec 2020 6:09 UTC
6 points
7 comments3 min readLW link

In Ad­di­tion to Rage­bait and Doomscrolling

mike_hawke3 Dec 2020 18:26 UTC
73 points
20 comments1 min readLW link

The In­com­pre­hen­si­bil­ity Bluff

SocratesDissatisfied6 Dec 2020 18:26 UTC
41 points
22 comments6 min readLW link

Pseu­do­ran­dom­ness con­test, Round 2

UnexpectedValues20 Dec 2020 8:35 UTC
19 points
6 comments4 min readLW link
(ericneyman.wordpress.com)

[Question] How to prac­tice ra­tio­nal­ity?

warrenjordan23 Dec 2020 23:15 UTC
5 points
7 comments1 min readLW link

The Perver­sity of High Standards

SocratesDissatisfied27 Dec 2020 14:37 UTC
19 points
3 comments3 min readLW link

A Model of On­tolog­i­cal Development

G Gordon Worley III31 Dec 2020 1:55 UTC
23 points
0 comments24 min readLW link

Are we all mis­al­igned?

Mateusz Mazurkiewicz3 Jan 2021 2:42 UTC
10 points
0 comments5 min readLW link

Out-of-body rea­son­ing (OOBR)

Jon Zero9 Jan 2021 16:10 UTC
4 points
0 comments4 min readLW link

Fit­ting­ness: Ra­tional suc­cess in con­cept formation

Polytopos10 Jan 2021 15:58 UTC
6 points
9 comments6 min readLW link

Pseu­do­ran­dom­ness con­test: prizes, re­sults, and analysis

UnexpectedValues15 Jan 2021 6:24 UTC
139 points
21 comments20 min readLW link
(ericneyman.wordpress.com)

Ra­tion­al­ity and Geoguessr

Cullen_OKeefe17 Jan 2021 1:34 UTC
13 points
2 comments2 min readLW link

Every­thing Okay

Zvi23 Jan 2021 14:50 UTC
60 points
14 comments7 min readLW link
(thezvi.wordpress.com)

How to Ab­sorb a Shared Suc­cess Script (while also think­ing you’re liv­ing with­out one)

Hazard31 Jan 2021 20:17 UTC
55 points
6 comments16 min readLW link

Learn­ing Nor­ma­tivity: Language

Bunthut5 Feb 2021 22:26 UTC
14 points
4 comments8 min readLW link

[Question] The Crux of Un­der­stand­ing Writ­ten Text—Text read­ing and inference

JohnCheese20 Feb 2021 22:20 UTC
1 point
1 comment1 min readLW link

When you already know the an­swer—Us­ing your In­ner Simulator

Neel Nanda23 Feb 2021 17:58 UTC
30 points
4 comments11 min readLW link
(www.neelnanda.io)

The In­ner Work­ings of Resourcefulness

Nora_Ammann25 Feb 2021 9:15 UTC
22 points
3 comments8 min readLW link

[Question] Good brain­teasers for chil­dren?

ejacob2 Mar 2021 6:44 UTC
12 points
12 comments1 min readLW link

The Case for Log­i­cal Fallacies

aaronb508 Mar 2021 3:04 UTC
12 points
0 comments7 min readLW link
(aaronbergman.substack.com)

[Lec­ture Club] Awak­en­ing from the Mean­ing Crisis

Vaniver8 Mar 2021 15:22 UTC
61 points
185 comments2 min readLW link

Mary and the Black And White Me­mory Implant

sxae23 Mar 2021 16:48 UTC
−2 points
24 comments2 min readLW link

Magic Shoes

onur24 Mar 2021 21:14 UTC
11 points
0 comments3 min readLW link

Many meth­ods of causal in­fer­ence try to iden­tify a “safe” sub­set of variation

tailcalled30 Mar 2021 14:36 UTC
13 points
6 comments9 min readLW link

Bel­l­man’s Curse on Advice

nibnalin19 Apr 2021 2:30 UTC
2 points
0 comments3 min readLW link

Maps of Maps, and Empty Expectations

Nora_Ammann3 May 2021 9:59 UTC
35 points
5 comments14 min readLW link

[Linkpost] If You Can Be Bad, You Can Also Be Good

MaxG4 May 2021 6:26 UTC
5 points
0 comments1 min readLW link
(astralcodexten.substack.com)

[Question] Is it true that most stud­ies in Kah­ne­man’s ‘Think­ing fast and slow’ are not repli­ca­ble and the book is largely not sup­ported by ev­i­dence?

Davy Jones30 Jun 2021 7:14 UTC
16 points
10 comments1 min readLW link

Should VS Would and New­comb’s Paradox

dadadarren3 Jul 2021 23:45 UTC
2 points
36 comments2 min readLW link

How to Sleep Better

Marius Hobbhahn16 Jul 2021 0:00 UTC
43 points
49 comments15 min readLW link

Im­por­tance of Ideas and Peo­ple We Disagree With

Olitness29 Jul 2021 11:50 UTC
−1 points
4 comments7 min readLW link
(olitness.wordpress.com)

Shame: Authen­tic & Ap­plied/​Man­u­fac­tured Shame

Phoenix Eliot18 Aug 2021 21:37 UTC
8 points
6 comments7 min readLW link

[Question] Is LessWrong dead with­out Cox’s the­o­rem?

Haziq Muhammad4 Sep 2021 5:45 UTC
−2 points
88 comments1 min readLW link

Ex­pla­na­tions as Hard to Vary Assertions

Alexander24 Sep 2021 11:33 UTC
13 points
24 comments8 min readLW link

Oc­cam’s Ra­zor and the Univer­sal Prior

Peter Chatain3 Oct 2021 3:23 UTC
21 points
4 comments21 min readLW link

[Question] Us­ing Ra­tion­al­ity in Mafia

dpandey5 Oct 2021 16:46 UTC
3 points
6 comments1 min readLW link

Book Re­view: All I Want To Know Is Where I’m Go­ing To Die So I’ll Never Go There

Anmoljain13 Oct 2021 3:46 UTC
2 points
2 comments46 min readLW link

The Ori­gin of Con­scious­ness Read­ing Com­pan­ion, Part 1

Jacob Falkovich6 Apr 2020 22:07 UTC
21 points
1 comment9 min readLW link

Be­ing right isn’t enough. Con­fi­dence is very im­por­tant.

MakoYass7 Apr 2020 1:10 UTC
12 points
8 comments1 min readLW link

Self-priming

Connor_Flexman7 Apr 2020 0:54 UTC
25 points
4 comments3 min readLW link

An Ortho­dox Case Against Utility Functions

abramdemski7 Apr 2020 19:18 UTC
116 points
50 comments8 min readLW link

The Lens That Sees Its Flaws

Eliezer Yudkowsky23 Sep 2007 0:10 UTC
116 points
40 comments3 min readLW link

Open thread: Language

Chris_Leong8 Apr 2020 14:57 UTC
7 points
9 comments1 min readLW link

The One Mis­take Rule

Zvi10 Apr 2020 14:50 UTC
43 points
15 comments2 min readLW link
(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Assess­ing Kurzweil: the results

Stuart_Armstrong16 Jan 2013 16:51 UTC
89 points
64 comments2 min readLW link

What We Owe to Ourselves

eapache11 Apr 2020 1:34 UTC
21 points
8 comments7 min readLW link

Cu­ri­os­ity: A Greedy Feeling

AllAmericanBreakfast11 Apr 2020 4:38 UTC
39 points
7 comments10 min readLW link

Law school taught me nothing

ketchupduck11 Apr 2020 14:30 UTC
22 points
13 comments7 min readLW link

Nar­ra­tive Direc­tion and Rebellion

eapache13 Apr 2020 1:07 UTC
8 points
3 comments3 min readLW link

Mind Pro­jec­tion Fallacy

Eliezer Yudkowsky11 Mar 2008 0:29 UTC
60 points
92 comments2 min readLW link

Catchy Fal­lacy Name Fal­lacy (and Sup­port­ing Disagree­ment)

JGWeissman21 May 2009 6:01 UTC
32 points
57 comments2 min readLW link

[Question] Un­der­stand­ing in­for­ma­tion cascades

13 Mar 2019 10:55 UTC
50 points
42 comments3 min readLW link

Simp­son’s Paradox

bentarm12 Jan 2011 23:01 UTC
96 points
58 comments4 min readLW link

One Hun­dred Billion Chil­dren’s Sky

Hivewired14 Apr 2020 16:33 UTC
19 points
0 comments1 min readLW link
(hivewired.wordpress.com)

[Question] Pop­u­lar pa­pers to be scru­ti­nized?

alyosha_the_pot14 Apr 2020 19:50 UTC
13 points
13 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] Prob­a­bil­is­tic Blue-Eyed Islanders

johnswentworth15 Apr 2020 17:55 UTC
26 points
2 comments1 min readLW link

Know­ing About Bi­ases Can Hurt People

Eliezer Yudkowsky4 Apr 2007 18:01 UTC
141 points
81 comments2 min readLW link

Confabulation

lsusr8 Dec 2019 10:18 UTC
54 points
6 comments2 min readLW link

Brief Re­sponse to Sus­pended Rea­son on Par­allels Between Skyrms on Sig­nal­ing and Yud­kowsky on Lan­guage and Evidence

Zack_M_Davis16 Apr 2020 3:44 UTC
13 points
0 comments2 min readLW link

My at­tempt to ex­plain Look­ing, in­sight med­i­ta­tion, and en­light­en­ment in non-mys­te­ri­ous terms

Kaj_Sotala8 Mar 2018 7:37 UTC
172 points
133 comments17 min readLW link

Schel­ling fences on slip­pery slopes

Scott Alexander16 Mar 2012 23:44 UTC
445 points
204 comments6 min readLW link

Nam­ing the Nameless

sarahconstantin22 Mar 2018 0:35 UTC
91 points
42 comments13 min readLW link

Eval­u­at­ing Pre­dic­tions in Hindsight

Zvi16 Apr 2020 17:20 UTC
54 points
8 comments27 min readLW link
(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Doors and Corners

Hivewired16 Apr 2020 18:32 UTC
6 points
0 comments1 min readLW link
(hivewired.wordpress.com)

Ex­pect­ing Short In­fer­en­tial Distances

Eliezer Yudkowsky22 Oct 2007 23:42 UTC
232 points
106 comments3 min readLW link

[Question] How much mo­ti­va­tion do you de­rive from cu­ri­os­ity alone in your work/​re­search?

NaiveTortoise17 Apr 2020 14:04 UTC
25 points
5 comments1 min readLW link

What is Ra­tion­al­ity?

Roko1 Apr 2010 20:14 UTC
21 points
22 comments5 min readLW link

What is miss­ing from ra­tio­nal­ity?

Roko27 Apr 2010 12:32 UTC
27 points
274 comments2 min readLW link

Is there a ra­tio­nal­ist skill tree yet?

fowlertm30 Jan 2015 16:02 UTC
22 points
15 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] What con­fi­dence in­ter­val should one re­port?

Jsevillamol20 Apr 2020 10:31 UTC
4 points
4 comments1 min readLW link

Ex­plain­ing the Ra­tion­al­ist Move­ment to the Uninitiated

Mellivora19 Apr 2020 20:53 UTC
5 points
5 comments6 min readLW link

In­tu­itions on Univer­sal Be­hav­ior of In­for­ma­tion at a Distance

johnswentworth20 Apr 2020 21:44 UTC
18 points
3 comments8 min readLW link

Train­ing Regime Day 17: Deflinch­ing and Lines of Retreat

Mark Xu21 Apr 2020 17:45 UTC
22 points
0 comments3 min readLW link

The In­tel­li­gent So­cial Web

Valentine22 Feb 2018 18:55 UTC
150 points
114 comments12 min readLW link

The Costly Co­or­di­na­tion Mechanism of Com­mon Knowledge

Ben Pace15 Mar 2018 20:20 UTC
159 points
30 comments19 min readLW link

Sun­set at Noon

Raemon29 Nov 2017 14:52 UTC
141 points
23 comments17 min readLW link

Belief as Attire

Eliezer Yudkowsky2 Aug 2007 17:13 UTC
80 points
104 comments2 min readLW link

Pro­fess­ing and Cheering

Eliezer Yudkowsky2 Aug 2007 7:20 UTC
75 points
44 comments2 min readLW link

Act of Charity

jessicata17 Nov 2018 5:19 UTC
173 points
49 comments8 min readLW link

Train­ing Regime Day 18: Nega­tive Vi­su­al­iza­tion

Mark Xu22 Apr 2020 16:06 UTC
9 points
2 comments2 min readLW link

Sum­mary of “The Straw Vul­can”

alexvermeer26 Dec 2011 16:29 UTC
49 points
27 comments6 min readLW link

Al­gorithms of De­cep­tion!

Zack_M_Davis19 Oct 2019 18:04 UTC
21 points
7 comments5 min readLW link

[Question] Do you trust the re­search on hand­writ­ing vs. typ­ing for notes?

NaiveTortoise23 Apr 2020 20:49 UTC
25 points
16 comments2 min readLW link

Ex­pres­sive Vocabulary

Alicorn24 May 2018 6:59 UTC
129 points
72 comments5 min readLW link

A Case Study of Mo­ti­vated Continuation

Eliezer Yudkowsky31 Oct 2007 1:27 UTC
35 points
36 comments3 min readLW link

SotW: Avoid Mo­ti­vated Cognition

Eliezer Yudkowsky28 May 2012 15:57 UTC
31 points
83 comments10 min readLW link

Mo­ti­vated skep­ti­cism: it’s harder to avoid than I’d think

Klao9 Oct 2011 18:35 UTC
27 points
9 comments1 min readLW link

Im­mod­esty, De­ceit and Mo­ti­vated Reasoning

whpearson29 Oct 2017 10:34 UTC
7 points
0 comments1 min readLW link

[Link] Ide­ol­ogy, Mo­ti­vated Rea­son­ing, and Cog­ni­tive Reflec­tion: An Ex­per­i­men­tal Study

[deleted]2 Dec 2012 14:43 UTC
24 points
8 comments1 min readLW link

LINK: Study demon­strates poli­ti­cally mo­ti­vated innumeracy

Alejandro14 Sep 2013 18:14 UTC
24 points
3 comments1 min readLW link

So­cial Im­pact, Effec­tive Altru­ism, and Mo­ti­vated Cognition

JonahS8 Jun 2013 2:31 UTC
16 points
20 comments2 min readLW link

Iden­tities are [Sub­con­scious] Strategies

Ruby15 Oct 2017 18:10 UTC
29 points
2 comments4 min readLW link

A Pro­cess for Deal­ing with Mo­ti­vated Reasoning

Ikaxas3 Sep 2018 3:34 UTC
15 points
7 comments3 min readLW link

Book Re­view: The Elephant in the Brain

Zvi31 Dec 2017 17:30 UTC
43 points
9 comments31 min readLW link
(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Is That Your True Re­jec­tion?

Eliezer Yudkowsky6 Dec 2008 14:26 UTC
101 points
100 comments3 min readLW link

A Crash Course in the Neu­ro­science of Hu­man Motivation

lukeprog19 Aug 2011 21:15 UTC
179 points
91 comments38 min readLW link

Would Your Real Prefer­ences Please Stand Up?

Scott Alexander8 Aug 2009 22:57 UTC
59 points
132 comments4 min readLW link

To what de­gree do we have goals?

