Rationality

Core TagLast edit: Feb 9, 2024, 1:57 AM by jimrandomh

Rationality is the art of thinking in ways that result in accurate beliefs and good decisions. It is the primary topic of LessWrong.

Rationality is not only about avoiding the vices of self-deception and obfuscation (the failure to communicate clearly), but also about the virtue of curiosity, seeing the world more clearly than before, and achieving things previously unreachable to you. The study of rationality on LessWrong includes a theoretical understanding of ideal cognitive algorithms, as well as building a practice that uses these idealized algorithms to inform heuristics, habits, and techniques, to successfully reason and make decisions in the real world.

Topics covered in rationality include (but are not limited to): normative and theoretical explorations of ideal reasoning; the capabilities and limitations of our brain, mind and psychology; applied advice such as introspection techniques and how to achieve truth collaboratively; practical techniques and methodologies for figuring out what’s true ranging from rough quantitative modeling to full research guides.

Note that content about how the world is can be found under World Modeling, and practical advice about how to change the world is categorized under World Optimization or Practical.

Theory / Concepts

Anticipated Experiences
Aumann’s Agreement Theorem
Bayes Theorem
Bounded Rationality
Conservation of Expected
Contrarianism
Decision Theory
Epistemology
Game Theory
Gears-Level
Hansonian Pre-Rationality
Law-Thinking
Map and Territory
Newcomb’s Problem
Occam’s razor
Robust Agents
Solomonoff Induction
Truth, Semantics, & Meaning
Utility Functions

Applied Topics

Alief
Betting
Cached Thoughts
Calibration
Dark Arts
Empiricism
Epistemic Modesty
Forecasting & Prediction
Group Rationality
Identity
Inside/Outside View
Introspection
Intuition
Practice & Philosophy of Science
Scholarship & Learning
Taking Ideas Seriously
Value of Information

Failure Modes

Affect Heuristic
Bucket Errors
Compartmentalization
Confirmation Bias
Fallacies
Goodhart’s Law
Groupthink
Heuristics and Biases
Mind Projection Fallacy
Motivated Reasoning
Pica
Pitfalls of Rationality
Rationalization
Self-Deception
Sunk-Cost Fallacy

Communication

Common Knowledge
Conversation
Decoupling vs Contextualizing
Disagreement
Distillation & Pedagogy
Double-Crux
Good Explanations (Advice)
Ideological Turing Tests
Inferential Distance
Information Cascades
Memetic Immune System
Philosophy of Language
Steelmanning

Techniques

Double-Crux
Focusing
Goal Factoring
Internal Double Crux
Hamming Questions
Noticing
Techniques
Trigger Action Planning/Patterns

Models of the Mind

Consciousness
Dual Process Theory (System 1 & 2)
General Intelligence
Subagents
Predictive Processing
Perceptual Control Theory
Zombies

Other

Center for Applied Rationality
Curiosity
Rationality Quotes
Updated Beliefs (examples of)

This list is not comprehensive! The tagging system is new. Many needed tags have not been created and/or added to the above list.

What we’re calling “rationality”

A good heuristic is that rationality is about cognitive algorithms. Rather than being a synonym for true or optimal, the term rational should be reserved for describing whether or not a cognitive algorithm results in true beliefs and optimal actions.

This is distinct from practical advice, such as how to improve relationships or implement productivity systems, which should not be considered “rationality” per se. Some have pushed against labeling self-help as “rational dating”, etc. for reasons along these lines [1, 2], and they are probably correct.

In accordance with this, LessWrong classifies most self-help type advice under the World Optimization tag and not the Rationality tag.

Similarly, most object-level material about how the world is, e.g. math, biology, history, etc. is tagged under World Modeling tag, with exceptions for neuroscience and probability theory, etc., which have concrete consequences for how one ought to think.

Heuristics and Biases

Early material on LessWrong frequently describes rationality with reference to heuristics and biases [1, 2]. Indeed, LessWrong grew out of the blog Overcoming Bias and even Rationality: A-Z opens with a discussion of biases [1] with the opening chapter titled Predictably Wrong. The idea is that human mind has been shown to systematically make certain errors of reasoning, like confirmation bias. Rationality then consists of overcoming these biases.

Apart from the issue of the replication crises which discredited many examples of bias that were commonly referenced on LessWrong, e.g. priming, the “overcoming biases” frame of rationality is too limited. Rationality requires the development of many positive skills, not just removing negative biases to reveal underlying perfect reasoning. These are skills such as how to update the correct amount in response to evidence, how to resolve disagreements with others, how to introspect, and many more.

Instrumental vs Epistemic Rationality

Classically, on LessWrong, a distinction has been made between instrumental rationality and epistemic rationality, however, these terms may be misleading – it’s not as though epistemic rationality can be traded off for gains in instrumental rationality. Only apparently, and to think one should do this is a trap.

Instrumental rationality is defined as being concerned with achieving goals. More specifically, instrumental rationality is the art of choosing and implementing actions that steer the future toward outcomes ranked higher in one’s preferences. Said preferences are not limited to ‘selfish’ preferences or unshared values; they include anything one cares about.

Epistemic rationality is defined as the part of rationality which involves achieving accurate beliefs about the world. It involves updating on receiving new evidence, mitigating cognitive biases, and examining why you believe what you believe. It can be seen as a form of instrumental rationality in which knowledge and truth are goals in themselves, whereas in other forms of instrumental rationality, knowledge and truth are only potential aids to achieving goals. Someone practicing instrumental rationality might even find falsehood useful.

The Art and Science of Rationality

In a field like biology, we can draw a distinction between the science of biology, which involves various theories and empirical data about biological life, and the art of being a biologist, which is the specific way that a biologist thinks and plays with ideas and interacts to the world around them. Similarly, rationality is both a science and an art. There’s study of the iron-clad laws of reasoning and mechanics of the human mind, but there’s also the general training to be the kind of person who reasons well.

Rationalist

The term rationalist as a description of people is used in a couple of ways. It can refer to someone who endeavors to think better and implement as much rationality as they can. Many prefer the term aspiring rationalist to convey that the identifier is a claim to the goal of being more rational rather than a claim of having attained it already.

Perhaps more commonly, rationalist is used to refer culturally to someone associated with various rationalist communities separate from their efforts to improve their rationality.

Twelve Virtues of Rationality

Eliezer YudkowskyJan 1, 2006, 8:00 AM

203 points

113 votes

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Reality-Revealing and Reality-Masking Puzzles

AnnaSalamonJan 16, 2020, 4:15 PM

251 points

106 votes

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61 comments13 min readLW link 1 review

Humans are not automatically strategic

AnnaSalamonSep 8, 2010, 7:02 AM

433 points

366 votes

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275 comments4 min readLW link

Rationality: Appreciating Cognitive Algorithms

Eliezer YudkowskyOct 6, 2012, 9:59 AM

79 points

66 votes

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136 comments5 min readLW link

What Do We Mean By “Rationality”?

Eliezer YudkowskyMar 16, 2009, 10:33 PM

282 points

292 votes

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14 comments6 min readLW link

The Bottom Line

Eliezer YudkowskySep 28, 2007, 5:47 PM

142 points

107 votes

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15 comments4 min readLW link

Babble

alkjashJan 10, 2018, 9:56 PM

167 points

118 votes

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31 comments5 min readLW link 2 reviews

(radimentary.wordpress.com)

[Question] What are the open problems in Human Rationality?

RaemonJan 13, 2019, 4:46 AM

94 points

35 votes

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93 comments1 min readLW link 3 reviews

Eight Short Studies On Excuses

Scott AlexanderApr 20, 2010, 11:01 PM

696 points

653 votes

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244 comments10 min readLW link

“Flinching away from truth” is often about protecting the epistemology

AnnaSalamonDec 20, 2016, 6:39 PM

210 points

137 votes

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56 comments7 min readLW link

The Apologist and the Revolutionary

Scott AlexanderMar 11, 2009, 9:39 PM

243 points

207 votes

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100 comments5 min readLW link

Local Validity as a Key to Sanity and Civilization

Eliezer YudkowskyApr 7, 2018, 4:25 AM

158 points

110 votes

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65 comments13 min readLW link 5 reviews

A Sketch of Good Communication

Ben PaceMar 31, 2018, 10:48 PM

159 points

100 votes

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35 comments3 min readLW link 1 review

Trapped Priors As A Basic Problem Of Rationality

Scott AlexanderMar 12, 2021, 8:02 PM

134 points

68 votes

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32 comments14 min readLW link 3 reviews

Probability is in the Mind

Eliezer YudkowskyMar 12, 2008, 4:08 AM

118 points

97 votes

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194 comments6 min readLW link

Toolbox-thinking and Law-thinking

Eliezer YudkowskyMay 31, 2018, 9:28 PM

138 points

95 votes

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48 comments12 min readLW link

Rationality is Systematized Winning

Eliezer YudkowskyApr 3, 2009, 2:41 PM

85 points

83 votes

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265 comments3 min readLW link

Unbounded Scales, Huge Jury Awards, & Futurism

Eliezer YudkowskyNov 29, 2007, 7:45 AM

64 points

48 votes

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10 comments3 min readLW link

The Martial Art of Rationality

Eliezer YudkowskyNov 22, 2006, 8:00 PM

214 points

202 votes

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49 comments3 min readLW link

The noncentral fallacy—the worst argument in the world?

Scott AlexanderAug 27, 2012, 3:36 AM

365 points

322 votes

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A revolution in philosophy: the rise of conceptual engineering

Suspended ReasonJun 2, 2020, 6:30 PM

128 points

59 votes

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50 comments21 min readLW link

Hiding Complexity

Rafael HarthNov 20, 2020, 4:35 PM

29 points

10 votes

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14 comments7 min readLW link

Creating a truly formidable Art

ValentineOct 14, 2021, 4:39 AM

116 points

81 votes

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59 comments23 min readLW link 1 review

Diseased thinking: dissolving questions about disease

Scott AlexanderMay 30, 2010, 9:16 PM

477 points

394 votes

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356 comments9 min readLW link

Reason as memetic immune disorder

PhilGoetzSep 19, 2009, 9:05 PM

427 points

352 votes

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182 comments5 min readLW link

The Cognitive Science of Rationality

lukeprogSep 12, 2011, 8:48 PM

135 points

112 votes

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111 comments15 min readLW link

Comment on “Endogenous Epistemic Factionalization”

Zack_M_DavisMay 20, 2020, 6:04 PM

145 points

59 votes

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8 comments7 min readLW link

Rationality Cardinality

jimrandomhApr 27, 2021, 10:27 PM

52 points

16 votes

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5 comments1 min readLW link

How to evaluate (50%) predictions

Rafael HarthApr 10, 2020, 5:12 PM

122 points

63 votes

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50 comments9 min readLW link

Hero Licensing

Eliezer YudkowskyNov 21, 2017, 9:13 PM

215 points

157 votes

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83 comments52 min readLW link

On Platitudes

OuroborusApr 22, 2020, 5:55 AM

28 points

12 votes

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(ouroborusdotblog.wordpress.com)

Strategy is the Deconfusion of Action

ryan_bJan 2, 2019, 8:56 PM

69 points

26 votes

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4 comments6 min readLW link

Intuition

Rafael HarthDec 20, 2020, 9:49 PM

26 points

4 votes

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1 comment6 min readLW link

[Question] Collider bias as a cognitive blindspot?

TurnTroutDec 30, 2020, 2:39 AM

54 points

21 votes

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12 comments2 min readLW link

Your Strength as a Rationalist

Eliezer YudkowskyAug 11, 2007, 12:21 AM

196 points

170 votes

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121 comments2 min readLW link

Precognition

jasoncrawfordJun 14, 2021, 12:38 AM

219 points

152 votes

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(jasoncrawford.org)

[Question] Why didn’t we find katas for rationality?

ChristianKlSep 14, 2021, 4:43 PM

9 points

6 votes

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Real Reality

ship_shlapFeb 5, 2022, 4:13 AM

22 points

10 votes

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2 comments3 min readLW link

Comment reply: my low-quality thoughts on why CFAR didn’t get farther with a “real/efficacious art of rationality”

AnnaSalamonJun 9, 2022, 2:12 AM

239 points

104 votes

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59 comments17 min readLW link

Problem relaxation as a tactic

TurnTroutApr 22, 2020, 11:44 PM

115 points

49 votes

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8 comments7 min readLW link

Dealing with Curiosity-Stoppers

adamShimiJul 30, 2020, 10:05 PM

49 points

18 votes

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6 comments10 min readLW link

Zen and Rationality: Trust in Mind

Gordon Seidoh WorleyAug 11, 2020, 8:23 PM

25 points

12 votes

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3 comments4 min readLW link

On Creativity—The joys of 5 minute timers

Neel NandaAug 18, 2020, 6:26 AM

12 points

9 votes

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(www.neelnanda.io)

Math That Clicks: Look for Two-Way Correspondences

TurnTroutOct 2, 2020, 1:22 AM

35 points

12 votes

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4 comments3 min readLW link

The Treacherous Path to Rationality

Jacob FalkovichOct 9, 2020, 3:34 PM

192 points

101 votes

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116 comments11 min readLW link 1 review

[Question] What could one do with truly unlimited computational power?

YitzNov 11, 2020, 10:03 AM

30 points

10 votes

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22 comments2 min readLW link

Defending the non-central fallacy

Matthew BarnettMar 9, 2021, 9:42 PM

120 points

63 votes

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39 comments6 min readLW link

Rationalism before the Sequences

Eric RaymondMar 30, 2021, 2:04 PM

529 points

256 votes

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82 comments11 min readLW link 2 reviews

The Sandwich Argument

Chris_LeongApr 9, 2020, 3:58 AM

26 points

13 votes

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4 comments1 min readLW link

Information cascades

JohnicholasMar 6, 2009, 4:08 AM

59 points

61 votes

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36 comments2 min readLW link

The Archetypal Rational and Post-Rational

OuroborusApr 15, 2020, 9:40 AM

21 points

15 votes

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Generalizing From One Example

Scott AlexanderApr 28, 2009, 10:00 PM

410 points

361 votes

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Preface

Eliezer YudkowskyMar 11, 2015, 7:00 PM

628 points

690 votes

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Training Regime Day 16: Hamming Questions

Mark XuApr 20, 2020, 2:51 PM

14 points

5 votes

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0 comments4 min readLW link

[Question] What are good defense mechanisms against dangerous bullet biting?

Mati_RoyApr 21, 2020, 8:51 PM

16 points

4 votes

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17 comments1 min readLW link

Noticing the Taste of Lotus

ValentineApr 27, 2018, 8:05 PM

180 points

137 votes

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80 comments3 min readLW link 3 reviews

Heads I Win, Tails?—Never Heard of Her; Or, Selective Reporting and the Tragedy of the Green Rationalists

Zack_M_DavisSep 24, 2019, 4:12 AM

259 points

105 votes

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40 comments8 min readLW link 2 reviews

My experience with the “rationalist uncanny valley”

Thomas KwaApr 23, 2020, 8:27 PM

65 points

37 votes

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18 comments5 min readLW link

Training Regime Day 20: OODA Loop

Mark XuApr 24, 2020, 6:11 PM

24 points

9 votes

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2 comments7 min readLW link

Rationality vs. Taleb’s Antifragilism

MellivoraMay 2, 2020, 2:07 PM

17 points

9 votes

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3 comments4 min readLW link

Studies On Slack

Scott AlexanderMay 13, 2020, 5:00 AM

145 points

65 votes

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(slatestarcodex.com)

The Mechanistic and Normative Structure of Agency

Gordon Seidoh WorleyMay 18, 2020, 4:03 PM

15 points

6 votes

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(philpapers.org)

Radical Probabilism [Transcript]

abramdemski and Ben Pace

Jun 26, 2020, 10:14 PM

46 points

15 votes

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12 comments6 min readLW link

Negotiating With Yourself

orthonormalJun 26, 2020, 11:55 PM

24 points

6 votes

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0 comments5 min readLW link

The allegory of the hospital

Sunny from QADJul 2, 2020, 9:46 PM

5 points

10 votes

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(questionsanddaylight.com)

Models of Value of Learning

johnswentworthJul 7, 2020, 7:08 PM

24 points

8 votes

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Null-boxing Newcomb’s Problem

YitzJul 13, 2020, 4:32 PM

33 points

26 votes

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10 comments4 min readLW link

Book Review: Fooled by Randomness

SherrinfordJul 13, 2020, 9:02 PM

33 points

13 votes

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10 comments5 min readLW link

Algorithmic Intent: A Hansonian Generalized Anti-Zombie Principle

Zack_M_DavisJul 14, 2020, 6:03 AM

50 points

16 votes

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17 comments12 min readLW link

More Right

Adam ZernerJul 22, 2020, 3:36 AM

22 points

17 votes

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29 comments4 min readLW link

Become a person who Actually Does Things

Neel NandaJul 25, 2020, 9:29 AM

53 points

41 votes

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(www.neelnanda.io)

What cognitive biases feel like from the inside

chaosmageJan 3, 2020, 2:24 PM

237 points

118 votes

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33 comments4 min readLW link

Let Your Mind Be Not Fixed

Gordon Seidoh WorleyJul 31, 2020, 5:54 PM

46 points

22 votes

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Unifying the Simulacra Definitions

ZviAug 3, 2020, 12:10 PM

82 points

25 votes

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(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Maybe Lying Can’t Exist?!

Zack_M_DavisAug 23, 2020, 12:36 AM

45 points

33 votes

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Meaningful Rest

Neel NandaAug 29, 2020, 3:50 PM

58 points

34 votes

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Stop pressing the Try Harder button

Neel NandaSep 5, 2020, 9:10 AM

45 points

23 votes

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Zen and Rationality: Map and Territory

Gordon Seidoh WorleySep 12, 2020, 12:45 AM

15 points

5 votes

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Zen and Rationality: Just This Is It

Gordon Seidoh WorleySep 20, 2020, 10:31 PM

34 points

20 votes

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6 comments2 min readLW link 1 review

Losing the forest for the trees with grid drawings

Adam ZernerSep 24, 2020, 9:13 PM

19 points

10 votes

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[Question] Fermi Challenge: Trains and Air Cargo

Ben PaceOct 5, 2020, 9:51 PM

23 points

7 votes

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21 comments1 min readLW link

Logical Foundations of Government Policy

FCCCOct 10, 2020, 5:05 PM

2 points

1 vote

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0 comments17 min readLW link

Message Length

Zack_M_DavisOct 20, 2020, 5:52 AM

131 points

61 votes

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25 comments12 min readLW link

[Question] What are some good examples of fake beliefs?

Adam ZernerNov 14, 2020, 7:40 AM

18 points

2 votes

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Map and Territory: Summary and Thoughts

Adam ZernerDec 5, 2020, 8:21 AM

15 points

6 votes

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4 comments26 min readLW link

Traversing a Cognition Space

Rafael HarthDec 7, 2020, 6:32 PM

16 points

4 votes

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5 comments12 min readLW link

On Reflection

Neel NandaDec 14, 2020, 4:14 PM

26 points

11 votes

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The First Sample Gives the Most Information

Mark XuDec 24, 2020, 8:39 PM

119 points

50 votes

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(markxu.com)

TAPs for Tutoring

Mark XuDec 24, 2020, 8:46 PM

27 points

12 votes

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Great minds might not think alike

Eric NeymanDec 26, 2020, 7:51 PM

288 points

172 votes

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(ericneyman.wordpress.com)

Cognitive mistakes I’ve made about COVID-19

DanielFilanDec 27, 2020, 12:50 AM

45 points

18 votes

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Vaccination with the EMH

DirectedEvolutionDec 29, 2020, 3:05 AM

17 points

9 votes

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You are Dissociating (probably)

Gordon Seidoh WorleyJan 4, 2021, 2:37 PM

32 points

20 votes

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4 comments4 min readLW link

Science in a High-Dimensional World

johnswentworthJan 8, 2021, 5:52 PM

261 points

134 votes

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The Problem of the Criterion

Gordon Seidoh WorleyJan 21, 2021, 3:05 PM

49 points

18 votes

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On clinging

Joe CarlsmithJan 24, 2021, 11:25 PM

47 points

20 votes

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Less Wrong Poetry Corner: Coventry Patmore’s “Magna Est Veritas”

Zack_M_DavisJan 30, 2021, 5:16 AM

15 points

6 votes

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Media Bias

lsusrFeb 22, 2021, 9:14 PM

34 points

20 votes

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9 comments2 min readLW link

Strong Evidence is Common

Mark XuMar 13, 2021, 10:04 PM

222 points

121 votes

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48 comments1 min readLW link 4 reviews

(markxu.com)

Communication Requires Common Interests or Differential Signal Costs

Zack_M_DavisMar 26, 2021, 6:41 AM

39 points

19 votes

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Forcing yourself to keep your identity small is self-harm

Gordon Seidoh WorleyApr 3, 2021, 2:03 PM

33 points

30 votes

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9 comments2 min readLW link

“Taking your environment as object” vs “Being subject to your environment”

Ben PaceApr 11, 2021, 10:47 PM

80 points

33 votes

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18 comments3 min readLW link

An Exercise in Rational Cooperation and Communication: Let’s Play Hanabi

ejacobApr 14, 2021, 8:36 AM

14 points

11 votes

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10 comments7 min readLW link

A cognitive algorithm for “free will.”

DirectedEvolutionJul 14, 2021, 9:33 PM

22 points

10 votes

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27 comments3 min readLW link

Power vs Precision

abramdemskiAug 16, 2021, 6:34 PM

48 points

13 votes

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16 comments4 min readLW link

18 possible meanings of “I Like Red”

ozziegooenAug 23, 2021, 11:25 PM

29 points

16 votes

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14 comments3 min readLW link

Death by a Single Cut

lsusrAug 29, 2021, 3:58 AM

11 points

12 votes

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8 comments2 min readLW link

[Crosspost] On Hreha On Behavioral Economics

Scott AlexanderAug 31, 2021, 6:14 PM

105 points

36 votes

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6 comments22 min readLW link

Blood Is Thicker Than Water 🐬

Zack_M_DavisSep 28, 2021, 3:21 AM

34 points

25 votes

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26 comments13 min readLW link

Self-Integrity and the Drowning Child

Eliezer YudkowskyOct 24, 2021, 8:57 PM

298 points

153 votes

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84 comments5 min readLW link 1 review

Transcript: “You Should Read HPMOR”

TurnTroutNov 2, 2021, 6:20 PM

115 points

53 votes

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Flinches

ship_shlapJan 3, 2022, 11:51 PM

6 points

6 votes

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Epistemic Legibility

ElizabethFeb 9, 2022, 6:10 PM

282 points

109 votes

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(acesounderglass.com)

Intro to Naturalism: Orientation

LoganStrohl and Duncan Sabien (Inactive)

Feb 13, 2022, 7:52 AM

158 points

76 votes

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Monks of Magnitude

Duncan Sabien (Inactive)Feb 18, 2022, 7:48 AM

103 points

58 votes

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[David Chapman] Resisting or embracing meta-rationality

Gordon Seidoh WorleyFeb 27, 2022, 9:46 PM

25 points

10 votes

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(metarationality.com)

We’re already in AI takeoff

ValentineMar 8, 2022, 11:09 PM

125 points

164 votes

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Anecdotes Can Be Strong Evidence and Bayes Theorem Proves It

FCCCMar 13, 2022, 4:06 AM

16 points

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3 comments4 min readLW link

Even more curated conversations with brilliant rationalists

spencergMar 21, 2022, 11:49 PM

58 points

33 votes

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0 comments15 min readLW link

Rationality Dojo

lsusrApr 24, 2022, 12:53 AM

14 points

18 votes

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5 comments1 min readLW link

I Think Therefore Someone Is Or Was?

UtilityMonsterApr 24, 2022, 5:09 PM

2 points

7 votes

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4 comments1 min readLW link

How to be skeptical about meditation/Buddhism

ViliamMay 1, 2022, 10:30 AM

69 points

42 votes

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39 comments2 min readLW link

Public beliefs vs. Private beliefs

Eli TyreJun 1, 2022, 9:33 PM

134 points

78 votes

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26 comments5 min readLW link

Staying Split: Sabatini and Social Justice

Duncan Sabien (Inactive)Jun 8, 2022, 8:32 AM

149 points

66 votes

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28 comments21 min readLW link

[Link] New SEP article on Bayesian Epistemology

Aryeh EnglanderJun 13, 2022, 3:03 PM

6 points

2 votes

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0 comments1 min readLW link

Cognitive Dissonance on Cognitive Capability

Max NiedermanJul 6, 2022, 10:53 PM

6 points

4 votes

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(maxniederman.com)

[Question] Why are some problems Super Hard?

Gabriel AlfourAug 24, 2022, 5:58 PM

40 points

17 votes

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34 comments3 min readLW link

Truth seeking is motivated cognition

Gordon Seidoh WorleyOct 7, 2022, 7:19 PM

6 points

11 votes

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39 comments3 min readLW link

What should a telic science look like?

mrcbarbierJan 7, 2023, 4:13 PM

9 points

5 votes

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0 comments11 min readLW link

Reply to Duncan Sabien on Strawmanning

Zack_M_DavisFeb 3, 2023, 5:57 PM

30 points

19 votes

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7 comments4 min readLW link

The Proper Use of Humility

Eliezer YudkowskyDec 1, 2006, 7:55 PM

154 points

138 votes

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54 comments5 min readLW link

Rationalists Are Less Credulous But Better At Taking Ideas Seriously

Scott AlexanderJan 21, 2014, 2:18 AM

100 points

80 votes

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287 comments3 min readLW link

Lonely Dissent

Eliezer YudkowskyDec 28, 2007, 4:23 AM

115 points

88 votes

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86 comments4 min readLW link

Training Regime Day 19: Hamming Questions for Potted Plants

Mark XuApr 23, 2020, 4:00 PM

45 points

20 votes

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1 comment3 min readLW link

Something to Protect

Eliezer YudkowskyJan 30, 2008, 5:52 PM

164 points

132 votes

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78 comments6 min readLW link

[Question] Why is my (our?) reasoning process noisy?

emanuele ascaniApr 25, 2020, 12:19 PM

9 points

7 votes

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4 comments2 min readLW link

Post/meta-skepticism I

OuroborusApr 26, 2020, 12:18 AM

8 points

8 votes

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(ouroborusdotblog.wordpress.com)

Training Regime Day 24: Resolve Cycles 2

Mark XuApr 28, 2020, 7:00 PM

16 points

7 votes

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A Fable of Science and Politics

Eliezer YudkowskyDec 23, 2006, 4:50 AM

277 points

240 votes

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103 comments5 min readLW link

Being the (Pareto) Best in the World

johnswentworthJun 24, 2019, 6:36 PM

336 points

210 votes

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55 comments3 min readLW link 3 reviews

Negative Feedback and Simulacra

ElizabethApr 29, 2020, 2:00 AM

148 points

75 votes

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24 comments9 min readLW link 1 review

(acesounderglass.com)

What’s a Bias?

Eliezer YudkowskyNov 27, 2006, 1:50 AM

145 points

147 votes

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16 comments2 min readLW link

Why Truth?

Eliezer YudkowskyNov 27, 2006, 1:49 AM

137 points

136 votes

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57 comments3 min readLW link

[Question] How to learn from a stronger rationalist in daily life?

Thomas KwaMay 20, 2020, 4:55 AM

16 points

4 votes

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11 comments1 min readLW link

Reflective Complaints

RaemonMay 21, 2020, 9:11 PM

35 points

16 votes

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20 comments1 min readLW link

Baking is Not a Ritual

Sisi ChengMay 25, 2020, 6:08 PM

117 points

67 votes

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27 comments4 min readLW link

Too busy to think about life

AcademianApr 22, 2010, 3:14 PM

137 points

121 votes

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62 comments3 min readLW link

Focus: you are allowed to be bad at accomplishing your goals

adamShimiJun 3, 2020, 9:04 PM

19 points

10 votes

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17 comments3 min readLW link

The Skill of Noticing Emotions

Neel NandaJun 4, 2020, 5:48 PM

77 points

37 votes

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6 comments17 min readLW link

Everyday Lessons from High-Dimensional Optimization

johnswentworthJun 6, 2020, 8:57 PM

152 points

74 votes

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37 comments6 min readLW link

Philosophy in the Darkest Timeline: Basics of the Evolution of Meaning

Zack_M_DavisJun 7, 2020, 7:52 AM

118 points

66 votes

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17 comments14 min readLW link

[Question] By what metric do you judge a reference class?

