It’s a fair point, but I would expect reasonably often in the R0=1 scenario for there to eventually be a review of what happened.
Zvi
Karma: 25,217
Covid 5/26/22: I Guess I Should Respond To This Week’s Long Covid Study
Vastly less so, yes. At most it is like a new variant.
Mandatory Post About Monkeypox
Formula for a Shortage
Covid 5/19/22: The Law of Five
Formula for Dying Babies
China Covid #3
Covid 5/12/22: Other Priorities
Look. This is dumb. Every week someone comes in and says things like 30% chance of brain fog, but think about that for a second. Half the country has had Covid. So this is saying 15% or more of the population is suffering from crippling brain fog? Wouldn’t we know? I mean come on.
Every time there is a new factoid or study the same impossible claims get made and I have to go through the same statistical fallacies and correlations and impossibility arguments again and again, life beckons.
If you want to go installing UV lights, I mean, sure, go nuts. But I wouldn’t try to convince the Feds to do anything, it won’t work.
Yes, I have returned to normal life and am essentially ignoring Covid risk going forward.
I stand by my analysis in the Long Long Covid Post, but even if you disagree with that on the merits—and sure, I can see various reasons people might disagree somewhat—what’s the alternative? Covid’s not going to go anywhere. You can live your life or you can… never live your life and hide in your apartment forever. Your call, really. If you applied that level of caution generally it’s not compatible with life, and at a minimum it was certainly never compatible with living in a city, among the disease and the air pollution.
Repeal the Foreign Dredge Act of 1906
Covid 5/5/22: A Lack of Care
It’s not only Wikipedia. Every article I have referenced in my draft post uses the term ‘dredger’ so I had no idea this was an issue. But happy to make the change for the full post, and I do sympathize with your pain.
My model of ships vs. cars is that we have a very high-value domestic car market and shipping cars is expensive, so it makes sense to build those here, whereas there is no good reason (other than regulations) to build ships here rather than Europe or Asia, which made it easy for us to become uncompetitive there.
Interesting podcast, I reached out to him since there’s no downside to trying. Your summary seems accurate.
It’s a good data point—we can pin the Vasco de Gama at $120mm. The question is how we get from there to $200mm for a similar USA-made product, and how long that would take—presumably a lot longer than it took to build the Gama since you’d have to bring the talent together and also build the construction capacity. Can we narrow this down more?
I do like the idea of hiring the former employees of CNdN if they’re available, and there’d presumably be enough support to get them visas.
Good note on the title. Hopefully the first paragraph cleared that up, but I’ll watch for that in the future. Likely too late at this point to fix.