Scott Alexander15 Jul 2011 23:11 UTC
70 points
52 comments7 min readLW link

Con­crete Take­aways Post-CFAR

lifelonglearner24 Feb 2017 18:31 UTC
20 points
6 comments11 min readLW link

The Ritual

Eliezer Yudkowsky11 Oct 2008 23:52 UTC
79 points
19 comments5 min readLW link

Prac­ti­cal Ad­vice Backed By Deep Theories

Eliezer Yudkowsky25 Apr 2009 18:52 UTC
57 points
114 comments4 min readLW link

Value of In­for­ma­tion: 8 examples

gwern18 May 2012 23:45 UTC
75 points
44 comments7 min readLW link

5-sec­ond level case study: Value of information

Kaj_Sotala22 Nov 2011 13:44 UTC
36 points
6 comments7 min readLW link

Referenc­ing the Unreferencable

Chris_Leong4 Apr 2020 10:42 UTC
16 points
5 comments3 min readLW link

Train­ing Regime Day 21: Ex­e­cut­ing Intentions

Mark Xu25 Apr 2020 22:16 UTC
13 points
3 comments1 min readLW link

It’s Not About The Nail

eapache26 Apr 2020 23:50 UTC
29 points
8 comments2 min readLW link

Train­ing Regime Day 22: Mur­phyjitsu 2

Mark Xu26 Apr 2020 20:18 UTC
12 points
0 comments2 min readLW link

Train­ing Regime Day 23: TAPs 2

Mark Xu27 Apr 2020 17:37 UTC
13 points
0 comments2 min readLW link

Mak­ing His­tory Available

Eliezer Yudkowsky31 Aug 2007 19:52 UTC
105 points
82 comments3 min readLW link

Failing to Learn from History

Eliezer Yudkowsky30 Aug 2007 20:22 UTC
70 points
11 comments1 min readLW link

On Build­ing The­o­ries of History

Samo Burja23 Feb 2018 23:40 UTC
29 points
20 comments5 min readLW link

An In­tu­itive Ex­pla­na­tion of Bayes’s Theorem

Eliezer Yudkowsky1 Jan 2003 20:00 UTC
44 points
4 comments25 min readLW link

What Ev­i­dence Filtered Ev­i­dence?

Eliezer Yudkowsky29 Sep 2007 23:10 UTC
80 points
43 comments4 min readLW link

Think­ing About Filtered Ev­i­dence Is (Very!) Hard

abramdemski19 Mar 2020 23:20 UTC
84 points
29 comments14 min readLW link

Yes Re­quires the Pos­si­bil­ity of No

Scott Garrabrant17 May 2019 22:39 UTC
162 points
50 comments2 min readLW link6 nominations2 reviews

Su­per­stim­uli and the Col­lapse of Western Civilization

Eliezer Yudkowsky16 Mar 2007 18:10 UTC
102 points
88 comments4 min readLW link

Don’t Believe You’ll Self-Deceive

Eliezer Yudkowsky9 Mar 2009 8:03 UTC
27 points
69 comments2 min readLW link

Dou­ble­think (Choos­ing to be Bi­ased)

Eliezer Yudkowsky14 Sep 2007 20:05 UTC
60 points
167 comments4 min readLW link

No, Really, I’ve De­ceived Myself

Eliezer Yudkowsky4 Mar 2009 23:29 UTC
99 points
84 comments2 min readLW link

Belief in Self-Deception

Eliezer Yudkowsky5 Mar 2009 15:20 UTC
79 points
112 comments4 min readLW link

Moore’s Paradox

Eliezer Yudkowsky8 Mar 2009 2:27 UTC
68 points
24 comments2 min readLW link

Self-de­cep­tion: Hypocrisy or Akra­sia?

Eliezer Yudkowsky26 Mar 2007 17:03 UTC
52 points
21 comments2 min readLW link

Inad­e­quacy and Modesty

Eliezer Yudkowsky28 Oct 2017 21:51 UTC
114 points
80 comments18 min readLW link

Be­ing the (Pareto) Best in the World

johnswentworth24 Jun 2019 18:36 UTC
247 points
47 comments3 min readLW link3 nominations3 reviews

Si­mu­lacra and Subjectivity

Benquo5 Mar 2020 16:25 UTC
92 points
27 comments3 min readLW link
(benjaminrosshoffman.com)

Ex­cerpts from a larger dis­cus­sion about simulacra

Benquo10 Apr 2019 21:27 UTC
51 points
39 comments6 min readLW link3 nominations5 reviews
(benjaminrosshoffman.com)

Mark Eichen­laub: How to de­velop sci­en­tific intuition

Kaj_Sotala23 Oct 2018 13:30 UTC
74 points
6 comments8 min readLW link
(kajsotala.fi)

Mo­ti­vat­ing Ab­strac­tion-First De­ci­sion Theory

johnswentworth29 Apr 2020 17:47 UTC
39 points
16 comments5 min readLW link

I do not like math

lsusr29 Apr 2020 11:27 UTC
33 points
6 comments1 min readLW link

Train­ing Regime Day 25: Re­cur­sive Self-Im­prove­ment

Mark Xu29 Apr 2020 18:22 UTC
9 points
0 comments2 min readLW link

The Modesty Argument

Eliezer Yudkowsky10 Dec 2006 21:42 UTC
46 points
40 comments10 min readLW link

“I don’t know.”

Eliezer Yudkowsky21 Dec 2006 18:27 UTC
53 points
22 comments6 min readLW link

Why Truth?

Eliezer Yudkowsky27 Nov 2006 1:49 UTC
110 points
53 comments3 min readLW link

Against strong bayesianism

Richard_Ngo30 Apr 2020 10:48 UTC
56 points
65 comments6 min readLW link

Failure By Affec­tive Analogy

Eliezer Yudkowsky18 Nov 2008 7:14 UTC
15 points
3 comments4 min readLW link

The Affect Heuris­tic, Sen­ti­ment, and Art

[deleted]13 Sep 2010 23:05 UTC
83 points
58 comments3 min readLW link

Affec­tive Death Spirals

Eliezer Yudkowsky2 Dec 2007 16:44 UTC
77 points
41 comments2 min readLW link

The Affect Heuristic

Eliezer Yudkowsky27 Nov 2007 7:58 UTC
57 points
69 comments3 min readLW link

The Halo Effect

Eliezer Yudkowsky30 Nov 2007 0:58 UTC
52 points
54 comments3 min readLW link

The Trou­ble With “Good”

Scott Alexander17 Apr 2009 2:07 UTC
96 points
137 comments6 min readLW link

Gen­er­al­ized Effi­cient Mar­kets and Academia

johnswentworth30 Apr 2020 21:59 UTC
45 points
29 comments2 min readLW link

The Em­bar­rass­ing Prob­lem of Pre­ma­ture Exploitation

Richard Meadows30 Apr 2020 20:33 UTC
38 points
7 comments7 min readLW link
(thedeepdish.org)

Mak­ing your ex­plicit rea­son­ing trust­wor­thy

AnnaSalamon29 Oct 2010 0:00 UTC
119 points
95 comments6 min readLW link

Adap­ta­tion-Ex­e­cuters, not Fit­ness-Maximizers

Eliezer Yudkowsky11 Nov 2007 6:39 UTC
97 points
32 comments3 min readLW link

Med­i­ta­tion: the screen-and-watcher model of the hu­man mind, and how to use it

femtogrammar1 May 2020 22:36 UTC
31 points
12 comments6 min readLW link

[Question] How do you whit­tle path-de­pen­dent (prob­a­bil­is­tic) ques­tions?

Mary Chernyshenko2 May 2020 8:53 UTC
5 points
0 comments1 min readLW link

On Nega­tive Feed­back and Simulacra

Zvi3 May 2020 17:00 UTC
47 points
7 comments29 min readLW link
(thezvi.wordpress.com)

What is a “Good” Pre­dic­tion?

eapache3 May 2020 16:51 UTC
2 points
2 comments2 min readLW link

Con­sis­tent Glo­ma­riza­tion should be feasible

Stuart_Armstrong4 May 2020 10:06 UTC
15 points
11 comments1 min readLW link

Named Distri­bu­tions as Artifacts

George4 May 2020 8:54 UTC
22 points
9 comments15 min readLW link
(blog.cerebralab.com)

New­comb’s Prob­lem and Re­gret of Rationality

Eliezer Yudkowsky31 Jan 2008 19:36 UTC
122 points
609 comments10 min readLW link

New­comblike prob­lems are the norm

So8res24 Sep 2014 18:41 UTC
74 points
111 comments7 min readLW link

Con­fu­sion about New­comb is con­fu­sion about counterfactuals

AnnaSalamon25 Aug 2009 20:01 UTC
53 points
42 comments2 min readLW link

The Rob­bers Cave Experiment

Eliezer Yudkowsky10 Dec 2007 6:18 UTC
60 points
66 comments3 min readLW link

Con­struc­tive Definitions

Chris_Leong4 May 2020 23:50 UTC
15 points
2 comments3 min readLW link

The ways of knowing

aelwood5 May 2020 20:35 UTC
1 point
0 comments1 min readLW link
(pursuingreality.com)

A non-mys­ti­cal ex­pla­na­tion of “no-self” (three char­ac­ter­is­tics se­ries)

Kaj_Sotala8 May 2020 10:37 UTC
76 points
59 comments20 min readLW link

How to take smart notes (Ahrens, 2017)

Yuxi_Liu23 Jul 2019 15:34 UTC
63 points
11 comments6 min readLW link

Com­part­men­tal­iza­tion in epistemic and in­stru­men­tal ra­tio­nal­ity

AnnaSalamon17 Sep 2010 7:02 UTC
114 points
123 comments6 min readLW link

Utility need not be bounded

Richard_Kennaway14 May 2020 18:10 UTC
30 points
34 comments2 min readLW link

[Question] How to avoid Schel­ling points?

cwg1g1614 May 2020 19:37 UTC
27 points
9 comments1 min readLW link

“It’s Okay”, In­struc­tions, Fo­cus­ing, Ex­pe­rienc­ing and Frames

Ouroborus15 May 2020 0:49 UTC
17 points
6 comments7 min readLW link
(ouroborusdotblog.wordpress.com)

Crav­ing, suffer­ing, and pre­dic­tive pro­cess­ing (three char­ac­ter­is­tics se­ries)

Kaj_Sotala15 May 2020 13:21 UTC
69 points
38 comments19 min readLW link

Con­jec­ture Workshop

johnswentworth15 May 2020 22:41 UTC
34 points
2 comments2 min readLW link

Why you should min­i­max in two-player zero-sum games

Nisan17 May 2020 20:48 UTC
17 points
1 comment1 min readLW link

Ex­tract­ing Value from Inad­e­quate Equilibria

eapache18 May 2020 17:25 UTC
49 points
12 comments2 min readLW link

[Question] How to con­vince Y that X has com­mit­ted a mur­der with >0.999999 prob­a­bil­ity?

Colin Tang19 May 2020 22:55 UTC
1 point
35 comments1 min readLW link

Con­flict vs. mis­take in non-zero-sum games

Nisan5 Apr 2020 22:22 UTC
139 points
37 comments2 min readLW link

[Question] What are ob­jects that have made your life bet­ter?

Mark Xu21 May 2020 20:59 UTC
27 points
53 comments1 min readLW link

Mazes Se­quence Summary

Zvi23 May 2020 16:40 UTC
70 points
2 comments7 min readLW link
(thezvi.wordpress.com)

An Overview of For­mal Episte­mol­ogy (links)

lukeprog6 Jan 2011 19:57 UTC
62 points
4 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] What are the best tools for record­ing pre­dic­tions?

Raemon24 May 2020 19:15 UTC
13 points
15 comments1 min readLW link

Why Ra­tion­al­ists Shouldn’t be In­ter­ested in To­pos Theory

jollybard25 May 2020 5:35 UTC
68 points
13 comments5 min readLW link

[Question] What is a de­ci­sion the­ory as a math­e­mat­i­cal ob­ject?

ejenner25 May 2020 13:44 UTC
26 points
3 comments1 min readLW link

A tax­on­omy of Cruxes

Eli Tyre27 May 2020 17:25 UTC
41 points
4 comments8 min readLW link

Too busy to think about life

Academian22 Apr 2010 15:14 UTC
123 points
62 comments3 min readLW link

Trust-Build­ing: The New Ra­tion­al­ity Project

AllAmericanBreakfast28 May 2020 22:53 UTC
39 points
15 comments2 min readLW link

Fore­cast­ing Newslet­ter: May 2020.

NunoSempere31 May 2020 12:35 UTC
9 points
1 comment20 min readLW link

How ra­tio­nal is the path of least re­sis­tance?

TruetoThis1 Jun 2020 1:34 UTC
3 points
8 comments1 min readLW link

Over­cor­rect­ing As De­liber­ate Practice

lifelonglearner1 Jun 2020 6:26 UTC
28 points
1 comment1 min readLW link

Feed­back is cen­tral to agency

alexflint1 Jun 2020 12:56 UTC
28 points
1 comment3 min readLW link

You See The Ter­ri­tory or Noth­ing at All

calebo1 Jun 2020 15:24 UTC
7 points
4 comments6 min readLW link

Sta­tus-Reg­u­lat­ing Emotions

lsusr3 Jun 2020 22:32 UTC
34 points
9 comments2 min readLW link

A His­tory Of Univer­sal­ist Greed

namespace4 Jun 2020 0:22 UTC
48 points
0 comments29 min readLW link
(www.thelastrationalist.com)

[Question] Effec­tive chil­dren education

kotrfa3 Jun 2020 20:35 UTC
46 points
29 comments2 min readLW link

Vi­sual Bab­ble and Prune

AllAmericanBreakfast4 Jun 2020 18:49 UTC
47 points
2 comments8 min readLW link

Die­tary De­bates among the Fruit Gnomes

Sherrinford3 Jun 2020 14:09 UTC
26 points
3 comments2 min readLW link

A Prac­ti­cal Guide to Con­flict Re­s­olu­tion: Introduction

eapache4 Jun 2020 1:03 UTC
15 points
0 comments3 min readLW link

The Stopped Clock Problem

eapache4 Jun 2020 12:07 UTC
29 points
7 comments1 min readLW link

Ba­sic Mindsets

ExCeph6 Jun 2020 0:44 UTC
2 points
5 comments13 min readLW link

Self-help, hard and soft

technicalities7 Jun 2020 15:39 UTC
16 points
0 comments2 min readLW link

Prag­ma­tism and Completeness

G Gordon Worley III12 Jun 2020 16:34 UTC
13 points
3 comments2 min readLW link

Why do all out at­tacks ac­tu­ally work?

lc12 Jun 2020 20:33 UTC
38 points
9 comments4 min readLW link

Down with Solomonoff In­duc­tion, up with the Pre­sump­tu­ous Philosopher

Charlie Steiner12 Jun 2020 9:44 UTC
13 points
10 comments2 min readLW link

How alienated should you be?

Vaniver14 Jun 2020 15:55 UTC
35 points
4 comments5 min readLW link

Causal­ity Adds Up to Normality

johnswentworth15 Jun 2020 17:19 UTC
12 points
0 comments4 min readLW link

High-School Alge­bra for Data Structures

johnswentworth17 Jun 2020 18:09 UTC
20 points
0 comments2 min readLW link

Me­mory is not about the past

simbyotic17 Jun 2020 16:43 UTC
1 point
14 comments15 min readLW link

[Question] What is meant by Si­mul­cra Levels?