B JacobsJun 15, 2020, 6:34 PM

7 points

4 votes

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2 comments1 min readLW link

Where to Start Research?

ElizabethJun 16, 2020, 6:10 PM

68 points

32 votes

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4 comments3 min readLW link

(acesounderglass.com)

Biases: An Introduction

Rob BensingerMar 11, 2015, 7:00 PM

212 points

265 votes

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12 comments5 min readLW link

Making Beliefs Pay Rent (in Anticipated Experiences)

Eliezer YudkowskyJul 28, 2007, 10:59 PM

354 points

315 votes

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261 comments4 min readLW link

Born as the seventh month dies …

Rudi CJul 10, 2020, 3:07 PM

6 points

2 votes

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8 comments2 min readLW link

Human Evil and Muddled Thinking

Eliezer YudkowskySep 13, 2007, 11:43 PM

100 points

76 votes

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143 comments3 min readLW link

Religion’s Claim to be Non-Disprovable

Eliezer YudkowskyAug 4, 2007, 3:21 AM

275 points

239 votes

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330 comments4 min readLW link

But There’s Still A Chance, Right?

Eliezer YudkowskyJan 6, 2008, 1:56 AM

96 points

82 votes

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Chains, Bottlenecks and Optimization

Elliot TempleJul 21, 2020, 2:07 AM

14 points

10 votes

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Bottleneck Examples

Elliot TempleJul 23, 2020, 6:23 PM

11 points

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0 comments9 min readLW link

What it means to optimise

Neel NandaJul 25, 2020, 9:40 AM

5 points

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(www.neelnanda.io)

How to learn from conversations

Neel NandaJul 25, 2020, 9:36 AM

16 points

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(www.neelnanda.io)

Taking the first step

Neel NandaJul 25, 2020, 9:33 AM

10 points

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0 comments16 min readLW link

(www.neelnanda.io)

Why You Might Want a New Way to Visualize Biases

dtmJul 27, 2020, 5:30 PM

18 points

12 votes

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3 comments3 min readLW link

Rereading Atlas Shrugged

VaniverJul 28, 2020, 6:54 PM

150 points

72 votes

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28 comments13 min readLW link 1 review

Enforcing Type Distinction

lionhearted (Sebastian Marshall)Jul 31, 2020, 11:39 AM

25 points

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Tearing down the Chesterton’s Fence principle

DirectedEvolutionAug 2, 2020, 4:56 AM

34 points

15 votes

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7 comments3 min readLW link

Proper posture for mental arts

ValentineAug 31, 2015, 2:29 AM

59 points

38 votes

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42 comments8 min readLW link

Zen and Rationality: Don’t Know Mind

Gordon Seidoh WorleyAug 6, 2020, 4:33 AM

25 points

14 votes

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How to Ignore Your Emotions (while also thinking you’re awesome at emotions)

HazardJul 31, 2019, 1:34 PM

276 points

167 votes

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72 comments4 min readLW link 4 reviews

The Law of Least Effort Contributes to the Conjunction Fallacy

Elliot TempleAug 9, 2020, 7:38 PM

7 points

9 votes

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53 comments3 min readLW link

Fantasy-Forbidding Expert Opinion

yamabikoAug 10, 2020, 12:01 AM

18 points

10 votes

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9 comments3 min readLW link

“Good judgement” and its components

owencbAug 24, 2020, 10:32 AM

27 points

8 votes

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4 comments3 min readLW link

Mathematical Inconsistency in Solomonoff Induction?

Elliot TempleAug 25, 2020, 5:09 PM

7 points

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15 comments2 min readLW link

Excusing a Failure to Adjust

Ronny FernandezAug 26, 2020, 1:51 PM

12 points

8 votes

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2 comments1 min readLW link

“On Bullshit” and “On Truth,” by Harry Frankfurt

CallmesalticidaeAug 28, 2020, 12:44 AM

20 points

5 votes

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3 comments6 min readLW link

Anthropic Reasoning and Perspective-Based Arguments

dadadarrenSep 1, 2020, 12:36 PM

19 points

10 votes

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59 comments2 min readLW link

How To Fermi Model

habryka and Eli Tyre

Sep 9, 2020, 5:13 AM

86 points

35 votes

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9 comments11 min readLW link 2 reviews

Leslie’s Firing Squad Can’t Save The Fine-Tuning Argument

dadadarrenSep 9, 2020, 3:21 PM

9 points

6 votes

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(www.sleepingbeautyproblem.com)

‘Ugh fields’, or why you can’t even bear to think about that task (Rob Wiblin)

habrykaSep 11, 2020, 8:31 PM

23 points

11 votes

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17 comments2 min readLW link

(medium.com)

Comparative advantage and when to blow up your island

dynomightSep 12, 2020, 6:20 AM

140 points

65 votes

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40 comments1 min readLW link

(dynomight.net)

[Question] Rationality for Kids?

goose000Sep 16, 2020, 10:58 PM

49 points

19 votes

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28 comments1 min readLW link

Learning how to learn

Neel NandaSep 30, 2020, 4:50 PM

35 points

18 votes

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(www.neelnanda.io)

Thoughts on ADHD

romeostevensitOct 7, 2020, 8:46 PM

74 points

47 votes

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16 comments3 min readLW link

How to reach 80% of your goals. Exactly 80%.

Bart BussmannOct 10, 2020, 5:33 PM

32 points

23 votes

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11 comments1 min readLW link

On Slack—Having room to be excited

Neel NandaOct 10, 2020, 7:02 PM

18 points

14 votes

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(www.neelnanda.io)

Launching Forecast, a community for crowdsourced predictions from Facebook

Rebecca KossnickOct 20, 2020, 6:20 AM

110 points

44 votes

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15 comments3 min readLW link

Can we prime people to take risk?

tonyoconnorNov 7, 2020, 5:17 PM

5 points

3 votes

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11 comments3 min readLW link

Simpson’s paradox and the tyranny of strata

dynomightNov 19, 2020, 5:46 PM

27 points

11 votes

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(dyno-might.github.io)

My intellectual influences

Richard_NgoNov 22, 2020, 6:00 PM

92 points

39 votes

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1 comment5 min readLW link

(thinkingcomplete.blogspot.com)

Learning from counterfactuals

GyrodiotNov 25, 2020, 11:07 PM

11 points

3 votes

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5 comments2 min readLW link

In Addition to Ragebait and Doomscrolling

mike_hawkeDec 3, 2020, 6:26 PM

73 points

43 votes

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20 comments1 min readLW link

The Incomprehensibility Bluff

SocratesDissatisfiedDec 6, 2020, 6:26 PM

41 points

24 votes

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22 comments6 min readLW link

Pseudorandomness contest, Round 2

Eric NeymanDec 20, 2020, 8:35 AM

19 points

10 votes

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(ericneyman.wordpress.com)

[Question] How to practice rationality?

warrenjordanDec 23, 2020, 11:15 PM

5 points

4 votes

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7 comments1 min readLW link

The Perversity of High Standards

SocratesDissatisfiedDec 27, 2020, 2:37 PM

19 points

7 votes

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3 comments3 min readLW link

A Model of Ontological Development

Gordon Seidoh WorleyDec 31, 2020, 1:55 AM

25 points

13 votes

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6 comments24 min readLW link

Are we all misaligned?

Mateusz MazurkiewiczJan 3, 2021, 2:42 AM

11 points

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0 comments5 min readLW link

Out-of-body reasoning (OOBR)

Jon ZeroJan 9, 2021, 4:10 PM

5 points

4 votes

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0 comments4 min readLW link

Fittingness: Rational success in concept formation

PolytoposJan 10, 2021, 3:58 PM

6 points

4 votes

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9 comments6 min readLW link

Pseudorandomness contest: prizes, results, and analysis

Eric NeymanJan 15, 2021, 6:24 AM

147 points

65 votes

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(ericneyman.wordpress.com)

Rationality and Geoguessr

CullenJan 17, 2021, 1:34 AM

13 points

9 votes

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3 comments2 min readLW link

Everything Okay

ZviJan 23, 2021, 2:50 PM

60 points

44 votes

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(thezvi.wordpress.com)

How to Absorb a Shared Success Script (while also thinking you’re living without one)

HazardJan 31, 2021, 8:17 PM

59 points

30 votes

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6 comments16 min readLW link

Learning Normativity: Language

BunthutFeb 5, 2021, 10:26 PM

14 points

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4 comments8 min readLW link

[Question] The Crux of Understanding Written Text—Text reading and inference

JohnCheeseFeb 20, 2021, 10:20 PM

1 point

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When you already know the answer—Using your Inner Simulator

Neel NandaFeb 23, 2021, 5:58 PM

38 points

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(www.neelnanda.io)

The Inner Workings of Resourcefulness

Nora_AmmannFeb 25, 2021, 9:15 AM

22 points

8 votes

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3 comments8 min readLW link

[Question] Good brainteasers for children?

ejacobMar 2, 2021, 6:44 AM

12 points

4 votes

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12 comments1 min readLW link

The Case for Logical Fallacies

Aaron BergmanMar 8, 2021, 3:04 AM

14 points

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(aaronbergman.substack.com)

[Lecture Club] Awakening from the Meaning Crisis

VaniverMar 8, 2021, 3:22 PM

69 points

24 votes

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186 comments2 min readLW link

Mary and the Black And White Memory Implant

sxaeMar 23, 2021, 4:48 PM

−2 points

3 votes

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24 comments2 min readLW link

Magic Shoes

onurMar 24, 2021, 9:14 PM

11 points

9 votes

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0 comments3 min readLW link

Many methods of causal inference try to identify a “safe” subset of variation

tailcalledMar 30, 2021, 2:36 PM

13 points

4 votes

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6 comments9 min readLW link

Bellman’s Curse on Advice

nibnalinApr 19, 2021, 2:30 AM

2 points

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Maps of Maps, and Empty Expectations

Nora_AmmannMay 3, 2021, 9:59 AM

35 points

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5 comments14 min readLW link

[Linkpost] If You Can Be Bad, You Can Also Be Good

MaxGMay 4, 2021, 6:26 AM

5 points

4 votes

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(astralcodexten.substack.com)

[Question] Is it true that most studies in Kahneman’s ‘Thinking fast and slow’ are not replicable and the book is largely not supported by evidence?

Davy JonesJun 30, 2021, 7:14 AM

17 points

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Should VS Would and Newcomb’s Paradox

dadadarrenJul 3, 2021, 11:45 PM

5 points

7 votes

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36 comments2 min readLW link

How to Sleep Better

Marius HobbhahnJul 16, 2021, 12:00 AM

46 points

28 votes

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49 comments15 min readLW link

Importance of Ideas and People We Disagree With

OlitnessJul 29, 2021, 11:50 AM

−1 points

7 votes

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(olitness.wordpress.com)

Shame: Authentic & Applied/Manufactured Shame

Phoenix EliotAug 18, 2021, 9:37 PM

8 points

6 votes

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6 comments7 min readLW link

[Question] Is LessWrong dead without Cox’s theorem?

Haziq MuhammadSep 4, 2021, 5:45 AM

−2 points

4 votes

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88 comments1 min readLW link

Explanations as Hard to Vary Assertions

AlexanderSep 24, 2021, 11:33 AM

17 points

9 votes

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24 comments8 min readLW link

Occam’s Razor and the Universal Prior

Peter ChatainOct 3, 2021, 3:23 AM

22 points

15 votes

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5 comments21 min readLW link

Book Review: All I Want To Know Is Where I’m Going To Die So I’ll Never Go There

AnmoljainOct 13, 2021, 3:46 AM

2 points

4 votes

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2 comments46 min readLW link

Recommending Understand, a Game about Discerning the Rules

MondSemmelOct 28, 2021, 2:53 PM

88 points

45 votes

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41 comments4 min readLW link

The Rationalists of the 1950s (and before) also called themselves “Rationalists”

Owain_EvansNov 28, 2021, 8:17 PM

182 points

80 votes

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29 comments3 min readLW link 1 review

Notes on Rationality

David GrossJan 16, 2022, 7:05 PM

16 points

6 votes

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1 comment14 min readLW link

There is a line in the sand, just not where you think it is

Wuschel SchulzJan 22, 2022, 10:33 AM

46 points

29 votes

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4 comments2 min readLW link

Words are Imprecise Telepathy

LightStarJan 24, 2022, 1:45 AM

11 points

5 votes

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2 comments2 min readLW link

[Question] Transferring credence without transferring evidence?

KaarelFeb 4, 2022, 8:11 AM

11 points

5 votes

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6 comments3 min readLW link

Knowing

LoganStrohlFeb 13, 2022, 7:53 AM

83 points

44 votes

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12 comments5 min readLW link

Non-Fungible Costs

hawkebiaFeb 18, 2022, 5:15 PM

13 points

13 votes

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14 comments3 min readLW link

Your Future Self’s Credences Should Be Unpredictable to You

David UdellMar 11, 2022, 11:33 PM

6 points

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8 comments2 min readLW link

Learned Blankness and Expectations of Solubility

brookMar 18, 2022, 12:42 PM

8 points

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2 comments2 min readLW link

Know of any randomised trials teaching debiasing in schools? Want to help review them, or would that review help your work?

MNoetelMar 20, 2022, 4:52 AM

29 points

14 votes

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2 comments4 min readLW link

140 Cognitive Biases You Should Know

André FerrettiApr 9, 2022, 5:15 PM

7 points

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7 comments1 min readLW link

Epistemic Slipperiness

RaemonApr 11, 2022, 1:48 AM

55 points

27 votes

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18 comments7 min readLW link

The Platonist’s Dilemma: A Remix on the Prisoner’s.

James CamachoApr 12, 2022, 3:49 AM

5 points

3 votes

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2 comments5 min readLW link

Slack gives you space to notice/reflect on subtle things

RaemonApr 24, 2022, 2:30 AM

143 points

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18 comments1 min readLW link

Saying no to the Appleman

Johannes C. MayerApr 29, 2022, 10:39 AM

45 points

28 votes

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12 comments3 min readLW link

Maybe I 100% Know Something. But I Probably Won’t Be Able To 100% Explain It

UtilityMonsterMay 1, 2022, 5:13 PM

3 points

2 votes

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0 comments3 min readLW link

Dath Ilani Rule of Law

David UdellMay 10, 2022, 6:17 AM

15 points

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25 comments4 min readLW link

The “Adults in the Room”

David UdellMay 17, 2022, 4:03 AM

35 points

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1 comment4 min readLW link

A possible check against motivated reasoning using elicit.org

david reinsteinMay 18, 2022, 8:52 PM

4 points

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King David’s %: Establishing a new symbol for Bayesian probability.

Paul LoganJun 26, 2022, 7:47 PM

−11 points

11 votes

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(laulpogan.substack.com)

Units of Exchange

CFAR!DuncanJun 28, 2022, 4:53 PM

88 points

39 votes

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28 comments11 min readLW link

When is it appropriate to use statistical models and probabilities for decision making ?

Younes KamelJul 5, 2022, 12:34 PM

10 points

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(youneskamel.substack.com)

[Question] What are the simplest questions in applied rationality where you don’t know the answer to?

ChristianKlJul 20, 2022, 9:53 AM

24 points

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Embracing the Opposition’s Point

YuliaAug 21, 2022, 9:51 AM

21 points

13 votes

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(yuliaverse.substack.com)

Quantified Intuitions: An epistemics training website including a new EA-themed calibration app

Sage Future and elifland

Sep 20, 2022, 10:25 PM

28 points

7 votes

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1 comment2 min readLW link

Contingency is not arbitrary

Gordon Seidoh WorleyOct 12, 2022, 4:35 AM

12 points

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0 comments3 min readLW link

Mnestics

Jarred FilmerOct 23, 2022, 12:30 AM

110 points

57 votes

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4 comments4 min readLW link

Here’s the exit.

ValentineNov 21, 2022, 6:07 PM

73 points

213 votes

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146 comments10 min readLW link

Geometric Exploration, Arithmetic Exploitation

Scott GarrabrantNov 24, 2022, 3:36 PM

74 points

26 votes

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4 comments7 min readLW link

Consequentialists: One-Way Pattern Traps

David UdellJan 16, 2023, 8:48 PM

47 points

22 votes

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3 comments14 min readLW link

Nothing New: Productive Reframing

adamShimiJan 7, 2023, 6:43 PM

44 points

22 votes

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7 comments3 min readLW link

(epistemologicalvigilance.substack.com)

Reification bias

adamShimi and Gabriel Alfour

Jan 9, 2023, 12:22 PM

24 points

11 votes

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Confusing the ideal for the necessary

adamShimiJan 16, 2023, 5:29 PM

78 points

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6 comments1 min readLW link

(epistemologicalvigilance.substack.com)

Assigning Praise and Blame: Decoupling Epistemology and Decision Theory

adamShimi and Gabriel Alfour

Jan 27, 2023, 6:16 PM

53 points

19 votes

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Aiming for Convergence Is Like Discouraging Betting

Zack_M_DavisFeb 1, 2023, 12:03 AM

47 points

28 votes

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17 comments11 min readLW link

You Don’t Exist, Duncan

Duncan Sabien (Inactive)Feb 2, 2023, 8:37 AM

200 points

129 votes

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Fucking Goddamn Basics of Rationalist Discourse

LoganStrohlFeb 4, 2023, 1:47 AM

235 points

309 votes

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Elements of Rationalist Discourse

Rob BensingerFeb 12, 2023, 7:58 AM

98 points

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Self-priming

Connor_FlexmanApr 7, 2020, 12:54 AM

25 points

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Being right isn’t enough. Confidence is very important.

mako yassApr 7, 2020, 1:10 AM

12 points

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Open thread: Language

Chris_LeongApr 8, 2020, 2:57 PM

7 points

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The Origin of Consciousness Reading Companion, Part 1

Jacob FalkovichApr 6, 2020, 10:07 PM

21 points

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The Lens That Sees Its Flaws

Eliezer YudkowskySep 23, 2007, 12:10 AM

209 points

202 votes

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An Orthodox Case Against Utility Functions

abramdemskiApr 7, 2020, 7:18 PM

131 points

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The One Mistake Rule

ZviApr 10, 2020, 2:50 PM

43 points

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Assessing Kurzweil: the results

Stuart_ArmstrongJan 16, 2013, 4:51 PM

90 points

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What We Owe to Ourselves

eapacheApr 11, 2020, 1:34 AM

21 points

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Curiosity: A Greedy Feeling

DirectedEvolutionApr 11, 2020, 4:38 AM

39 points

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Law school taught me nothing

ketchupduckApr 11, 2020, 2:30 PM

22 points

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Narrative Direction and Rebellion

eapacheApr 13, 2020, 1:07 AM

8 points

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Mind Projection Fallacy

Eliezer YudkowskyMar 11, 2008, 12:29 AM

69 points

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Catchy Fallacy Name Fallacy (and Supporting Disagreement)

JGWeissmanMay 21, 2009, 6:01 AM

32 points

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[Question] Understanding information cascades

Bird Concept and Ben Pace

Mar 13, 2019, 10:55 AM

50 points

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Simpson’s Paradox

bentarmJan 12, 2011, 11:01 PM

97 points

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One Hundred Billion Children’s Sky

SlimepriestessApr 14, 2020, 4:33 PM

19 points

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(hivewired.wordpress.com)

[Question] Popular papers to be scrutinized?

alyosha_the_potApr 14, 2020, 7:50 PM

13 points

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[Question] Probabilistic Blue-Eyed Islanders

johnswentworthApr 15, 2020, 5:55 PM

26 points

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Knowing About Biases Can Hurt People

Eliezer YudkowskyApr 4, 2007, 6:01 PM

182 points

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Confabulation

lsusrDec 8, 2019, 10:18 AM

58 points

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Brief Response to Suspended Reason on Parallels Between Skyrms on Signaling and Yudkowsky on Language and Evidence

Zack_M_DavisApr 16, 2020, 3:44 AM

13 points

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My attempt to explain Looking, insight meditation, and enlightenment in non-mysterious terms

Kaj_SotalaMar 8, 2018, 7:37 AM

189 points

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Schelling fences on slippery slopes

Scott AlexanderMar 16, 2012, 11:44 PM

516 points

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Naming the Nameless

sarahconstantinMar 22, 2018, 12:35 AM

100 points

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Evaluating Predictions in Hindsight

ZviApr 16, 2020, 5:20 PM

54 points

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Doors and Corners

SlimepriestessApr 16, 2020, 6:32 PM

6 points

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Expecting Short Inferential Distances

Eliezer YudkowskyOct 22, 2007, 11:42 PM

289 points

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[Question] How much motivation do you derive from curiosity alone in your work/research?

NaiveTortoiseApr 17, 2020, 2:04 PM

25 points

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What is Rationality?

RokoApr 1, 2010, 8:14 PM

21 points

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What is missing from rationality?

RokoApr 27, 2010, 12:32 PM

27 points

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Is there a rationalist skill tree yet?

fowlertmJan 30, 2015, 4:02 PM

22 points

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[Question] What confidence interval should one report?

JsevillamolApr 20, 2020, 10:31 AM

4 points

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Explaining the Rationalist Movement to the Uninitiated

MellivoraApr 19, 2020, 8:53 PM

5 points

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Intuitions on Universal Behavior of Information at a Distance

johnswentworthApr 20, 2020, 9:44 PM

21 points

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Training Regime Day 17: Deflinching and Lines of Retreat

Mark XuApr 21, 2020, 5:45 PM

23 points

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The Intelligent Social Web

ValentineFeb 22, 2018, 6:55 PM

196 points

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115 comments12 min readLW link 2 reviews

The Costly Coordination Mechanism of Common Knowledge

Ben PaceMar 15, 2018, 8:20 PM

183 points

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Sunset at Noon

RaemonNov 21, 2017, 2:05 AM

180 points

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Belief as Attire

Eliezer YudkowskyAug 2, 2007, 5:13 PM

106 points

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Professing and Cheering

Eliezer YudkowskyAug 2, 2007, 7:20 AM

93 points

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Act of Charity

jessicataNov 17, 2018, 5:19 AM

179 points

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49 comments8 min readLW link 1 review

Training Regime Day 18: Negative Visualization

Mark XuApr 22, 2020, 4:06 PM

9 points

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Summary of “The Straw Vulcan”

alexvermeerDec 26, 2011, 4:29 PM

49 points

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Algorithms of Deception!

Zack_M_DavisOct 19, 2019, 6:04 PM

23 points

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[Question] Do you trust the research on handwriting vs. typing for notes?

NaiveTortoiseApr 23, 2020, 8:49 PM

25 points

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Expressive Vocabulary

AlicornMay 24, 2018, 6:59 AM

137 points

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72 comments5 min readLW link 1 review

A Case Study of Motivated Continuation

Eliezer YudkowskyOct 31, 2007, 1:27 AM

35 points

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SotW: Avoid Motivated Cognition

Eliezer YudkowskyMay 28, 2012, 3:57 PM

33 points

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Motivated skepticism: it’s harder to avoid than I’d think

KlaoOct 9, 2011, 6:35 PM

27 points

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Immodesty, Deceit and Motivated Reasoning

whpearsonOct 29, 2017, 10:34 AM

7 points

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[Link] Ideology, Motivated Reasoning, and Cognitive Reflection: An Experimental Study

[deleted]Dec 2, 2012, 2:43 PM

24 points

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LINK: Study demonstrates politically motivated innumeracy

Alejandro1Sep 4, 2013, 6:14 PM

24 points

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Social Impact, Effective Altruism, and Motivated Cognition

JonahSJun 8, 2013, 2:31 AM

16 points

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Identities are [Subconscious] Strategies

RubyOct 15, 2017, 6:10 PM

31 points

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A Process for Dealing with Motivated Reasoning

Vaughn PapenhausenSep 3, 2018, 3:34 AM

15 points

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Book Review: The Elephant in the Brain

ZviDec 31, 2017, 5:30 PM

50 points

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Is That Your True Rejection?

Eliezer YudkowskyDec 6, 2008, 2:26 PM

128 points

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A Crash Course in the Neuroscience of Human Motivation

lukeprogAug 19, 2011, 9:15 PM

196 points

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Would Your Real Preferences Please Stand Up?

Scott AlexanderAug 8, 2009, 10:57 PM

80 points

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To what degree do we have goals?

Scott AlexanderJul 15, 2011, 11:11 PM

74 points

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Concrete Takeaways Post-CFAR

lifelonglearnerFeb 24, 2017, 6:31 PM

20 points

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The Ritual

Eliezer YudkowskyOct 11, 2008, 11:52 PM

88 points

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Practical Advice Backed By Deep Theories

Eliezer YudkowskyApr 25, 2009, 6:52 PM

62 points

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Value of Information: 8 examples

gwernMay 18, 2012, 11:45 PM

78 points

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5-second level case study: Value of information

Kaj_SotalaNov 22, 2011, 1:44 PM

36 points

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Referencing the Unreferencable

Chris_LeongApr 4, 2020, 10:42 AM

16 points

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Training Regime Day 21: Executing Intentions

Mark XuApr 25, 2020, 10:16 PM

13 points

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It’s Not About The Nail

eapacheApr 26, 2020, 11:50 PM

30 points

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Training Regime Day 22: Murphyjitsu 2

Mark XuApr 26, 2020, 8:18 PM

13 points

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Training Regime Day 23: TAPs 2

Mark XuApr 27, 2020, 5:37 PM

14 points

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Making History Available

Eliezer YudkowskyAug 31, 2007, 7:52 PM

138 points

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Failing to Learn from History

Eliezer YudkowskyAug 30, 2007, 8:22 PM

79 points

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On Building Theories of History

Samo BurjaFeb 23, 2018, 11:40 PM

29 points

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An Intuitive Explanation of Bayes’s Theorem

Eliezer YudkowskyJan 1, 2003, 8:00 PM

52 points

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8 comments25 min readLW link

What Evidence Filtered Evidence?

Eliezer YudkowskySep 29, 2007, 11:10 PM

101 points

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Thinking About Filtered Evidence Is (Very!) Hard

abramdemskiMar 19, 2020, 11:20 PM

85 points

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Yes Requires the Possibility of No

Scott GarrabrantMay 17, 2019, 10:39 PM

196 points

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Superstimuli and the Collapse of Western Civilization

Eliezer YudkowskyMar 16, 2007, 6:10 PM

115 points

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Don’t Believe You’ll Self-Deceive

Eliezer YudkowskyMar 9, 2009, 8:03 AM

30 points

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Doublethink (Choosing to be Biased)

Eliezer YudkowskySep 14, 2007, 8:05 PM

73 points

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No, Really, I’ve Deceived Myself

Eliezer YudkowskyMar 4, 2009, 11:29 PM

113 points

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Belief in Self-Deception

Eliezer YudkowskyMar 5, 2009, 3:20 PM

86 points

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Moore’s Paradox

Eliezer YudkowskyMar 8, 2009, 2:27 AM

71 points

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Self-deception: Hypocrisy or Akrasia?

Eliezer YudkowskyMar 26, 2007, 5:03 PM

61 points

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Inadequacy and Modesty

Eliezer YudkowskyOct 28, 2017, 9:51 PM

124 points

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Simulacra and Subjectivity

BenquoMar 5, 2020, 4:25 PM

95 points

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(benjaminrosshoffman.com)

Excerpts from a larger discussion about simulacra

BenquoApr 10, 2019, 9:27 PM

52 points

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Mark Eichenlaub: How to develop scientific intuition

Kaj_SotalaOct 23, 2018, 1:30 PM

76 points

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(kajsotala.fi)

Motivating Abstraction-First Decision Theory

johnswentworthApr 29, 2020, 5:47 PM

42 points

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I do not like math

lsusrApr 29, 2020, 11:27 AM

34 points

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6 comments1 min readLW link

Training Regime Day 25: Recursive Self-Improvement

Mark XuApr 29, 2020, 6:22 PM

14 points

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The Modesty Argument

Eliezer YudkowskyDec 10, 2006, 9:42 PM

53 points

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“I don’t know.”

