I’d say that even if doctors are not competent we still don’t need an FDA that bans things, at most we need an FDA that evaluates strength of evidence for safety and efficacy and which competes with private firms doing the same.
Zvi
Karma: 17,934
My heuristic for this at this point (without going into the evidence I’m using): Natural infection counts as something like +2 vaccine doses. So if you’re infected but not vaccinated it’s as good or somewhat better than 2-dose mRNA, and if you’re vaccinated plus infected you’re effectively immune.
The issue, as I’ve mentioned, is that a lot of people are wrong about whether they’ve been infected, in both directions, or would claim it if it was helpful, so it’s hard to use it as a criteria officially. On a personal level, yeah, big game.
Covid 9/23: There Is a War
I don’t, sorry.
Does this mean I need to always use snipping tool rather than copy image, or will that somehow also not work?
I’m not the one who maintains the sequence, I forget who does do it but the mods should be able to add this one. Likely issue is that this came out on a Friday.
Covid 9/17: Done Biden His Time
It’s a small area, usually unventilated so a hot box, for an extended period of time with the same person, who does this on a regular basis. Seems to me like the chance of reaching critical mass to get infected is much higher than in most mass transit scenarios, especially with ridership down by half—when I ride the subway it’s usually mostly empty and I can be rather far away from everyone.
But of course, yes, details matter. Hours on a crowded bus would be different, it’s just that the buses tend no longer to be crowded. Last time I took a long bus ride it was >90% empty.
Always happy to have pedantic corrections so long as they’re correct—it’s up to me whether or not to care enough to fix ’em.
Yes, my typo. It’s been fixed.
Covid 9/9: Passing the Peak
If it’s literally that, then it’s on the borderline. If it’s harder, then yeah, it’s that bad.
So I’d put the images on Wordpress except that would require using their editor to do so, and their editor is a walking dumpster fire. I could try to reclaim the old editor by using a plug-in but they want $300/year for that, which seems pretty extreme (I’d do it if I couldn’t find any other solution I suppose, it’s not THAT much money, it just stings quite a lot). Cloudflare at $5/month seems better and potentially gives better performance. Can anyone confirm whether this would be a good idea?
That’s a problem I’ve heard about on the Wordpress versions of these posts but that’s the first I’ve heard of it happening on LW. It’s been especially bad this week from all reports.
What’s happening is this:
I write the post in Google, using Snipping Tool or Copy Image to grab the images and pasting them into a Google Doc.
I copy/paste the Google Doc into Wordpress. I used to edit directly in Wordpress but their new ‘blocks’ editor is unusably bad unless someone explains why it isn’t. Seriously, wow, it’s bad.
I post to Wordpress.
Post gets copied over to LessWrong from Wordpress.
My current understanding is that this causes the images to remain hosted by Google (and GWS’s comment suggests this is also true of the LW version), and as popularity of the posts has gone up over time, I’m running into rate-limit issues with the images more often.
I need a better solution, with these being the basic conditions:
I can edit in a WYSIWYG editor that can take pasted images directly into the post. Ideally this is hosted online so I can switch computers, but offline is acceptable if necessary.
Wherever I’m editing, once I’m done, I can paste the thing into Wordpress or otherwise easily get it there and post.
Cost in setup time and dollars is ‘reasonable’ in context.
There are other features I’d like, especially better comment formatting/threading, but they’re not important.
Any suggestions? This seems like a crowd that would know what to do here. Also, mod team, should this be happening to the LW version too?
Covid 9/2: Long Covid Analysis
Can confirm gwern/gjm’s responses that the system autoposts my stuff to LW when I post to my personal blog, which is where this is intended to go. Posts that are not good fits for LW remain here as personal blog posts, and I appreciate this backup system in case my blog goes offline for some reason in the future (e.g. rising censorship).
Guide to Warwick, New York
Fixed the issues listed in the original, needs a reimport (not that they’re mission critical).
Good catch. Looks like the overrule is on the narrow frontline issue and she’s going to align with the FDA.
Would have been great if she’d gone for the correct answer, but at least now we know where we’re at.