Chris_Leong17 Jun 2020 2:20 UTC
21 points
16 comments1 min readLW link

Types of Knowledge

Elizabeth20 Jun 2020 17:20 UTC
24 points
11 comments2 min readLW link
(acesounderglass.com)

The af­fect heuris­tic and study­ing autocracies

rockthecasbah21 Jun 2020 4:07 UTC
13 points
3 comments3 min readLW link

Train­ing our hu­mans on the wrong dataset

George21 Jun 2020 17:17 UTC
4 points
5 comments8 min readLW link
(blog.cerebralab.com)

Neu­ral Ba­sis for Global Workspace Theory

Hazard22 Jun 2020 4:19 UTC
25 points
9 comments8 min readLW link

Pre­dic­tion = Com­pres­sion [Tran­script]

22 Jun 2020 23:54 UTC
64 points
12 comments8 min readLW link

Lo­cal­ity of goals

adamShimi22 Jun 2020 21:56 UTC
16 points
8 comments6 min readLW link

Bet­ting with Manda­tory Post-Mortem

abramdemski24 Jun 2020 20:04 UTC
85 points
14 comments1 min readLW link

Miss­ing dog reasoning

26 Jun 2020 21:30 UTC
27 points
3 comments5 min readLW link

Public Po­si­tions and Pri­vate Guts

26 Jun 2020 23:00 UTC
21 points
1 comment6 min readLW link

Map Er­rors: The Good, The Bad, and The Territory

orthonormal27 Jun 2020 5:22 UTC
25 points
4 comments2 min readLW link

Don’t Make Your Prob­lems Hide

orthonormal27 Jun 2020 20:24 UTC
55 points
5 comments2 min readLW link

Op­ti­mized Pro­pa­ganda with Bayesian Net­works: Com­ment on “Ar­tic­u­lat­ing Lay The­o­ries Through Graph­i­cal Models”

Zack_M_Davis29 Jun 2020 2:45 UTC
89 points
10 comments4 min readLW link

Gödel’s Le­gacy: A game with­out end

Hazard28 Jun 2020 18:50 UTC
39 points
10 comments12 min readLW link

Ab­strac­tions on In­con­sis­tent Data

eapache29 Jun 2020 0:30 UTC
7 points
0 comments2 min readLW link

Thoughts as open tabs

ryan wong29 Jun 2020 12:13 UTC
15 points
12 comments2 min readLW link

Si­tu­at­ing LessWrong in con­tem­po­rary philos­o­phy: An in­ter­view with Jon Livengood

Suspended Reason1 Jul 2020 0:37 UTC
113 points
21 comments19 min readLW link

Noise on the Channel

abramdemski2 Jul 2020 1:58 UTC
31 points
8 comments10 min readLW link

Sunk Cost Fallacy

Z_M_Davis12 Apr 2009 17:30 UTC
39 points
44 comments2 min readLW link

Bi­ases: An Introduction

Rob Bensinger11 Mar 2015 19:00 UTC
164 points
9 comments5 min readLW link

Clas­sify­ing games like the Pri­soner’s Dilemma

philh4 Jul 2020 17:10 UTC
82 points
25 comments6 min readLW link
(reasonableapproximation.net)

[Question] Repli­cated cog­ni­tive bias list?

moderock4 Jul 2020 4:15 UTC
11 points
3 comments1 min readLW link

Learn­ing the prior

paulfchristiano5 Jul 2020 21:00 UTC
78 points
27 comments8 min readLW link
(ai-alignment.com)

Bet­ter pri­ors as a safety problem

paulfchristiano5 Jul 2020 21:20 UTC
63 points
7 comments5 min readLW link
(ai-alignment.com)

[Question] (an­swered: yes) Has any­one writ­ten up a con­sid­er­a­tion of Downs’s “Para­dox of Vot­ing” from the per­spec­tive of MIRI-ish de­ci­sion the­o­ries (UDT, FDT, or even just EDT)?

Jameson Quinn6 Jul 2020 18:26 UTC
9 points
24 comments1 min readLW link

The Echo Fallacy

Mati_Roy5 Jul 2020 23:00 UTC
11 points
3 comments1 min readLW link

Us­ing hu­mil­ity to coun­ter­act shame

Vika15 Apr 2016 18:32 UTC
21 points
17 comments2 min readLW link

Break­ing Ques­tions Down

Elizabeth7 Jul 2020 18:10 UTC
30 points
1 comment1 min readLW link
(acesounderglass.com)

Scope Insensitivity

Eliezer Yudkowsky14 May 2007 2:53 UTC
174 points
55 comments2 min readLW link

What’s Your Cog­ni­tive Al­gorithm?

Raemon18 Jun 2020 22:16 UTC
69 points
23 comments13 min readLW link

Poli­tics is the Mind-Killer

Eliezer Yudkowsky18 Feb 2007 21:23 UTC
175 points
234 comments2 min readLW link

Nash Equil­ibria and Schel­ling Points

Scott Alexander29 Jun 2012 2:06 UTC
94 points
82 comments7 min readLW link

Value of In­for­ma­tion: Four Examples

Vaniver22 Nov 2011 23:02 UTC
115 points
60 comments10 min readLW link

Mak­ing Beliefs Pay Rent (in An­ti­ci­pated Ex­pe­riences)

Eliezer Yudkowsky28 Jul 2007 22:59 UTC
242 points
258 comments4 min readLW link

Dark Side Epistemology

Eliezer Yudkowsky17 Oct 2008 23:55 UTC
76 points
148 comments5 min readLW link

Anti-episte­mol­ogy: an explanation

Basil Marte8 Jul 2020 16:34 UTC
3 points
12 comments3 min readLW link

Rais­ing the San­ity Waterline

Eliezer Yudkowsky12 Mar 2009 4:28 UTC
190 points
229 comments3 min readLW link

A Sense That More Is Possible

Eliezer Yudkowsky13 Mar 2009 1:15 UTC
109 points
218 comments4 min readLW link

Go Forth and Create the Art!

Eliezer Yudkowsky23 Apr 2009 1:37 UTC
63 points
114 comments5 min readLW link

In Fa­vor of Nice­ness, Com­mu­nity, and Civilization

Scott Alexander23 Feb 2014 22:24 UTC
64 points
9 comments20 min readLW link

The Craft and the Community

Eliezer Yudkowsky26 Apr 2009 17:52 UTC
42 points
9 comments12 min readLW link

The ethic of hand-wash­ing and com­mu­nity epistemic practice

5 Mar 2009 4:28 UTC
51 points
47 comments3 min readLW link

Sur­vival in the im­moral maze of college

AllAmericanBreakfast8 Jul 2020 21:27 UTC
44 points
12 comments6 min readLW link

What does it mean to ap­ply de­ci­sion the­ory?

abramdemski8 Jul 2020 20:31 UTC
41 points
5 comments8 min readLW link

LW is to ra­tio­nal­ity as AIXI is to intelligence

XiXiDu6 Mar 2011 20:24 UTC
3 points
46 comments4 min readLW link

Ra­tion­al­ity Habits I Learned at the CFAR Workshop

elharo10 Mar 2013 14:15 UTC
59 points
27 comments7 min readLW link

CFAR Work­shop Re­view: Fe­bru­ary 2017

lifelonglearner28 Feb 2017 3:15 UTC
13 points
16 comments7 min readLW link

[Question] How far along are you on the Less­wrong Path?

AiresJL9 Jul 2020 21:41 UTC
10 points
14 comments4 min readLW link

Avoid mis­in­ter­pret­ing your emotions

Kaj_Sotala14 Feb 2012 23:51 UTC
91 points
32 comments7 min readLW link

Was a ter­mi­nal de­gree ~nec­es­sary for in­vent­ing Boyle’s desider­ata?

AllAmericanBreakfast10 Jul 2020 4:47 UTC
33 points
18 comments5 min readLW link

Con­fir­ma­tion Bias As Mis­fire Of Nor­mal Bayesian Reasoning

Scott Alexander13 Feb 2020 7:20 UTC
42 points
9 comments2 min readLW link
(slatestarcodex.com)

Car­diol­o­gists and Chi­nese Robbers

Scott Alexander16 Sep 2015 19:00 UTC
96 points
6 comments6 min readLW link

Be­ware The Man Of One Study

Scott Alexander12 Dec 2014 9:04 UTC
41 points
1 comment8 min readLW link

The Dilemma: Science or Bayes?

Eliezer Yudkowsky13 May 2008 8:16 UTC
40 points
188 comments5 min readLW link

No Safe Defense, Not Even Science

Eliezer Yudkowsky18 May 2008 5:19 UTC
61 points
67 comments6 min readLW link

Prov­ing Too Much

Scott Alexander14 Apr 2013 0:05 UTC
59 points
1 comment2 min readLW link

Scien­tific Ev­i­dence, Le­gal Ev­i­dence, Ra­tional Evidence

Eliezer Yudkowsky19 Aug 2007 5:36 UTC
80 points
17 comments3 min readLW link

Was a PhD nec­es­sary to solve out­stand­ing math prob­lems?

AllAmericanBreakfast10 Jul 2020 18:43 UTC
22 points
26 comments3 min readLW link

Hier­ar­chy of Evidence

Bob Jacobs11 Jul 2020 12:54 UTC
7 points
9 comments1 min readLW link

The Tragedy of the Anticommons

Kaj_Sotala15 Mar 2009 17:32 UTC
43 points
47 comments5 min readLW link

SciAm ar­ti­cle about ra­tio­nal­ity cor­re­spond­ing only weakly with IQ

DavidPlumpton27 Dec 2014 20:56 UTC
10 points
28 comments1 min readLW link

What In­tel­li­gence Tests Miss: The psy­chol­ogy of ra­tio­nal thought

Kaj_Sotala11 Jul 2010 23:01 UTC
50 points
55 comments9 min readLW link

Book re­view: My Hid­den Chimp

Bucky4 Mar 2019 9:55 UTC
28 points
0 comments7 min readLW link

Three ways CFAR has changed my view of rationality

Julia_Galef10 Sep 2013 18:24 UTC
160 points
59 comments5 min readLW link

The Bat and Ball Prob­lem Revisited

drossbucket13 Dec 2018 7:16 UTC
67 points
25 comments15 min readLW link

How You Make Judg­ments: The Elephant and its Rider

lukeprog15 Apr 2011 1:02 UTC
61 points
19 comments13 min readLW link

Your Evolved Intuitions

lukeprog5 May 2011 16:21 UTC
21 points
106 comments10 min readLW link

16 types of use­ful predictions

Julia_Galef10 Apr 2015 3:31 UTC
147 points
55 comments8 min readLW link

The Least Con­ve­nient Pos­si­ble World

Scott Alexander14 Mar 2009 2:11 UTC
230 points
201 comments5 min readLW link

Science eats its young

George12 Jul 2020 12:32 UTC
14 points
13 comments10 min readLW link
(cerebralab.com)

School Has It Backwards

proshowersinger12 Jul 2020 19:24 UTC
30 points
10 comments2 min readLW link

What counts as defec­tion?

TurnTrout12 Jul 2020 22:03 UTC
80 points
20 comments5 min readLW link

Up­date more slowly!

Davidmanheim13 Jul 2020 7:10 UTC
52 points
4 comments2 min readLW link

The Third Alternative

Eliezer Yudkowsky6 May 2007 23:47 UTC
101 points
83 comments3 min readLW link

Bur­den­some Details

Eliezer Yudkowsky20 Sep 2007 23:46 UTC
131 points
34 comments4 min readLW link

Feel­ing Rational

Eliezer Yudkowsky26 Apr 2007 4:48 UTC
193 points
82 comments3 min readLW link

Belief in Belief

Eliezer Yudkowsky29 Jul 2007 17:49 UTC
122 points
176 comments5 min readLW link

Dou­ble Crux — A Strat­egy for Re­solv­ing Disagreement

Duncan_Sabien2 Jan 2017 4:37 UTC
140 points
104 comments12 min readLW link

Ap­plause Lights

Eliezer Yudkowsky11 Sep 2007 18:31 UTC
187 points
93 comments2 min readLW link

The Mys­tery of the Haunted Rationalist

Scott Alexander8 Mar 2009 20:39 UTC
90 points
68 comments3 min readLW link

Anx­iety and Rationality

[deleted]19 Jan 2016 18:30 UTC
48 points
31 comments4 min readLW link

Pre­tend­ing to be Wise

Eliezer Yudkowsky19 Feb 2009 22:30 UTC
93 points
77 comments4 min readLW link

Roll for Sanity

eapache13 Jul 2020 16:39 UTC
16 points
2 comments4 min readLW link

Be­ing a Ro­bust Agent

Raemon11 Jan 2020 2:06 UTC
112 points
32 comments7 min readLW link

[Question] How to per­suade peo­ple/​groups out of sunk cost fal­lacy?

vernamcipher13 Jul 2020 22:51 UTC
3 points
2 comments1 min readLW link

Yes, Virginia, You Can Be 99.99% (Or More!) Cer­tain That 53 Is Prime

ChrisHallquist7 Nov 2013 7:45 UTC
68 points
70 comments6 min readLW link

Cal­ibra­tion Prac­tice: Retro­d­ic­tions on Metaculus

Raemon14 Jul 2020 18:35 UTC
31 points
1 comment1 min readLW link

Limits of Cur­rent US Pre­dic­tion Mar­kets (Pre­dic­tIt Case Study)

aphyer14 Jul 2020 7:24 UTC
178 points
49 comments7 min readLW link

Dremeling

Czynski14 Jul 2020 19:23 UTC
35 points
7 comments1 min readLW link

The Gold­bach con­jec­ture is prob­a­bly cor­rect; so was Fer­mat’s last theorem

Stuart_Armstrong14 Jul 2020 19:30 UTC
69 points
14 comments4 min readLW link

Mazes and Duality

14 Jul 2020 19:54 UTC
49 points
7 comments6 min readLW link

“Other peo­ple are wrong” vs “I am right”

Buck22 Feb 2019 20:01 UTC
205 points
19 comments9 min readLW link2 nominations2 reviews

Un­rol­ling so­cial metacog­ni­tion: Three lev­els of meta are not enough.

Academian25 Aug 2018 12:00 UTC
169 points
44 comments7 min readLW link

Will As Thou Wilt

Eliezer Yudkowsky7 Jul 2008 10:37 UTC
6 points
31 comments1 min readLW link

The Library of Scott Alexandria

Rob Bensinger14 Sep 2015 1:38 UTC
104 points
33 comments7 min readLW link

The Cat­e­gories Were Made For Man, Not Man For The Categories

Scott Alexander21 Nov 2014 14:34 UTC
56 points
9 comments18 min readLW link

A His­tory of Bayes’ Theorem

lukeprog29 Aug 2011 7:04 UTC
74 points
90 comments15 min readLW link

Your in­tu­itions are not magic

Kaj_Sotala10 Jun 2010 0:11 UTC
137 points
36 comments4 min readLW link

On Overconfidence

Scott Alexander21 Aug 2015 2:21 UTC
39 points
3 comments14 min readLW link

Does Think­ing Hard Hurt Your Brain?

Raemon29 Apr 2018 18:56 UTC
18 points
38 comments1 min readLW link

Ra­tional Me or We?

RobinHanson17 Mar 2009 13:39 UTC
152 points
157 comments1 min readLW link

Ra­tion­al­ity: Abridged

Quaerendo6 Jan 2018 0:20 UTC
87 points
25 comments1 min readLW link

At­tempted Telekinesis

AnnaSalamon7 Feb 2015 18:53 UTC
144 points
28 comments10 min readLW link

Diver­gence causes iso­lated de­mands for rigor

George15 Jul 2020 18:59 UTC
13 points
4 comments7 min readLW link
(blog.cerebralab.com)

Fake Explanations

Eliezer Yudkowsky20 Aug 2007 21:13 UTC
116 points
89 comments2 min readLW link

Two More Things to Un­learn from School

Eliezer Yudkowsky12 Jul 2007 17:45 UTC
119 points
156 comments2 min readLW link

In­cre­men­tal Progress and the Valley

Eliezer Yudkowsky4 Apr 2009 16:42 UTC
73 points
114 comments5 min readLW link

An­thro­po­mor­phiz­ing Humans

johnswentworth17 Jul 2020 17:49 UTC
44 points
6 comments2 min readLW link

Tel­ling more ra­tio­nal stories

AllAmericanBreakfast17 Jul 2020 17:47 UTC
24 points
21 comments3 min readLW link

Plans are Re­cur­sive & Why This is Important

Ruby10 Mar 2019 1:58 UTC
58 points
11 comments11 min readLW link

“Science” as Cu­ri­os­ity-Stopper

Eliezer Yudkowsky3 Sep 2007 20:04 UTC
96 points
60 comments3 min readLW link

Crit­i­cism of some pop­u­lar LW articles

AllAmericanBreakfast19 Jul 2020 1:16 UTC
64 points
19 comments6 min readLW link

In­tu­itive differ­ences: when to agree to disagree

Kaj_Sotala29 Sep 2009 7:56 UTC
28 points
36 comments4 min readLW link

Praise of some pop­u­lar LW articles

AllAmericanBreakfast20 Jul 2020 0:32 UTC
38 points
1 comment7 min readLW link

Use re­silience, in­stead of im­pre­ci­sion, to com­mu­ni­cate uncertainty

habryka20 Jul 2020 5:08 UTC
3 points
1 comment1 min readLW link
(forum.effectivealtruism.org)

Cached Thoughts

Eliezer Yudkowsky11 Oct 2007 23:46 UTC
113 points
94 comments3 min readLW link

Ineffi­cient doesn’t mean in­differ­ent, but it might mean wimpy.