Eliezer YudkowskyDec 21, 2006, 6:27 PM

58 points

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Against strong bayesianism

Richard_NgoApr 30, 2020, 10:48 AM

57 points

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Failure By Affective Analogy

Eliezer YudkowskyNov 18, 2008, 7:14 AM

25 points

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The Affect Heuristic, Sentiment, and Art

[deleted]Sep 13, 2010, 11:05 PM

83 points

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Affective Death Spirals

Eliezer YudkowskyDec 2, 2007, 4:44 PM

85 points

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The Affect Heuristic

Eliezer YudkowskyNov 27, 2007, 7:58 AM

66 points

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The Halo Effect

Eliezer YudkowskyNov 30, 2007, 12:58 AM

59 points

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The Trouble With “Good”

Scott AlexanderApr 17, 2009, 2:07 AM

97 points

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Generalized Efficient Markets and Academia

johnswentworthApr 30, 2020, 9:59 PM

52 points

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The Embarrassing Problem of Premature Exploitation

Richard MeadowsApr 30, 2020, 8:33 PM

40 points

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(thedeepdish.org)

Making your explicit reasoning trustworthy

AnnaSalamonOct 29, 2010, 12:00 AM

119 points

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95 comments6 min readLW link

Adaptation-Executers, not Fitness-Maximizers

Eliezer YudkowskyNov 11, 2007, 6:39 AM

125 points

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33 comments3 min readLW link

Meditation: the screen-and-watcher model of the human mind, and how to use it

YuyeMay 1, 2020, 10:36 PM

32 points

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[Question] How do you whittle path-dependent (probabilistic) questions?

Mary ChernyshenkoMay 2, 2020, 8:53 AM

5 points

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On Negative Feedback and Simulacra

ZviMay 3, 2020, 5:00 PM

47 points

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What is a “Good” Prediction?

eapacheMay 3, 2020, 4:51 PM

2 points

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Consistent Glomarization should be feasible

Stuart_ArmstrongMay 4, 2020, 10:06 AM

16 points

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Named Distributions as Artifacts

George3d6May 4, 2020, 8:54 AM

22 points

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(blog.cerebralab.com)

Newcomb’s Problem and Regret of Rationality

Eliezer YudkowskyJan 31, 2008, 7:36 PM

134 points

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Newcomblike problems are the norm

So8resSep 24, 2014, 6:41 PM

83 points

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Confusion about Newcomb is confusion about counterfactuals

AnnaSalamonAug 25, 2009, 8:01 PM

54 points

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The Robbers Cave Experiment

Eliezer YudkowskyDec 10, 2007, 6:18 AM

55 points

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Constructive Definitions

Chris_LeongMay 4, 2020, 11:50 PM

15 points

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The ways of knowing

aelwoodMay 5, 2020, 8:35 PM

1 point

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A non-mystical explanation of “no-self” (three characteristics series)

Kaj_SotalaMay 8, 2020, 10:37 AM

99 points

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How to take smart notes (Ahrens, 2017)

Yuxi_LiuJul 23, 2019, 3:34 PM

69 points

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Compartmentalization in epistemic and instrumental rationality

AnnaSalamonSep 17, 2010, 7:02 AM

116 points

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Utility need not be bounded

Richard_KennawayMay 14, 2020, 6:10 PM

30 points

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[Question] How to avoid Schelling points?

cwg1g16May 14, 2020, 7:37 PM

29 points

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“It’s Okay”, Instructions, Focusing, Experiencing and Frames

OuroborusMay 15, 2020, 12:49 AM

16 points

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Craving, suffering, and predictive processing (three characteristics series)

Kaj_SotalaMay 15, 2020, 1:21 PM

75 points

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Conjecture Workshop

johnswentworthMay 15, 2020, 10:41 PM

34 points

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Why you should minimax in two-player zero-sum games

NisanMay 17, 2020, 8:48 PM

17 points

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Extracting Value from Inadequate Equilibria

eapacheMay 18, 2020, 5:25 PM

49 points

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[Question] How to convince Y that X has committed a murder with >0.999999 probability?

Colin TangMay 19, 2020, 10:55 PM

1 point

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34 comments1 min readLW link

Conflict vs. mistake in non-zero-sum games

NisanApr 5, 2020, 10:22 PM

162 points

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40 comments2 min readLW link 1 review

[Question] What are objects that have made your life better?

Mark XuMay 21, 2020, 8:59 PM

28 points

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53 comments1 min readLW link

Mazes Sequence Summary

ZviMay 23, 2020, 4:40 PM

78 points

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An Overview of Formal Epistemology (links)

lukeprogJan 6, 2011, 7:57 PM

63 points

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[Question] What are the best tools for recording predictions?

RaemonMay 24, 2020, 7:15 PM

14 points

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Why Rationalists Shouldn’t be Interested in Topos Theory

jollybardMay 25, 2020, 5:35 AM

73 points

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[Question] What is a decision theory as a mathematical object?

Erik JennerMay 25, 2020, 1:44 PM

26 points

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A taxonomy of Cruxes

Eli TyreMay 27, 2020, 5:25 PM

42 points

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Trust-Building: The New Rationality Project

DirectedEvolutionMay 28, 2020, 10:53 PM

39 points

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Forecasting Newsletter: May 2020.

NunoSempereMay 31, 2020, 12:35 PM

9 points

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How rational is the path of least resistance?

TruetoThisJun 1, 2020, 1:34 AM

3 points

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Overcorrecting As Deliberate Practice

lifelonglearnerJun 1, 2020, 6:26 AM

28 points

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Feedback is central to agency

Alex FlintJun 1, 2020, 12:56 PM

28 points

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You See The Territory or Nothing at All

caleboJun 1, 2020, 3:24 PM

7 points

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Status-Regulating Emotions

lsusrJun 3, 2020, 10:32 PM

40 points

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A History Of Universalist Greed

namespaceJun 4, 2020, 12:22 AM

55 points

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(www.thelastrationalist.com)

[Question] Effective children education

kotrfaJun 3, 2020, 8:35 PM

48 points

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Visual Babble and Prune

DirectedEvolutionJun 4, 2020, 6:49 PM

46 points

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Dietary Debates among the Fruit Gnomes

SherrinfordJun 3, 2020, 2:09 PM

26 points

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A Practical Guide to Conflict Resolution: Introduction

eapacheJun 4, 2020, 1:03 AM

15 points

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The Stopped Clock Problem

eapacheJun 4, 2020, 12:07 PM

29 points

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7 comments1 min readLW link

Basic Mindsets

ExCephJun 6, 2020, 12:44 AM

2 points

1 vote

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5 comments13 min readLW link

Self-help, hard and soft

technicalitiesJun 7, 2020, 3:39 PM

16 points

10 votes

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0 comments2 min readLW link

Pragmatism and Completeness

Gordon Seidoh WorleyJun 12, 2020, 4:34 PM

13 points

5 votes

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3 comments2 min readLW link

Why do all out attacks actually work?

lcJun 12, 2020, 8:33 PM

43 points

20 votes

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9 comments4 min readLW link

Down with Solomonoff Induction, up with the Presumptuous Philosopher

Charlie SteinerJun 12, 2020, 9:44 AM

13 points

5 votes

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10 comments2 min readLW link

How alienated should you be?

VaniverJun 14, 2020, 3:55 PM

35 points

18 votes

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4 comments5 min readLW link

Causality Adds Up to Normality

johnswentworthJun 15, 2020, 5:19 PM

12 points

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2 comments4 min readLW link

High-School Algebra for Data Structures

johnswentworthJun 17, 2020, 6:09 PM

21 points

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0 comments2 min readLW link

Memory is not about the past

simbyoticJun 17, 2020, 4:43 PM

1 point

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14 comments15 min readLW link

[Question] What is meant by Simulcra Levels?

Chris_LeongJun 17, 2020, 2:20 AM

21 points

7 votes

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17 comments1 min readLW link 1 review

Types of Knowledge

ElizabethJun 20, 2020, 5:20 PM

24 points

13 votes

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11 comments2 min readLW link

(acesounderglass.com)

The affect heuristic and studying autocracies

Tim LiptrotJun 21, 2020, 4:07 AM

13 points

6 votes

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3 comments3 min readLW link

Training our humans on the wrong dataset

George3d6Jun 21, 2020, 5:17 PM

4 points

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5 comments8 min readLW link

(blog.cerebralab.com)

Neural Basis for Global Workspace Theory

HazardJun 22, 2020, 4:19 AM

31 points

13 votes

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9 comments8 min readLW link

Prediction = Compression [Transcript]

alkjash and Ben Pace

Jun 22, 2020, 11:54 PM

68 points

21 votes

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13 comments8 min readLW link

Locality of goals

adamShimiJun 22, 2020, 9:56 PM

16 points

7 votes

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8 comments6 min readLW link

Betting with Mandatory Post-Mortem

abramdemskiJun 24, 2020, 8:04 PM

91 points

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14 comments1 min readLW link

Missing dog reasoning

eukaryote and Bird Concept

Jun 26, 2020, 9:30 PM

27 points

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3 comments5 min readLW link

Public Positions and Private Guts

Vaniver and Bird Concept

Jun 26, 2020, 11:00 PM

22 points

7 votes

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1 comment6 min readLW link

Map Errors: The Good, The Bad, and The Territory

orthonormalJun 27, 2020, 5:22 AM

26 points

11 votes

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4 comments2 min readLW link

Don’t Make Your Problems Hide

orthonormalJun 27, 2020, 8:24 PM

57 points

26 votes

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5 comments2 min readLW link

Optimized Propaganda with Bayesian Networks: Comment on “Articulating Lay Theories Through Graphical Models”

Zack_M_DavisJun 29, 2020, 2:45 AM

101 points

52 votes

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10 comments4 min readLW link

Gödel’s Legacy: A game without end

HazardJun 28, 2020, 6:50 PM

40 points

17 votes

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10 comments12 min readLW link

Abstractions on Inconsistent Data

eapacheJun 29, 2020, 12:30 AM

7 points

2 votes

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0 comments2 min readLW link

Thoughts as open tabs

ryan wongJun 29, 2020, 12:13 PM

15 points

9 votes

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12 comments2 min readLW link

Situating LessWrong in contemporary philosophy: An interview with Jon Livengood

Suspended ReasonJul 1, 2020, 12:37 AM

117 points

53 votes

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21 comments19 min readLW link

Noise on the Channel

abramdemskiJul 2, 2020, 1:58 AM

31 points

7 votes

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8 comments10 min readLW link

Sunk Cost Fallacy

Z_M_DavisApr 12, 2009, 5:30 PM

39 points

34 votes

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44 comments2 min readLW link

Classifying games like the Prisoner’s Dilemma

philhJul 4, 2020, 5:10 PM

100 points

35 votes

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28 comments6 min readLW link 1 review

(reasonableapproximation.net)

[Question] Replicated cognitive bias list?

moderockJul 4, 2020, 4:15 AM

12 points

8 votes

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3 comments1 min readLW link

Learning the prior

paulfchristianoJul 5, 2020, 9:00 PM

79 points

23 votes

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29 comments8 min readLW link

(ai-alignment.com)

Better priors as a safety problem

paulfchristianoJul 5, 2020, 9:20 PM

64 points

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7 comments5 min readLW link

(ai-alignment.com)

[Question] (answered: yes) Has anyone written up a consideration of Downs’s “Paradox of Voting” from the perspective of MIRI-ish decision theories (UDT, FDT, or even just EDT)?

Jameson QuinnJul 6, 2020, 6:26 PM

10 points

6 votes

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24 comments1 min readLW link

The Echo Fallacy

Mati_RoyJul 5, 2020, 11:00 PM

11 points

5 votes

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3 comments1 min readLW link

Using humility to counteract shame

VikaApr 15, 2016, 6:32 PM

21 points

14 votes

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17 comments2 min readLW link

Breaking Questions Down

ElizabethJul 7, 2020, 6:10 PM

31 points

10 votes

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1 comment1 min readLW link

(acesounderglass.com)

Scope Insensitivity

Eliezer YudkowskyMay 14, 2007, 2:53 AM

237 points

223 votes

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63 comments2 min readLW link

What’s Your Cognitive Algorithm?

RaemonJun 18, 2020, 10:16 PM

71 points

23 votes

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23 comments13 min readLW link

Politics is the Mind-Killer

Eliezer YudkowskyFeb 18, 2007, 9:23 PM

232 points

171 votes

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240 comments2 min readLW link

Nash Equilibria and Schelling Points

Scott AlexanderJun 29, 2012, 2:06 AM

115 points

94 votes

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82 comments7 min readLW link

Value of Information: Four Examples

VaniverNov 22, 2011, 11:02 PM

125 points

95 votes

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62 comments10 min readLW link

Dark Side Epistemology

Eliezer YudkowskyOct 17, 2008, 11:55 PM

91 points

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152 comments5 min readLW link

Anti-epistemology: an explanation

Basil MarteJul 8, 2020, 4:34 PM

3 points

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12 comments3 min readLW link

Raising the Sanity Waterline

Eliezer YudkowskyMar 12, 2009, 4:28 AM

217 points

190 votes

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231 comments3 min readLW link

A Sense That More Is Possible

Eliezer YudkowskyMar 13, 2009, 1:15 AM

135 points

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218 comments4 min readLW link

Go Forth and Create the Art!

Eliezer YudkowskyApr 23, 2009, 1:37 AM

78 points

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114 comments5 min readLW link

In Favor of Niceness, Community, and Civilization

Scott AlexanderFeb 23, 2014, 10:24 PM

77 points

38 votes

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9 comments20 min readLW link

The Craft and the Community

Eliezer YudkowskyApr 26, 2009, 5:52 PM

45 points

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9 comments12 min readLW link

The ethic of hand-washing and community epistemic practice

AnnaSalamon and Steve_Rayhawk

Mar 5, 2009, 4:28 AM

53 points

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47 comments3 min readLW link

Survival in the immoral maze of college

DirectedEvolutionJul 8, 2020, 9:27 PM

38 points

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15 comments6 min readLW link

What does it mean to apply decision theory?

abramdemskiJul 8, 2020, 8:31 PM

51 points

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5 comments8 min readLW link

LW is to rationality as AIXI is to intelligence

XiXiDuMar 6, 2011, 8:24 PM

3 points

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46 comments4 min readLW link

Rationality Habits I Learned at the CFAR Workshop

elharoMar 10, 2013, 2:15 PM

59 points

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27 comments7 min readLW link

CFAR Workshop Review: February 2017

lifelonglearnerFeb 28, 2017, 3:15 AM

12 points

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16 comments7 min readLW link

[Question] How far along are you on the Lesswrong Path?

AiresJLJul 9, 2020, 9:41 PM

10 points

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14 comments4 min readLW link

Avoid misinterpreting your emotions

Kaj_SotalaFeb 14, 2012, 11:51 PM

91 points

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32 comments7 min readLW link

Was a terminal degree necessary for inventing Boyle’s desiderata?

DirectedEvolutionJul 10, 2020, 4:47 AM

35 points

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18 comments5 min readLW link

Confirmation Bias As Misfire Of Normal Bayesian Reasoning

Scott AlexanderFeb 13, 2020, 7:20 AM

43 points

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9 comments2 min readLW link

(slatestarcodex.com)

Cardiologists and Chinese Robbers

Scott AlexanderSep 16, 2015, 7:00 PM

118 points

115 votes

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7 comments6 min readLW link

Beware The Man Of One Study

Scott AlexanderDec 12, 2014, 9:04 AM

58 points

53 votes

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1 comment8 min readLW link

The Dilemma: Science or Bayes?

Eliezer YudkowskyMay 13, 2008, 8:16 AM

51 points

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188 comments5 min readLW link

No Safe Defense, Not Even Science

Eliezer YudkowskyMay 18, 2008, 5:19 AM

100 points

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67 comments6 min readLW link

Proving Too Much

Scott AlexanderApr 14, 2013, 12:05 AM

83 points

67 votes

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2 comments2 min readLW link

Scientific Evidence, Legal Evidence, Rational Evidence

Eliezer YudkowskyAug 19, 2007, 5:36 AM

104 points

90 votes

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18 comments3 min readLW link

Was a PhD necessary to solve outstanding math problems?

DirectedEvolutionJul 10, 2020, 6:43 PM

22 points

8 votes

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26 comments3 min readLW link

Hierarchy of Evidence

B JacobsJul 11, 2020, 12:54 PM

7 points

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9 comments1 min readLW link

The Tragedy of the Anticommons

Kaj_SotalaMar 15, 2009, 5:32 PM

43 points

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47 comments5 min readLW link

SciAm article about rationality corresponding only weakly with IQ

DavidPlumptonDec 27, 2014, 8:56 PM

10 points

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28 comments1 min readLW link

What Intelligence Tests Miss: The psychology of rational thought

Kaj_SotalaJul 11, 2010, 11:01 PM

51 points

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55 comments9 min readLW link

Book review: My Hidden Chimp

BuckyMar 4, 2019, 9:55 AM

28 points

13 votes

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0 comments7 min readLW link

Three ways CFAR has changed my view of rationality

Julia_GalefSep 10, 2013, 6:24 PM

167 points

122 votes

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59 comments5 min readLW link

The Bat and Ball Problem Revisited

drossbucketDec 13, 2018, 7:16 AM

68 points

26 votes

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27 comments15 min readLW link 2 reviews

How You Make Judgments: The Elephant and its Rider

lukeprogApr 15, 2011, 1:02 AM

61 points

56 votes

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19 comments13 min readLW link

Your Evolved Intuitions

lukeprogMay 5, 2011, 4:21 PM

21 points

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106 comments10 min readLW link

16 types of useful predictions

Julia_GalefApr 10, 2015, 3:31 AM

162 points

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55 comments8 min readLW link

The Least Convenient Possible World

Scott AlexanderMar 14, 2009, 2:11 AM

274 points

239 votes

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205 comments5 min readLW link

Science eats its young

George3d6Jul 12, 2020, 12:32 PM

14 points

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13 comments10 min readLW link

(cerebralab.com)

School Has It Backwards

proshowersingerJul 12, 2020, 7:24 PM

30 points

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10 comments2 min readLW link

What counts as defection?

TurnTroutJul 12, 2020, 10:03 PM

81 points

23 votes

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21 comments5 min readLW link 1 review

Update more slowly!

DavidmanheimJul 13, 2020, 7:10 AM

51 points

22 votes

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4 comments2 min readLW link

The Third Alternative

Eliezer YudkowskyMay 6, 2007, 11:47 PM

127 points

110 votes

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85 comments3 min readLW link

Burdensome Details

Eliezer YudkowskySep 20, 2007, 11:46 PM

186 points

162 votes

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34 comments4 min readLW link

Feeling Rational

Eliezer YudkowskyApr 26, 2007, 4:48 AM

249 points

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83 comments3 min readLW link

Belief in Belief

Eliezer YudkowskyJul 29, 2007, 5:49 PM

162 points

147 votes

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176 comments5 min readLW link

Double Crux — A Strategy for Mutual Understanding

Duncan Sabien (Inactive)Jan 2, 2017, 4:37 AM

168 points

125 votes

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108 comments12 min readLW link

Applause Lights

Eliezer YudkowskySep 11, 2007, 6:31 PM

273 points

228 votes

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97 comments2 min readLW link

The Mystery of the Haunted Rationalist

Scott AlexanderMar 8, 2009, 8:39 PM

99 points

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70 comments3 min readLW link

Anxiety and Rationality

[deleted]Jan 19, 2016, 6:30 PM

50 points

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31 comments4 min readLW link

Pretending to be Wise

Eliezer YudkowskyFeb 19, 2009, 10:30 PM

124 points

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78 comments4 min readLW link

Roll for Sanity

eapacheJul 13, 2020, 4:39 PM

16 points

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2 comments4 min readLW link

Being a Robust Agent

RaemonOct 18, 2018, 7:00 AM

130 points

66 votes

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32 comments7 min readLW link 2 reviews

[Question] How to persuade people/groups out of sunk cost fallacy?

vernamcipherJul 13, 2020, 10:51 PM

3 points

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2 comments1 min readLW link

Yes, Virginia, You Can Be 99.99% (Or More!) Certain That 53 Is Prime

ChrisHallquistNov 7, 2013, 7:45 AM

83 points

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70 comments6 min readLW link

Calibration Practice: Retrodictions on Metaculus

RaemonJul 14, 2020, 6:35 PM

32 points

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1 comment1 min readLW link

Limits of Current US Prediction Markets (PredictIt Case Study)

aphyerJul 14, 2020, 7:24 AM

188 points

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49 comments7 min readLW link

Dremeling

CzynskiJul 14, 2020, 7:23 PM

35 points

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7 comments1 min readLW link

The Goldbach conjecture is probably correct; so was Fermat’s last theorem

Stuart_ArmstrongJul 14, 2020, 7:30 PM

73 points

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27 comments4 min readLW link

Mazes and Duality

johnswentworth and Bird Concept

Jul 14, 2020, 7:54 PM

62 points

19 votes

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10 comments6 min readLW link

“Other people are wrong” vs “I am right”

BuckFeb 22, 2019, 8:01 PM

229 points

110 votes

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19 comments9 min readLW link 2 reviews

Unrolling social metacognition: Three levels of meta are not enough.

AcademianAug 25, 2018, 12:00 PM

174 points

84 votes

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44 comments7 min readLW link 1 review

Will As Thou Wilt

Eliezer YudkowskyJul 7, 2008, 10:37 AM

6 points

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31 comments1 min readLW link

The Library of Scott Alexandria

Rob BensingerSep 14, 2015, 1:38 AM

112 points

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33 comments7 min readLW link

The Categories Were Made For Man, Not Man For The Categories

Scott AlexanderNov 21, 2014, 2:34 PM

78 points

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9 comments18 min readLW link

A History of Bayes’ Theorem

lukeprogAug 29, 2011, 7:04 AM

75 points

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91 comments15 min readLW link

Your intuitions are not magic

Kaj_SotalaJun 10, 2010, 12:11 AM

160 points

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42 comments4 min readLW link

On Overconfidence

Scott AlexanderAug 21, 2015, 2:21 AM

51 points

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5 comments14 min readLW link

Does Thinking Hard Hurt Your Brain?

RaemonApr 29, 2018, 6:56 PM

18 points

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38 comments1 min readLW link

Rational Me or We?

RobinHansonMar 17, 2009, 1:39 PM

162 points

156 votes

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157 comments1 min readLW link

Rationality: Abridged

QuaerendoJan 6, 2018, 12:20 AM

94 points

69 votes

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25 comments1 min readLW link

Attempted Telekinesis

AnnaSalamonFeb 7, 2015, 6:53 PM

152 points

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28 comments10 min readLW link

Divergence causes isolated demands for rigor

George3d6Jul 15, 2020, 6:59 PM

14 points

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4 comments7 min readLW link

(blog.cerebralab.com)

Fake Explanations

Eliezer YudkowskyAug 20, 2007, 9:13 PM

138 points

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89 comments2 min readLW link

Two More Things to Unlearn from School

Eliezer YudkowskyJul 12, 2007, 5:45 PM

138 points

113 votes

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157 comments2 min readLW link

Incremental Progress and the Valley

Eliezer YudkowskyApr 4, 2009, 4:42 PM

85 points

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114 comments5 min readLW link

Anthropomorphizing Humans

johnswentworthJul 17, 2020, 5:49 PM

44 points

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6 comments2 min readLW link

Telling more rational stories

DirectedEvolutionJul 17, 2020, 5:47 PM

24 points

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21 comments3 min readLW link

Plans are Recursive & Why This is Important

RubyMar 10, 2019, 1:58 AM

63 points

31 votes

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11 comments11 min readLW link

“Science” as Curiosity-Stopper

Eliezer YudkowskySep 3, 2007, 8:04 PM

112 points

110 votes

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61 comments3 min readLW link

Criticism of some popular LW articles

DirectedEvolutionJul 19, 2020, 1:16 AM

71 points

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19 comments6 min readLW link

Intuitive differences: when to agree to disagree

Kaj_SotalaSep 29, 2009, 7:56 AM

35 points

29 votes

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36 comments4 min readLW link

Praise of some popular LW articles

DirectedEvolutionJul 20, 2020, 12:32 AM

40 points

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1 comment7 min readLW link

Use resilience, instead of imprecision, to communicate uncertainty

habrykaJul 20, 2020, 5:08 AM

3 points

2 votes

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1 comment1 min readLW link

(forum.effectivealtruism.org)

Cached Thoughts

Eliezer YudkowskyOct 11, 2007, 11:46 PM

158 points

132 votes

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94 comments3 min readLW link

Inefficient doesn’t mean indifferent, but it might mean wimpy.

DirectedEvolutionJul 20, 2020, 6:27 PM

14 points

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3 comments5 min readLW link

Competition: Amplify Rohin’s Prediction on AGI researchers & Safety Concerns

stuhlmuellerJul 21, 2020, 8:06 PM

82 points

28 votes

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40 comments3 min readLW link

The Basic Double Crux pattern

Eli TyreJul 22, 2020, 6:41 AM

61 points

21 votes

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21 comments4 min readLW link

Key Decision Analysis—a fundamental rationality technique

Eli TyreJan 12, 2020, 5:59 AM

43 points

13 votes

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10 comments3 min readLW link

Optimizing arbitrary expressions with a linear number of queries to a Logical Induction Oracle (Cartoon Guide)

Donald HobsonJul 23, 2020, 9:37 PM

3 points

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2 comments2 min readLW link

Aggregating forecasts

JsevillamolJul 23, 2020, 6:04 PM

17 points

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4 comments4 min readLW link

An Old Way to Visualize Biases

Past AccountJul 24, 2020, 12:10 AM

4 points

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0 comments1 min readLW link

Meaning is Quasi-Idempotent

Chris_LeongJul 24, 2020, 4:08 AM

5 points

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10 comments2 min readLW link

Comment Replies for Chains, Bottlenecks and Optimization

Elliot TempleJul 24, 2020, 6:51 PM

1 point

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2 comments3 min readLW link

No Ultimate Goal and a Small Existential Crisis

Logan RiggsJul 24, 2020, 6:39 PM

12 points

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23 comments3 min readLW link

Subagents, trauma and rationality

Kaj_SotalaAug 14, 2019, 1:14 PM

97 points

52 votes

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4 comments19 min readLW link

Schools Proliferating Without Evidence

Eliezer YudkowskyMar 15, 2009, 6:43 AM

57 points

64 votes

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60 comments3 min readLW link

The Logical Fallacy of Generalization from Fictional Evidence

Eliezer YudkowskyOct 16, 2007, 3:57 AM

105 points

81 votes

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61 comments6 min readLW link

How I do research

TurnTroutNov 19, 2019, 8:31 PM

60 points

26 votes

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26 comments3 min readLW link

Prune

alkjashJan 12, 2018, 10:50 PM

61 points

31 votes

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10 comments4 min readLW link

(radimentary.wordpress.com)

Gears-Level Models are Capital Investments

johnswentworthNov 22, 2019, 10:41 PM

144 points

77 votes

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30 comments7 min readLW link 1 review

Basic Conversational Coordination: Micro-coordination of Intention

Eli TyreJul 27, 2020, 10:41 PM

40 points

13 votes

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7 comments2 min readLW link

Checklist of Rationality Habits

AnnaSalamonNov 7, 2012, 9:19 PM

189 points

139 votes

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189 comments11 min readLW link

Model Combination and Adjustment

lukeprogJul 17, 2013, 8:31 PM

101 points

66 votes

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41 comments5 min readLW link

The Outside View’s Domain

Eliezer YudkowskyJun 21, 2008, 3:17 AM

27 points

23 votes

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14 comments10 min readLW link

Realism about rationality

Richard_NgoSep 16, 2018, 10:46 AM

182 points

91 votes

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145 comments4 min readLW link 3 reviews

(thinkingcomplete.blogspot.com)

Of Two Minds

ValentineMay 17, 2018, 4:34 AM

91 points

78 votes

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12 comments2 min readLW link

Learned Blankness

AnnaSalamonApr 18, 2011, 6:55 PM

222 points

174 votes

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188 comments5 min readLW link

Confidence levels inside and outside an argument

Scott AlexanderDec 16, 2010, 3:06 AM

225 points

177 votes

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193 comments6 min readLW link

Beautiful Probability

Eliezer YudkowskyJan 14, 2008, 7:19 AM

88 points

67 votes

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123 comments6 min readLW link

Universal Fire

Eliezer YudkowskyApr 27, 2007, 9:15 PM

169 points

128 votes

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43 comments3 min readLW link

Is Reality Ugly?

