[This can be ignored—already answered well enough. Kind of a nit but the graph seems a bit confusing. How can GDP per capita continue on it’s trend, presumably with the 2.1% growth bust from the AI gains, while population is crashing? Or is the trend GDP just presuming the implied population changes that were historically embedded in the data series?]
But I would like to know more about the model for the extinction plot. I was just wondering about that views about the path between what you guys call the singularity and when extinction is suppose to occur. I think this is the first time I’ve seen that presented. (But don’t rule out it’s been a lot of placed I’ve just never looked.)
So I should assume that it happens some time before the sun goes nova, as long as we don’t humans don’t escape the the inner solar system or come up with some energy sources that would allow survival after such an event?
Strikes me as a rather tautological type answer but if that is where the AI risk position is I honestly see no reason to get all worked up about the claims.