AllAmericanBreakfast20 Jul 2020 18:27 UTC
14 points
3 comments5 min readLW link

Com­pe­ti­tion: Am­plify Ro­hin’s Pre­dic­tion on AGI re­searchers & Safety Concerns

stuhlmueller21 Jul 2020 20:06 UTC
80 points
40 comments3 min readLW link

The Ba­sic Dou­ble Crux pattern

Eli Tyre22 Jul 2020 6:41 UTC
54 points
20 comments4 min readLW link

Key De­ci­sion Anal­y­sis—a fun­da­men­tal ra­tio­nal­ity technique

Eli Tyre12 Jan 2020 5:59 UTC
43 points
10 comments3 min readLW link

Op­ti­miz­ing ar­bi­trary ex­pres­sions with a lin­ear num­ber of queries to a Log­i­cal In­duc­tion Or­a­cle (Car­toon Guide)

Donald Hobson23 Jul 2020 21:37 UTC
3 points
2 comments2 min readLW link

Ag­gre­gat­ing forecasts

Jsevillamol23 Jul 2020 18:04 UTC
16 points
4 comments4 min readLW link

An Old Way to Vi­su­al­ize Biases

Zachary Robertson24 Jul 2020 0:10 UTC
4 points
0 comments1 min readLW link

Mean­ing is Quasi-Idempotent

Chris_Leong24 Jul 2020 4:08 UTC
5 points
10 comments2 min readLW link

Com­ment Replies for Chains, Bot­tle­necks and Optimization

curi24 Jul 2020 18:51 UTC
1 point
2 comments3 min readLW link

No Ul­ti­mate Goal and a Small Ex­is­ten­tial Crisis

elriggs24 Jul 2020 18:39 UTC
10 points
23 comments3 min readLW link

Subagents, trauma and rationality

Kaj_Sotala14 Aug 2019 13:14 UTC
83 points
4 comments19 min readLW link

Schools Pro­lifer­at­ing Without Evidence

Eliezer Yudkowsky15 Mar 2009 6:43 UTC
54 points
60 comments3 min readLW link

The Log­i­cal Fal­lacy of Gen­er­al­iza­tion from Fic­tional Evidence

Eliezer Yudkowsky16 Oct 2007 3:57 UTC
88 points
61 comments6 min readLW link

How I do research

TurnTrout19 Nov 2019 20:31 UTC
53 points
26 comments3 min readLW link

Prune

alkjash12 Jan 2018 22:50 UTC
54 points
10 comments4 min readLW link
(radimentary.wordpress.com)

Gears-Level Models are Cap­i­tal Investments

johnswentworth22 Nov 2019 22:41 UTC
122 points
30 comments7 min readLW link2 nominations1 review

Ba­sic Con­ver­sa­tional Co­or­di­na­tion: Micro-co­or­di­na­tion of In­ten­tion

Eli Tyre27 Jul 2020 22:41 UTC
40 points
7 comments2 min readLW link

Check­list of Ra­tion­al­ity Habits

AnnaSalamon7 Nov 2012 21:19 UTC
180 points
189 comments11 min readLW link

What cog­ni­tive bi­ases feel like from the inside

chaosmage3 Jan 2020 14:24 UTC
206 points
25 comments4 min readLW link

Model Com­bi­na­tion and Adjustment

lukeprog17 Jul 2013 20:31 UTC
100 points
41 comments5 min readLW link

The Out­side View’s Domain

Eliezer Yudkowsky21 Jun 2008 3:17 UTC
23 points
14 comments10 min readLW link

Real­ism about rationality

Richard_Ngo16 Sep 2018 10:46 UTC
174 points
141 comments4 min readLW link
(thinkingcomplete.blogspot.com)

Of Two Minds

Valentine17 May 2018 4:34 UTC
91 points
12 comments2 min readLW link

Learned Blankness

AnnaSalamon18 Apr 2011 18:55 UTC
206 points
188 comments5 min readLW link

Con­fi­dence lev­els in­side and out­side an argument

Scott Alexander16 Dec 2010 3:06 UTC
210 points
191 comments6 min readLW link

Beau­tiful Probability

Eliezer Yudkowsky14 Jan 2008 7:19 UTC
70 points
121 comments6 min readLW link

Univer­sal Fire

Eliezer Yudkowsky27 Apr 2007 21:15 UTC
134 points
43 comments3 min readLW link

Is Real­ity Ugly?

Eliezer Yudkowsky12 Jan 2008 22:26 UTC
48 points
42 comments5 min readLW link

Out­side the Laboratory

Eliezer Yudkowsky21 Jan 2007 3:46 UTC
102 points
349 comments7 min readLW link

Per­pet­ual Mo­tion Beliefs

Eliezer Yudkowsky27 Feb 2008 20:22 UTC
59 points
44 comments3 min readLW link

What is Bayesi­anism?

Kaj_Sotala26 Feb 2010 7:43 UTC
106 points
217 comments4 min readLW link

How to Con­vince Me That 2 + 2 = 3

Eliezer Yudkowsky27 Sep 2007 23:00 UTC
110 points
403 comments3 min readLW link

Re­v­ersed Stu­pidity Is Not Intelligence

Eliezer Yudkowsky12 Dec 2007 22:14 UTC
117 points
115 comments3 min readLW link

Truly Part Of You

Eliezer Yudkowsky21 Nov 2007 2:18 UTC
123 points
58 comments4 min readLW link

Thou Art Physics

Eliezer Yudkowsky6 Jun 2008 6:37 UTC
110 points
88 comments3 min readLW link

“You can’t pos­si­bly suc­ceed with­out [My Pet Is­sue]”

Raemon19 Dec 2019 1:12 UTC
50 points
14 comments1 min readLW link

Fire­wal­ling the Op­ti­mal from the Rational

Eliezer Yudkowsky8 Oct 2012 8:01 UTC
145 points
337 comments5 min readLW link

Reflec­tions on ra­tio­nal­ity a year out

[deleted]31 Mar 2011 1:35 UTC
122 points
108 comments4 min readLW link

Public Po­si­tions and Pri­vate Guts

Vaniver11 Oct 2018 19:38 UTC
83 points
13 comments8 min readLW link

[Question] What makes peo­ple in­tel­lec­tu­ally ac­tive?

abramdemski29 Dec 2018 22:29 UTC
96 points
63 comments1 min readLW link

Ac­tion and habit

Swimmer9632 Jun 2011 14:59 UTC
116 points
106 comments4 min readLW link

A Per­sonal Ra­tion­al­ity Wishlist

DanielFilan27 Aug 2019 3:40 UTC
53 points
54 comments4 min readLW link
(danielfilan.com)

Is Ra­tion­al­ist Self-Im­prove­ment Real?

Jacob Falkovich9 Dec 2019 17:11 UTC
207 points
73 comments11 min readLW link2 nominations3 reviews

In­fer­ence & Empiricism

SatvikBeri20 Mar 2018 15:47 UTC
38 points
9 comments2 min readLW link

Think Like Reality

Eliezer Yudkowsky2 May 2007 6:36 UTC
92 points
66 comments2 min readLW link

Skill: The Map is Not the Territory

Eliezer Yudkowsky6 Oct 2012 9:59 UTC
87 points
180 comments5 min readLW link

Astray with the Truth: Logic and Math

StephenR16 Aug 2014 15:40 UTC
4 points
21 comments8 min readLW link

Do Suffi­ciently Ad­vanced Agents Use Logic?

abramdemski13 Sep 2019 19:53 UTC
39 points
11 comments9 min readLW link

On Say­ing the Obvious

Grognor2 Feb 2012 5:13 UTC
134 points
46 comments2 min readLW link

Im­prove­ment Without Superstition

Zachary Jacobi16 Dec 2017 20:01 UTC
38 points
10 comments6 min readLW link

Ex­clud­ing the Supernatural

Eliezer Yudkowsky12 Sep 2008 0:12 UTC
65 points
148 comments7 min readLW link

“What Is Wrong With Our Thoughts”

Eliezer Yudkowsky17 May 2009 7:24 UTC
36 points
109 comments1 min readLW link

On Pro­cras­ti­na­tion—The art of shap­ing your fu­ture actions

Neel Nanda1 Aug 2020 10:22 UTC
12 points
0 comments8 min readLW link
(www.neelnanda.io)

Science like a chef

adamzerner8 Feb 2018 21:23 UTC
32 points
17 comments3 min readLW link

High-pre­ci­sion claims may be re­futed with­out be­ing re­placed with other high-pre­ci­sion claims

jessicata30 Jan 2020 23:08 UTC
62 points
30 comments3 min readLW link
(unstableontology.com)

Are you the rider or the elephant?

Qiaochu_Yuan21 Feb 2018 7:25 UTC
37 points
67 comments1 min readLW link

Prin­ci­ples Be­hind Bottlenecks

curi1 Aug 2020 22:48 UTC
1 point
0 comments6 min readLW link

When Gears Go Wrong

Matt Goldenberg2 Aug 2020 6:21 UTC
28 points
6 comments6 min readLW link

Ra­tion­al­ity, Levels of In­ter­ven­tion, and Empiricism

Geoff_Anders25 Sep 2019 16:59 UTC
62 points
35 comments9 min readLW link2 nominations3 reviews

Sus­pi­ciously bal­anced evidence

gjm12 Feb 2020 17:04 UTC
49 points
24 comments4 min readLW link

What Cost for Ir­ra­tional­ity?

Kaj_Sotala1 Jul 2010 18:25 UTC
91 points
119 comments7 min readLW link

Ham­mer­time Day 4: Design

alkjash1 Feb 2018 19:00 UTC
31 points
11 comments4 min readLW link
(radimentary.wordpress.com)

Ham­mer­time Day 3: TAPs

alkjash1 Feb 2018 4:10 UTC
16 points
21 comments3 min readLW link
(radimentary.wordpress.com)

Ham­mer­time Day 2: Yoda Timers

alkjash31 Jan 2018 5:10 UTC
36 points
24 comments3 min readLW link
(radimentary.wordpress.com)

Ham­mer­time Day 5: Com­fort Zone Expansion

alkjash2 Feb 2018 18:00 UTC
17 points
32 comments6 min readLW link
(radimentary.wordpress.com)

You Can Face Reality

Eliezer Yudkowsky9 Aug 2007 1:46 UTC
87 points
36 comments1 min readLW link

Self-skep­ti­cism: the first prin­ci­ple of rationality

aaronsw6 Aug 2012 0:51 UTC
49 points
106 comments2 min readLW link

Phys­i­cal and Men­tal Behavior

Scott Alexander10 Jul 2011 20:20 UTC
79 points
22 comments3 min readLW link

I trans­lated ‘Twelve Virtues of Ra­tion­al­ity’ into He­brew.

Yoav Ravid1 Jun 2019 18:52 UTC
26 points
14 comments1 min readLW link

In­stru­men­tal vs. Epistemic—A Bardic Perspective

MBlume25 Apr 2009 7:41 UTC
84 points
189 comments3 min readLW link

Mak­ing Ra­tion­al­ity Gen­eral-Interest

Swimmer96324 Jul 2013 22:02 UTC
45 points
117 comments4 min readLW link

Some Claims Are Just Too Extraordinary

Eliezer Yudkowsky20 Jan 2007 7:14 UTC
36 points
12 comments2 min readLW link

Tune Your Cog­ni­tive Strategies

SquirrelInHell15 Feb 2018 17:54 UTC
22 points
6 comments1 min readLW link
(bewelltuned.com)

Ten­sions in Truth­seek­ing

Raemon2 Oct 2017 0:54 UTC
36 points
42 comments7 min readLW link

Tsuyoku Nar­i­tai! (I Want To Be­come Stronger)

Eliezer Yudkowsky27 Mar 2007 17:49 UTC
211 points
80 comments3 min readLW link

We tend to for­get com­pli­cated things

Rafael Harth20 Oct 2019 20:05 UTC
48 points
16 comments1 min readLW link

A Devel­op­men­tal Frame­work for Rationality

lifelonglearner13 Mar 2018 1:36 UTC
22 points
9 comments9 min readLW link

[Question] Can So­cial Dy­nam­ics Ex­plain Con­junc­tion Fal­lacy Ex­per­i­men­tal Re­sults?

curi5 Aug 2020 8:50 UTC
8 points
8 comments1 min readLW link

Op­ti­miza­tion and the In­tel­li­gence Explosion

Eliezer Yudkowsky11 Mar 2015 19:00 UTC
41 points
0 comments7 min readLW link

Ex­plor­ing Two-Level Vi­sual Mnemonic Compression

armatures6 Aug 2020 23:58 UTC
11 points
1 comment2 min readLW link

Asch Con­for­mity Could Ex­plain the Con­junc­tion Fallacy

curi6 Aug 2020 21:46 UTC
7 points
1 comment5 min readLW link

Pro­cras­ti­na­tion Para­doxes: the Good, the Bad, and the Ugly

scasper6 Aug 2020 19:47 UTC
6 points
1 comment10 min readLW link

[Question] How much is known about the “in­fer­ence rules” of log­i­cal in­duc­tion?