Eliezer YudkowskyJan 12, 2008, 10:26 PM

66 points

52 votes

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43 comments5 min readLW link

Outside the Laboratory

Eliezer YudkowskyJan 21, 2007, 3:46 AM

128 points

104 votes

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351 comments7 min readLW link

Perpetual Motion Beliefs

Eliezer YudkowskyFeb 27, 2008, 8:22 PM

64 points

54 votes

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44 comments3 min readLW link

What is Bayesianism?

Kaj_SotalaFeb 26, 2010, 7:43 AM

111 points

101 votes

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217 comments4 min readLW link

How to Convince Me That 2 + 2 = 3

Eliezer YudkowskySep 27, 2007, 11:00 PM

129 points

120 votes

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407 comments3 min readLW link

Reversed Stupidity Is Not Intelligence

Eliezer YudkowskyDec 12, 2007, 10:14 PM

144 points

109 votes

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Truly Part Of You

Eliezer YudkowskyNov 21, 2007, 2:18 AM

153 points

120 votes

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Thou Art Physics

Eliezer YudkowskyJun 6, 2008, 6:37 AM

119 points

90 votes

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88 comments3 min readLW link

“You can’t possibly succeed without [My Pet Issue]”

RaemonDec 19, 2019, 1:12 AM

50 points

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Firewalling the Optimal from the Rational

Eliezer YudkowskyOct 8, 2012, 8:01 AM

163 points

123 votes

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338 comments5 min readLW link

Reflections on rationality a year out

[deleted]Mar 31, 2011, 1:35 AM

124 points

109 votes

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Public Positions and Private Guts

VaniverOct 11, 2018, 7:38 PM

83 points

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[Question] What makes people intellectually active?

abramdemskiDec 29, 2018, 10:29 PM

102 points

55 votes

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Action and habit

Swimmer963 (Miranda Dixon-Luinenburg) Jun 2, 2011, 2:59 PM

116 points

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A Personal Rationality Wishlist

DanielFilanAug 27, 2019, 3:40 AM

53 points

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(danielfilan.com)

Is Rationalist Self-Improvement Real?

Jacob FalkovichDec 9, 2019, 5:11 PM

228 points

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74 comments11 min readLW link 3 reviews

Inference & Empiricism

SatvikBeriMar 20, 2018, 3:47 PM

38 points

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9 comments2 min readLW link

Think Like Reality

Eliezer YudkowskyMay 2, 2007, 6:36 AM

99 points

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67 comments2 min readLW link

Skill: The Map is Not the Territory

Eliezer YudkowskyOct 6, 2012, 9:59 AM

97 points

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Astray with the Truth: Logic and Math

StephenRAug 16, 2014, 3:40 PM

4 points

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Do Sufficiently Advanced Agents Use Logic?

abramdemskiSep 13, 2019, 7:53 PM

41 points

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On Saying the Obvious

GrognorFeb 2, 2012, 5:13 AM

147 points

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Improvement Without Superstition

Zachary JacobiDec 16, 2017, 8:01 PM

38 points

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Excluding the Supernatural

Eliezer YudkowskySep 12, 2008, 12:12 AM

72 points

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148 comments7 min readLW link

“What Is Wrong With Our Thoughts”

Eliezer YudkowskyMay 17, 2009, 7:24 AM

41 points

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On Procrastination—The art of shaping your future actions

Neel NandaAug 1, 2020, 10:22 AM

11 points

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(www.neelnanda.io)

Science like a chef

Adam ZernerFeb 8, 2018, 9:23 PM

32 points

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High-precision claims may be refuted without being replaced with other high-precision claims

jessicataJan 30, 2020, 11:08 PM

55 points

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(unstableontology.com)

Are you the rider or the elephant?

Qiaochu_YuanFeb 21, 2018, 7:25 AM

38 points

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Principles Behind Bottlenecks

Elliot TempleAug 1, 2020, 10:48 PM

1 point

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When Gears Go Wrong

Trinley GoldenbergAug 2, 2020, 6:21 AM

28 points

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Suspiciously balanced evidence

gjmFeb 12, 2020, 5:04 PM

50 points

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What Cost for Irrationality?

Kaj_SotalaJul 1, 2010, 6:25 PM

93 points

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Hammertime Day 4: Design

alkjashFeb 1, 2018, 7:00 PM

31 points

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(radimentary.wordpress.com)

Hammertime Day 3: TAPs

alkjashFeb 1, 2018, 4:10 AM

17 points

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Hammertime Day 2: Yoda Timers

alkjashJan 31, 2018, 5:10 AM

46 points

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Hammertime Day 5: Comfort Zone Expansion

alkjashFeb 2, 2018, 6:00 PM

21 points

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(radimentary.wordpress.com)

You Can Face Reality

Eliezer YudkowskyAug 9, 2007, 1:46 AM

121 points

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36 comments1 min readLW link

Self-skepticism: the first principle of rationality

aaronswAug 6, 2012, 12:51 AM

50 points

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Physical and Mental Behavior

Scott AlexanderJul 10, 2011, 8:20 PM

85 points

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I translated ‘Twelve Virtues of Rationality’ into Hebrew.

Yoav RavidJun 1, 2019, 6:52 PM

26 points

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Instrumental vs. Epistemic—A Bardic Perspective

MBlumeApr 25, 2009, 7:41 AM

86 points

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Making Rationality General-Interest

Swimmer963 (Miranda Dixon-Luinenburg) Jul 24, 2013, 10:02 PM

45 points

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Some Claims Are Just Too Extraordinary

Eliezer YudkowskyJan 20, 2007, 7:14 AM

36 points

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Tune Your Cognitive Strategies

SquirrelInHellFeb 15, 2018, 5:54 PM

24 points

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(bewelltuned.com)

Tensions in Truthseeking

RaemonOct 2, 2017, 12:54 AM

36 points

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Tsuyoku Naritai! (I Want To Become Stronger)

Eliezer YudkowskyMar 27, 2007, 5:49 PM

262 points

239 votes

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82 comments3 min readLW link

We tend to forget complicated things

Rafael HarthOct 20, 2019, 8:05 PM

48 points

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A Developmental Framework for Rationality

lifelonglearnerMar 13, 2018, 1:36 AM

22 points

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[Question] Can Social Dynamics Explain Conjunction Fallacy Experimental Results?

Elliot TempleAug 5, 2020, 8:50 AM

8 points

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Exploring Two-Level Visual Mnemonic Compression

armaturesAug 6, 2020, 11:58 PM

11 points

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Asch Conformity Could Explain the Conjunction Fallacy

Elliot TempleAug 6, 2020, 9:46 PM

7 points

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Procrastination Paradoxes: the Good, the Bad, and the Ugly

scasperAug 6, 2020, 7:47 PM

18 points

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[Question] How much is known about the “inference rules” of logical induction?

Eigil RischelAug 8, 2020, 10:45 AM

11 points

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The Foundational Toolbox for Life: Introduction

ExCephJun 22, 2019, 6:11 AM

23 points

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Where Philosophy Meets Science

Eliezer YudkowskyApr 12, 2008, 9:21 PM

49 points

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Many Worlds, One Best Guess

Eliezer YudkowskyMay 11, 2008, 8:32 AM

46 points

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79 comments13 min readLW link

Resist the Happy Death Spiral

Eliezer YudkowskyDec 4, 2007, 1:15 AM

75 points

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39 comments6 min readLW link

Drawing Less Wrong: Overview of Skills, and Relevance to Rationality

RaemonNov 19, 2011, 5:05 AM

17 points

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Towards a Formalisation of Logical Counterfactuals

BunthutAug 8, 2020, 10:14 PM

6 points

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Social Interfaces

thoughtfulmadisonAug 9, 2020, 6:13 PM

14 points

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Probability Space & Aumann Agreement

Wei DaiDec 10, 2009, 9:57 PM

52 points

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Aumann Agreement Game

abramdemskiOct 9, 2015, 5:14 PM

32 points

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Aumann Agreement by Combat

roryokaneApr 5, 2019, 5:15 AM

14 points

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(sigbovik.org)

Aumann voting; or, How to vote when you’re ignorant

PhilGoetzApr 2, 2009, 6:54 PM

12 points

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An explanation of Aumann’s agreement theorem

Tyrrell_McAllisterJul 7, 2011, 6:22 AM

13 points

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Status Regulation and Anxious Underconfidence

Eliezer YudkowskyNov 16, 2017, 7:35 PM

73 points

46 votes

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17 comments21 min readLW link

The Joys of Conjugate Priors

TCBMay 21, 2011, 2:41 AM

63 points

44 votes

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24 comments5 min readLW link

Some rationality tweets

Peter_de_BlancDec 30, 2010, 7:14 AM

63 points

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Navigating disagreement: How to keep your eye on the evidence

AnnaSalamonApr 24, 2010, 10:47 PM

47 points

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If It’s Worth Doing, It’s Worth Doing With Made-Up Statistics

Scott AlexanderSep 3, 2017, 8:56 PM

58 points

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0 comments5 min readLW link

Secure Your Beliefs

lukeprogFeb 12, 2011, 4:53 PM

59 points

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48 comments1 min readLW link

This Territory Does Not Exist

ikeAug 13, 2020, 12:30 AM

7 points

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199 comments7 min readLW link

Hand vs. Fingers

Eliezer YudkowskyMar 30, 2008, 12:36 AM

63 points

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95 comments3 min readLW link

Debiasing as Non-Self-Destruction

Eliezer YudkowskyApr 7, 2007, 8:20 PM

45 points

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“Inductive Bias”

Eliezer YudkowskyApr 8, 2007, 7:52 PM

37 points

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How webs of meaning grow and change

HazardAug 14, 2020, 1:58 PM

13 points

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misc raw responses to a tract of Critical Rationalism

mako yassAug 14, 2020, 11:53 AM

21 points

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Explicit and tacit rationality

lukeprogApr 9, 2013, 11:33 PM

60 points

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Self-Anchoring

Eliezer YudkowskyOct 22, 2007, 6:11 AM

41 points

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False Laughter

Eliezer YudkowskyDec 22, 2007, 6:03 AM

41 points

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To Lead, You Must Stand Up

Eliezer YudkowskyDec 29, 2007, 6:38 AM

43 points

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39 comments2 min readLW link

What are the Best Hammers in the Rationalist Community?

Bound_upJan 24, 2018, 2:43 PM

18 points

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Why Does Power Corrupt?

Eliezer YudkowskyOct 14, 2008, 12:23 AM

56 points

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Self-Similarity Experiment

Dawn DrescherAug 15, 2020, 1:19 PM

12 points

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Seven habits towards highly effective minds

Richard_NgoSep 5, 2019, 11:10 PM

38 points

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(thinkingcomplete.blogspot.com)

Are these cognitive biases, biases?

Kaj_SotalaDec 23, 2009, 5:27 PM

46 points

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Bind Yourself to Reality

Eliezer YudkowskyMar 22, 2008, 5:09 AM

56 points

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My Childhood Death Spiral

Eliezer YudkowskySep 15, 2008, 3:42 AM

61 points

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106 comments4 min readLW link

My Naturalistic Awakening

Eliezer YudkowskySep 25, 2008, 6:58 AM

58 points

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The ABC’s of Luminosity

AlicornMar 18, 2010, 9:47 PM

47 points

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Lights, Camera, Action!

AlicornMar 20, 2010, 5:29 AM

42 points

51 votes

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The Spotlight

AlicornMar 24, 2010, 11:43 PM

46 points

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Highlights and Shadows

AlicornMar 28, 2010, 8:56 PM

25 points

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Lampshading

AlicornApr 6, 2010, 8:03 PM

21 points

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Aliveness

ZizJan 18, 2018, 5:00 AM

16 points

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(sinceriously.fyi)

How some algorithms feel from inside

cousin_itMay 17, 2011, 11:26 AM

48 points

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Are You a Paralyzed Subordinate Monkey?

Eliezer YudkowskyMar 2, 2011, 9:12 PM

43 points

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78 comments1 min readLW link

False Majorities

JamesAndrixFeb 3, 2010, 6:43 PM

42 points

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39 comments1 min readLW link

Don’t estimate your creative intelligence by your critical intelligence

PhilGoetzFeb 5, 2015, 2:41 AM

72 points

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Multitudinous outside views

DavidmanheimAug 18, 2020, 6:21 AM

55 points

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13 comments3 min readLW link

Learning human preferences: optimistic and pessimistic scenarios

Stuart_ArmstrongAug 18, 2020, 1:05 PM

27 points

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On Being Okay with the Truth

lukeprogMay 2, 2011, 12:17 AM

50 points

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Decision-theoretic problems and Theories; An (Incomplete) comparative list

somervtaJul 11, 2018, 2:59 AM

36 points

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(docs.google.com)

Zero-Knowledge Cooperation

bryjnarOct 25, 2017, 5:35 AM

16 points

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Doubt, Science, and Magical Creatures—a Child’s Perspective

BenquoDec 28, 2013, 3:26 PM

58 points

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54 comments2 min readLW link

Picture Frames, Window Frames and Frameworks

RaemonNov 3, 2019, 10:09 PM

33 points

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Pretense

TurnTroutJul 29, 2018, 12:35 AM

30 points

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1 comment1 min readLW link

On Defining your Terms

Chris_LeongAug 19, 2020, 3:30 AM

13 points

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4 comments2 min readLW link

Is your uncertainty resolvable?

RaemonJun 21, 2019, 7:32 AM

30 points

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15 comments1 min readLW link

A parable in the style of Invisible Cities

Daniel KokotajloDec 16, 2019, 3:55 PM

42 points

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[Question] Why should I care about rationality?

TurnTroutDec 8, 2018, 3:49 AM

24 points

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[Question] Instrumental Occam?

abramdemskiJan 31, 2020, 7:27 PM

30 points

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A List of Nuances

abramdemskiNov 10, 2014, 5:02 AM

63 points

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[Question] What are the components of intellectual honesty?

abramdemskiJan 15, 2019, 8:00 PM

30 points

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Narrow your answer space

VaniverDec 28, 2010, 11:38 AM

33 points

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111 comments8 min readLW link

Thinking well

VaniverApr 1, 2015, 10:03 PM

45 points

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23 comments2 min readLW link

Explanation vs Rationalization

abramdemskiFeb 22, 2018, 11:46 PM

16 points

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11 comments4 min readLW link

Simultaneous Overconfidence and Underconfidence

abramdemskiJun 3, 2015, 9:04 PM

36 points

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6 comments5 min readLW link

Subtle Forms of Confirmation Bias

abramdemskiJul 3, 2017, 11:00 PM

18 points

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The 12 Second Rule (i.e. think before answering) and other Epistemic Norms

RaemonSep 5, 2016, 11:08 PM

35 points

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13 comments3 min readLW link

Very Short Introduction to Bayesian Model Comparison

johnswentworthJul 16, 2019, 7:48 PM

30 points

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Interactive Bayes Theorem Visualization

Allen KimMar 3, 2018, 4:00 AM

14 points

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(allenkim67.github.io)

[Question] Should we write more about social life?

DirectedEvolutionAug 19, 2020, 8:07 PM

13 points

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12 comments1 min readLW link

My Kind of Reflection

Eliezer YudkowskyJul 10, 2008, 7:21 AM

52 points

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23 comments4 min readLW link

Lawful Creativity

Eliezer YudkowskyNov 8, 2008, 7:54 PM

55 points

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35 comments7 min readLW link

Your Most Valuable Skill

AlicornSep 27, 2009, 5:01 PM

32 points

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97 comments2 min readLW link

On the Care and Feeding of Young Rationalists

MBlumeMar 13, 2009, 11:48 PM

30 points

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22 comments2 min readLW link

In What Ways Have You Become Stronger?

Vladimir_NesovMar 15, 2009, 8:44 PM

28 points

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40 comments1 min readLW link

Taking Occam Seriously

steven0461May 29, 2009, 5:31 PM

32 points

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51 comments1 min readLW link

No License To Be Human

Eliezer YudkowskyAug 20, 2008, 11:18 PM

43 points

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54 comments8 min readLW link

Kinnaird’s truels

JohnicholasMar 5, 2009, 4:50 PM

28 points

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Extenuating Circumstances

Eliezer YudkowskyApr 6, 2009, 10:57 PM

47 points

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42 comments4 min readLW link

Highlights from the Blackmail Debate (Robin Hanson vs Zvi Mowshowitz)

Ben PaceAug 20, 2020, 12:49 AM

48 points

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39 comments9 min readLW link

Rationality Toughness Tests

RobinHansonApr 6, 2009, 1:12 AM

28 points

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17 comments1 min readLW link

The Bayesian Tyrant

abramdemskiAug 20, 2020, 12:08 AM

132 points

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20 comments6 min readLW link 1 review

Where to Intervene in a Human?

lukeprogJul 3, 2012, 6:31 AM

53 points

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72 comments2 min readLW link

[LINK] What should a reasonable person believe about the Singularity?

Kaj_SotalaJan 13, 2011, 9:32 AM

38 points

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[Question] What does the word “collaborative” mean in the phrase “collaborative truthseeking”?

Zack_M_DavisJun 26, 2019, 5:26 AM

25 points

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22 comments1 min readLW link

[META] ‘Rational’ vs ‘Optimized’

TheOtherDaveJan 4, 2012, 6:58 PM

44 points

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69 comments1 min readLW link

Don’t teach people how to reach the top of a hill

PhilGoetzMar 4, 2014, 9:38 PM

48 points

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37 comments6 min readLW link

Strong stances

KatjaGraceOct 15, 2019, 12:40 AM

27 points

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(meteuphoric.com)

Slava!

[deleted]Oct 3, 2010, 2:47 AM

40 points

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105 comments4 min readLW link

The Baconian Method (Novum Organum Book 1: 93-107)

Francis BaconOct 10, 2019, 6:54 PM

28 points

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When is rationality useful?

Richard_NgoApr 24, 2019, 10:40 PM

28 points

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26 comments3 min readLW link

(thinkingcomplete.blogspot.com)

Is there a practitioner’s guide for rationality?

cedricAug 13, 2018, 5:39 AM

24 points

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9 comments1 min readLW link

“Follow your dreams” as a case study in incorrect thinking

cousin_itAug 20, 2014, 1:18 PM

43 points

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It’s all in your head-land

colinmarshallJul 22, 2009, 7:41 PM

34 points

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68 comments12 min readLW link

Río Grande: judgment calls

KatjaGraceJan 27, 2019, 3:50 AM

25 points

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(worldlypositions.tumblr.com)

Causes of disagreements

JustinShovelainJul 16, 2009, 9:51 PM

27 points

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20 comments4 min readLW link

Radical Probabilism

abramdemskiAug 18, 2020, 9:14 PM

159 points

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47 comments35 min readLW link 1 review

nostalgebraist: Recursive Goodhart’s Law

Kaj_SotalaAug 26, 2020, 11:07 AM

53 points

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27 comments1 min readLW link

(nostalgebraist.tumblr.com)

Zibbaldone With It All

RandominiAug 28, 2020, 11:37 AM

24 points

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14 comments2 min readLW link

[Question] Why is Bayesianism important for rationality?

Chris_LeongSep 1, 2020, 4:24 AM

37 points

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24 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] If there were an interactive software teaching Yudkowskian rationality, what concepts would you want to see it teach?

MikkWSep 2, 2020, 5:37 AM

25 points

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22 comments1 min readLW link

Multivariate estimation & the Squiggly language

ozziegooenSep 5, 2020, 4:35 AM

44 points

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5 comments7 min readLW link

[Question] Why would code/English or low-abstraction/high-abstraction simplicity or brevity correspond?

Elliot TempleSep 4, 2020, 7:46 PM

2 points

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15 comments1 min readLW link

The Four Children of the Seder as the Simulacra Levels

ZviSep 7, 2020, 3:00 PM

81 points

30 votes

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Reference Classes

Chris_LeongSep 7, 2020, 12:52 PM

10 points

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Updates Thread

Adam ZernerSep 9, 2020, 4:34 AM

56 points

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Capturing Ideas

abramdemskiSep 9, 2020, 9:20 PM

71 points

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Taking Hammertime Final Exam by efim

efimSep 10, 2020, 10:18 AM

5 points

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Resist epistemic (and emotional) learned helplessness!

DirectedEvolutionSep 10, 2020, 2:58 AM

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Choose simplicity and structure.

DirectedEvolutionSep 10, 2020, 9:45 PM

7 points

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What’s Wrong with Social Science and How to Fix It: Reflections After Reading 2578 Papers

habrykaSep 12, 2020, 1:46 AM

104 points

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Rationality and playfulness

DirectedEvolutionSep 12, 2020, 5:14 AM

42 points

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Notes on good judgement and how to develop it (80,000 Hours)

habrykaSep 12, 2020, 5:51 PM

15 points

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Gems from the Wiki: Acausal Trade

habryka and JoshuaFox

Sep 13, 2020, 12:23 AM

42 points

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[Question] Egan’s Theorem?

johnswentworthSep 13, 2020, 5:47 PM

17 points

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Memorizing a Deck of Cards

ToflySep 16, 2020, 1:31 AM

27 points

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Applying the Counterfactual Prisoner’s Dilemma to Logical Uncertainty

Chris_LeongSep 16, 2020, 10:34 AM

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Making the Monte Hall problem weirder but obvious

dynomightSep 17, 2020, 12:10 PM

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Gems from the Wiki: Do The Math, Then Burn The Math and Go With Your Gut

habryka and riceissa

Sep 17, 2020, 10:41 PM

53 points

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Taking Social Initiative

Neel NandaSep 19, 2020, 3:31 PM

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Emptiness and Form

lsusrSep 22, 2020, 4:20 AM

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The Haters Gonna Hate Fallacy

Kaj_SotalaSep 22, 2020, 12:20 PM

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Comparative Advantage is Not About Trade

johnswentworthSep 22, 2020, 6:43 PM

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This is Why Your Hard Work Sits on the Shelf — and Here’s What to Do About It

Ian David MossMar 11, 2019, 1:09 AM

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[Question] David Deutsch on Universal Explainers and AI

alanfSep 24, 2020, 7:50 AM

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[Link] Where did you get that idea in the first place? | Meaningness

KennySep 25, 2020, 3:38 PM

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Up close and personal with the world

dominicqSep 25, 2020, 6:52 AM

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About a local variation of Rock-Paper-Scissors and how it self-negated its own problematic dynamic

KyriakosCHSep 25, 2020, 9:27 AM

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Not all communication is manipulation: Chaperones don’t manipulate proteins

ChristianKlSep 27, 2020, 4:45 PM

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[Question] What are good rationality exercises?

Ben PaceSep 27, 2020, 9:25 PM

54 points

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[Question] What Decision Theory is Implied By Predictive Processing?

johnswentworthSep 28, 2020, 5:20 PM

55 points

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[Question] What are examples of Rationalist fable-like stories?

Mati_RoySep 28, 2020, 4:52 PM

19 points

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“Win First” vs “Chill First”

lionhearted (Sebastian Marshall)Sep 28, 2020, 6:48 AM

92 points

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Macro-Procrastination

Neel NandaSep 28, 2020, 4:07 PM

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Seek Upside Risk

Neel NandaSep 29, 2020, 4:47 PM

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[Question] is scope insensitivity really a brain error?

Kaarlo TuomiSep 28, 2020, 6:37 PM

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“Zero Sum” is a misnomer.

abramdemskiSep 30, 2020, 6:25 PM

105 points

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[Question] Babble challenge: 50 ways of sending something to the moon

Bird ConceptOct 1, 2020, 4:20 AM

76 points

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97 comments2 min readLW link 1 review

Words and Implications

johnswentworthOct 1, 2020, 5:37 PM

60 points

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Your Standards are Too High

Neel NandaOct 1, 2020, 5:03 PM

23 points

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Forecasting Newsletter: September 2020.

NunoSempereOct 1, 2020, 11:00 AM

21 points

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Linkpost: Choice Explains Positivity and Confirmation Bias

Gunnar_ZarnckeOct 1, 2020, 9:46 PM

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On Option Paralysis—The Thing You Actually Do

Neel NandaOct 3, 2020, 11:50 AM

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Public transmit metta

Kaj_SotalaOct 4, 2020, 11:40 AM

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Fishbowl reality

EloOct 4, 2020, 2:16 AM

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Domains of truth

mxlnOct 5, 2020, 7:46 PM

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Large Effects Can’t Prove Small Causes

BuckyOct 6, 2020, 5:34 PM

23 points

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Not Even Evidence

DachOct 6, 2020, 1:20 AM

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Lessons on Value of Information From Civ

johnswentworthOct 7, 2020, 6:18 PM

52 points

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Review and Summary of ‘Moral Uncertainty’

finOct 7, 2020, 5:52 PM

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Rationality Cardinality

jimrandomhOct 3, 2015, 3:54 PM

28 points

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[Question] Babble challenge: 50 ways to escape a locked room

Bird ConceptOct 8, 2020, 5:13 AM

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Sortition Model of Moral Uncertainty

B JacobsOct 8, 2020, 5:44 PM

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Upside decay—why some people never get lucky

brianluiOct 8, 2020, 8:45 AM

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The Darwin Game

lsusrOct 9, 2020, 10:19 AM

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Does cognitive therapy encourage bias?

fortyeridaniaNov 22, 2010, 11:31 AM

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Rationality training: academic and clinical perspectives

whalesFeb 19, 2014, 7:09 AM

29 points

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Rule of Equal and Opposite Advice & Slack

tinyanonOct 10, 2020, 9:22 PM

40 points

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Charisma is a Force Multiplier

Davis_KingsleyOct 11, 2020, 10:21 AM

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A full explanation to Newcomb’s paradox.

solomon alonOct 12, 2020, 4:48 PM

−6 points

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Msg Len

Zack_M_DavisOct 12, 2020, 3:35 AM

60 points

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The Sun Room

Jarred FilmerOct 12, 2020, 9:08 PM

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[Question] What should experienced rationalists know?

sapphireOct 13, 2020, 5:32 PM

88 points

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Knowledge, manipulation, and free will

Stuart_ArmstrongOct 13, 2020, 5:47 PM

32 points

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[Question] Babble challenge: 50 ways of hiding Einstein’s pen for fifty years

Bird ConceptOct 15, 2020, 7:23 AM

31 points

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Babble & Prune Thoughts

abramdemskiOct 15, 2020, 1:46 PM

80 points

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Evaluating expertise: a clear box model

JustinShovelainOct 15, 2020, 2:18 PM

36 points

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Moloch games

Chris van MerwijkOct 16, 2020, 3:19 PM

79 points

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Things are allowed to be good and bad at the same time

Kaj_SotalaOct 17, 2020, 8:00 AM

51 points

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Betting Thread

AmandangoOct 20, 2020, 2:17 AM

33 points

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[Question] Retain flexibility with habits?

vroomerifyOct 18, 2020, 10:58 PM

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[Question] Problems Involving Abstraction?

johnswentworthOct 20, 2020, 4:49 PM

30 points

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My case for starting blogging

Neel NandaOct 22, 2020, 5:43 PM

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“Little glimpses of empathy” as the foundation for social emotions

Steven ByrnesOct 22, 2020, 11:02 AM

31 points

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Learning is (Asymptotically) Computationally Inefficient, Choose Your Exponents Wisely

ShmiOct 22, 2020, 5:30 AM

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The Trouble With Babbles

DirectedEvolutionOct 22, 2020, 9:31 PM

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Explanations: Ignorance vs. Confusion

Charlie SteinerJan 16, 2018, 10:44 AM

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Babble and Prune : 5 new ideas

Teja PrabhuOct 23, 2020, 11:42 PM

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Humans are stunningly rational and stunningly irrational

Stuart_ArmstrongOct 23, 2020, 2:13 PM

21 points

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Powerless Moral Evaluation

SocratesDissatisfiedOct 23, 2020, 10:44 AM

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Just For Fun

proshowersingerOct 23, 2020, 9:35 PM

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How to Catalyze Cooperation in Media Sharing

Past AccountOct 24, 2020, 4:14 PM

5 points

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Memory reconsolidation for self-affection

Kaj_SotalaOct 27, 2020, 10:10 AM

45 points

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Babble challenge: 50 ways to stop torture

seedOct 27, 2020, 7:38 PM

8 points

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Notes on Honesty

David GrossOct 28, 2020, 12:54 AM

43 points

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Desperation hamster wheels

Nicole RossOct 28, 2020, 2:32 AM

95 points

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[Question] Babble challenge: 50 consequences of intelligent ant colonies

Bird ConceptOct 29, 2020, 7:21 AM

23 points

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Aim to explain, not persuade

lsusrOct 31, 2020, 4:35 PM

26 points

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Taking Ideas Seriously is Hard

neilkakkarOct 31, 2020, 1:47 PM

14 points

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[Question] What is the right phrase for “theoretical evidence”?

Adam ZernerNov 1, 2020, 8:43 PM

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Surface Thoughts Suck

DachNov 2, 2020, 1:24 PM

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Don’t read news

Eli_Nov 4, 2020, 6:14 PM

27 points

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Notes on Piety

David GrossNov 4, 2020, 1:35 AM

7 points

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[Question] Babble Challenge: 50 thoughts on stable, cooperative institutions

Bird ConceptNov 5, 2020, 6:38 AM

29 points

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Observe, babble, and prune

DirectedEvolutionNov 6, 2020, 9:45 PM

8 points

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Why philosophy of science?

Richard_NgoNov 7, 2020, 11:10 AM

53 points

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(thinkingcomplete.blogspot.com)

Cartesian Frames Definitions

Rob BensingerNov 8, 2020, 12:44 PM

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Costs and benefits of metaphysics

George3d6Nov 9, 2020, 2:31 PM

11 points

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Notes on Temperance

David GrossNov 9, 2020, 2:33 AM

14 points

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2 comments7 min readLW link

Time Travel Markets for Intellectual Accounting

abramdemskiNov 9, 2020, 4:58 PM

38 points

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Probability vs Likelihood

abramdemskiNov 10, 2020, 9:28 PM

105 points

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Learning Normativity: A Research Agenda

abramdemskiNov 11, 2020, 9:59 PM

76 points

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Socratic Grilling

SilasBartaNov 12, 2020, 9:16 PM

9 points

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The Darwin Game—Rounds 3 to 9

lsusrNov 14, 2020, 2:26 AM

24 points

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Notes on Wisdom

David GrossNov 14, 2020, 2:37 AM

5 points

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Specialized Labor and Counterfactual Compensation

philhNov 14, 2020, 6:13 PM

18 points

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(reasonableapproximation.net)

Signalling & Simulacra Level 3

abramdemskiNov 14, 2020, 7:24 PM

60 points

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Early Thoughts on Ontology/Grounding Problems

johnswentworthNov 14, 2020, 11:19 PM

32 points

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Anatomy of a Gear

johnswentworthNov 16, 2020, 4:34 PM

76 points

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Range and Forecasting Accuracy

niplavMay 27, 2022, 6:47 PM

48 points

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19 comments40 min readLW link 1 review

Extortion beats brinksmanship, but the audience matters

Stuart_ArmstrongNov 16, 2020, 9:13 PM

27 points

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Solomonoff Induction and Sleeping Beauty

ikeNov 17, 2020, 2:28 AM

7 points

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The Darwin Game—Rounds 10 to 20

lsusrNov 17, 2020, 1:14 AM

26 points

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On the Shoulders of Giants

meanderingmooseNov 17, 2020, 6:10 PM

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Writing to think

Adam ZernerNov 17, 2020, 7:54 AM

60 points

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Notes on Honor

David GrossNov 17, 2020, 5:25 AM

20 points

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Thoughts on Voting Methods

abramdemskiNov 17, 2020, 8:23 PM

61 points

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The Pointers Problem: Human Values Are A Function Of Humans’ Latent Variables

johnswentworthNov 18, 2020, 5:47 PM

108 points

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44 comments11 min readLW link 2 reviews

Sunzi’s《Methods of War》- Introduction

lsusrNov 18, 2020, 8:23 AM

48 points

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Normativity

abramdemskiNov 18, 2020, 4:52 PM

46 points

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2020 Election: Prediction Markets versus Polling/Modeling Assessment and Postmortem

ZviNov 18, 2020, 11:00 PM

71 points

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Sunzi’s《Methods of War》- War

lsusrNov 19, 2020, 3:06 AM

41 points

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Notes on Prudence

David GrossNov 19, 2020, 4:14 PM

13 points

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[Question] Why is there a “clogged drainpipe” effect in idea generation?

Bird ConceptNov 20, 2020, 7:08 PM

24 points

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Epistemic Progress

ozziegooenNov 20, 2020, 7:58 PM

59 points

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The Darwin Game—Rounds 21-500

lsusrNov 21, 2020, 12:58 AM

27 points

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The central limit theorem in terms of convolutions

Maxwell PetersonNov 21, 2020, 4:09 AM

36 points

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Zen and Rationality: Skillful Means

Gordon Seidoh WorleyNov 21, 2020, 2:38 AM

18 points

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[Question] (Pseudo) Mathematical Realism Bad?

Logan ZoellnerNov 22, 2020, 6:21 PM

0 points

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[Question] Ways to run multiple form-incompatible mentalities?

Self_OptimizationNov 22, 2020, 5:57 PM

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Notes on Ambition

David GrossNov 22, 2020, 7:53 PM

19 points

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Mark Manson and Evidence-Based Personal Development

Chris_LeongNov 23, 2020, 5:13 AM

31 points

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Learning How to Learn (And 20+ Studies)

maxaNov 23, 2020, 12:29 AM

24 points

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The Mutant Game—Rounds 11 to 30

lsusrNov 23, 2020, 9:20 AM

5 points

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Squiggle: An Overview

ozziegooenNov 24, 2020, 3:00 AM

59 points

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Pain is not the unit of Effort

alkjashNov 24, 2020, 8:00 PM

445 points

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(radimentary.wordpress.com)

Evading Mind Control

lsusrNov 25, 2020, 5:01 AM

59 points

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Pain is the unit of Effort

lsusrNov 25, 2020, 8:30 AM

73 points

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Success Buys Freedom

lsusrNov 25, 2020, 1:53 PM

55 points

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Notes on Benevolence

David GrossNov 26, 2020, 2:43 AM

25 points

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The Exploitability/Explainability Frontier

ikeNov 26, 2020, 12:59 AM

24 points

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Squiggle: Technical Overview

ozziegooenNov 25, 2020, 8:51 PM

18 points

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Luna Lovegood and the Chamber of Secrets—Part 1

lsusrNov 26, 2020, 3:02 AM

146 points

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30 comments3 min readLW link 1 review

Nash Score for Voting Techniques

abramdemskiNov 26, 2020, 7:29 PM

20 points

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Deconstructing 321 Voting

abramdemskiNov 26, 2020, 3:35 AM

40 points

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Matryoshka Faraday Box

lsusrNov 26, 2020, 9:42 AM

45 points

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Notes on Good Temper

David GrossNov 27, 2020, 4:21 PM

32 points

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7 comments7 min readLW link

Final Version Perfected: An Underused Execution Algorithm

willbradshawNov 27, 2020, 10:43 AM

84 points

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Overcoming Paradox of Choice Through Random Selection

vernamcipherNov 28, 2020, 4:27 AM

13 points

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[Question] Prize: Interesting Examples of Evaluations

Elizabeth and ozziegooen

Nov 28, 2020, 9:11 PM

43 points

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25 comments2 min readLW link

Notes on Humility

David GrossNov 29, 2020, 7:50 PM

18 points

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Preface to the Sequence on Factored Cognition

Rafael HarthNov 30, 2020, 6:49 PM

35 points

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Idealized Factored Cognition

Rafael HarthNov 30, 2020, 6:49 PM

34 points

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Before rationality- a snapshot

jospus321Nov 29, 2020, 9:07 PM

3 points

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Book review: WEIRDest People

PeterMcCluskeyNov 30, 2020, 3:33 AM

97 points

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(www.bayesianinvestor.com)

The Mutant Game—Rounds 91 to 247

lsusrNov 30, 2020, 9:25 AM

20 points

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Luna Lovegood and the Chamber of Secrets—Part 2

lsusrNov 30, 2020, 8:12 AM

90 points

62 votes

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7 comments3 min readLW link

Non-Book Review: Patterns of Conflict

johnswentworthNov 30, 2020, 9:05 PM

38 points

12 votes

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2 comments7 min readLW link

Forecasting Newsletter: November 2020

NunoSempereDec 1, 2020, 5:00 PM

29 points

12 votes

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5 comments12 min readLW link

Luna Lovegood and the Chamber of Secrets—Part 3

lsusrDec 1, 2020, 12:43 PM

128 points

80 votes

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12 comments2 min readLW link

My Fear Heuristic

lsusrDec 1, 2020, 8:00 AM

102 points

52 votes

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14 comments1 min readLW link

Notes on Sincerity and such

David GrossDec 1, 2020, 5:09 AM

9 points

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2 comments12 min readLW link

Follow Up: Predictions as a Substitute For Reviews

ElizabethDec 2, 2020, 7:40 PM

7 points

1 vote

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(acesounderglass.com)

Notes on Simplicity

David GrossDec 2, 2020, 11:14 PM

10 points

5 votes

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0 comments7 min readLW link

12 Rules for Life

lsusrDec 3, 2020, 6:09 AM

9 points

15 votes

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7 comments3 min readLW link

Notes on Integrity

David GrossDec 3, 2020, 11:42 PM

18 points

10 votes

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1 comment7 min readLW link

Luna Lovegood and the Chamber of Secrets—Part 4

lsusrDec 3, 2020, 11:42 PM

87 points

52 votes

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21 comments4 min readLW link

Real-Life Examples of Prediction Systems Interfering with the Real World (Predict-O-Matic Problems)

NunoSempereDec 3, 2020, 10:00 PM

122 points

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The Hard Problem of Magic

enaumovDec 4, 2020, 6:51 PM

0 points

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5 comments1 min readLW link

Luna Lovegood and the Chamber of Secrets—Part 5

lsusrDec 5, 2020, 1:23 AM

107 points

63 votes

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8 comments3 min readLW link

Forecasting is a responsibility

DirectedEvolutionDec 5, 2020, 12:40 AM

23 points

12 votes

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23 comments2 min readLW link

Notes on Care

David GrossDec 5, 2020, 4:33 PM

8 points

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0 comments7 min readLW link

Supervised learning in the brain, part 4: compression / filtering

Steven ByrnesDec 5, 2020, 5:06 PM

12 points

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D&D.Sci

abstractapplicDec 5, 2020, 11:26 PM

41 points

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52 comments1 min readLW link

Values Form a Shifting Landscape (and why you might care)

VojtaKovarikDec 5, 2020, 11:56 PM

28 points

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Cultural accumulation

KatjaGraceDec 6, 2020, 6:20 AM

91 points

40 votes

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(meteuphoric.com)

Minimal Maps, Semi-Decisions, and Neural Representations

Past AccountDec 6, 2020, 3:15 PM

30 points

6 votes

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2 comments4 min readLW link

Notes on Fairness

David GrossDec 7, 2020, 6:52 PM

20 points

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4 comments8 min readLW link

[Question] Number-guessing protocol?

abramdemskiDec 7, 2020, 3:07 PM

19 points

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28 comments1 min readLW link

White Sphere Hypothesis

James S. ErieeDec 8, 2020, 5:56 AM

6 points

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How long does it take to become Gaussian?

Maxwell PetersonDec 8, 2020, 7:23 AM

135 points

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Signaling importance

Mati_RoyDec 8, 2020, 9:14 AM

6 points

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4 comments1 min readLW link

Luna Lovegood and the Chamber of Secrets—Part 6

lsusrDec 9, 2020, 8:14 AM

87 points

51 votes

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14 comments2 min readLW link

Notes on Know-how

David GrossDec 9, 2020, 5:21 PM

10 points

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1 comment4 min readLW link

[Question] Countering Self-Deception: When Decoupling, When Decontextualizing?

a gently pricked veinDec 10, 2020, 3:28 PM

2 points

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11 comments1 min readLW link

Unexplored modes of language

KatjaGraceDec 10, 2020, 7:00 AM

28 points

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(worldspiritsockpuppet.com)

Mental Blinders from Working Within Systems

abramdemskiDec 10, 2020, 7:09 PM

53 points

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20 comments3 min readLW link

Luna Lovegood and the Chamber of Secrets—Part 7

lsusrDec 11, 2020, 5:54 AM

65 points

39 votes

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18 comments1 min readLW link

The Good Life Quantified

Jacob FalkovichDec 11, 2020, 5:52 PM

38 points

17 votes

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3 comments5 min readLW link

Notes on Chastity

David GrossDec 11, 2020, 10:01 PM

25 points

11 votes

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1 comment7 min readLW link

The Flynn Effect Clarified

PeterMcCluskeyDec 12, 2020, 5:18 AM

34 points

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(www.bayesianinvestor.com)

D&D.Sci Evaluation and Ruleset

abstractapplicDec 12, 2020, 3:00 PM

40 points

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10 comments3 min readLW link

Pseudorandomness contest, Round 1

Eric NeymanDec 13, 2020, 3:42 AM

28 points

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(ericneyman.wordpress.com)

[Question] Writing tools for tabooing?

abramdemskiDec 13, 2020, 7:50 PM

15 points

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[Question] What confusions do people have about simulacrum levels?

johnswentworthDec 14, 2020, 8:20 PM

28 points

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31 comments1 min readLW link

Hermione Granger and Newcomb’s Paradox

lsusrDec 14, 2020, 5:27 AM

48 points

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Decision-Making and Accountability

Ian David MossDec 14, 2020, 9:30 PM

11 points

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(medium.com)

Less Basic Inframeasure Theory

DiffractorDec 16, 2020, 3:52 AM

22 points

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1 comment61 min readLW link

Notes on Courtesy

David GrossDec 16, 2020, 4:08 AM

10 points

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0 comments6 min readLW link

Bad reductionism

Adam ZernerDec 16, 2020, 8:21 AM

12 points

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Two Explorations

alkjashDec 16, 2020, 9:27 PM

63 points

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(radimentary.wordpress.com)

How to Compliment

less_penguinyDec 16, 2020, 8:25 AM

13 points

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0 comments1 min readLW link

Incentivizing forecasting via social media

David Althaus and Daniel Kokotajlo

Dec 16, 2020, 12:15 PM

19 points

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(forum.effectivealtruism.org)

Hard work is irritating

OldmanrahulDec 17, 2020, 1:04 AM

12 points

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(oldmanrahul.com)

It turns out that group meetings are mostly a terrible way to make decisions

Ian David MossDec 17, 2020, 3:30 AM

60 points

28 votes

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14 comments5 min readLW link

(medium.com)

Notes on Dignity

David GrossDec 17, 2020, 3:46 PM

9 points

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1 comment7 min readLW link

Luna Lovegood and the Chamber of Secrets—Part 8

lsusrDec 17, 2020, 10:29 PM

64 points

30 votes

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17 comments2 min readLW link

No, Newspeak Won’t Make You Stupid

MikkWDec 18, 2020, 12:56 AM

21 points

16 votes

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39 comments7 min readLW link

Notes on Duty

David GrossDec 18, 2020, 6:54 PM

17 points

7 votes

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0 comments5 min readLW link

Probability theory implies Occam’s razor

Maxwell PetersonDec 18, 2020, 7:48 AM

8 points

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4 comments6 min readLW link

Gauging the conscious experience of LessWrong

VermillionDec 20, 2020, 11:34 AM

32 points

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46 comments1 min readLW link

Luna Lovegood and the Chamber of Secrets—Part 9

lsusrDec 20, 2020, 9:22 AM

88 points

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16 comments2 min readLW link

Interactive exploration of LessWrong and other large collections of documents

vpetukhov and FriendlyOwl

Dec 20, 2020, 7:06 PM

49 points

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9 comments10 min readLW link

Gratitude: Data and Anecdata

Dan WeinandDec 20, 2020, 8:24 PM

10 points

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Secular Solstice 2020

jefftkDec 20, 2020, 11:20 PM

81 points

27 votes

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(www.jefftk.com)

On Robin Hanson’s “Social Proof, but of What?”

ZviDec 20, 2020, 10:20 PM

32 points

8 votes

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(thezvi.wordpress.com)

New Eliezer Yudkowsky interview on We Want MoR, the HPMOR Podcast

moridinamaelDec 21, 2020, 5:21 PM

41 points

18 votes

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6 comments1 min readLW link

Notes on Fitness

David GrossDec 21, 2020, 4:51 PM

15 points

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3 comments5 min readLW link

[Question] Babble Challenge: Not-So-Future Coordination Tech

abramdemskiDec 21, 2020, 4:48 PM

28 points

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3 comments1 min readLW link

Using spaced repetition to make the most out of blog posts and books

tchauvinDec 21, 2020, 2:47 AM

10 points

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1 comment3 min readLW link

The Best Visualizations on Every Subject

ryan_bDec 21, 2020, 10:51 PM

58 points

22 votes

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21 comments1 min readLW link

Consciousness of abstraction

Richard_KennawayDec 21, 2020, 9:35 PM

20 points

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1 comment8 min readLW link

parenting rules

Dave OrrDec 21, 2020, 7:48 PM

144 points

71 votes

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9 comments5 min readLW link

Confidence Intervals seen as pixel stripes

qbolecDec 21, 2020, 11:00 AM

3 points

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0 comments16 min readLW link

Wholehearted choices and “morality as taxes”

Joe CarlsmithDec 23, 2020, 2:21 AM

36 points

16 votes

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6 comments4 min readLW link

Notes on Patience & Forbearance

David GrossDec 23, 2020, 4:31 PM

10 points

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0 comments3 min readLW link

My favorite essays of life advice

benkuhnDec 23, 2020, 11:00 PM

79 points

48 votes

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(www.benkuhn.net)

Sunzi’s《Methods of War》- Planning Attacks

lsusrDec 23, 2020, 9:52 PM

36 points

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3 comments2 min readLW link

Luna Lovegood and the Chamber of Secrets—Part 10

lsusrDec 24, 2020, 8:33 AM

57 points

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23 comments3 min readLW link

The medical test paradox: Can redesigning Bayes rule help?

habrykaDec 24, 2020, 10:08 PM

34 points

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(www.youtube.com)

Epistemology Volume of “A Map That Reflects the Territory” Set—My Personal Commentary

hamnoxDec 24, 2020, 9:34 PM

20 points

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[Question] What are intuitive ways for presenting certainty/confidence in continuous variable inferences (i.e. numerical predictions)?

George3d6Dec 25, 2020, 12:55 AM

4 points

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Notes on Moderation, Balance, & Harmony

David GrossDec 25, 2020, 2:44 AM

8 points

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0 comments6 min readLW link

Martin Seligman’s “Authentic Happiness”

David GrossDec 27, 2020, 5:06 AM

10 points

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[Question] How to reliably signal internal experience?

df fdDec 27, 2020, 11:18 AM

9 points

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15 comments2 min readLW link

Luna Lovegood and the Chamber of Secrets—Part 11

lsusrDec 27, 2020, 9:03 AM

48 points

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22 comments2 min readLW link

Dissolving the Problem of Induction

LironDec 27, 2020, 5:58 PM

39 points

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32 comments7 min readLW link

Agency Volume of “A Map That Reflects the Territory” Set—My Personal Commentary

hamnoxDec 27, 2020, 11:35 PM

7 points

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0 comments3 min readLW link

Review: LessWrong Best of 2018 – Epistemology

Jacob FalkovichDec 28, 2020, 4:32 AM

47 points

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I don’t want to listen, because I will believe you

George3d6Dec 28, 2020, 2:58 PM

10 points

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6 comments16 min readLW link

(cerebralab.com)

Choosing the right ask for a context

ChristianKlDec 28, 2020, 2:58 PM

14 points

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Uninformed Elevation of Trust

ShmiDec 28, 2020, 8:18 AM

21 points

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14 comments1 min readLW link

Infinite possibilities

KatjaGraceDec 28, 2020, 10:10 AM

14 points

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(worldspiritsockpuppet.com)

Measuring up to incredible potential

KatjaGraceDec 29, 2020, 7:50 AM

11 points

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(worldspiritsockpuppet.com)

Notes on notes on virtues

David GrossDec 30, 2020, 5:47 PM

62 points

27 votes

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5 comments11 min readLW link

And You Take Me the Way I Am

Zack_M_DavisDec 31, 2020, 5:45 AM

11 points

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(zackmdavis.net)

Luna Lovegood and the Chamber of Secrets—Part 12

lsusrDec 31, 2020, 8:02 PM

62 points

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21 comments2 min readLW link

Empiricism in NLP : Test Operate Text Exit (TOTE)

ChristianKlJan 1, 2021, 4:09 PM

10 points

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10 comments3 min readLW link

Luna Lovegood and the Chamber of Secrets—Part 13

lsusrJan 1, 2021, 8:01 AM

74 points

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24 comments2 min readLW link

Review: The Diving Bell and the Butterfly

KatjaGraceJan 2, 2021, 1:30 AM

32 points

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(worldspiritsockpuppet.com)

Mental subagent implications for AI Safety

moridinamaelJan 3, 2021, 6:59 PM

11 points

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Don’t Use Your Favorite Weapon

Aaron BergmanJan 3, 2021, 4:01 AM

33 points

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(aaronbergman.substack.com)

On Meaning and Machines

meanderingmooseJan 5, 2021, 3:51 PM

6 points

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2 comments12 min readLW link

[Question] Ways to be more agenty?

Nicholas KrossJan 5, 2021, 8:06 AM

23 points

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21 comments1 min readLW link

The Pointers Problem: Clarifications/Variations

abramdemskiJan 5, 2021, 5:29 PM

51 points

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14 comments18 min readLW link

Genius is (mostly) comparative

Amir BolousJan 5, 2021, 8:57 PM

2 points

3 votes

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3 comments4 min readLW link

The Cowpox of Doubt

Scott AlexanderApr 16, 2014, 1:04 AM

49 points

35 votes

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1 comment5 min readLW link

Linguistic Freedom

Chris_LeongJan 6, 2021, 7:23 AM

10 points

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4 comments2 min readLW link

Grokking illusionism

Joe CarlsmithJan 6, 2021, 5:50 AM

41 points

18 votes

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49 comments9 min readLW link

Thoughts on personal identity

Joe CarlsmithJan 8, 2021, 4:19 AM

16 points

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0 comments10 min readLW link

Condition-directedness

KatjaGraceJan 8, 2021, 10:30 AM

21 points

7 votes

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6 comments2 min readLW link

(worldspiritsockpuppet.com)

Conversation, event loops, and error handling

Adam ZernerJan 8, 2021, 8:05 AM

18 points

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2 comments7 min readLW link

[Question] Information on time-complexity prior?

Garrett BakerJan 8, 2021, 6:09 AM

6 points

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2 comments1 min readLW link

Unnatural Categories Are Optimized for Deception

Zack_M_DavisJan 8, 2021, 8:54 PM

80 points

23 votes

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22 comments33 min readLW link 1 review

A workshop on Life Influences

EloJan 10, 2021, 11:23 AM

8 points

1 vote

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0 comments4 min readLW link

Overconfidence

lsusrJan 10, 2021, 10:36 AM

25 points

22 votes

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10 comments3 min readLW link

Distinguishing goals from chores

Amir BolousJan 10, 2021, 7:45 AM

5 points

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1 comment4 min readLW link

Avoid Unnecessarily Political Examples

RaemonJan 11, 2021, 5:41 AM

105 points

53 votes

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42 comments3 min readLW link

“If” is in the map

Chris_LeongJan 13, 2021, 3:09 AM

8 points

5 votes

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8 comments1 min readLW link

Notes on Gratitude

David GrossJan 13, 2021, 8:37 PM

11 points

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0 comments16 min readLW link

Discussion on the choice of concepts

KatjaGraceJan 14, 2021, 4:00 AM

41 points

11 votes

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(worldspiritsockpuppet.com)

Alienation and meta-ethics (or: is it possible you should maximize helium?)

Joe CarlsmithJan 15, 2021, 7:07 AM

13 points

7 votes

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Meditative thinking

KatjaGraceJan 16, 2021, 2:30 AM

24 points

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3 comments1 min readLW link

(worldspiritsockpuppet.com)

[Question] Is it the case that when humans approximate backward induction they violate the markov property?

QuinnJan 16, 2021, 4:22 PM

7 points

4 votes

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Excerpt from Arbital Solomonoff induction dialogue

Richard_NgoJan 17, 2021, 3:49 AM

36 points

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(arbital.com)

D&D.Sci II Evaluation and Ruleset

abstractapplicJan 17, 2021, 4:58 PM

33 points

18 votes

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6 comments4 min readLW link

[Question] How do I improve at being strategic?

ConorJan 17, 2021, 1:36 AM

11 points

6 votes

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21 comments1 min readLW link

Short summary of mAIry’s room

Stuart_ArmstrongJan 18, 2021, 6:11 PM

26 points

8 votes

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2 comments4 min readLW link

Conviction ⚖️ Skepticism

lsusrJan 19, 2021, 8:04 AM

8 points

10 votes

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2 comments1 min readLW link

Praying to God

lsusrJan 19, 2021, 10:25 AM

6 points

27 votes

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15 comments2 min readLW link

Recognizing Numbers

johnswentworthJan 20, 2021, 7:50 PM

25 points

6 votes

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3 comments7 min readLW link

Notes on Optimism, Hope, and Trust

David GrossJan 20, 2021, 11:00 PM

11 points

5 votes

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0 comments17 min readLW link

A few thought on the inner ring

KatjaGraceJan 21, 2021, 3:40 AM

70 points

40 votes

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23 comments4 min readLW link 1 review

(worldspiritsockpuppet.com)

Would most people benefit from being less coercive to themselves?

Trinley GoldenbergJan 21, 2021, 2:24 PM

24 points

11 votes

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8 comments4 min readLW link

A ghost

Joe CarlsmithJan 21, 2021, 7:14 AM

16 points

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0 comments5 min readLW link

Exercise: Taboo “Should”

johnswentworthJan 22, 2021, 9:02 PM

95 points

62 votes

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28 comments9 min readLW link 2 reviews

Bayesian Charity

Wes FJan 22, 2021, 2:49 PM

11 points

7 votes

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5 comments1 min readLW link

On the nature of purpose

Nora_AmmannJan 22, 2021, 8:30 AM

28 points

13 votes

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15 comments9 min readLW link

Sunzi’s《Methods of War》- The Army’s Form

lsusrJan 23, 2021, 6:47 AM

27 points

9 votes

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5 comments1 min readLW link

Lessons I’ve Learned from Self-Teaching

TurnTroutJan 23, 2021, 7:00 PM

291 points

168 votes

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72 comments9 min readLW link 1 review

Confirmation Bias in Action

Jacob FalkovichJan 24, 2021, 5:38 PM

36 points

16 votes

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1 comment13 min readLW link

What is a VNM stable set, really?

NisanJan 25, 2021, 5:43 AM

14 points

4 votes

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0 comments7 min readLW link

Revelation and mathematics

George3d6Jan 25, 2021, 12:26 PM

5 points

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(cerebralab.com)

A perspective on covariate adjustment and confounding in randomized experiments.

DarrenJan 25, 2021, 8:22 PM

1 point

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0 comments1 min readLW link

Notes on Forgiveness

David GrossJan 26, 2021, 2:05 AM

11 points

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4 comments24 min readLW link

[Question] What’s the big deal about Bayes’ Theorem?

AVoropaevJan 26, 2021, 6:08 AM

21 points

8 votes

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17 comments3 min readLW link

Build Your Number Sense

DirectedEvolutionJan 27, 2021, 9:01 PM

21 points

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4 comments4 min readLW link

Optimal play in human-judged Debate usually won’t answer your question

Joe CollmanJan 27, 2021, 7:34 AM

33 points

9 votes

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12 comments12 min readLW link

Extracting Money from Causal Decision Theorists

Caspar OesterheldJan 28, 2021, 5:58 PM

24 points

14 votes

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31 comments1 min readLW link

(doi.org)

[Question] Spaced Repetition Systems for Intuitions?