Eigil Rischel8 Aug 2020 10:45 UTC
11 points
7 comments1 min readLW link

The Foun­da­tional Toolbox for Life: Introduction

ExCeph22 Jun 2019 6:11 UTC
22 points
2 comments6 min readLW link

Where Philos­o­phy Meets Science

Eliezer Yudkowsky12 Apr 2008 21:21 UTC
41 points
22 comments4 min readLW link

Many Wor­lds, One Best Guess

Eliezer Yudkowsky11 May 2008 8:32 UTC
33 points
79 comments13 min readLW link

Re­sist the Happy Death Spiral

Eliezer Yudkowsky4 Dec 2007 1:15 UTC
53 points
36 comments6 min readLW link

Un­bounded Scales, Huge Jury Awards, & Futurism

Eliezer Yudkowsky29 Nov 2007 7:45 UTC
42 points
10 comments3 min readLW link

Draw­ing Less Wrong: Overview of Skills, and Rele­vance to Rationality

Raemon19 Nov 2011 5:05 UTC
17 points
11 comments5 min readLW link

Towards a For­mal­i­sa­tion of Log­i­cal Counterfactuals

Bunthut8 Aug 2020 22:14 UTC
6 points
2 comments2 min readLW link

So­cial Interfaces

thoughtfulmadison9 Aug 2020 18:13 UTC
14 points
8 comments3 min readLW link

Prob­a­bil­ity Space & Au­mann Agreement

Wei_Dai10 Dec 2009 21:57 UTC
50 points
76 comments5 min readLW link

Au­mann Agree­ment Game

abramdemski9 Oct 2015 17:14 UTC
31 points
10 comments1 min readLW link

Au­mann Agree­ment by Combat

roryokane5 Apr 2019 5:15 UTC
14 points
2 comments1 min readLW link
(sigbovik.org)

Au­mann vot­ing; or, How to vote when you’re ignorant

PhilGoetz2 Apr 2009 18:54 UTC
12 points
38 comments2 min readLW link

An ex­pla­na­tion of Au­mann’s agree­ment theorem

Tyrrell_McAllister7 Jul 2011 6:22 UTC
13 points
18 comments1 min readLW link

Sta­tus Reg­u­la­tion and Anx­ious Underconfidence

Eliezer Yudkowsky16 Nov 2017 19:35 UTC
65 points
13 comments21 min readLW link

The Joys of Con­ju­gate Priors

TCB21 May 2011 2:41 UTC
62 points
24 comments5 min readLW link

Some ra­tio­nal­ity tweets

Peter_de_Blanc30 Dec 2010 7:14 UTC
59 points
81 comments2 min readLW link

Nav­i­gat­ing dis­agree­ment: How to keep your eye on the ev­i­dence

AnnaSalamon24 Apr 2010 22:47 UTC
47 points
73 comments6 min readLW link

If It’s Worth Do­ing, It’s Worth Do­ing With Made-Up Statistics

Scott Alexander3 Sep 2017 20:56 UTC
40 points
0 comments5 min readLW link

Se­cure Your Beliefs

lukeprog12 Feb 2011 16:53 UTC
57 points
48 comments1 min readLW link

This Ter­ri­tory Does Not Exist

ike13 Aug 2020 0:30 UTC
7 points
199 comments7 min readLW link

Hand vs. Fingers

Eliezer Yudkowsky30 Mar 2008 0:36 UTC
56 points
95 comments3 min readLW link

De­bi­as­ing as Non-Self-Destruction

Eliezer Yudkowsky7 Apr 2007 20:20 UTC
40 points
21 comments2 min readLW link

“In­duc­tive Bias”

Eliezer Yudkowsky8 Apr 2007 19:52 UTC
31 points
24 comments3 min readLW link

How webs of mean­ing grow and change

Hazard14 Aug 2020 13:58 UTC
13 points
0 comments10 min readLW link

misc raw re­sponses to a tract of Crit­i­cal Rationalism

MakoYass14 Aug 2020 11:53 UTC
21 points
52 comments3 min readLW link

Ex­plicit and tacit rationality

lukeprog9 Apr 2013 23:33 UTC
60 points
77 comments4 min readLW link

Self-Anchoring

Eliezer Yudkowsky22 Oct 2007 6:11 UTC
39 points
10 comments2 min readLW link

False Laughter

Eliezer Yudkowsky22 Dec 2007 6:03 UTC
41 points
66 comments3 min readLW link

To Lead, You Must Stand Up

Eliezer Yudkowsky29 Dec 2007 6:38 UTC
41 points
39 comments2 min readLW link

What are the Best Ham­mers in the Ra­tion­al­ist Com­mu­nity?

Bound_up24 Jan 2018 14:43 UTC
17 points
7 comments1 min readLW link

Why Does Power Cor­rupt?

Eliezer Yudkowsky14 Oct 2008 0:23 UTC
42 points
59 comments5 min readLW link

Self-Similar­ity Experiment

Telofy15 Aug 2020 13:19 UTC
12 points
0 comments10 min readLW link

Seven habits to­wards highly effec­tive minds

Richard_Ngo5 Sep 2019 23:10 UTC
38 points
11 comments2 min readLW link
(thinkingcomplete.blogspot.com)

Are these cog­ni­tive bi­ases, bi­ases?

Kaj_Sotala23 Dec 2009 17:27 UTC
46 points
24 comments6 min readLW link

Bind Your­self to Reality

Eliezer Yudkowsky22 Mar 2008 5:09 UTC
47 points
5 comments2 min readLW link

My Child­hood Death Spiral

Eliezer Yudkowsky15 Sep 2008 3:42 UTC
49 points
106 comments4 min readLW link

My Nat­u­ral­is­tic Awakening

Eliezer Yudkowsky25 Sep 2008 6:58 UTC
44 points
47 comments5 min readLW link

The ABC’s of Luminosity

Alicorn18 Mar 2010 21:47 UTC
45 points
31 comments4 min readLW link

Lights, Cam­era, Ac­tion!

Alicorn20 Mar 2010 5:29 UTC
41 points
58 comments3 min readLW link

The Spotlight

Alicorn24 Mar 2010 23:43 UTC
45 points
24 comments3 min readLW link

High­lights and Shadows

Alicorn28 Mar 2010 20:56 UTC
24 points
45 comments2 min readLW link

Lampshading

Alicorn6 Apr 2010 20:03 UTC
20 points
7 comments2 min readLW link

Aliveness

Ziz18 Jan 2018 5:00 UTC
16 points
10 comments1 min readLW link
(sinceriously.fyi)

How some al­gorithms feel from inside

cousin_it17 May 2011 11:26 UTC
48 points
43 comments1 min readLW link

Are You a Par­a­lyzed Subor­di­nate Mon­key?

Eliezer Yudkowsky2 Mar 2011 21:12 UTC
42 points
78 comments1 min readLW link

False Majorities

JamesAndrix3 Feb 2010 18:43 UTC
42 points
39 comments1 min readLW link

Don’t es­ti­mate your cre­ative in­tel­li­gence by your crit­i­cal intelligence

PhilGoetz5 Feb 2015 2:41 UTC
63 points
20 comments1 min readLW link

Mul­ti­tudi­nous out­side views

Davidmanheim18 Aug 2020 6:21 UTC
52 points
13 comments3 min readLW link

Learn­ing hu­man prefer­ences: op­ti­mistic and pes­simistic scenarios

Stuart_Armstrong18 Aug 2020 13:05 UTC
27 points
6 comments6 min readLW link

On Be­ing Okay with the Truth

lukeprog2 May 2011 0:17 UTC
47 points
73 comments2 min readLW link

De­ci­sion-the­o­retic prob­lems and The­o­ries; An (In­com­plete) com­par­a­tive list

somervta11 Jul 2018 2:59 UTC
36 points
0 comments1 min readLW link
(docs.google.com)

Zero-Knowl­edge Cooperation

bryjnar25 Oct 2017 5:35 UTC
16 points
7 comments4 min readLW link

Doubt, Science, and Mag­i­cal Crea­tures—a Child’s Perspective

Benquo28 Dec 2013 15:26 UTC
57 points
54 comments2 min readLW link

Pic­ture Frames, Win­dow Frames and Frameworks

Raemon3 Nov 2019 22:09 UTC
30 points
4 comments7 min readLW link

Pretense

TurnTrout29 Jul 2018 0:35 UTC
30 points
1 comment1 min readLW link

On Defin­ing your Terms

Chris_Leong19 Aug 2020 3:30 UTC
13 points
4 comments2 min readLW link

Is your un­cer­tainty re­solv­able?

Raemon21 Jun 2019 7:32 UTC
30 points
15 comments1 min readLW link

A parable in the style of In­visi­ble Cities

Daniel Kokotajlo16 Dec 2019 15:55 UTC
41 points
6 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] Why should I care about ra­tio­nal­ity?

TurnTrout8 Dec 2018 3:49 UTC
24 points
5 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] In­stru­men­tal Oc­cam?

abramdemski31 Jan 2020 19:27 UTC
30 points
15 comments1 min readLW link

A List of Nuances

abramdemski10 Nov 2014 5:02 UTC
61 points
24 comments14 min readLW link

[Question] What are the com­po­nents of in­tel­lec­tual hon­esty?

abramdemski15 Jan 2019 20:00 UTC
30 points
4 comments1 min readLW link

Nar­row your an­swer space

Vaniver28 Dec 2010 11:38 UTC
33 points
111 comments8 min readLW link

Think­ing well

Vaniver1 Apr 2015 22:03 UTC
44 points
23 comments2 min readLW link

Ex­pla­na­tion vs Rationalization

abramdemski22 Feb 2018 23:46 UTC
15 points
11 comments4 min readLW link

Si­mul­ta­neous Over­con­fi­dence and Underconfidence

abramdemski3 Jun 2015 21:04 UTC
36 points
6 comments5 min readLW link

Sub­tle Forms of Con­fir­ma­tion Bias

abramdemski3 Jul 2017 23:00 UTC
18 points
5 comments5 min readLW link

The 12 Se­cond Rule (i.e. think be­fore an­swer­ing) and other Epistemic Norms

Raemon5 Sep 2016 23:08 UTC
34 points
13 comments3 min readLW link

Very Short In­tro­duc­tion to Bayesian Model Com­par­i­son

johnswentworth16 Jul 2019 19:48 UTC
29 points
5 comments1 min readLW link

In­ter­ac­tive Bayes The­o­rem Visualization

Allen Kim3 Mar 2018 4:00 UTC
13 points
4 comments1 min readLW link
(allenkim67.github.io)

[Question] Should we write more about so­cial life?

AllAmericanBreakfast19 Aug 2020 20:07 UTC
13 points
12 comments1 min readLW link

My Kind of Reflection

Eliezer Yudkowsky10 Jul 2008 7:21 UTC
45 points
22 comments4 min readLW link

Lawful Creativity

Eliezer Yudkowsky8 Nov 2008 19:54 UTC
47 points
35 comments7 min readLW link

Your Most Valuable Skill

Alicorn27 Sep 2009 17:01 UTC
32 points
97 comments2 min readLW link

On the Care and Feed­ing of Young Rationalists

MBlume13 Mar 2009 23:48 UTC
30 points
22 comments2 min readLW link

In What Ways Have You Be­come Stronger?

Vladimir_Nesov15 Mar 2009 20:44 UTC
28 points
40 comments1 min readLW link

Tak­ing Oc­cam Seriously

steven046129 May 2009 17:31 UTC
32 points
51 comments1 min readLW link

No Li­cense To Be Human

Eliezer Yudkowsky20 Aug 2008 23:18 UTC
37 points
54 comments8 min readLW link

Kin­naird’s truels

Johnicholas5 Mar 2009 16:50 UTC
28 points
35 comments1 min readLW link

Ex­ten­u­at­ing Circumstances

Eliezer Yudkowsky6 Apr 2009 22:57 UTC
43 points
42 comments4 min readLW link

High­lights from the Black­mail De­bate (Robin Han­son vs Zvi Mow­show­itz)

Ben Pace20 Aug 2020 0:49 UTC
48 points
38 comments9 min readLW link

Ra­tion­al­ity Tough­ness Tests

RobinHanson6 Apr 2009 1:12 UTC
28 points
17 comments1 min readLW link

The Bayesian Tyrant

abramdemski20 Aug 2020 0:08 UTC
118 points
14 comments6 min readLW link

Where to In­ter­vene in a Hu­man?

lukeprog3 Jul 2012 6:31 UTC
53 points
71 comments2 min readLW link

[LINK] What should a rea­son­able per­son be­lieve about the Sin­gu­lar­ity?

Kaj_Sotala13 Jan 2011 9:32 UTC
38 points
14 comments2 min readLW link

[Question] What does the word “col­lab­o­ra­tive” mean in the phrase “col­lab­o­ra­tive truth­seek­ing”?

Zack_M_Davis26 Jun 2019 5:26 UTC
25 points
22 comments1 min readLW link

[META] ‘Ra­tional’ vs ‘Op­ti­mized’

TheOtherDave4 Jan 2012 18:58 UTC
44 points
68 comments1 min readLW link

Don’t teach peo­ple how to reach the top of a hill

PhilGoetz4 Mar 2014 21:38 UTC
48 points
37 comments6 min readLW link

Strong stances

KatjaGrace15 Oct 2019 0:40 UTC
27 points
9 comments9 min readLW link
(meteuphoric.com)

Slava!

[deleted]3 Oct 2010 2:47 UTC
40 points
105 comments4 min readLW link

The Ba­co­nian Method (Novum Or­ganum Book 1: 93-107)

Francis Bacon10 Oct 2019 18:54 UTC
28 points
1 comment11 min readLW link

When is ra­tio­nal­ity use­ful?

Richard_Ngo24 Apr 2019 22:40 UTC
28 points
26 comments3 min readLW link
(thinkingcomplete.blogspot.com)

Is there a prac­ti­tioner’s guide for ra­tio­nal­ity?

cedric13 Aug 2018 5:39 UTC
24 points
9 comments1 min readLW link

“Fol­low your dreams” as a case study in in­cor­rect thinking

cousin_it20 Aug 2014 13:18 UTC
43 points
53 comments2 min readLW link

It’s all in your head-land

colinmarshall22 Jul 2009 19:41 UTC
34 points
68 comments12 min readLW link

Río Grande: judg­ment calls

KatjaGrace27 Jan 2019 3:50 UTC
25 points
5 comments2 min readLW link
(worldlypositions.tumblr.com)

Causes of disagreements

JustinShovelain16 Jul 2009 21:51 UTC
27 points
20 comments4 min readLW link

Rad­i­cal Probabilism

abramdemski18 Aug 2020 21:14 UTC
151 points
46 comments35 min readLW link

nos­talge­braist: Re­cur­sive Good­hart’s Law

Kaj_Sotala26 Aug 2020 11:07 UTC
53 points
27 comments1 min readLW link
(nostalgebraist.tumblr.com)

Zib­bal­done With It All

Randomini28 Aug 2020 11:37 UTC
23 points
14 comments2 min readLW link

[Question] Why is Bayesi­anism im­por­tant for ra­tio­nal­ity?

Chris_Leong1 Sep 2020 4:24 UTC
37 points
24 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] If there were an in­ter­ac­tive soft­ware teach­ing Yud­kowskian ra­tio­nal­ity, what con­cepts would you want to see it teach?

MikkW2 Sep 2020 5:37 UTC
25 points
22 comments1 min readLW link

Mul­ti­vari­ate es­ti­ma­tion & the Squig­gly language

ozziegooen5 Sep 2020 4:35 UTC
44 points
5 comments7 min readLW link

[Question] Why would code/​English or low-ab­strac­tion/​high-ab­strac­tion sim­plic­ity or brevity cor­re­spond?

curi4 Sep 2020 19:46 UTC
2 points
15 comments1 min readLW link

The Four Chil­dren of the Seder as the Si­mu­lacra Levels

Zvi7 Sep 2020 15:00 UTC
69 points
16 comments16 min readLW link
(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Refer­ence Classes

Chris_Leong7 Sep 2020 12:52 UTC
10 points
4 comments4 min readLW link

Up­dates Thread

adamzerner9 Sep 2020 4:34 UTC
54 points
41 comments1 min readLW link

Cap­tur­ing Ideas

abramdemski9 Sep 2020 21:20 UTC
70 points
12 comments9 min readLW link

Tak­ing Ham­mer­time Fi­nal Exam by efim

efim10 Sep 2020 10:18 UTC
5 points
0 comments3 min readLW link

Re­sist epistemic (and emo­tional) learned hel­pless­ness!

AllAmericanBreakfast10 Sep 2020 2:58 UTC
7 points
0 comments7 min readLW link

Choose sim­plic­ity and struc­ture.