A RayJan 28, 2021, 5:23 PM

19 points

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4 comments1 min readLW link

Roundabout Strategy

Nicholas KrossJan 28, 2021, 12:44 AM

6 points

3 votes

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0 comments8 min readLW link

(www.thinkingmuchbetter.com)

Dumb Dichotomies in Ethics, Part 1: Intentions vs Consequences

Aaron BergmanJan 29, 2021, 3:49 AM

24 points

13 votes

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(aaronbergman.substack.com)

Limiting Causality by Complexity Class

BunthutJan 30, 2021, 12:18 PM

18 points

7 votes

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10 comments1 min readLW link

Notes on Judgment and Righteous Anger

David GrossJan 30, 2021, 7:31 PM

12 points

6 votes

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1 comment6 min readLW link

Catching the Spark

LoganStrohlJan 30, 2021, 11:23 PM

106 points

46 votes

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21 comments36 min readLW link 1 review

[Question] For those who advocate Anki

jmhJan 31, 2021, 12:01 AM

20 points

10 votes

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14 comments1 min readLW link

Researching and Reasoning About Bardiya

lionhearted (Sebastian Marshall)Jan 31, 2021, 12:24 AM

19 points

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The 10,000-Hour Rule is a myth

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Smuggled frames

Artyom KazakFeb 1, 2021, 1:22 AM

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Forecasting Newsletter: January 2021

NunoSempereFeb 1, 2021, 11:07 PM

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Feedback for learning

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Believing in things you cannot see

Joe CarlsmithFeb 1, 2021, 7:26 AM

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Self-Criticism Can Be Wrong And Harmful

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Prisoner’s Dilemmas : Altruism :: Battles of the Sexes : Convention

michaelcohenFeb 1, 2021, 10:39 AM

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Deepmind has made a general inductor (“Making sense of sensory input”)

mako yassFeb 2, 2021, 2:54 AM

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[Question] Has anybody used quantification over utility functions to define “how good a model is”?

Eigil RischelFeb 2, 2021, 3:14 PM

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Bayesian inference on 1st order logic

Daniel AbolafiaFeb 3, 2021, 1:03 AM

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Reflections on the cryonics sequence

mingyuanFeb 3, 2021, 1:17 AM

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Late-talking kids and “Einstein syndrome”

Steven ByrnesFeb 3, 2021, 3:16 PM

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A Gentle Introduction on How to Use Anki to Improve Your Memory

simbyoticFeb 4, 2021, 9:59 AM

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[Question] Any layperson-accessible reference posts on how to operationalize beliefs ?

Optimization ProcessFeb 5, 2021, 7:26 AM

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Networking and Expert Consulting As Rationality Bottlenecks

DirectedEvolutionFeb 5, 2021, 5:41 AM

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[Question] What does flow feel like for “mental activities”?

HazardFeb 5, 2021, 2:33 PM

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Three Stories about not Thinking too Hard

ejacobFeb 5, 2021, 7:51 PM

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The Fear Experiments

Tim LyonsFeb 5, 2021, 10:57 PM

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Making Expertise Legible: Being right should make you respected, not the other way around

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Book review: Sleight of Mind (Matt Cook)

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Notes on Schelling’s “Strategy of Conflict” (1960)

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The art of caring what people think

KatjaGraceFeb 12, 2021, 5:40 AM

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Contact with reality

Joe CarlsmithFeb 15, 2021, 4:53 AM

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Notes on Amiability

David GrossFeb 15, 2021, 7:34 PM

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Generalised models as a category

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The feeling of breaking an Overton window

AnnaSalamonFeb 17, 2021, 5:31 AM

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How Strong is Our Connection to Truth?

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Training sweetness

KatjaGraceFeb 17, 2021, 7:00 AM

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Utility Maximization = Description Length Minimization

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Shortcuts With Chained Probabilities

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Forecasting Prize Results

NunoSempere and ozziegooen

Feb 19, 2021, 7:07 PM

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On the Nature of Reputation

Martin SustrikFeb 20, 2021, 12:50 PM

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Entangled with Reality: The Shoelace Example

lukeprogJun 25, 2011, 4:50 AM

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[Question] How to build common knowledge of rationality and honesty?

MikkWFeb 21, 2021, 6:07 AM

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Principles of Agile Rationalism

DirectedEvolutionFeb 21, 2021, 1:47 AM

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Two types of deference

Joe CarlsmithFeb 22, 2021, 3:32 AM

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Minimal Map Constraints

Past AccountFeb 21, 2021, 5:49 PM

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Argumentative prison cells

MalmesburyFeb 21, 2021, 5:40 PM

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The slopes to common sense

George3d6Feb 22, 2021, 7:22 PM

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The Comprehension Curve

DirectedEvolutionFeb 22, 2021, 10:51 PM

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Overcoming Helplessness

Neel NandaFeb 22, 2021, 3:03 PM

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Yes, words can cause harm

kithpendragonFeb 24, 2021, 12:18 AM

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Coincidences are Improbable

Mark XuFeb 24, 2021, 9:14 AM

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Compromising with Compulsion

matejsuchyFeb 25, 2021, 4:43 PM

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Never Go Full Kelly

SimonMFeb 25, 2021, 12:53 PM

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My Thoughts on the Apperception Engine

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[Question] Can you be 100% confident in your moral beliefs?

MaxGFeb 27, 2021, 12:23 AM

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“If You’re Not a Holy Madman, You’re Not Trying”

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Subjectivism and moral authority

Joe CarlsmithMar 1, 2021, 9:02 AM

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We should not raise awareness

lsusrMar 1, 2021, 8:46 AM

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Links for Feb 2021

ikeMar 1, 2021, 5:13 AM

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(misinfounderload.substack.com)

The Flexibility of Abstract Concepts

lsusrMar 2, 2021, 6:43 AM

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[Question] Does anyone else sometimes “run out of gas” when trying to think?

Sunny from QADFeb 3, 2021, 12:57 PM

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How To Think About Overparameterized Models

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Seven Years of Spaced Repetition Software in the Classroom

tanagrabeastMar 4, 2021, 2:42 AM

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A Semitechnical Introductory Dialogue on Solomonoff Induction

Eliezer YudkowskyMar 4, 2021, 5:27 PM

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A non-logarithmic argument for Kelly

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Connecting the good regulator theorem with semantics and symbol grounding

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Noticing and Overcoming Bias

Neel NandaMar 6, 2021, 9:06 PM

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D&D.Sci III: Mancer Matchups

abstractapplicMar 5, 2021, 7:07 PM

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The three existing ways of explaining the three characteristics of existence

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Seeing Status Quo Bias

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How I Meditate

Gordon Seidoh WorleyMar 8, 2021, 3:34 AM

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If you’ve learned from the best, you’re doing it wrong

George3d6Mar 8, 2021, 1:14 PM

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(cerebralab.com)

Are dogs bad?

qbolecMar 11, 2021, 8:11 AM

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Resolutions to the Challenge of Resolving Forecasts

DavidmanheimMar 11, 2021, 7:08 PM

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Learn and practice using Occam’s Razor with exercises

icompetetowinMar 11, 2021, 8:29 PM

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(newsletter.decisionschool.org)

“Beliefs” vs. “Notions”

David Scott Krueger (formerly: capybaralet)Mar 12, 2021, 4:04 PM

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How I come up with ideas

lsusrMar 12, 2021, 9:01 AM

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On Changing Minds That Aren’t Mine, and The Instinct to Surrender.

Anomal3Mar 13, 2021, 4:08 PM

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Internal Double Crux: Video Games

supposedlyfunMar 14, 2021, 11:45 AM

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The non-central fallacy and Law

ThomasMoreMar 14, 2021, 3:09 PM

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What’s So Bad About Ad-Hoc Mathematical Definitions?

johnswentworthMar 15, 2021, 9:51 PM

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Intermittent Distillations #1

Mark XuMar 17, 2021, 5:15 AM

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“Objective vs Social Reality” vs “Simulacra 1/3″

RaemonMar 17, 2021, 10:15 PM

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Product orientation

DirectedEvolutionMar 18, 2021, 12:41 AM

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Acetylcholine = Learning rate (aka plasticity)

Steven ByrnesMar 18, 2021, 1:57 PM

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Babble Challenge: 50 Ways to Overcome Impostor Syndrome

Tim LiptrotMar 19, 2021, 6:21 PM

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“Meditation for skeptics” – a review of two books, and some thoughts

SherrinfordMar 20, 2021, 11:35 PM

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Unnecessary Boredom Bias

MathiscoMar 20, 2021, 7:29 PM

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A Retrospective Look at the Guild of Servants: Alpha Phase

moridinamaelMar 22, 2021, 8:34 PM

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Thirty-three randomly selected bioethics papers

Rob BensingerMar 22, 2021, 9:38 PM

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“Infra-Bayesianism with Vanessa Kosoy” – Watch/Discuss Party

Ben PaceMar 22, 2021, 11:44 PM

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Preferences and biases, the information argument

Stuart_ArmstrongMar 23, 2021, 12:44 PM

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Why 1-boxing doesn’t imply backwards causation

Chris_LeongMar 25, 2021, 2:32 AM

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Curiosity needs courage

Amir BolousMar 25, 2021, 3:38 AM

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Use your rationality or it’s useless

XxXMar 25, 2021, 9:23 PM

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Toward A Bayesian Theory Of Willpower

Scott AlexanderMar 26, 2021, 2:33 AM

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Learn and practice using Hanlon’s Razor with exercises.

icompetetowinMar 26, 2021, 2:20 PM

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(newsletter.decisionschool.org)

Coherence arguments imply a force for goal-directed behavior

KatjaGraceMar 26, 2021, 4:10 PM

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The Point of Easy Progress

silentbobMar 28, 2021, 4:38 PM

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Agreeing to Disagree: towards a better understanding of agreeableness

Aaron BergmanMar 29, 2021, 3:14 AM

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Systematizing Epistemics: Principles for Resolving Forecasts

DavidmanheimMar 29, 2021, 8:46 PM

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Goldfish Reading

DirectedEvolutionMar 31, 2021, 1:04 AM

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What Do We Know About The Consciousness, Anyway?

SurvivalBiasMar 31, 2021, 11:30 PM

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[Question] What is the semantics of assigning probabilities to future events?

MichalApr 1, 2021, 12:29 AM

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April drafts

AI ImpactsApr 1, 2021, 6:10 PM

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Notes from “Don’t Shoot the Dog”

juliawiseApr 2, 2021, 4:34 PM

219 points

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On Information Presented by Authorities

adaminoueApr 2, 2021, 3:40 PM

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Affordances

abramdemskiApr 2, 2021, 8:53 PM

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[Question] In plain English—in what ways are Bayes’ Rule and Popperian falsificationism conflicting epistemologies?

Sandro P.Apr 2, 2021, 9:21 PM

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City of Lights

AlicornMar 31, 2010, 11:30 PM

44 points

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Moral Golems

Erich_GrunewaldApr 3, 2021, 10:12 AM

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Purpose and Pragmatism

Eliezer YudkowskyNov 26, 2007, 6:51 AM

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Reflective Bayesianism

abramdemskiApr 6, 2021, 7:48 PM

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Don’t Sell Your Soul

Jacob FalkovichApr 6, 2021, 7:02 PM

61 points

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Curious Inquiry and Rigorous Training

DirectedEvolutionApr 6, 2021, 10:38 PM

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Which counterfactuals should an AI follow?

Stuart_ArmstrongApr 7, 2021, 4:47 PM

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The Japanese Quiz: a Thought Experiment of Statistical Epistemology

DanBApr 8, 2021, 5:37 PM

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Insights from “All of Statistics”: Statistical Inference

Rafael HarthApr 8, 2021, 5:49 PM

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Insights from “All of Statistics”: Probability

Rafael HarthApr 8, 2021, 5:48 PM

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Air Quality and Cognition

chwApr 8, 2021, 9:42 PM

28 points

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My Current Take on Counterfactuals

abramdemskiApr 9, 2021, 5:51 PM

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Sometimes, it can take a while to notice confusion

masasinApr 10, 2021, 3:24 AM

27 points

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Forcing Yourself is Self Harm, or Don’t Goodhart Yourself

Gordon Seidoh WorleyApr 10, 2021, 3:19 PM

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How to learn soft skills

AnnaSalamonFeb 7, 2015, 5:22 AM

122 points

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[LINK] Luck, Skill, and Improving at Games

Davis_KingsleyApr 11, 2021, 2:35 PM

13 points

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(towernumbernine.com)

Bayes’ theorem, plausible deniability, and smiley faces

Adam ZernerApr 11, 2021, 8:41 PM

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Intermittent Distillations #2

Mark XuApr 14, 2021, 6:47 AM

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Against “Context-Free Integrity”

Ben PaceApr 14, 2021, 8:20 AM

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Computing Natural Abstractions: Linear Approximation

johnswentworthApr 15, 2021, 5:47 PM

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Prophetic Hazard

onurApr 16, 2021, 10:09 AM

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The Variational Characterization of Expectation

Past AccountApr 16, 2021, 12:12 AM

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Most Analogies Are Wrong

J BostockApr 16, 2021, 7:53 PM

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The Scout Mindset—read-along

weftApr 16, 2021, 7:43 PM

42 points

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Networks of Meaning

Erich_GrunewaldApr 17, 2021, 7:30 AM

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D&D.Sci April 2021 Evaluation and Ruleset

abstractapplicApr 19, 2021, 1:26 PM

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How can we increase the frequency of rare insights?

MichaelDickensApr 19, 2021, 10:54 PM

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Types of generalism

Nora_AmmannApr 20, 2021, 8:22 AM

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What books are for: a response to “Why books don’t work.”

Aaron BergmanApr 21, 2021, 11:18 PM

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Have an idea for an interactive learning module? Consider applying for a ClearerThinking.org micro grant!

spencergApr 22, 2021, 6:13 PM

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Probability theory and logical induction as lenses

Alex FlintApr 23, 2021, 2:41 AM

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Identity in What You Are Not

Gordon Seidoh WorleyApr 24, 2021, 8:11 PM

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Scott Alexander 2021 Predictions: Buy/Sell/Hold

ZviApr 27, 2021, 12:40 AM

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[Question] What topics are on Dath Ilan’s civics exam?

jimrandomhApr 27, 2021, 12:59 AM

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Facebook is Simulacra Level 3, Andreessen is Level 4

Ben PaceApr 28, 2021, 5:38 PM

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Why “is evidence for” is a symmetric relation

alex_hhrApr 29, 2021, 9:26 PM

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(raginrayguns.tumblr.com)

Mindfulness as debugging

pchvykovApr 30, 2021, 4:59 PM

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Your Dog is Even Smarter Than You Think

StyleOfDogMay 1, 2021, 5:16 AM

247 points

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Follow-up to Julia Wise on “Don’t Shoot The Dog”

Alex FlintMay 1, 2021, 7:07 PM

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Consistencies as (meta-)preferences

Stuart_ArmstrongMay 3, 2021, 3:10 PM

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My Journey to the Dark Side

SlimepriestessMay 6, 2021, 12:27 AM

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Anthropics: different probabilities, different questions

Stuart_ArmstrongMay 6, 2021, 1:14 PM

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D&D.Sci May 2021: Monster Carcass Auction

abstractapplicMay 7, 2021, 7:33 PM

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Occam’s Guillotine

SlimepriestessMay 7, 2021, 4:30 PM

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Migraine hallucinations, phenomenology, and cognition

Richard_KennawayMay 8, 2021, 3:56 PM

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Implementing the Second Virtue: Feel the Emotions Which Fit the Facts

LukeOnlineMay 9, 2021, 5:47 AM

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[Question] What is the strongest argument you know for antirealism?

Michele CampoloMay 12, 2021, 10:53 AM

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The case for hypocrisy

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Alex FlintJul 11, 2021, 10:59 PM

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CollisteruJul 13, 2021, 1:39 AM

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Randomized Zettelkasten Test

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The Walking Dead

Logan ZoellnerJul 22, 2021, 4:19 PM

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Referential Information

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The Myth of the Myth of the Lone Genius

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[Question] What psychology studies are most important to the rationalist worldview?

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Decision-Making Training for Software Engineering

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When Most VNM-Coherent Preference Orderings Have Convergent Instrumental Incentives

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[Question] What was my mistake evaluating risk in this situation?

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[Question] Training Better Rationalists?

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Sunzi’s《Methods of War》- Potential

lsusrAug 5, 2021, 5:29 AM

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Traps of Formalization in Deconfusion

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The Future: Where are the Colors and the Sports?

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Book Review: The Beginning of Infinity

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Fermi Fingers

Optimization ProcessAug 9, 2021, 7:56 PM

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Implicature Conflation

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A Qualitative and Intuitive Explanation of Expected Value

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The two-headed bacterium

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Don’t walk through the fire! Walk through the fire!

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gilch and konstell

Aug 16, 2021, 4:42 AM

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Zen and Rationality: Equanimity

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MIRI/OP exchange about decision theory

Rob BensingerAug 25, 2021, 10:44 PM

48 points

22 votes

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7 comments10 min readLW link

Pair Debugging and applied rationality

nullAug 26, 2021, 11:37 AM

6 points

1 vote

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3 comments1 min readLW link

A brief review of The Scout Mindset

Adam ZernerAug 26, 2021, 8:47 PM

14 points

6 votes

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(www.goodreads.com)

Can you control the past?

Joe CarlsmithAug 27, 2021, 7:39 PM

158 points

74 votes

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94 comments47 min readLW link 1 review

[Question] Framing Practicum: Incentive

aysajanAug 27, 2021, 7:22 PM

37 points

11 votes

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6 comments3 min readLW link

Reasons for being rational

Swimmer963 (Miranda Dixon-Luinenburg) Jul 1, 2011, 3:28 PM

78 points

73 votes

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183 comments3 min readLW link

Beware of small world puzzles

mukashiAug 30, 2021, 6:00 AM

57 points

32 votes

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6 comments4 min readLW link

Antidotes to Number Numbness

CollisteruAug 30, 2021, 8:17 PM

12 points

6 votes

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3 comments3 min readLW link

[Question] Improving rationality / scout mindset on a debate group

Aryeh EnglanderSep 4, 2021, 5:02 PM

14 points

3 votes

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0 comments1 min readLW link

Hope and False Hope

TekhneMakreSep 4, 2021, 9:46 AM

4 points

5 votes

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60 comments6 min readLW link

The Coordination Frontier: Sequence Intro

RaemonSep 4, 2021, 10:11 PM

158 points

72 votes

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22 comments6 min readLW link 1 review

Acausal Trade and the Ultimatum Game

Yair HalberstadtSep 5, 2021, 5:36 AM

14 points

9 votes

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8 comments3 min readLW link

[Question] Why there are no online CFAR workshops?

Valentin2026Sep 5, 2021, 3:02 PM

22 points

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17 comments1 min readLW link

D&D.Sci Pathfinder: Return of the Gray Swan Evaluation & Ruleset

aphyerSep 9, 2021, 2:03 PM

37 points

17 votes

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13 comments14 min readLW link

Soldiers, Scouts, and Albatrosses.

JanSep 12, 2021, 10:36 AM

5 points

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(universalprior.substack.com)

[Linkpost] Partial Derivatives and Partial Narratives

mike_hawkeSep 13, 2021, 9:02 PM

11 points

6 votes

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(everythingstudies.com)

A Fight is a Faster Tax on Bullshit

Ray DoraisamySep 17, 2021, 4:26 PM

2 points

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8 comments3 min readLW link

“Rational Agents Win”

Isaac KingSep 23, 2021, 7:59 AM

8 points

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33 comments2 min readLW link

100 Years Of Existential Risk

jdpSep 27, 2021, 12:31 AM

72 points

25 votes

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12 comments33 min readLW link

(www.wrestlinggnon.com)

Beware Superficial Plausibility

CelerSep 28, 2021, 3:58 AM

32 points

15 votes

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13 comments4 min readLW link

Selection Theorems: A Program For Understanding Agents

johnswentworthSep 28, 2021, 5:03 AM

118 points

44 votes

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27 comments6 min readLW link 2 reviews

D&D.Sci 4th Edition: League of Defenders of the Storm

aphyerSep 28, 2021, 11:19 PM

41 points

14 votes

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31 comments3 min readLW link

A review of Steven Pinker’s new book on rationality

Matthew BarnettSep 29, 2021, 1:29 AM

138 points

79 votes

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43 comments6 min readLW link

The Mind Is A Shaky Control System

DirectedEvolutionSep 29, 2021, 8:49 PM

6 points

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Why We Should Always Distrust Our Certainties

Ted ReynoldsOct 2, 2021, 6:05 AM

0 points

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3 comments2 min readLW link

Blink: The Power of Thinking Without Thinking (book review)

Andrew VlahosOct 3, 2021, 11:21 PM

17 points

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1 comment9 min readLW link

Trust and The Small World Fallacy

DPiepgrassOct 4, 2021, 12:38 AM

26 points

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14 comments14 min readLW link

To every people according to their language

Yair HalberstadtOct 4, 2021, 6:42 PM

32 points

23 votes

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2 comments3 min readLW link

[ACX Linkpost] Too Good to Check: A Play in Three Acts

mike_hawkeOct 5, 2021, 5:04 AM

24 points

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0 comments1 min readLW link

(astralcodexten.substack.com)

State Projection Bias

nomiddlenameOct 5, 2021, 6:28 AM

1 point

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D&D.Sci 4th Edition: League of Defenders of the Storm Evaluation & Ruleset

aphyerOct 5, 2021, 5:30 PM

37 points

14 votes

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17 comments7 min readLW link

2021 Darwin Game—Desert

lsusrOct 6, 2021, 12:24 AM

37 points

16 votes

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2 comments2 min readLW link

2021 Darwin Game—Ocean

lsusrOct 6, 2021, 1:59 AM

27 points

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2 comments4 min readLW link

2021 Darwin Game—Benthic

lsusrOct 6, 2021, 4:39 AM

25 points

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0 comments3 min readLW link

No Really, There Are No Rules!

J BostockOct 7, 2021, 10:08 PM

43 points

26 votes

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14 comments2 min readLW link

Perceptual dexterity: a case study

Duncan Sabien (Inactive)Oct 7, 2021, 10:25 PM

65 points

28 votes

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19 comments4 min readLW link

Shoulder Advisors 101

Duncan Sabien (Inactive)Oct 9, 2021, 5:30 AM

184 points

104 votes

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130 comments14 min readLW link 2 reviews

Cup-Stacking Skills (or, Reflexive Involuntary Mental Motions)

Duncan Sabien (Inactive)Oct 11, 2021, 7:16 AM

112 points

75 votes

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38 comments7 min readLW link 2 reviews

my new shortsight reminder

mike_hawkeOct 11, 2021, 8:06 PM

9 points

3 votes

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1 comment1 min readLW link

[linkpost] Fantasia for Two Voices

mike_hawkeOct 13, 2021, 2:55 AM

8 points

4 votes

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(everythingstudies.com)

Is anchoring a reliable cognitive bias?

justindomkeOct 14, 2021, 3:15 PM

22 points

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(justindomke.wordpress.com)

Interpreting Diagnostic Tests

TornusOct 15, 2021, 2:58 AM

6 points

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Intelligence, epistemics, and sanity, in three short parts

ozziegooenOct 15, 2021, 4:01 AM

14 points

12 votes

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2 comments3 min readLW link

Lies, Damn Lies, and Fabricated Options

Duncan Sabien (Inactive)Oct 17, 2021, 2:47 AM

270 points

176 votes

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131 comments14 min readLW link 2 reviews

[Question] Rationalism for New EAs

Zach Stein-PerlmanOct 18, 2021, 4:00 PM

5 points

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4 comments1 min readLW link

Some of the best rationality essays

Jack ROct 19, 2021, 10:57 PM

25 points

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0 comments2 min readLW link

NATO: Cognitive Warfare Project

ChristianKlOct 21, 2021, 9:57 AM

20 points

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(www.innovationhub-act.org)

What’s Stopping You?

Neel NandaOct 21, 2021, 4:20 PM

39 points

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(www.neelnanda.io)

Stoicism vs the Methods of Rationality

Space L ClotteyOct 21, 2021, 6:07 PM

7 points

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Noticing the Value of Noticing Confusion

Space L ClotteyOct 21, 2021, 6:04 PM

15 points

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[Question] Grading scheme from Valentine Smith

Valentin2026Oct 23, 2021, 7:29 PM

7 points

3 votes

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Deliberate Play

jsteinhardtOct 24, 2021, 2:50 AM

87 points

33 votes

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4 comments5 min readLW link 1 review

(bounded-regret.ghost.io)

Leadership

lsusrOct 29, 2021, 7:29 AM

30 points

15 votes

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4 comments1 min readLW link

Goodhart’s Imperius

Duncan Sabien (Inactive)Oct 29, 2021, 8:19 PM

76 points

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6 comments7 min readLW link

Why the Problem of the Criterion Matters

Gordon Seidoh WorleyOct 30, 2021, 8:44 PM

24 points

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6 comments8 min readLW link

Nate Soares on the Ultimate Newcomb’s Problem

Rob BensingerOct 31, 2021, 7:42 PM

56 points

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[Question] How do I keep myself/S1 honest?

Randomized, ControlledOct 31, 2021, 10:39 PM

6 points

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8 comments1 min readLW link

Depositions and Rationality

Pablo RepettoNov 4, 2021, 12:10 AM

22 points

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[Question] Summary of the sequences / Lesson plans for rationality

Space L ClotteyNov 5, 2021, 5:22 PM

5 points

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4 comments1 min readLW link

Disagreeables and Assessors: Two Intellectual Archetypes

ozziegooenNov 5, 2021, 9:05 AM

45 points

21 votes

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10 comments3 min readLW link

(forum.effectivealtruism.org)

[Question] How does one learn to create models?

ConorNov 5, 2021, 2:57 AM

3 points

3 votes

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1 comment1 min readLW link

D&D.Sci Dungeoncrawling: The Crown of Command

aphyerNov 7, 2021, 6:39 PM

33 points

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28 comments4 min readLW link

Steelman solitaire: how to take playing devil’s advocate to the next level

KatWoodsNov 8, 2021, 8:49 PM

56 points

30 votes

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2 comments5 min readLW link

Arguments in parallel vs arguments in series

Sunny from QADNov 9, 2021, 8:31 AM

11 points

5 votes

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8 comments2 min readLW link

Using blinders to help you see things for what they are

Adam ZernerNov 11, 2021, 7:07 AM

13 points

6 votes

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2 comments2 min readLW link

Investigating Fabrication

LoganStrohlNov 12, 2021, 6:06 AM

71 points

22 votes

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6 comments15 min readLW link

A Defense of Functional Decision Theory

HeighnNov 12, 2021, 8:59 PM

23 points

13 votes

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223 comments10 min readLW link

Average probabilities, not log odds

AlexMennenNov 12, 2021, 9:39 PM

20 points

13 votes

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20 comments5 min readLW link

[Question] Worst Commonsense Concepts?

abramdemskiNov 15, 2021, 6:22 PM

71 points

40 votes

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32 comments3 min readLW link

Dan Luu on Persistent Bad Decision Making (but maybe it’s noble?)

ElizabethNov 15, 2021, 8:05 PM

17 points

8 votes

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(danluu.com)

The Greedy Doctor Problem

JanNov 16, 2021, 10:06 PM

6 points

6 votes

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10 comments12 min readLW link

(universalprior.substack.com)

The Emperor’s New Clothes: a story of motivated stupidity

David Hugh-JonesNov 20, 2021, 1:24 PM

10 points

6 votes

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5 comments3 min readLW link

(wyclif.substack.com)

Competence/Confidence

Duncan Sabien (Inactive)Nov 20, 2021, 8:59 AM

58 points

34 votes

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19 comments1 min readLW link

Split and Commit

Duncan Sabien (Inactive)Nov 21, 2021, 6:27 AM

159 points

93 votes

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33 comments7 min readLW link 1 review

Even if you’re right, you’re wrong

DanielFilanNov 22, 2021, 5:40 AM

17 points

17 votes

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5 comments1 min readLW link

(danielfilan.com)

The Meta-Puzzle

DanielFilanNov 22, 2021, 5:30 AM

23 points

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27 comments3 min readLW link

(danielfilan.com)

A Bayesian Aggregation Paradox

JsevillamolNov 22, 2021, 10:39 AM

73 points

30 votes

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22 comments7 min readLW link

Integrating Three Models of (Human) Cognition

jbkjrNov 23, 2021, 1:06 AM

29 points

14 votes

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4 comments32 min readLW link

Seeking Truth Too Hard Can Keep You from Winning

Gordon Seidoh WorleyNov 30, 2021, 2:16 AM

27 points

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8 comments3 min readLW link

Base Rates and Reference Classes

jsteinhardtNov 24, 2021, 10:30 PM

19 points

8 votes

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(bounded-regret.ghost.io)

Why do you need the story?

George3d6Nov 24, 2021, 8:26 PM

50 points

37 votes

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11 comments5 min readLW link

(cerebralab.com)

You are way more fallible than you think

ShmiNov 25, 2021, 5:52 AM

4 points

17 votes

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14 comments2 min readLW link

Finding the Central Limit Theorem in Bayes’ rule

Maxwell PetersonNov 27, 2021, 5:48 AM

21 points

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9 comments3 min readLW link

Comment on “Deception as Cooperation”

Zack_M_DavisNov 27, 2021, 4:04 AM

23 points

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3 comments7 min readLW link

Reneging Prosocially

Duncan Sabien (Inactive)Nov 30, 2021, 7:01 PM

159 points

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15 comments17 min readLW link 1 review

Relying on Future Creativity

J BostockNov 30, 2021, 8:12 PM

17 points

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0 comments1 min readLW link

Common Probability Distributions

jsteinhardtDec 2, 2021, 1:50 AM

44 points

19 votes

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3 comments5 min readLW link

(bounded-regret.ghost.io)

Agents as P₂B Chain Reactions

Daniel KokotajloDec 4, 2021, 9:35 PM

18 points

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Agency: What it is and why it matters

Daniel KokotajloDec 4, 2021, 9:32 PM

25 points

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2 comments2 min readLW link

Explicit model visualizations

Dorian Stern vukoticDec 5, 2021, 6:37 PM

12 points

7 votes

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0 comments12 min readLW link

Leaving Orbit

Rob BensingerDec 6, 2021, 9:48 PM

50 points

34 votes

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18 comments1 min readLW link

What makes for a good “argument”? (Request for thoughts and comments)

Simon DeDeoDec 8, 2021, 2:16 AM

13 points

5 votes

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3 comments2 min readLW link

[Linkpost] Cat Couplings

mike_hawkeDec 9, 2021, 1:41 AM

11 points

4 votes

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(everythingstudies.com)

LessWrong discussed in New Ideas in Psychology article

rogersbaconDec 9, 2021, 9:01 PM

76 points

32 votes

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12 comments4 min readLW link

[Question] Nonverbal thinkers: how do you experience your inner critic?

Phoenix EliotDec 11, 2021, 12:40 AM

9 points

6 votes

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2 comments1 min readLW link

Analysis of Bird Box (2018)

TekhneMakreDec 13, 2021, 5:30 PM

11 points

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What Caplan’s “Missing Mood” Heuristic Is Really For

DirectedEvolutionDec 16, 2021, 7:47 PM

32 points

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7 comments4 min readLW link

Five Missing Moods

mike_hawkeDec 16, 2021, 1:25 AM

14 points

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3 comments3 min readLW link

Laurie Anderson talks

DagonDec 18, 2021, 8:47 PM

2 points

1 vote

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(www.youtube.com)

Beware using words off the probability distribution that generated them.

Donald HobsonDec 19, 2021, 4:52 PM

38 points

17 votes

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2 comments2 min readLW link

Buckets & Bayes

Duncan Sabien (Inactive)Dec 20, 2021, 5:54 AM

34 points

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0 comments18 min readLW link

Bayesian Dharani, Great Dharani for Conserving Evidence

Gordon Seidoh WorleyDec 20, 2021, 4:32 PM

9 points

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Working through D&D.Sci, problem 1 (solution)

Pablo RepettoDec 21, 2021, 5:42 PM

9 points

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(pabloernesto.github.io)

Random facts can come back to bite you

tailcalledDec 22, 2021, 5:33 PM

58 points

38 votes

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7 comments2 min readLW link 1 review

Missing Mental Models

silentbobDec 29, 2021, 2:08 PM

8 points

5 votes

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1 comment3 min readLW link

Believing in magic pyramids shows that you think differently

tomdekanJan 7, 2022, 11:06 AM

1 point

14 votes

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12 comments2 min readLW link

Training Rationality through Deckbuilders

vitaliyaJan 8, 2022, 6:00 AM

9 points

9 votes

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0 comments2 min readLW link

Let’s Stop Pretending to Be Original Thinkers

vernamcipherJan 8, 2022, 8:14 PM

21 points

16 votes

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7 comments17 min readLW link

A counterargument that isn’t

dominicqJan 9, 2022, 9:50 AM

11 points

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Calibration proverbs

MalmesburyJan 11, 2022, 5:11 AM

75 points

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19 comments1 min readLW link

Morality and constrained maximization, part 2

Joe CarlsmithJan 12, 2022, 1:42 AM

12 points

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0 comments29 min readLW link

Paper claims: “Rationality” flavored words rose since 1850, began declining ~1980

RaemonJan 12, 2022, 11:11 PM

15 points

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2 comments1 min readLW link

(phys.org)

2020 Review Article

VaniverJan 14, 2022, 4:58 AM

74 points

36 votes

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3 comments7 min readLW link

Choosing battles (on the Internet)

PatrickDFarleyJan 20, 2022, 3:38 PM

24 points

11 votes

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2 comments4 min readLW link

What’s Up With Confusingly Pervasive Consequentialism?

RaemonJan 20, 2022, 7:22 PM

169 points

80 votes

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88 comments4 min readLW link

List of Probability Calibration Exercises

Isaac KingJan 23, 2022, 2:12 AM

59 points

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12 comments1 min readLW link

CICO is a weird reference class

Chad NauseamJan 23, 2022, 7:00 AM

42 points

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5 comments2 min readLW link

[Question] Ranking Cultures by Rationality

GadersdJan 27, 2022, 2:25 AM

1 point

3 votes

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5 comments1 min readLW link

The Map of the Map

LightStarJan 29, 2022, 10:03 AM

7 points

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7 comments1 min readLW link

I Am a Dimensional Traveller from a World of Highly Sensitive Rationalists

LightStarJan 30, 2022, 1:00 PM

31 points

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19 comments2 min readLW link

[Question] Is it rational to modify one’s utility function?

k64Feb 4, 2022, 11:37 PM

5 points

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7 comments1 min readLW link

Fundamental Uncertainty: Prelude

Gordon Seidoh WorleyFeb 6, 2022, 2:26 AM

14 points

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[Question] Everyone’s mired in the deepest confusion, some of the time?

M. Y. ZuoFeb 9, 2022, 2:53 AM

1 point

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Observation

LoganStrohlFeb 19, 2022, 6:47 PM

60 points

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24 comments3 min readLW link

Interlude: On Realness

LoganStrohlFeb 17, 2022, 7:02 PM

48 points

29 votes

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6 comments3 min readLW link

The Territory

LoganStrohlFeb 15, 2022, 6:56 PM

96 points

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12 comments5 min readLW link

The metaphor you want is “color blindness,” not “blind spot.”

Duncan Sabien (Inactive)Feb 14, 2022, 12:28 AM

119 points

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12 comments3 min readLW link

Some limitations of reductionism about epistemology

Richard_NgoFeb 14, 2022, 8:50 AM

18 points

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(thinkingcomplete.blogspot.com)

Paper is True

ZviFeb 14, 2022, 2:10 PM

35 points

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(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Epsilon is not a probability, it’s a cop-out

ShmiFeb 15, 2022, 2:48 AM

22 points

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35 comments1 min readLW link

Observations about writing and commenting on the internet

dynomightFeb 15, 2022, 12:02 AM

83 points

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(dynomight.net)

The Three Little Piggies of Rationality

Sam EnrightFeb 15, 2022, 8:36 PM

13 points

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Twitter thread on postrationalists

Eli TyreFeb 17, 2022, 9:02 AM

132 points

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32 comments5 min readLW link

An analogy as the midwife of thermodynamics

adamShimiFeb 16, 2022, 9:34 PM

29 points

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10 comments7 min readLW link

Why you are psychologically screwed up

R BrunsFeb 18, 2022, 5:07 PM

40 points

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14 comments9 min readLW link

What The Foucault

adamShimiFeb 19, 2022, 10:48 PM

37 points

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6 comments3 min readLW link

[Question] Generalization of the Solomonoff Induction to Accuracy—Is it possible? Would it be useful?

PeterLFeb 20, 2022, 7:29 PM

2 points

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1 comment1 min readLW link

Reward Good Bets That Had Bad Outcomes

Neel NandaFeb 22, 2022, 12:25 AM

44 points

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How I Formed My Own Views About AI Safety

Neel NandaFeb 27, 2022, 6:50 PM

64 points

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(www.neelnanda.io)

Defensiveness as hysterical invisibility

TekhneMakreFeb 27, 2022, 3:28 PM

6 points

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5 comments2 min readLW link

Seek Mistakes in the Space Between Math and Reality

aphyerMar 1, 2022, 5:58 AM

29 points

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23 comments4 min readLW link

Understanding Eliezer’s “Any Fact Would Move Me in the Same Direction”

lhcMar 3, 2022, 4:30 AM

7 points

3 votes

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3 comments3 min readLW link

You’d Want The Right Answer

ship_shlapMar 4, 2022, 2:33 AM

4 points

8 votes

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4 comments1 min readLW link

You can tell a drawing from a painting

alkexrMar 7, 2022, 11:45 AM

77 points

41 votes

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Effects are correlated, policy outcomes are not, and multi-factor explanations are hard

Thomas KehrenbergMar 9, 2022, 3:30 PM

15 points

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(tm.kehrenberg.net)

Against Thinking About The Unactionable

George3d6Mar 9, 2022, 11:55 AM

20 points

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(www.epistem.ink)

On continuous decision boundaries

eeegnuMar 11, 2022, 3:36 AM

2 points

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Deep Dives: My Advice for Pursuing Work in Research

scasperMar 11, 2022, 5:56 PM

21 points

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Arguments are good for helping people reason about things

AprilSRMar 11, 2022, 11:02 PM

28 points

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Shotgun Book Reviews: Against Method, The Knowledge Machine and Understanding Nature

adamShimiMar 14, 2022, 8:13 AM

28 points

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Probabilistic Negotiation

Robert KennedyMar 15, 2022, 2:39 PM

19 points

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8 comments3 min readLW link

Do small studies add up?

one_forwardMar 15, 2022, 10:00 PM

14 points

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6 comments5 min readLW link

I read Einstein’s biography. Here are 15 quotes that reveal his philosophy on life.

dmaberyMar 15, 2022, 6:14 PM

−7 points

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Luna Lovegood and the Fidelius Curse—Part 11

lsusrMar 17, 2022, 12:19 AM

22 points

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On expected utility, part 1: Skyscrapers and madmen

Joe CarlsmithMar 16, 2022, 9:58 PM

22 points

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15 comments12 min readLW link

[Question] Formal epistemiology for extracting truth from news sources

EnigmaMar 17, 2022, 2:06 AM

18 points

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On expected utility, part 2: Why it can be OK to predictably lose

Joe CarlsmithMar 18, 2022, 8:38 AM

11 points

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4 comments16 min readLW link

Cold Takes reader survey—let me know what you want more and less of!

HoldenKarnofskyMar 18, 2022, 7:20 PM

17 points

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On Defecting On Yourself

David UdellMar 18, 2022, 2:21 AM

34 points

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[Linkpost] 7 Swedish Words to Import

mike_hawkeMar 19, 2022, 2:36 AM

18 points

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(everythingstudies.com)

Retrospective: Context and Communication

The Guild of the RoseMar 19, 2022, 2:45 PM

19 points

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(guildoftherose.org)

Rationalists Should Learn Lock Picking

brookMar 19, 2022, 6:00 PM

21 points

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10 comments2 min readLW link

On expected utility, part 3: VNM, separability, and more

Joe CarlsmithMar 22, 2022, 3:05 AM

8 points

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5 comments28 min readLW link

Why will an AGI be rational?

azsantoskMar 21, 2022, 9:54 PM

4 points

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Luna Lovegood and the Fidelius Curse—Part 12

lsusrMar 23, 2022, 10:03 AM

20 points

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[Question] Research on how pattern-finding contributes to memorization?

DirectedEvolutionMar 23, 2022, 9:42 PM

9 points

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On expected utility, part 4: Dutch books, Cox, and Complete Class

Joe CarlsmithMar 24, 2022, 7:51 AM

8 points

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2 comments19 min readLW link

Contextual Self

ACrackedPotMar 25, 2022, 3:39 PM

2 points

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Magic, tricks, and high-dimensional configuration spaces

pchvykovMar 26, 2022, 7:14 PM

7 points

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You must on average be improving to not guarantee failure.

eeegnuMar 26, 2022, 5:28 AM

3 points

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Agency and Coherence

David UdellMar 26, 2022, 7:25 PM

23 points

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Newcomb’s problem is just a standard time consistency problem

basil.halperinMar 31, 2022, 5:32 PM

12 points

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The Halting Problem and the Impossible Photocopier

J BostockMar 31, 2022, 6:19 PM

35 points

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Replacing Karma with Good Heart Tokens (Worth $1!)

Ben Pace and habryka

Apr 1, 2022, 9:31 AM

215 points

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190 comments4 min readLW link

Moses and the Class Struggle

lsusrApr 1, 2022, 11:55 AM

195 points

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Using prediction markets to generate LessWrong posts

Matthew BarnettApr 1, 2022, 4:33 PM

82 points

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Blatant Plot Hole in HPMoR [Spoilers]

AprilSRApr 1, 2022, 4:01 PM

6 points

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The Calculus of Newcomb’s Problem

HeighnApr 1, 2022, 2:41 PM

3 points

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The Calculus of Nash Equilibria

HeighnApr 1, 2022, 2:40 PM

4 points

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Luna Lovegood and the Bayesian Conspiracy

lsusrApr 1, 2022, 11:28 PM

24 points

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[Question] What words should be shorter in the rational dictionary?

brookApr 2, 2022, 4:46 PM

9 points

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Practical use of the Beta distribution for data analysis

Maxwell PetersonApr 3, 2022, 7:34 AM

9 points

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Avoiding Moral Fads?

Davis_KingsleyApr 3, 2022, 9:15 AM

7 points

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The case for using the term ‘steelmanning’ instead of ‘principle of charity’

ChristianKlJun 2, 2022, 7:24 PM

25 points

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7 comments3 min readLW link

Counterbiases & Shifting The Default

ReluctantRaccoonApr 4, 2022, 1:05 AM

1 point

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My Superpower: OODA Loops

Gordon Seidoh WorleyApr 4, 2022, 1:51 AM

19 points

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Creative nonfiction training exercises

dynomightApr 4, 2022, 4:17 PM

9 points

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(dynomight.net)

Greyed Out Options

ozymandiasApr 4, 2022, 8:43 PM

106 points

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Down By 30

Adam ZernerApr 5, 2022, 3:29 AM

15 points

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5 comments3 min readLW link

You get one story detail

Gordon Seidoh WorleyApr 5, 2022, 4:38 AM

35 points

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I was asked about how to resolve strong emotional fear concerns around the basilisk and this is my instructions as to how to do that.

EloApr 5, 2022, 6:14 AM

18 points

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Prompt Your Brain

En KepeigApr 5, 2022, 6:42 PM

35 points

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Nick Attains Aligntenment

rank-biserialApr 6, 2022, 4:24 AM

18 points

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Accelerating personal growth: a mashup of models

nullApr 6, 2022, 12:10 PM

6 points

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Finding Useful Things

Johannes C. MayerApr 7, 2022, 5:57 AM

3 points

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Convincing Your Brain That Humanity is Evil is Easy

Johannes C. MayerApr 7, 2022, 9:39 PM

13 points

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Good Heart Week Is Over!

Ben PaceApr 8, 2022, 6:43 AM

55 points

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34 comments1 min readLW link

Useful Vices for Wicked Problems

HoldenKarnofskyApr 12, 2022, 7:30 PM

40 points

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(www.cold-takes.com)

[Question] What is the most significant way you have changed your mind in the last year?

ChristianKlApr 14, 2022, 12:23 PM

29 points

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Fundamental Uncertainty: Chapter 2 - Why do words have meaning?

Gordon Seidoh WorleyApr 18, 2022, 8:54 PM

11 points

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6 comments11 min readLW link

A very quick analogy regarding “opinions”

MagnusApr 20, 2022, 2:28 AM

15 points

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[Question] When is positive self-talk not worth it due to self-delusion?

Jack RApr 21, 2022, 3:11 AM

13 points

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All I Know is that I Know Nothing

lsusrApr 22, 2022, 3:33 PM

49 points

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Re: So You Want to Be a Dharma Teacher

lsusrApr 23, 2022, 10:31 PM

30 points

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(hardcorezen.info)

Why pessimism sounds smart

jasoncrawfordApr 25, 2022, 8:10 PM

74 points

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(rootsofprogress.org)

The Gospel of Martin Luther

lsusrApr 28, 2022, 4:29 AM

0 points

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2 comments1 min readLW link

Facts Matter

mrdlmApr 28, 2022, 9:19 PM

19 points

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2 comments3 min readLW link

Salvage Epistemology

jimrandomhApr 30, 2022, 2:10 AM

98 points

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119 comments1 min readLW link

Narrative Syncing

AnnaSalamonMay 1, 2022, 1:48 AM

117 points

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46 comments7 min readLW link

[Question] Does the “ugh field” phenomenon sometimes occur strongly enough to affect immediate sensory processing?

Rana DexsinMay 3, 2022, 1:42 PM

7 points

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[Question] Why humans don’t learn to not recognize danger?

Joachim BartosikMay 3, 2022, 12:53 PM

4 points

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7 comments1 min readLW link

An easy win for hard decisions

Alex Lawsen May 5, 2022, 7:47 AM

25 points

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Moral Illusions

Martin SustrikMay 6, 2022, 4:00 AM

13 points

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Upgrading Imagination: The Promise Of DALL-E 2 As A Tool For Thought

TharinMay 6, 2022, 6:12 PM

10 points

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(echoesandchimes.com)

Innovation, Stagnation, and Paratrooper Operations

Davis_KingsleyMay 6, 2022, 8:59 PM

52 points

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3 comments16 min readLW link

ProjectLawful.com: Eliezer’s latest story, past 1M words

Eliezer YudkowskyMay 11, 2022, 6:18 AM

193 points

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102 comments1 min readLW link

Deferring

owencbMay 12, 2022, 11:56 PM

18 points

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2 comments11 min readLW link

[Question] Definition Practice: Applied Rationality

ChristianKlMay 15, 2022, 8:44 PM

13 points

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[Link] New Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy article, “Normative Theories of Rational Choice: Rivals to Expected Utility”

Aryeh EnglanderMay 16, 2022, 7:33 PM

10 points

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Framing Practicum: Dynamic Programming

aysajanMay 18, 2022, 6:16 PM

8 points

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5 comments5 min readLW link

Podcast: Spencer Greenberg talks to me about dealing with our groupstruckness and boundedness

KatjaGraceMay 20, 2022, 4:20 AM

28 points

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(worldspiritsockpuppet.com)

PSA: The Sequences don’t need to be read in sequence

kaveMay 23, 2022, 2:53 AM

85 points

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Science-informed normativity

Richard_NgoMay 25, 2022, 6:30 PM

32 points

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2 comments9 min readLW link

(thinkingcomplete.blogspot.com)

Infra-Bayesianism Distillation: Realizability and Decision Theory

Thomas LarsenMay 26, 2022, 9:57 PM

31 points

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9 comments18 min readLW link

Deliberate Grieving

RaemonMay 30, 2022, 8:49 PM

155 points

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[Question] Bayesian Persuasion?

Karthik TadepalliMay 28, 2022, 5:52 PM

8 points

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Distributed Decisions

johnswentworthMay 29, 2022, 2:43 AM

65 points

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6 comments6 min readLW link

Finding the Right Problem

tobotMay 29, 2022, 5:52 PM

8 points

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The horror of what must, yet cannot, be true

Kaj_SotalaJun 2, 2022, 10:20 AM

50 points

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(kajsotala.fi)

A short conceptual explainer of Immanuel Kant’s Critique of Pure Reason

jessicataJun 3, 2022, 1:06 AM

56 points

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(unstableontology.com)

Rationality camps in Oxford for 16-20 yo: Apply by June 12th

Anna GajdovaJun 3, 2022, 3:22 PM

21 points

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Turning Some Inconsistent Preferences into Consistent Ones

niplavJul 18, 2022, 6:40 PM

19 points

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5 comments12 min readLW link

Untypical SIA

avturchinJun 8, 2022, 2:23 PM

5 points

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3 comments2 min readLW link

Website For Yoda Timers

Adam ZernerJun 9, 2022, 4:28 PM

16 points

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The Mountain Troll

lsusrJun 11, 2022, 9:14 AM

67 points

35 votes

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14 comments2 min readLW link

How To: A Workshop (or anything)

Duncan Sabien (Inactive)Jun 12, 2022, 8:00 AM

52 points

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12 comments37 min readLW link

Breaking Down Goal-Directed Behaviour

Oliver SourbutJun 16, 2022, 6:45 PM

10 points

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In defense of flailing, with foreword by Bill Burr

lcJun 17, 2022, 4:40 PM

88 points

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Getting stuck in local minima

louis030195Jun 19, 2022, 8:50 AM

3 points

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(brain.louis030195.com)

Steam

abramdemskiJun 20, 2022, 5:38 PM

61 points

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9 comments5 min readLW link

Dagger of Detect Evil

lsusrJun 21, 2022, 6:23 AM

35 points

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What I mean by the phrase “taking ideas seriously”

LuiseJun 21, 2022, 7:42 PM

5 points

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(forum.effectivealtruism.org)

What I mean by the phrase “getting intimate with reality”

LuiseJun 21, 2022, 7:42 PM

6 points

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(forum.effectivealtruism.org)

Security Mindset: Lessons from 20+ years of Software Security Failures Relevant to AGI Alignment

elspoodJun 21, 2022, 11:55 PM

331 points

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40 comments7 min readLW link

Make learning a reality

Dalton MaberyJun 22, 2022, 3:58 PM

13 points

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2 comments1 min readLW link

How to Visualize Bayesianism

David UdellJun 22, 2022, 1:57 PM

9 points

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2 comments3 min readLW link

Air Conditioner Test Results & Discussion

johnswentworthJun 22, 2022, 10:26 PM

80 points

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38 comments6 min readLW link

[Question] Do you consider your current, non-superhuman self aligned with “humanity” already?

Rana DexsinJun 25, 2022, 4:15 AM

10 points

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Do You Care Whether There Are “Successful” Rationalists?

UtilityMonsterJun 26, 2022, 6:53 PM

12 points

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8 comments7 min readLW link

A Quick Ontology of Agreement

ravedonJun 26, 2022, 5:39 PM

5 points

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Epistemic modesty and how I think about AI risk

Aryeh EnglanderJun 27, 2022, 6:47 PM

22 points

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4 comments4 min readLW link

Contest: An Alien Message

DaemonicSigilJun 27, 2022, 5:54 AM

94 points

41 votes

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100 comments1 min readLW link

CFAR Handbook: Introduction

CFAR!DuncanJun 28, 2022, 4:53 PM

103 points

37 votes

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11 comments1 min readLW link

What Are You Tracking In Your Head?

johnswentworthJun 28, 2022, 7:30 PM

233 points

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75 comments4 min readLW link

Why is so much political commentary misleading?

contrarianbritJun 28, 2022, 5:10 PM

−2 points

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(thomasprosser.substack.com)

Challenge: A Much More Alien Message

kmanJun 28, 2022, 9:50 PM

24 points

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[Question] Literature on How to Maximize Preferences

joshJun 28, 2022, 10:41 PM

1 point

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Looking back on my alignment PhD

TurnTroutJul 1, 2022, 3:19 AM

290 points

121 votes

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60 comments11 min readLW link

Limits to Legibility

Jan_KulveitJun 29, 2022, 5:42 PM

115 points

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9 comments5 min readLW link

A summary of every Replacing Guilt post

Orpheus16Jun 30, 2022, 12:46 AM

30 points

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(forum.effectivealtruism.org)

Cultivating And Destroying Agency

hathJun 30, 2022, 3:59 AM

88 points

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10 comments8 min readLW link

Metacognition in the Rat

Jacob FalkovichJun 30, 2022, 8:53 PM

19 points

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On viewquakes

Dalton MaberyJun 30, 2022, 8:08 PM

6 points

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[Question] How to Navigate Evaluating Politicized Research?

Davis_KingsleyJul 1, 2022, 5:59 AM

11 points

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[Link] On the paradox of tolerance in relation to fascism and online content moderation – Unstable Ontology

KennyJul 1, 2022, 4:43 PM

5 points

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Limerence Messes Up Your Rationality Real Bad, Yo

RaemonJul 1, 2022, 4:53 PM

95 points

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36 comments3 min readLW link

Five views of Bayes’ Theorem

Adam ScherlisJul 2, 2022, 2:25 AM

38 points

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4 comments1 min readLW link

Trigger-Action Planning

CFAR!DuncanJul 3, 2022, 1:42 AM

75 points

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11 comments13 min readLW link

Post hoc justifications as Compression Algorithm

Johannes C. MayerJul 3, 2022, 5:02 AM

8 points

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Decision theory and dynamic inconsistency

paulfchristianoJul 3, 2022, 10:20 PM

70 points

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33 comments10 min readLW link

(sideways-view.com)

ITT-passing and civility are good; “charity” is bad; steelmanning is niche

Rob BensingerJul 5, 2022, 12:15 AM

144 points

70 votes

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35 comments6 min readLW link

Goal Factoring

CFAR!DuncanJul 5, 2022, 7:10 AM

65 points

26 votes

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1 comment8 min readLW link

Assorted thoughts about abstraction

Adam ZernerJul 5, 2022, 6:40 AM

16 points

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9 comments7 min readLW link

Outline: The Rectifying of Maps

hamnoxJul 5, 2022, 5:14 AM

7 points

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A Pattern Language For Rationality

VaniverJul 5, 2022, 7:08 PM

73 points

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12 comments15 min readLW link

Carrying the Torch: A Response to Anna Salamon by the Guild of the Rose

moridinamaelJul 6, 2022, 2:20 PM

126 points

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16 comments6 min readLW link

Predicting Parental Emotional Changes?

jefftkJul 6, 2022, 1:50 PM

38 points

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(www.jefftk.com)

Principles for Alignment/Agency Projects

johnswentworthJul 7, 2022, 2:07 AM

120 points

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20 comments4 min readLW link

User research as a barometer of software design

Adam ZernerJul 8, 2022, 6:02 AM

31 points

12 votes

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13 comments3 min readLW link

Taste & Shaping

CFAR!DuncanJul 10, 2022, 5:50 AM

60 points

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1 comment16 min readLW link

Immanuel Kant and the Decision Theory App Store

Daniel KokotajloJul 10, 2022, 4:04 PM

88 points

36 votes

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9 comments5 min readLW link

Systemization

CFAR!DuncanJul 11, 2022, 6:39 PM

39 points

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5 comments12 min readLW link

Straw-Steelmanning

Chris van MerwijkJul 13, 2022, 5:48 AM

29 points

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2 comments1 min readLW link

Making decisions using multiple worldviews

Richard_NgoJul 13, 2022, 7:15 PM

49 points

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10 comments11 min readLW link

[Question] Any tips for eliciting one’s own latent knowledge?

MSRayneJul 13, 2022, 9:12 PM

16 points

10 votes

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20 comments2 min readLW link

Inward and outward steelmanning

Q HomeJul 14, 2022, 11:32 PM

11 points

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5 comments18 min readLW link

Review of The Engines of Cognition

William GasarchJul 15, 2022, 2:13 PM

13 points

6 votes

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5 comments15 min readLW link

Comfort Zone Exploration

CFAR!DuncanJul 15, 2022, 9:18 PM

48 points

16 votes

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1 comment12 min readLW link

Resolve Cycles

CFAR!DuncanJul 16, 2022, 11:17 PM

117 points

44 votes

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8 comments10 min readLW link

Risk Management from a Climbers Perspective

AnnapurnaJul 16, 2022, 9:14 PM

5 points

2 votes

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0 comments6 min readLW link

(jorgevelez.substack.com)

What should you change in response to an “emergency”? And AI risk

AnnaSalamonJul 18, 2022, 1:11 AM

304 points

140 votes

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60 comments6 min readLW link

Don’t take the organizational chart literally

lcJul 21, 2022, 12:56 AM

44 points

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19 comments4 min readLW link

Internal Double Crux

CFAR!DuncanJul 22, 2022, 4:34 AM

69 points

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17 comments12 min readLW link

What’s next for instrumental rationality?