AllAmericanBreakfast10 Sep 2020 21:45 UTC
7 points
1 comment1 min readLW link

What’s Wrong with So­cial Science and How to Fix It: Reflec­tions After Read­ing 2578 Papers

habryka12 Sep 2020 1:46 UTC
103 points
22 comments2 min readLW link
(fantasticanachronism.com)

Ra­tion­al­ity and playfulness

AllAmericanBreakfast12 Sep 2020 5:14 UTC
42 points
1 comment11 min readLW link

Notes on good judge­ment and how to de­velop it (80,000 Hours)

habryka12 Sep 2020 17:51 UTC
15 points
16 comments2 min readLW link
(80000hours.org)

Gems from the Wiki: Acausal Trade

13 Sep 2020 0:23 UTC
43 points
8 comments7 min readLW link
(www.lesswrong.com)

[Question] Egan’s The­o­rem?

johnswentworth13 Sep 2020 17:47 UTC
17 points
12 comments1 min readLW link

Me­moriz­ing a Deck of Cards

Tofly16 Sep 2020 1:31 UTC
27 points
1 comment2 min readLW link

Ap­ply­ing the Coun­ter­fac­tual Pri­soner’s Dilemma to Log­i­cal Uncertainty

Chris_Leong16 Sep 2020 10:34 UTC
9 points
5 comments2 min readLW link

Mak­ing the Monte Hall prob­lem weirder but obvious

dynomight17 Sep 2020 12:10 UTC
15 points
7 comments1 min readLW link
(dyno-might.github.io)

Gems from the Wiki: Do The Math, Then Burn The Math and Go With Your Gut

17 Sep 2020 22:41 UTC
44 points
1 comment3 min readLW link
(www.lesswrong.com)

Tak­ing So­cial Initiative

Neel Nanda19 Sep 2020 15:31 UTC
17 points
1 comment13 min readLW link
(www.neelnanda.io)

Empti­ness and Form

lsusr22 Sep 2020 4:20 UTC
8 points
0 comments2 min readLW link

The Haters Gonna Hate Fallacy

Kaj_Sotala22 Sep 2020 12:20 UTC
46 points
6 comments1 min readLW link
(kajsotala.fi)

Com­par­a­tive Ad­van­tage is Not About Trade

johnswentworth22 Sep 2020 18:43 UTC
83 points
26 comments3 min readLW link

This is Why Your Hard Work Sits on the Shelf — and Here’s What to Do About It

Ian David Moss11 Mar 2019 1:09 UTC
2 points
0 comments5 min readLW link
(medium.com)

[Question] David Deutsch on Univer­sal Ex­plain­ers and AI

alanf24 Sep 2020 7:50 UTC
1 point
8 comments2 min readLW link

[Link] Where did you get that idea in the first place? | Meaningness

Kenny25 Sep 2020 15:38 UTC
7 points
4 comments1 min readLW link

Up close and per­sonal with the world

dominicq25 Sep 2020 6:52 UTC
12 points
2 comments1 min readLW link

About a lo­cal vari­a­tion of Rock-Paper-Scis­sors and how it self-negated its own prob­le­matic dynamic

KyriakosCH25 Sep 2020 9:27 UTC
8 points
11 comments2 min readLW link

Not all com­mu­ni­ca­tion is ma­nipu­la­tion: Chap­er­ones don’t ma­nipu­late proteins

ChristianKl27 Sep 2020 16:45 UTC
35 points
14 comments2 min readLW link

[Question] What are good ra­tio­nal­ity ex­er­cises?

Ben Pace27 Sep 2020 21:25 UTC
46 points
24 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] What De­ci­sion The­ory is Im­plied By Pre­dic­tive Pro­cess­ing?

johnswentworth28 Sep 2020 17:20 UTC
52 points
17 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] What are ex­am­ples of Ra­tion­al­ist fable-like sto­ries?

Mati_Roy28 Sep 2020 16:52 UTC
19 points
43 comments1 min readLW link

“Win First” vs “Chill First”

lionhearted28 Sep 2020 6:48 UTC
73 points
19 comments3 min readLW link

Macro-Procrastination

Neel Nanda28 Sep 2020 16:07 UTC
7 points
0 comments9 min readLW link
(www.neelnanda.io)

Seek Up­side Risk

Neel Nanda29 Sep 2020 16:47 UTC
17 points
6 comments9 min readLW link
(www.neelnanda.io)

[Question] is scope in­sen­si­tivity re­ally a brain er­ror?

Kaarlo Tuomi28 Sep 2020 18:37 UTC
4 points
15 comments1 min readLW link

“Zero Sum” is a mis­nomer.

abramdemski30 Sep 2020 18:25 UTC
106 points
35 comments6 min readLW link

[Question] Bab­ble challenge: 50 ways of send­ing some­thing to the moon

jacobjacob1 Oct 2020 4:20 UTC
62 points
90 comments2 min readLW link

Words and Implications

johnswentworth1 Oct 2020 17:37 UTC
59 points
25 comments8 min readLW link

Your Stan­dards are Too High

Neel Nanda1 Oct 2020 17:03 UTC
22 points
2 comments14 min readLW link
(neelnanda.io)

Fore­cast­ing Newslet­ter: Septem­ber 2020.

NunoSempere1 Oct 2020 11:00 UTC
21 points
3 comments11 min readLW link

Linkpost: Choice Ex­plains Pos­i­tivity and Con­fir­ma­tion Bias

Gunnar_Zarncke1 Oct 2020 21:46 UTC
8 points
0 comments1 min readLW link

On Op­tion Paral­y­sis—The Thing You Ac­tu­ally Do

Neel Nanda3 Oct 2020 11:50 UTC
10 points
10 comments6 min readLW link
(www.neelnanda.io)

Public trans­mit metta

Kaj_Sotala4 Oct 2020 11:40 UTC
26 points
6 comments2 min readLW link
(kajsotala.fi)

Fish­bowl re­al­ity

Elo4 Oct 2020 2:16 UTC
10 points
0 comments2 min readLW link

Do­mains of truth

mxln5 Oct 2020 19:46 UTC
1 point
1 comment5 min readLW link

Large Effects Can’t Prove Small Causes

Bucky6 Oct 2020 17:34 UTC
23 points
1 comment4 min readLW link

Not Even Evidence

Dach6 Oct 2020 1:20 UTC
5 points
16 comments8 min readLW link

Les­sons on Value of In­for­ma­tion From Civ

johnswentworth7 Oct 2020 18:18 UTC
51 points
6 comments3 min readLW link

Re­view and Sum­mary of ‘Mo­ral Uncer­tainty’

fin7 Oct 2020 17:52 UTC
11 points
8 comments1 min readLW link
(www.finmoorhouse.com)

Ra­tion­al­ity Cardinality

jimrandomh3 Oct 2015 15:54 UTC
28 points
13 comments1 min readLW link

Thoughts on ADHD

romeostevensit7 Oct 2020 20:46 UTC
59 points
15 comments3 min readLW link

[Question] Bab­ble challenge: 50 ways to es­cape a locked room

jacobjacob8 Oct 2020 5:13 UTC
30 points
81 comments3 min readLW link

Sor­ti­tion Model of Mo­ral Uncertainty

Bob Jacobs8 Oct 2020 17:44 UTC
9 points
2 comments2 min readLW link

Up­side de­cay—why some peo­ple never get lucky

brianlui8 Oct 2020 8:45 UTC
37 points
13 comments5 min readLW link

The Dar­win Game

lsusr9 Oct 2020 10:19 UTC
88 points
136 comments3 min readLW link

A Model of Ra­tional Policy: When Is a Goal “Good”?

FCCC10 Oct 2020 17:05 UTC
2 points
0 comments17 min readLW link

Does cog­ni­tive ther­apy en­courage bias?

fortyeridania22 Nov 2010 11:31 UTC
16 points
19 comments2 min readLW link

Ra­tion­al­ity train­ing: aca­demic and clini­cal perspectives

whales19 Feb 2014 7:09 UTC
29 points
3 comments6 min readLW link

Rule of Equal and Op­po­site Ad­vice & Slack

tinyanon10 Oct 2020 21:22 UTC
39 points
1 comment1 min readLW link

Charisma is a Force Multiplier

Davis_Kingsley11 Oct 2020 10:21 UTC
34 points
11 comments2 min readLW link

A full ex­pla­na­tion to New­comb’s para­dox.

solomon alon12 Oct 2020 16:48 UTC
−6 points
12 comments3 min readLW link

Msg Len

Zack_M_Davis12 Oct 2020 3:35 UTC
57 points
4 comments1 min readLW link

The Sun Room

4thWayWastrel12 Oct 2020 21:08 UTC
18 points
11 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] What should ex­pe­rienced ra­tio­nal­ists know?

deluks91713 Oct 2020 17:32 UTC
83 points
20 comments2 min readLW link

Knowl­edge, ma­nipu­la­tion, and free will

Stuart_Armstrong13 Oct 2020 17:47 UTC
32 points
15 comments3 min readLW link

[Question] Bab­ble challenge: 50 ways of hid­ing Ein­stein’s pen for fifty years

jacobjacob15 Oct 2020 7:23 UTC
31 points
44 comments3 min readLW link

Bab­ble & Prune Thoughts

abramdemski15 Oct 2020 13:46 UTC
79 points
6 comments6 min readLW link

Eval­u­at­ing ex­per­tise: a clear box model

JustinShovelain15 Oct 2020 14:18 UTC
36 points
3 comments5 min readLW link

Moloch games

Chris van Merwijk16 Oct 2020 15:19 UTC
79 points
9 comments4 min readLW link

Things are al­lowed to be good and bad at the same time

Kaj_Sotala17 Oct 2020 8:00 UTC
50 points
15 comments2 min readLW link
(kajsotala.fi)

Bet­ting Thread

Amandango20 Oct 2020 2:17 UTC
33 points
2 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] Re­tain flex­i­bil­ity with habits?

vroomerify18 Oct 2020 22:58 UTC
12 points
3 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] Prob­lems In­volv­ing Ab­strac­tion?

johnswentworth20 Oct 2020 16:49 UTC
30 points
12 comments1 min readLW link

My case for start­ing blogging

Neel Nanda22 Oct 2020 17:43 UTC
32 points
2 comments16 min readLW link
(www.neelnanda.io)

“Lit­tle glimpses of em­pa­thy” as the foun­da­tion for so­cial emotions

Steven Byrnes22 Oct 2020 11:02 UTC
29 points
1 comment5 min readLW link

Learn­ing is (Asymp­tot­i­cally) Com­pu­ta­tion­ally Ineffi­cient, Choose Your Ex­po­nents Wisely

shminux22 Oct 2020 5:30 UTC
14 points
2 comments4 min readLW link

The Trou­ble With Babbles

AllAmericanBreakfast22 Oct 2020 21:31 UTC
14 points
5 comments1 min readLW link

Ex­pla­na­tions: Ig­no­rance vs. Con­fu­sion

Charlie Steiner16 Jan 2018 10:44 UTC
7 points
2 comments2 min readLW link

Bab­ble and Prune : 5 new ideas

Teja Prabhu23 Oct 2020 23:42 UTC
3 points
0 comments1 min readLW link

Hu­mans are stun­ningly ra­tio­nal and stun­ningly irrational

Stuart_Armstrong23 Oct 2020 14:13 UTC
21 points
4 comments2 min readLW link

Pow­er­less Mo­ral Evaluation

SocratesDissatisfied23 Oct 2020 10:44 UTC
5 points
2 comments4 min readLW link

Just For Fun

proshowersinger23 Oct 2020 21:35 UTC
7 points
0 comments3 min readLW link

How to Cat­alyze Co­op­er­a­tion in Me­dia Sharing

Zachary Robertson24 Oct 2020 16:14 UTC
4 points
0 comments2 min readLW link

Me­mory re­con­soli­da­tion for self-affection

Kaj_Sotala27 Oct 2020 10:10 UTC
44 points
11 comments2 min readLW link
(kajsotala.fi)

Bab­ble challenge: 50 ways to stop torture

seed27 Oct 2020 19:38 UTC
8 points
4 comments1 min readLW link

Notes on Honesty

David_Gross28 Oct 2020 0:54 UTC
40 points
6 comments17 min readLW link

Des­per­a­tion ham­ster wheels

Nicole Ross28 Oct 2020 2:32 UTC
87 points
4 comments6 min readLW link
(www.cuttingmangoes.com)

[Question] Bab­ble challenge: 50 con­se­quences of in­tel­li­gent ant colonies

jacobjacob29 Oct 2020 7:21 UTC
23 points
48 comments4 min readLW link

Aim to ex­plain, not persuade

lsusr31 Oct 2020 16:35 UTC
26 points
6 comments1 min readLW link

Tak­ing Ideas Se­ri­ously is Hard

neilkakkar31 Oct 2020 13:47 UTC
14 points
4 comments1 min readLW link
(neilkakkar.com)

[Question] What is the right phrase for “the­o­ret­i­cal ev­i­dence”?

adamzerner1 Nov 2020 20:43 UTC
24 points
41 comments2 min readLW link

Sur­face Thoughts Suck

Dach2 Nov 2020 13:24 UTC
4 points
2 comments3 min readLW link

Don’t read news

Eli_4 Nov 2020 18:14 UTC
26 points
8 comments1 min readLW link

Notes on Piety

David_Gross4 Nov 2020 1:35 UTC
5 points
1 comment4 min readLW link

[Question] Bab­ble Challenge: 50 thoughts on sta­ble, co­op­er­a­tive institutions

jacobjacob5 Nov 2020 6:38 UTC
19 points
12 comments3 min readLW link

Ob­serve, bab­ble, and prune

AllAmericanBreakfast6 Nov 2020 21:45 UTC
8 points
1 comment8 min readLW link

Why philos­o­phy of sci­ence?

Richard_Ngo7 Nov 2020 11:10 UTC
53 points
2 comments2 min readLW link
(thinkingcomplete.blogspot.com)

Carte­sian Frames Definitions

Rob Bensinger8 Nov 2020 12:44 UTC
24 points
0 comments4 min readLW link

Costs and benefits of metaphysics

George9 Nov 2020 14:31 UTC
11 points
1 comment11 min readLW link

Notes on Temperance

David_Gross9 Nov 2020 2:33 UTC
14 points
2 comments7 min readLW link

Time Travel Mar­kets for In­tel­lec­tual Accounting

abramdemski9 Nov 2020 16:58 UTC
37 points
7 comments7 min readLW link

Prob­a­bil­ity vs Likelihood

abramdemski10 Nov 2020 21:28 UTC
95 points
10 comments12 min readLW link

Learn­ing Nor­ma­tivity: A Re­search Agenda

abramdemski11 Nov 2020 21:59 UTC
70 points
18 comments19 min readLW link

So­cratic Grilling

SilasBarta12 Nov 2020 21:16 UTC
9 points
0 comments1 min readLW link

The Dar­win Game—Rounds 3 to 9

lsusr14 Nov 2020 2:26 UTC
24 points
6 comments10 min readLW link

Notes on Wisdom

David_Gross14 Nov 2020 2:37 UTC
5 points
0 comments4 min readLW link

Spe­cial­ized La­bor and Coun­ter­fac­tual Compensation

philh14 Nov 2020 18:13 UTC
18 points
2 comments19 min readLW link
(reasonableapproximation.net)

Sig­nal­ling & Si­mu­lacra Level 3

abramdemski14 Nov 2020 19:24 UTC
56 points
29 comments5 min readLW link

Early Thoughts on On­tol­ogy/​Ground­ing Problems

johnswentworth14 Nov 2020 23:19 UTC
30 points
5 comments5 min readLW link

Anatomy of a Gear

johnswentworth16 Nov 2020 16:34 UTC
74 points
12 comments7 min readLW link

Range and Fore­cast­ing Accuracy

niplav16 Nov 2020 13:06 UTC
26 points
17 comments18 min readLW link

Ex­tor­tion beats brinks­man­ship, but the au­di­ence matters

Stuart_Armstrong16 Nov 2020 21:13 UTC
27 points
15 comments4 min readLW link

Solomonoff In­duc­tion and Sleep­ing Beauty

ike17 Nov 2020 2:28 UTC
7 points
0 comments2 min readLW link

The Dar­win Game—Rounds 10 to 20

lsusr17 Nov 2020 1:14 UTC
26 points
8 comments5 min readLW link

On the Shoulders of Giants

meanderingmoose17 Nov 2020 18:10 UTC
1 point
5 comments6 min readLW link

Writ­ing to think

adamzerner17 Nov 2020 7:54 UTC
55 points
24 comments5 min readLW link

Notes on Honor

David_Gross17 Nov 2020 5:25 UTC
18 points
4 comments8 min readLW link

Thoughts on Vot­ing Methods

abramdemski17 Nov 2020 20:23 UTC
60 points
24 comments5 min readLW link

The Poin­t­ers Prob­lem: Hu­man Values Are A Func­tion Of Hu­mans’ La­tent Variables

johnswentworth18 Nov 2020 17:47 UTC
49 points
37 comments11 min readLW link

Sunzi’s《Meth­ods of War》- Introduction

lsusr18 Nov 2020 8:23 UTC
49 points
22 comments1 min readLW link

Normativity

abramdemski18 Nov 2020 16:52 UTC
46 points
11 comments9 min readLW link

2020 Elec­tion: Pre­dic­tion Mar­kets ver­sus Pol­ling/​Model­ing Assess­ment and Postmortem

Zvi18 Nov 2020 23:00 UTC
71 points
17 comments20 min readLW link
(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Sunzi’s《Meth­ods of War》- War

lsusr19 Nov 2020 3:06 UTC
40 points
7 comments1 min readLW link

Notes on Prudence

David_Gross19 Nov 2020 16:14 UTC
11 points
1 comment4 min readLW link

[Question] Why is there a “clogged drain­pipe” effect in idea gen­er­a­tion?

jacobjacob20 Nov 2020 19:08 UTC
23 points
11 comments2 min readLW link

Epistemic Progress

ozziegooen20 Nov 2020 19:58 UTC
49 points
15 comments5 min readLW link

The Dar­win Game—Rounds 21-500

lsusr21 Nov 2020 0:58 UTC
27 points
16 comments2 min readLW link

The cen­tral limit the­o­rem in terms of convolutions

Maxwell Peterson21 Nov 2020 4:09 UTC
32 points
18 comments3 min readLW link

Zen and Ra­tion­al­ity: Skil­lful Means

G Gordon Worley III21 Nov 2020 2:38 UTC
18 points
7 comments2 min readLW link

[Question] (Pseudo) Math­e­mat­i­cal Real­ism Bad?

Logan Zoellner22 Nov 2020 18:21 UTC
0 points
6 comments2 min readLW link

[Question] Ways to run mul­ti­ple form-in­com­pat­i­ble men­tal­ities?

Self_Optimization22 Nov 2020 17:57 UTC
1 point
0 comments1 min readLW link

Notes on Ambition

David_Gross22 Nov 2020 19:53 UTC
15 points
1 comment6 min readLW link

Mark Man­son and Ev­i­dence-Based Per­sonal Development

Chris_Leong23 Nov 2020 5:13 UTC
31 points
3 comments1 min readLW link

Learn­ing How to Learn (And 20+ Stud­ies)

maxa23 Nov 2020 0:29 UTC
22 points
5 comments6 min readLW link

The Mu­tant Game—Rounds 11 to 30

lsusr23 Nov 2020 9:20 UTC
5 points
3 comments5 min readLW link

Com­pet­i­tive Ethics

Milan Cvitkovic24 Nov 2020 1:06 UTC
10 points
1 comment4 min readLW link

Squig­gle: An Overview

ozziegooen24 Nov 2020 3:00 UTC
44 points
5 comments7 min readLW link

Pain is not the unit of Effort

alkjash24 Nov 2020 20:00 UTC
344 points
71 comments5 min readLW link
(radimentary.wordpress.com)

Evad­ing Mind Control

lsusr25 Nov 2020 5:01 UTC
58 points
21 comments6 min readLW link

Pain is the unit of Effort

lsusr25 Nov 2020 8:30 UTC
70 points
16 comments4 min readLW link

Suc­cess Buys Freedom

lsusr25 Nov 2020 13:53 UTC
52 points
4 comments6 min readLW link

Notes on Benev­olence (be­ing “less bad”)

David_Gross26 Nov 2020 2:43 UTC
22 points
2 comments8 min readLW link

The Ex­ploita­bil­ity/​Ex­plain­abil­ity Frontier

ike26 Nov 2020 0:59 UTC
18 points
4 comments1 min readLW link

Squig­gle: Tech­ni­cal Overview

ozziegooen25 Nov 2020 20:51 UTC
17 points
2 comments9 min readLW link

Luna Love­g­ood and the Cham­ber of Se­crets—Part 1

lsusr26 Nov 2020 3:02 UTC
142 points
29 comments3 min readLW link

Nash Score for Vot­ing Techniques

abramdemski26 Nov 2020 19:29 UTC
19 points
5 comments6 min readLW link

De­con­struct­ing 321 Voting

abramdemski26 Nov 2020 3:35 UTC
38 points
5 comments6 min readLW link

Ma­tryoshka Fara­day Box

lsusr26 Nov 2020 9:42 UTC
39 points
4 comments3 min readLW link

Notes on Good Temper

David_Gross27 Nov 2020 16:21 UTC
24 points
7 comments7 min readLW link

Fi­nal Ver­sion Perfected: An Un­derused Ex­e­cu­tion Algorithm

willbradshaw27 Nov 2020 10:43 UTC
72 points
28 comments7 min readLW link

Over­com­ing Para­dox of Choice Through Ran­dom Selection

vernamcipher28 Nov 2020 4:27 UTC
13 points
2 comments4 min readLW link

[Question] Prize: In­ter­est­ing Ex­am­ples of Evaluations

28 Nov 2020 21:11 UTC
42 points
25 comments2 min readLW link

Notes on Humility

David_Gross29 Nov 2020 19:50 UTC
14 points
4 comments8 min readLW link

Pre­face to the Se­quence on Fac­tored Cognition

Rafael Harth30 Nov 2020 18:49 UTC
35 points
7 comments2 min readLW link

Ideal­ized Fac­tored Cognition

Rafael Harth30 Nov 2020 18:49 UTC
34 points
6 comments11 min readLW link

Be­fore ra­tio­nal­ity- a snapshot

jospus32129 Nov 2020 21:07 UTC
3 points
3 comments4 min readLW link

Book re­view: WEIRDest People

PeterMcCluskey30 Nov 2020 3:33 UTC
93 points
54 comments9 min readLW link
(www.bayesianinvestor.com)

The Mu­tant Game—Rounds 91 to 247

lsusr30 Nov 2020 9:25 UTC
20 points
0 comments3 min readLW link

Luna Love­g­ood and the Cham­ber of Se­crets—Part 2

lsusr30 Nov 2020 8:12 UTC
86 points
7 comments3 min readLW link

Non-Book Re­view: Pat­terns of Conflict

johnswentworth30 Nov 2020 21:05 UTC
33 points
2 comments7 min readLW link

Fore­cast­ing Newslet­ter: Novem­ber 2020

NunoSempere1 Dec 2020 17:00 UTC
28 points
5 comments12 min readLW link

Luna Love­g­ood and the Cham­ber of Se­crets—Part 3

lsusr1 Dec 2020 12:43 UTC
116 points
11 comments2 min readLW link

Notes on Sincer­ity and such

David_Gross1 Dec 2020 5:09 UTC
8 points
2 comments11 min readLW link

Apho­risms on motivation

toonalfrink2 Dec 2020 8:55 UTC
13 points
1 comment2 min readLW link

Fol­low Up: Pre­dic­tions as a Sub­sti­tute For Reviews

Elizabeth2 Dec 2020 19:40 UTC
7 points
0 comments1 min readLW link
(acesounderglass.com)

Notes on Simplicity

David_Gross2 Dec 2020 23:14 UTC
8 points
0 comments7 min readLW link

Notes on Integrity

David_Gross3 Dec 2020 23:42 UTC
12 points
1 comment6 min readLW link

Luna Love­g­ood and the Cham­ber of Se­crets—Part 4

lsusr3 Dec 2020 23:42 UTC
82 points
21 comments4 min readLW link

Real-Life Ex­am­ples of Pre­dic­tion Sys­tems In­terfer­ing with the Real World (Pre­dict-O-Matic Prob­lems)

NunoSempere3 Dec 2020 22:00 UTC
112 points
29 comments9 min readLW link

The Hard Prob­lem of Magic

enaumov4 Dec 2020 18:51 UTC
0 points
4 comments1 min readLW link

Luna Love­g­ood and the Cham­ber of Se­crets—Part 5

lsusr5 Dec 2020 1:23 UTC
98 points
8 comments3 min readLW link

Fore­cast­ing is a responsibility

AllAmericanBreakfast5 Dec 2020 0:40 UTC
23 points
23 comments2 min readLW link

Notes on Care

David_Gross5 Dec 2020 16:33 UTC
4 points
0 comments7 min readLW link

Su­per­vised learn­ing in the brain, part 4: com­pres­sion /​ filtering

Steven Byrnes5 Dec 2020 17:06 UTC
12 points
0 comments5 min readLW link

D&D.Sci

abstractapplic5 Dec 2020 23:26 UTC
41 points
50 comments1 min readLW link

Values Form a Shift­ing Land­scape (and why you might care)

VojtaKovarik5 Dec 2020 23:56 UTC
26 points
6 comments4 min readLW link

Cul­tural accumulation

KatjaGrace6 Dec 2020 6:20 UTC
87 points
50 comments3 min readLW link
(meteuphoric.com)

Min­i­mal Maps, Semi-De­ci­sions, and Neu­ral Representations

Zachary Robertson6 Dec 2020 15:15 UTC
30 points
2 comments4 min readLW link

Notes on Fairness

David_Gross7 Dec 2020 18:52 UTC
18 points
4 comments7 min readLW link

[Question] Num­ber-guess­ing pro­to­col?

abramdemski7 Dec 2020 15:07 UTC
19 points
28 comments1 min readLW link

White Sphere Hypothesis

James S. Eriee8 Dec 2020 5:56 UTC
6 points
6 comments1 min readLW link

How long does it take to be­come Gaus­sian?

Maxwell Peterson8 Dec 2020 7:23 UTC
127 points
38 comments4 min readLW link

Sig­nal­ing importance

Mati_Roy8 Dec 2020 9:14 UTC
6 points
4 comments1 min readLW link

Luna Love­g­ood and the Cham­ber of Se­crets—Part 6

lsusr9 Dec 2020 8:14 UTC
79 points
14 comments2 min readLW link

Notes on Know-how

David_Gross9 Dec 2020 17:21 UTC
10 points
1 comment4 min readLW link

[Question] Coun­ter­ing Self-De­cep­tion: When De­cou­pling, When De­con­tex­tu­al­iz­ing?

strangepoop10 Dec 2020 15:28 UTC
2 points
11 comments1 min readLW link

Un­ex­plored modes of language

KatjaGrace10 Dec 2020 7:00 UTC
28 points
21 comments2 min readLW link
(worldspiritsockpuppet.com)

Men­tal Blin­ders from Work­ing Within Systems

abramdemski10 Dec 2020 19:09 UTC
53 points
20 comments3 min readLW link

Luna Love­g­ood and the Cham­ber of Se­crets—Part 7

lsusr11 Dec 2020 5:54 UTC
60 points
18 comments1 min readLW link

The Good Life Quantified

Jacob Falkovich11 Dec 2020 17:52 UTC
38 points
3 comments5 min readLW link

Notes on Chastity

David_Gross11 Dec 2020 22:01 UTC
23 points
1 comment7 min readLW link

The Flynn Effect Clarified

PeterMcCluskey12 Dec 2020 5:18 UTC
33 points
2 comments4 min readLW link
(www.bayesianinvestor.com)

D&D.Sci Eval­u­a­tion and Ruleset

abstractapplic12 Dec 2020 15:00 UTC
39 points
10 comments3 min readLW link

Pseu­do­ran­dom­ness con­test, Round 1

UnexpectedValues13 Dec 2020 3:42 UTC
28 points
20 comments3 min readLW link
(ericneyman.wordpress.com)

[Question] Writ­ing tools for taboo­ing?

abramdemski13 Dec 2020 19:50 UTC
15 points
25 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] What con­fu­sions do peo­ple have about simu­lacrum lev­els?

johnswentworth14 Dec 2020 20:20 UTC
27 points
30 comments1 min readLW link

Hermione Granger and New­comb’s Paradox

lsusr14 Dec 2020 5:27 UTC
45 points
18 comments2 min readLW link

De­ci­sion-Mak­ing and Accountability

Ian David Moss14 Dec 2020 21:30 UTC
11 points
1 comment5 min readLW link
(medium.com)

Less Ba­sic In­framea­sure Theory

Diffractor16 Dec 2020 3:52 UTC
22 points
1 comment61 min readLW link

Notes on Courtesy

David_Gross16 Dec 2020 4:08 UTC
8 points
0 comments6 min readLW link

Bad reductionism

adamzerner16 Dec 2020 8:21 UTC
11 points
3 comments3 min readLW link

Two Explorations

alkjash16 Dec 2020 21:27 UTC
61 points
8 comments9 min readLW link
(radimentary.wordpress.com)

How to Compliment

less_penguiny16 Dec 2020 8:25 UTC
13 points
0 comments1 min readLW link

In­cen­tiviz­ing fore­cast­ing via so­cial media

16 Dec 2020 12:15 UTC
19 points
0 comments1 min readLW link
(forum.effectivealtruism.org)

Hard work is irritating

Oldmanrahul17 Dec 2020 1:04 UTC
12 points
6 comments3 min readLW link
(oldmanrahul.com)

It turns out that group meet­ings are mostly a ter­rible way to make decisions

Ian David Moss17 Dec 2020 3:30 UTC
57 points
14 comments5 min readLW link
(medium.com)

Notes on Dignity

David_Gross17 Dec 2020 15:46 UTC
7 points
1 comment7 min readLW link

Luna Love­g­ood and the Cham­ber of Se­crets—Part 8

lsusr17 Dec 2020 22:29 UTC
61 points
17 comments2 min readLW link

No, Newspeak Won’t Make You Stupid

MikkW18 Dec 2020 0:56 UTC
21 points
39 comments7 min readLW link

Notes on Duty

David_Gross18 Dec 2020 18:54 UTC
15 points
0 comments4 min readLW link

Prob­a­bil­ity the­ory im­plies Oc­cam’s razor

Maxwell Peterson18 Dec 2020 7:48 UTC
8 points
4 comments6 min readLW link

Gaug­ing the con­scious ex­pe­rience of LessWrong

VermillionStuka20 Dec 2020 11:34 UTC
29 points
47 comments1 min readLW link

Luna Love­g­ood and the Cham­ber of Se­crets—Part 9

lsusr20 Dec 2020 9:22 UTC
81 points
15 comments2 min readLW link

In­ter­ac­tive ex­plo­ra­tion of LessWrong and other large col­lec­tions of documents

20 Dec 2020 19:06 UTC
49 points
9 comments10 min readLW link

Grat­i­tude: Data and Anecdata

Dan Weinand20 Dec 2020 20:24 UTC
9 points
1 comment3 min readLW link

Sec­u­lar Sols­tice 2020

jefftk20 Dec 2020 23:20 UTC
79 points
11 comments2 min readLW link
(www.jefftk.com)

On Robin Han­son’s “So­cial Proof, but of What?”

Zvi20 Dec 2020 22:20 UTC
32 points
7 comments27 min readLW link
(thezvi.wordpress.com)

New Eliezer Yud­kowsky in­ter­view on We Want MoR, the HPMOR Podcast

moridinamael21 Dec 2020 17:21 UTC
41 points
6 comments1 min readLW link

Notes on Fitness

David_Gross21 Dec 2020 16:51 UTC
15 points
3 comments5 min readLW link

[Question] Bab­ble Challenge: Not-So-Fu­ture Co­or­di­na­tion Tech

abramdemski21 Dec 2020 16:48 UTC
28 points
3 comments1 min readLW link

Us­ing spaced rep­e­ti­tion to make the most out of blog posts and books

timot.cool21 Dec 2020 2:47 UTC
7 points
0 comments3 min readLW link

The Best Vi­su­al­iza­tions on Every Subject

ryan_b21 Dec 2020 22:51 UTC
54 points
21 comments1 min readLW link

Con­scious­ness of abstraction

Richard_Kennaway21 Dec 2020 21:35 UTC
20 points
1 comment8 min readLW link

par­ent­ing rules

Dave Orr21 Dec 2020 19:48 UTC
135 points
9 comments5 min readLW link

Con­fi­dence In­ter­vals seen as pixel stripes

qbolec21 Dec 2020 11:00 UTC
3 points
0 comments16 min readLW link

Whole­hearted choices and “moral­ity as taxes”

Joe Carlsmith23 Dec 2020 2:21 UTC
30 points
6 comments4 min readLW link

Notes on Pa­tience & Forbearance

David_Gross23 Dec 2020 16:31 UTC
6 points
0 comments3 min readLW link

My fa­vorite es­says of life advice

benkuhn23 Dec 2020 23:00 UTC
77 points
17 comments7 min readLW link
(www.benkuhn.net)

Sunzi’s《Meth­ods of War》- Plan­ning Attacks

lsusr23 Dec 2020 21:52 UTC
31 points
3 comments2 min readLW link

Luna Love­g­ood and the Cham­ber of Se­crets—Part 10

lsusr24 Dec 2020 8:33 UTC
54 points
22 comments3 min readLW link

The med­i­cal test para­dox: Can re­design­ing Bayes rule help?

habryka24 Dec 2020 22:08 UTC
32 points
1 comment1 min readLW link
(www.youtube.com)

Episte­mol­ogy Vol­ume of “A Map That Reflects the Ter­ri­tory” Set—My Per­sonal Commentary

hamnox24 Dec 2020 21:34 UTC
20 points
1 comment8 min readLW link

[Question] What are in­tu­itive ways for pre­sent­ing cer­tainty/​con­fi­dence in con­tin­u­ous vari­able in­fer­ences (i.e. nu­mer­i­cal pre­dic­tions)?

George25 Dec 2020 0:55 UTC
4 points
0 comments2 min readLW link

Notes on Moder­a­tion, Balance, & Harmony

David_Gross25 Dec 2020 2:44 UTC
6 points
0 comments6 min readLW link

Martin Selig­man’s “Authen­tic Hap­piness”

David_Gross27 Dec 2020 5:06 UTC
10 points
1 comment6 min readLW link

[Question] How to re­li­ably sig­nal in­ter­nal ex­pe­rience?

df fd27 Dec 2020 11:18 UTC
9 points
15 comments2 min readLW link

Luna Love­g­ood and the Cham­ber of Se­crets—Part 11

lsusr27 Dec 2020 9:03 UTC
46 points
17 comments2 min readLW link

Dis­solv­ing the Prob­lem of Induction

Liron27 Dec 2020 17:58 UTC
34 points
32 comments7 min readLW link

Agency Vol­ume of “A Map That Reflects the Ter­ri­tory” Set—My Per­sonal Commentary

hamnox27 Dec 2020 23:35 UTC
7 points
0 comments3 min readLW link

Re­view: LessWrong Best of 2018 – Epistemology

Jacob Falkovich28 Dec 2020 4:32 UTC
47 points
15 comments7 min readLW link

I don’t want to listen, be­cause I will be­lieve you

George28 Dec 2020 14:58 UTC
10 points
6 comments16 min readLW link
(cerebralab.com)

Choos­ing the right ask for a context

ChristianKl28 Dec 2020 14:58 UTC
14 points
6 comments2 min readLW link

Un­in­formed Ele­va­tion of Trust

shminux28 Dec 2020 8:18 UTC
20 points
14 comments1 min readLW link

In­finite possibilities

KatjaGrace28 Dec 2020 10:10 UTC
14 points
1 comment1 min readLW link
(worldspiritsockpuppet.com)

Mea­sur­ing up to in­cred­ible potential

KatjaGrace29 Dec 2020 7:50 UTC
9 points
0 comments1 min readLW link
(worldspiritsockpuppet.com)

Notes on notes on virtues

David_Gross30 Dec 2020 17:47 UTC
55 points
5 comments9 min readLW link

And You Take Me the Way I Am

Zack_M_Davis31 Dec 2020 5:45 UTC
10 points
5 comments1 min readLW link
(zackmdavis.net)

Luna Love­g­ood and the Cham­ber of Se­crets—Part 12

lsusr31 Dec 2020 20:02 UTC
56 points
21 comments2 min readLW link

Em­piri­cism in NLP : Test Oper­ate Text Exit (TOTE)

ChristianKl1 Jan 2021 16:09 UTC
10 points
10 comments3 min readLW link

Luna Love­g­ood and the Cham­ber of Se­crets—Part 13

lsusr1 Jan 2021 8:01 UTC
67 points
18 comments2 min readLW link

Re­view: The Div­ing Bell and the Butterfly

KatjaGrace2 Jan 2021 1:30 UTC
32 points
1 comment2 min readLW link
(worldspiritsockpuppet.com)

Men­tal sub­agent im­pli­ca­tions for AI Safety

moridinamael3 Jan 2021 18:59 UTC
11 points
0 comments3 min readLW link

Don’t Use Your Fa­vorite Weapon

aaronb503 Jan 2021 4:01 UTC
32 points
7 comments6 min readLW link
(aaronbergman.substack.com)

On Mean­ing and Machines

meanderingmoose5 Jan 2021 15:51 UTC
6 points
2 comments12 min readLW link

[Question] Ways to be more agenty?

NicholasKross5 Jan 2021 8:06 UTC
20 points
21 comments1 min readLW link

The Poin­t­ers Prob­lem: Clar­ifi­ca­tions/​Variations

abramdemski5 Jan 2021 17:29 UTC
48 points
6 comments18 min readLW link

Ge­nius is (mostly) comparative

Amir Bolous5 Jan 2021 20:57 UTC
2 points
3 comments4 min readLW link

The Cow­pox of Doubt

Scott Alexander16 Apr 2014 1:04 UTC
38 points
0 comments5 min readLW link

Lin­guis­tic Freedom

Chris_Leong6 Jan 2021 7:23 UTC
10 points
4 comments2 min readLW link

Grokking illusionism

Joe Carlsmith6 Jan 2021 5:50 UTC
38 points
49 comments9 min readLW link

Thoughts on per­sonal identity

Joe Carlsmith8 Jan 2021 4:19 UTC
16 points
0 comments10 min readLW link

Con­di­tion-directedness

KatjaGrace8 Jan 2021 10:30 UTC
13 points
6 comments2 min readLW link
(worldspiritsockpuppet.com)

Con­ver­sa­tion, event loops, and er­ror handling

adamzerner8 Jan 2021 8:05 UTC
18 points
2 comments7 min readLW link

[Question] In­for­ma­tion on time-com­plex­ity prior?

D0TheMath8 Jan 2021 6:09 UTC
6 points
2 comments1 min readLW link

Un­nat­u­ral Cat­e­gories Are Op­ti­mized for Deception

Zack_M_Davis8 Jan 2021 20:54 UTC
66 points
18 comments33 min readLW link

A work­shop on Life Influences

Elo10 Jan 2021 11:23 UTC
8 points
0 comments4 min readLW link

Overconfidence

lsusr10 Jan 2021 10:36 UTC
19 points
10 comments3 min readLW link

Dist­in­guish­ing goals from chores

Amir Bolous10 Jan 2021 7:45 UTC
5 points
1 comment4 min readLW link

Avoid Un­nec­es­sar­ily Poli­ti­cal Examples

Raemon11 Jan 2021 5:41 UTC
102 points
42 comments3 min readLW link

“If” is in the map

Chris_Leong13 Jan 2021 3:09 UTC
8 points
8 comments1 min readLW link

Notes on Gratitude

David_Gross13 Jan 2021 20:37 UTC
9 points
0 comments15 min readLW link

Dis­cus­sion on the choice of concepts

KatjaGrace14 Jan 2021 4:00 UTC
41 points
4 comments2 min readLW link
(worldspiritsockpuppet.com)

Alie­na­tion and meta-ethics (or: is it pos­si­ble you should max­i­mize he­lium?)

Joe Carlsmith15 Jan 2021 7:07 UTC
13 points
1 comment10 min readLW link

Med­i­ta­tive thinking

KatjaGrace16 Jan 2021 2:30 UTC
24 points
3 comments1 min readLW link
(worldspiritsockpuppet.com)

[Question] Is it the case that when hu­mans ap­prox­i­mate back­ward in­duc­tion they vi­o­late the markov prop­erty?

Quinn16 Jan 2021 16:22 UTC
7 points
0 comments2 min readLW link

Ex­cerpt from Ar­bital Solomonoff in­duc­tion dialogue

Richard_Ngo17 Jan 2021 3:49 UTC
36 points
6 comments5 min readLW link
(arbital.com)

D&D.Sci II Eval­u­a­tion and Ruleset

abstractapplic17 Jan 2021 16:58 UTC
31 points
6 comments4 min readLW link

[Question] How do I im­prove at be­ing strate­gic?

Conor17 Jan 2021 1:36 UTC
7 points
21 comments1 min readLW link

Short sum­mary of mAIry’s room

Stuart_Armstrong18 Jan 2021 18:11 UTC
26 points
2 comments4 min readLW link

Con­vic­tion ⚖️ Skepticism

lsusr19 Jan 2021 8:04 UTC
8 points
2 comments1 min readLW link

Pray­ing to God

lsusr19 Jan 2021 10:25 UTC
6 points
15 comments2 min readLW link

Rec­og­niz­ing Numbers

johnswentworth20 Jan 2021 19:50 UTC
26 points
3 comments7 min readLW link

Notes on Op­ti­mism, Hope, and Trust

David_Gross20 Jan 2021 23:00 UTC
8 points
0 comments17 min readLW link

A few thought on the in­ner ring

KatjaGrace21 Jan 2021 3:40 UTC
59 points
21 comments4 min readLW link
(worldspiritsockpuppet.com)

Would most peo­ple benefit from be­ing less co­er­cive to them­selves?

Matt Goldenberg21 Jan 2021 14:24 UTC
21 points
7 comments4 min readLW link

A ghost

Joe Carlsmith21 Jan 2021 7:14 UTC
16 points
0 comments5 min readLW link

Ex­er­cise: Ta­boo “Should”

johnswentworth22 Jan 2021 21:02 UTC
87 points
24 comments9 min readLW link

Bayesian Charity

wfenza22 Jan 2021 14:49 UTC
11 points
5 comments1 min readLW link

On the na­ture of pur­pose

Nora_Ammann22 Jan 2021 8:30 UTC
28 points
15 comments9 min readLW link

Sunzi’s《Meth­ods of War》- The Army’s Form

lsusr23 Jan 2021 6:47 UTC
27 points
5 comments1 min readLW link

Les­sons I’ve Learned from Self-Teaching

TurnTrout23 Jan 2021 19:00 UTC
233 points
64 comments9 min readLW link

Con­fir­ma­tion Bias in Action

Jacob Falkovich24 Jan 2021 17:38 UTC
36 points
1 comment13 min readLW link

What is a VNM sta­ble set, re­ally?

Nisan25 Jan 2021 5:43 UTC
14 points
0 comments7 min readLW link

Reve­la­tion and mathematics

George25 Jan 2021 12:26 UTC
5 points
4 comments5 min readLW link
(cerebralab.com)

A per­spec­tive on co­vari­ate ad­just­ment and con­found­ing in ran­dom­ized ex­per­i­ments.

Darren25 Jan 2021 20:22 UTC
1 point
0 comments1 min readLW link

Notes on Forgiveness

David_Gross26 Jan 2021 2:05 UTC
8 points
4 comments22 min readLW link

[Question] What’s the big deal about Bayes’ The­o­rem?

AVoropaev26 Jan 2021 6:08 UTC
20 points
17 comments3 min readLW link

Build Your Num­ber Sense

AllAmericanBreakfast27 Jan 2021 21:01 UTC
21 points
4 comments4 min readLW link

Op­ti­mal play in hu­man-judged De­bate usu­ally won’t an­swer your question

Joe_Collman27 Jan 2021 7:34 UTC
32 points
8 comments12 min readLW link

Ex­tract­ing Money from Causal De­ci­sion Theorists

Caspar4228 Jan 2021 17:58 UTC
21 points
31 comments1 min readLW link
(doi.org)

[Question] Spaced Rep­e­ti­tion Sys­tems for In­tu­itions?

Alex Ray28 Jan 2021 17:23 UTC
19 points
4 comments1 min readLW link

Round­about Strategy

NicholasKross28 Jan 2021 0:44 UTC
6 points
0 comments8 min readLW link
(www.thinkingmuchbetter.com)

Dumb Di­chotomies in Ethics, Part 1: In­ten­tions vs Consequences

aaronb5029 Jan 2021 3:49 UTC
19 points
11 comments3 min readLW link
(aaronbergman.substack.com)

Limit­ing Causal­ity by Com­plex­ity Class

Bunthut30 Jan 2021 12:18 UTC
18 points
10 comments1 min readLW link

Notes on Judg­ment and Righ­teous Anger

David_Gross30 Jan 2021 19:31 UTC
10 points
1 comment6 min readLW link

Catch­ing the Spark

LoganStrohl30 Jan 2021 23:23 UTC
96 points
20 comments36 min readLW link

[Question] For those who ad­vo­cate Anki

jmh31 Jan 2021 0:01 UTC
20 points
14 comments1 min readLW link

Re­search­ing and Rea­son­ing About Bardiya

lionhearted31 Jan 2021 0:24 UTC
19 points
0 comments2 min readLW link

The 10,000-Hour Rule is a myth

lynettebye1 Feb 2021 4:47 UTC
52 points
26 comments6 min readLW link

Smug­gled frames

Artyom Kazak1 Feb 2021 1:22 UTC
63 points
2 comments6 min readLW link

Fore­cast­ing Newslet­ter: Jan­uary 2021

NunoSempere1 Feb 2021 23:07 UTC
19 points
2 comments7 min readLW link

Feed­back for learning

KatjaGrace1 Feb 2021 9:40 UTC
19 points
4 comments2 min readLW link
(worldspiritsockpuppet.com)

Believ­ing in things you can­not see

Joe Carlsmith1 Feb 2021 7:26 UTC
17 points
0 comments10 min readLW link

Self-Crit­i­cism Can Be Wrong And Harmful

AllAmericanBreakfast1 Feb 2021 1:07 UTC
12 points
3 comments3 min readLW link

Pri­soner’s Dilem­mas : Altru­ism :: Bat­tles of the Sexes : Convention

michaelcohen1 Feb 2021 10:39 UTC
11 points
4 comments4 min readLW link

Deep­mind has made a gen­eral in­duc­tor (“Mak­ing sense of sen­sory in­put”)

MakoYass2 Feb 2021 2:54 UTC
48 points
10 comments1 min readLW link
(www.sciencedirect.com)

[Question] Has any­body used quan­tifi­ca­tion over util­ity func­tions to define “how good a model is”?

Eigil Rischel2 Feb 2021 15:14 UTC
5 points
5 comments2 min readLW link

Bayesian in­fer­ence on 1st or­der logic

Daniel Abolafia3 Feb 2021 1:03 UTC
11 points
6 comments18 min readLW link

Reflec­tions on the cry­on­ics sequence

mingyuan3 Feb 2021 1:17 UTC
95 points
10 comments2 min readLW link

Late-talk­ing kids and “Ein­stein syn­drome”

Steven Byrnes3 Feb 2021 15:16 UTC
29 points
20 comments6 min readLW link

A Gen­tle In­tro­duc­tion on How to Use Anki to Im­prove Your Memory

simbyotic4 Feb 2021 9:59 UTC
13 points
1 comment14 min readLW link

[Question] Any layper­son-ac­cessible refer­ence posts on how to op­er­a­tional­ize be­liefs ?

Optimization Process5 Feb 2021 7:26 UTC
17 points
0 comments1 min readLW link

Net­work­ing and Ex­pert Con­sult­ing As Ra­tion­al