Andrew_CritchJul 23, 2022, 10:55 PM

62 points

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Curating “The Epistemic Sequences” (list v.0.1)

Andrew_CritchJul 23, 2022, 10:17 PM

65 points

31 votes

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12 comments7 min readLW link

Double Crux

CFAR!DuncanJul 24, 2022, 6:34 AM

40 points

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8 comments11 min readLW link

Eavesdropping on Aliens: A Data Decoding Challenge

anonymousaisafetyJul 24, 2022, 4:35 AM

44 points

18 votes

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Gathering Information you won’t use directly is often useful

Johannes C. MayerJul 24, 2022, 9:21 PM

6 points

4 votes

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Opening Session Tips & Advice

CFAR!DuncanJul 25, 2022, 3:57 AM

70 points

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Unifying Bargaining Notions (1/2)

DiffractorJul 25, 2022, 12:28 AM

189 points

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38 comments16 min readLW link

«Boundaries», Part 1: a key missing concept from utility theory

Andrew_CritchJul 26, 2022, 11:03 PM

151 points

62 votes

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26 comments7 min readLW link

Focusing

CFAR!DuncanJul 29, 2022, 7:15 PM

91 points

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23 comments14 min readLW link

Bucket Errors

CFAR!DuncanJul 29, 2022, 6:50 PM

39 points

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7 comments11 min readLW link

Writing this post as rationality case study

Ben AmitayJul 30, 2022, 4:31 PM

11 points

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Conservatism is a rational response to epistemic uncertainty

contrarianbritJul 31, 2022, 6:04 PM

2 points

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(thomasprosser.substack.com)

Don’t be a Maxi

Cole KillianJul 31, 2022, 11:59 PM

15 points

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(colekillian.com)

A Word is Worth 1,000 Pictures

KullyAug 1, 2022, 4:08 AM

1 point

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0 comments2 min readLW link

[Question] Is there any writing about prompt engineering for humans?

Alex HollowAug 1, 2022, 12:52 PM

18 points

8 votes

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Polaris, Five-Second Versions, and Thought Lengths

CFAR!DuncanAug 1, 2022, 7:14 AM

43 points

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Turbocharging

CFAR!DuncanAug 2, 2022, 12:01 AM

46 points

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(Summary) Sequence Highlights—Thinking Better on Purpose

qazzquimbyAug 2, 2022, 5:45 PM

33 points

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Thinking without priors?

Q HomeAug 2, 2022, 9:17 AM

7 points

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Againstness

CFAR!DuncanAug 2, 2022, 7:29 PM

43 points

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[Question] Some doubts about Non Superintelligent AIs

aditya malikAug 3, 2022, 7:55 PM

0 points

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Survey: What (de)motivates you about AI risk?

Daniel_FriedrichAug 3, 2022, 7:17 PM

1 point

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(forms.gle)

Socratic Ducking, OODA Loops, Frame-by-Frame Debugging

CFAR!DuncanAug 4, 2022, 5:44 PM

21 points

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The Falling Drill

ScrewtapeAug 5, 2022, 12:08 AM

45 points

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Cambist Booking

ScrewtapeAug 4, 2022, 10:40 PM

14 points

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Calibration Trivia

ScrewtapeAug 4, 2022, 10:31 PM

10 points

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«Boundaries», Part 2: trends in EA’s handling of boundaries

Andrew_CritchAug 6, 2022, 12:42 AM

77 points

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10 comments7 min readLW link

My advice on finding your own path

A RayAug 6, 2022, 4:57 AM

35 points

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3 comments3 min readLW link

Do meta-memes and meta-antimemes exist? e.g. ‘The map is not the territory’ is also a map

M. Y. ZuoAug 7, 2022, 1:17 AM

4 points

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[AMA] Announcing Open Phil’s University Group Organizer and Century Fellowships [x-post]

abergal and ClaireZabel

Aug 6, 2022, 9:48 PM

14 points

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(forum.effectivealtruism.org)

Dissent Collusion

ScrewtapeAug 10, 2022, 2:43 AM

14 points

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Proposal: Consider not using distance-direction-dimension words in abstract discussions

moridinamaelAug 9, 2022, 8:44 PM

45 points

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Pendulums, Policy-Level Decisionmaking, Saving State

CFAR!DuncanAug 11, 2022, 4:47 PM

25 points

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Introducing Pastcasting: A tool for forecasting practice

Sage FutureAug 11, 2022, 5:38 PM

86 points

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Seeking PCK (Pedagogical Content Knowledge)

CFAR!DuncanAug 12, 2022, 4:15 AM

41 points

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Dissolve: The Petty Crimes of Blaise Pascal

SebastianG Aug 12, 2022, 8:04 PM

17 points

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4 comments6 min readLW link

Appendix: Jargon Dictionary

CFAR!DuncanAug 13, 2022, 8:09 AM

29 points

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5 comments21 min readLW link

Appendix: Hamming Questions

CFAR!DuncanAug 13, 2022, 8:07 AM

31 points

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[Question] Are there practical exercises for developing the Scout mindset?

ChristianKlAug 15, 2022, 5:23 PM

15 points

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Dealing With Delusions

adrusiAug 14, 2022, 9:11 PM

9 points

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Novelty Generation—The Art of Good Ideas

Shoshannah TekofskyAug 20, 2022, 12:36 AM

13 points

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Vague concepts, family resemblance and cluster properties

Q HomeAug 20, 2022, 10:21 AM

18 points

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No One-Size-Fit-All Epistemic Strategy

adamShimiAug 20, 2022, 12:56 PM

23 points

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[Question] If you know you are unlikely to change your mind, should you be lazier when researching?

DoubleAug 21, 2022, 5:16 PM

1 point

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Please (re)explain your personal jargon

Nathan Helm-BurgerAug 22, 2022, 2:30 PM

19 points

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[Question] AI Box Experiment: Are people still interested?

DoubleAug 31, 2022, 3:04 AM

31 points

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13 comments1 min readLW link

Nate Soares’ Life Advice

CatGoddessAug 23, 2022, 2:46 AM

133 points

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38 comments3 min readLW link

Variational Bayesian methods

Ege ErdilAug 25, 2022, 8:49 PM

49 points

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Double Crux In A Box

ScrewtapeAug 26, 2022, 3:24 AM

25 points

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Fundamental Uncertainty: Chapter 4 - Why don’t we do what we think we should?

Gordon Seidoh WorleyAug 29, 2022, 7:25 PM

14 points

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[Question] A bayesian updating on expert opinions

amaraiAug 30, 2022, 11:56 AM

1 point

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Book review: Put Your Ass Where Your Heart Wants to Be

RuhulSep 1, 2022, 6:21 PM

1 point

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2 comments10 min readLW link

Appendix: How to run a successful Hamming circle

CFAR!DuncanSep 2, 2022, 12:22 AM

31 points

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6 comments7 min readLW link

The shard theory of human values

Quintin Pope and TurnTrout

Sep 4, 2022, 4:28 AM

214 points

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58 comments24 min readLW link

Bugs or Features?

qbolecSep 3, 2022, 7:04 AM

69 points

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9 comments2 min readLW link

An unofficial “Highlights from the Sequences” tier list

Orpheus16Sep 5, 2022, 2:07 PM

29 points

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[Exploratory] Becoming more Agentic

Johannes C. MayerSep 6, 2022, 12:45 AM

6 points

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What are you for?

lsusrSep 6, 2022, 3:32 AM

38 points

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5 comments1 min readLW link

Understanding and avoiding value drift

TurnTroutSep 9, 2022, 4:16 AM

40 points

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9 comments6 min readLW link

90% of anything should be bad (& the precision-recall tradeoff)

cartografieSep 8, 2022, 1:20 AM

33 points

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22 comments6 min readLW link

[Question] Sequences/Eliezer essays beyond those in AI to Zombies?

DomenicSep 8, 2022, 5:05 AM

3 points

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Notes on Resolve

David GrossSep 9, 2022, 4:42 PM

8 points

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1 comment31 min readLW link

Ideas of the Gaps

Q HomeSep 13, 2022, 10:55 AM

1 point

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Effective altruism in the garden of ends

Tyler AltermanSep 14, 2022, 10:02 PM

15 points

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Seeing the Schema

vitaliyaSep 14, 2022, 8:45 PM

23 points

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6 comments1 min readLW link

There is no royal road to alignment

Eleni AngelouSep 18, 2022, 3:33 AM

4 points

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Many therapy schools work with inner multiplicity (not just IFS)

David Althaus and Ewelina Tur

Sep 17, 2022, 10:27 AM

50 points

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15 comments18 min readLW link

Some notes on solving hard problems

Joe RoccaSep 19, 2022, 12:58 PM

46 points

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8 comments29 min readLW link

Twitter Polls: Evidence is Evidence

ZviSep 20, 2022, 12:30 PM

34 points

20 votes

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(thezvi.wordpress.com)

[Question] Is the game design/art maxim more generalizable to criticism/praise itself?

Noosphere89Sep 22, 2022, 1:19 PM

4 points

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Fake qualities of mind

Kaj_SotalaSep 22, 2022, 4:40 PM

54 points

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(kajsotala.fi)

How to use DMT without going insane: On navigating epistemic uncertainty in the DMT memeplex

cube_flipperSep 23, 2022, 4:32 PM

3 points

8 votes

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(smoothbrains.net)

There are no rules

unoptimalSep 23, 2022, 8:47 PM

33 points

13 votes

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“Agency” needs nuance

Evie CottrellSep 25, 2022, 7:40 AM

23 points

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Acceptance and Commitment Therapy (ACT) 101

Evie CottrellSep 25, 2022, 7:25 AM

4 points

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Becoming Black Boxish

vitaliyaSep 25, 2022, 11:35 PM

16 points

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[Question] How to learn: Struggle VS Lookup-Table?

Nicholas KrossSep 25, 2022, 9:58 PM

11 points

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existential self-determination

Tamsin LeakeSep 27, 2022, 4:08 PM

14 points

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(carado.moe)

The Onion Test for Personal and Institutional Honesty

chanamessinger and Andrew_Critch

Sep 27, 2022, 3:26 PM

125 points

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28 comments3 min readLW link

[Question] Resources to find/register the rationalists that specialize in a given topic?

tailcalledSep 29, 2022, 5:20 PM

25 points

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8 comments1 min readLW link

Builder/Breaker for Deconfusion

abramdemskiSep 29, 2022, 5:36 PM

70 points

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9 comments9 min readLW link

About Q Home

Q HomeSep 28, 2022, 4:56 AM

10 points

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4 comments2 min readLW link

Bruce Wayne and the Cost of Inaction

TurnTrout and DivineMango

Sep 30, 2022, 12:19 AM

73 points

38 votes

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5 comments21 min readLW link

How To Observe Abstract Objects

LoganStrohlSep 30, 2022, 2:11 AM

52 points

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6 comments21 min readLW link

Truth-Seeking: Reason vs. Intuition

sakrafSep 30, 2022, 12:12 PM

4 points

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If it seems intuitive, you’re not building intuition

myutinSep 30, 2022, 7:46 AM

4 points

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Clarifying Your Principles

RaemonOct 1, 2022, 9:20 PM

58 points

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10 comments9 min readLW link

What makes a probability question “well-defined”? (Part I)

Noah TopperOct 2, 2022, 9:05 PM

14 points

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4 comments7 min readLW link

(naivebayes.substack.com)

The correct response to uncertainty is not half-speed

AnnaSalamonJan 15, 2016, 10:55 PM

209 points

141 votes

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44 comments3 min readLW link

Looping

Jarred FilmerOct 5, 2022, 1:47 AM

48 points

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The “you-can-just” alarm

EmrikOct 8, 2022, 10:43 AM

63 points

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3 comments1 min readLW link

Good Bets and Internal Resources

Raymond DouglasOct 8, 2022, 11:37 AM

7 points

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A common failure for foxes

Rob BensingerOct 14, 2022, 10:50 PM

47 points

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7 comments2 min readLW link

I learn better when I frame learning as Vengeance for losses incurred through ignorance, and you might too

chaosmageOct 15, 2022, 12:41 PM

70 points

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7 comments3 min readLW link

Plans Are Predictions, Not Optimization Targets

johnswentworthOct 20, 2022, 9:17 PM

82 points

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19 comments4 min readLW link

Two Guts

chanamessingerOct 21, 2022, 10:01 AM

21 points

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When apparently positive evidence can be negative evidence

cataOct 20, 2022, 9:47 PM

19 points

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(www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov)

Moorean Statements

David UdellOct 22, 2022, 12:50 AM

10 points

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Wisdom Cannot Be Unzipped

SableOct 22, 2022, 12:28 AM

63 points

34 votes

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16 comments7 min readLW link

(affablyevil.substack.com)

How to get past Haidt’s elephant and listen

AstynaxOct 23, 2022, 4:06 PM

13 points

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Maps and Blueprint; the Two Sides of the Alignment Equation

Nora_AmmannOct 25, 2022, 4:29 PM

21 points

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1 comment5 min readLW link

[Question] Quantum Suicide and Aumann’s Agreement Theorem

Isaac KingOct 27, 2022, 1:32 AM

13 points

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Lessons from ‘Famine, Affluence, and Morality’ and its reflection on today.

Mayank ModiOct 27, 2022, 5:20 PM

4 points

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0 comments1 min readLW link

Historicism in the math-adjacent sciences

mrcbarbierOct 27, 2022, 2:38 PM

3 points

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Am I secretly excited for AI getting weird?

porbyOct 29, 2022, 10:16 PM

103 points

69 votes

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4 comments4 min readLW link

Gandalf or Saruman? A Soldier in Scout’s Clothing

DirectedEvolutionOct 31, 2022, 2:40 AM

40 points

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Brain as hardware, memeplexes as software, language as the operating system

Severin T. SeehrichNov 13, 2022, 3:30 PM

12 points

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14 comments2 min readLW link

Sequence Reread: Fake Beliefs [plus sequence spotlight meta]

RaemonNov 2, 2022, 12:09 AM

27 points

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3 comments1 min readLW link

Cross-Void Optimization

pneumynymNov 4, 2022, 5:47 PM

1 point

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1 comment8 min readLW link

[Question] Is there any discussion on avoiding being Dutch-booked or otherwise taken advantage of one’s bounded rationality by refusing to engage?

ShmiNov 7, 2022, 2:36 AM

38 points

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29 comments1 min readLW link

Distillation Experiment: Chunk-Knitting

DirectedEvolutionNov 7, 2022, 7:56 PM

9 points

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1 comment6 min readLW link

[Question] Ideas for tiny research projects related to rationality?

FrejNov 7, 2022, 6:45 PM

3 points

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1 comment1 min readLW link

Desiderata for an Adversarial Prior

ShmiNov 9, 2022, 11:45 PM

13 points

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Adversarial Priors: Not Paying People to Lie to You

eva_Nov 10, 2022, 2:29 AM

22 points

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8 comments3 min readLW link

divine carrot

Alok SinghNov 10, 2022, 8:50 PM

18 points

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(alok.github.io)

Moral contagion heuristic

MvolzNov 14, 2022, 9:17 PM

14 points

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3 comments2 min readLW link

Internal communication framework

rosehadshar and Nora_Ammann

Nov 15, 2022, 12:41 PM

36 points

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14 comments12 min readLW link

Miracles and why not to believe them

mruwnikNov 16, 2022, 12:07 PM

4 points

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0 comments3 min readLW link

Developer experience for the motivation

Adam ZernerNov 16, 2022, 7:12 AM

49 points

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7 comments4 min readLW link

The two conceptions of Active Inference: an intelligence architecture and a theory of agency

Roman LeventovNov 16, 2022, 9:30 AM

15 points

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The Echo Principle

Jonathan MoregårdNov 16, 2022, 8:09 PM

5 points

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(honestliving.substack.com)

Utilitarianism Meets Egalitarianism

Scott GarrabrantNov 21, 2022, 7:00 PM

90 points

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12 comments6 min readLW link

Tyranny of the Epistemic Majority

Scott GarrabrantNov 22, 2022, 5:19 PM

126 points

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9 comments9 min readLW link

Against “Classic Style”

Cleo NardoNov 23, 2022, 10:10 PM

62 points

36 votes

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29 comments4 min readLW link

The Geometric Expectation

Scott GarrabrantNov 23, 2022, 6:05 PM

120 points

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11 comments4 min readLW link

The Least Controversial Application of Geometric Rationality

Scott GarrabrantNov 25, 2022, 4:50 PM

47 points

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22 comments4 min readLW link

Respecting your Local Preferences

Scott GarrabrantNov 26, 2022, 7:04 PM

53 points

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1 comment4 min readLW link

The First Filter

adamShimi and Gabriel Alfour

Nov 26, 2022, 7:37 PM

56 points

36 votes

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5 comments1 min readLW link

Science and Math

lsusrNov 27, 2022, 4:05 AM

18 points

22 votes

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6 comments1 min readLW link

Always know where your abstractions break

lsusrNov 27, 2022, 6:32 AM

74 points

40 votes

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6 comments2 min readLW link

Geometric Rationality is Not VNM Rational

Scott GarrabrantNov 27, 2022, 7:36 PM

111 points

51 votes

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21 comments3 min readLW link

Biases are engines of cognition

remember and Gabriel Alfour

Nov 30, 2022, 4:47 PM

42 points

16 votes

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7 comments1 min readLW link

Be less scared of overconfidence

benkuhnNov 30, 2022, 3:20 PM

152 points

89 votes

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(www.benkuhn.net)

MrBeast’s Squid Game Tricked Me

lsusrDec 3, 2022, 5:50 AM

69 points

45 votes

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1 comment2 min readLW link

A Tentative Timeline of The Near Future (2022-2025) for Self-Accountability

YitzDec 5, 2022, 5:33 AM

26 points

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0 comments4 min readLW link

Free Will is [REDACTED]

lsusrDec 6, 2022, 8:14 AM

−4 points

13 votes

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21 comments1 min readLW link

The novelty quotient

River LewisDec 7, 2022, 5:16 PM

3 points

7 votes

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(heytraveler.substack.com)

Research Hamming Questions

johnswentworthMar 22, 2022, 12:16 AM

73 points

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7 comments4 min readLW link

Setting the Zero Point

Duncan Sabien (Inactive)Dec 9, 2022, 6:06 AM

78 points

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39 comments20 min readLW link

Reflecting on the 2022 Guild of the Rose Workshops

moridinamaelDec 10, 2022, 9:21 PM

22 points

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7 comments8 min readLW link

Psychological Disorders and Problems

adamShimi and Gabriel Alfour

Dec 12, 2022, 6:15 PM

36 points

20 votes

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5 comments1 min readLW link

Log-odds are better than Probabilities

Robert_AIZIDec 12, 2022, 8:10 PM

19 points

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(aizi.substack.com)

Proof as mere strong evidence

adamShimiDec 14, 2022, 8:56 AM

28 points

11 votes

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16 comments2 min readLW link

(epistemologicalvigilance.substack.com)

[Question] What’s the best time-efficient alternative to the Sequences?

trevorDec 16, 2022, 8:17 PM

6 points

2 votes

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[Link] Escape the Echo Chamber (2018)

CronoDASDec 17, 2022, 6:14 AM

13 points

2 votes

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0 comments2 min readLW link

(aeon.co)

Overconfidence bubbles

kaputmiDec 18, 2022, 2:07 AM

3 points

3 votes

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0 comments2 min readLW link

Sazen

Duncan Sabien (Inactive)Dec 21, 2022, 7:54 AM

221 points

121 votes

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73 comments12 min readLW link

Local Memes Against Geometric Rationality

Scott GarrabrantDec 21, 2022, 3:53 AM

71 points

25 votes

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4 comments6 min readLW link

Staring into the abyss as a core life skill

benkuhnDec 22, 2022, 3:30 PM

270 points

131 votes

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14 comments12 min readLW link

(www.benkuhn.net)

[Question] If you factor out next token prediction, what are the remaining salient features of human cognition?

ShmiDec 24, 2022, 12:38 AM

8 points

6 votes

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7 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] Why is “Argument Mapping” Not More Common in EA/Rationality (And What Objections Should I Address in a Post on the Topic?)

HarrisonDurlandDec 23, 2022, 9:58 PM

8 points

7 votes

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5 comments1 min readLW link

Bandwagon effect: Bias in Evaluating AGI X-Risks

Remmelt and flandry19

Dec 28, 2022, 7:54 AM

−1 points

5 votes

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0 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] What is the best way to approach Expected Value calculations when payoffs are highly skewed?

jmhDec 28, 2022, 2:42 PM

8 points

2 votes

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16 comments1 min readLW link

Fundamental Uncertainty: Chapter 5 - How do we know what we know?

Gordon Seidoh WorleyDec 28, 2022, 1:28 AM

10 points

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2 comments12 min readLW link

More ways to spot abysses

KatjaGraceDec 30, 2022, 6:30 AM

20 points

10 votes

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(worldspiritsockpuppet.com)

10 Years of LessWrong

SebastianG Dec 30, 2022, 5:15 PM

70 points

33 votes

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Extreme risk neutrality isn’t always wrong

Grant DemareeDec 31, 2022, 4:05 AM

28 points

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19 comments4 min readLW link

Two Issues with Playing Chicken with the Universe

Chris_LeongDec 31, 2022, 6:47 AM

4 points

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4 comments2 min readLW link

The Feeling of Idea Scarcity

johnswentworthDec 31, 2022, 5:34 PM

211 points

119 votes

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21 comments5 min readLW link

0 and 1 aren’t probabilities

Alok SinghJan 1, 2023, 12:09 AM

2 points

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(en.wikipedia.org)

woke offline, anti-woke online

Yair HalberstadtJan 1, 2023, 8:24 AM

13 points

15 votes

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12 comments1 min readLW link

Slack matters more than any outcome

ValentineDec 31, 2022, 8:11 PM

111 points

53 votes

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52 comments19 min readLW link

Opportunity Cost Blackmail

adamShimiJan 2, 2023, 1:48 PM

70 points

34 votes

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11 comments2 min readLW link

(epistemologicalvigilance.substack.com)

Knottiness

abramdemskiJan 2, 2023, 10:13 PM

42 points

21 votes

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3 comments2 min readLW link

Talking to God

abramdemskiJan 3, 2023, 8:14 PM

28 points

16 votes

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7 comments2 min readLW link

Contra Common Knowledge

abramdemskiJan 4, 2023, 10:50 PM

22 points

11 votes

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27 comments16 min readLW link

When you plan according to your AI timelines, should you put more weight on the median future, or the median future | eventual AI alignment success? ⚖️

Jeffrey LadishJan 5, 2023, 1:21 AM

24 points

16 votes

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10 comments2 min readLW link

[Question] Asking for a name for a symptom of rationalization

metachiralityJan 7, 2023, 6:34 PM

5 points

4 votes

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4 comments1 min readLW link

Our kind as optionality-optimizing oracles

Logan KiellerJan 9, 2023, 4:34 PM

4 points

4 votes

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2 comments4 min readLW link

Dangers of deference

TsviBTJan 8, 2023, 2:36 PM

44 points

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7 comments2 min readLW link

Evidence under Adversarial Conditions

PeterMcCluskeyJan 9, 2023, 4:21 PM

57 points

28 votes

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(bayesianinvestor.com)

The special nature of special relativity

adamShimiJan 9, 2023, 5:30 PM

36 points

17 votes

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1 comment3 min readLW link

(epistemologicalvigilance.substack.com)

A Thorough Introduction to Abstraction

RohanSJan 13, 2023, 12:30 AM

8 points

5 votes

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1 comment18 min readLW link

[Question] What is a disagreement you have around AI safety?

tailcalledJan 12, 2023, 4:58 PM

16 points

4 votes

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7 comments1 min readLW link

Burning Uptime: When your Sandbox of Empathy is Leaky and also an Hourglass

CedarJan 13, 2023, 5:18 AM

9 points

3 votes

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2 comments3 min readLW link

Actions and Flows

Alok SinghJan 13, 2023, 3:20 AM

5 points

2 votes

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(alok.github.io)

Podcast with Divia Eden on operant conditioning

DanielFilanJan 15, 2023, 2:44 AM

14 points

4 votes

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(podcasts.google.com)

Core Concept Conversations

Adam ZernerJan 15, 2023, 7:17 AM

14 points

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1 comment1 min readLW link

The fable of the seer

Logan KiellerJan 15, 2023, 5:03 PM

4 points

3 votes

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2 comments7 min readLW link

Group-level Consequences of Psychological Problems

adamShimi and Gabriel Alfour

Jan 19, 2023, 9:27 AM

27 points

10 votes

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3 comments2 min readLW link

Maybe you can learn exotic experiences via analytical thought

Q HomeJan 20, 2023, 1:50 AM

2 points

1 vote

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6 comments15 min readLW link

Solving For Meta-Ethics By Inducing From The Self

VisionaryHeraJan 20, 2023, 7:21 AM

1 point

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1 comment9 min readLW link

Lost in Innovation: The Case of Phlogiston

adamShimiJan 20, 2023, 12:19 PM

15 points

9 votes

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5 comments4 min readLW link

(epistemologicalvigilance.substack.com)

Book Review: Spiritual Enlightenment: The Damnedest Thing

Cole KillianJan 21, 2023, 2:38 AM

5 points

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19 comments10 min readLW link

(colekillian.com)

[Question] Why are we so illogical?

Program DenJan 21, 2023, 8:28 AM

−25 points

11 votes

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0 comments1 min readLW link

Rock, Paper and Scissors: A Game Theory View

Edward P. KöningsJan 21, 2023, 9:00 PM

18 points

11 votes

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(edwardknings.substack.com)

Rounding Someone Off

David UdellJan 24, 2023, 12:03 AM

23 points

10 votes

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0 comments5 min readLW link

Sapir-Whorf for Rationalists

Duncan Sabien (Inactive)Jan 25, 2023, 7:58 AM

135 points

67 votes

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43 comments19 min readLW link

No Fire in the Equations

Carlos RamirezJan 28, 2023, 9:16 PM

−16 points

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4 comments3 min readLW link

Jordan Peterson: Guru/Villain

Bryan FrancesFeb 3, 2023, 9:02 AM

−17 points

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6 comments9 min readLW link

Saying things because they sound good

Adam ZernerJan 31, 2023, 12:17 AM

23 points

16 votes

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6 comments2 min readLW link

Directed Babbling

Yudhister KumarFeb 1, 2023, 9:10 AM

14 points

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1 comment3 min readLW link

Focus on the places where you feel shocked everyone’s dropping the ball

So8resFeb 2, 2023, 12:27 AM

330 points

152 votes

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53 comments4 min readLW link

What fact that you know is true but most people aren’t ready to accept it?

lorepieriFeb 3, 2023, 12:06 AM

45 points

25 votes

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188 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] What are the axioms of rationality?

Yoav RavidDec 25, 2018, 6:47 AM

2 points

5 votes

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8 comments1 min readLW link

Here’s Why I’m Hesitant To Respond In More Depth

DirectedEvolutionFeb 6, 2023, 6:36 PM

48 points

25 votes

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7 comments4 min readLW link

Rationality-related things I don’t know as of 2023

Adam ZernerFeb 11, 2023, 6:04 AM

56 points

22 votes

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31 comments3 min readLW link

Threatening to do the impossible: A solution to spurious counterfactuals for functional decision theory via proof theory

Christopher KingFeb 11, 2023, 7:57 AM

5 points

3 votes

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4 comments5 min readLW link

Top YouTube channel Veritasium releases video on Sleeping Beauty Problem

Alex_AltairFeb 11, 2023, 8:36 PM

22 points

14 votes

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12 comments1 min readLW link

(www.youtube.com)

Hammers and Nails

alkjashJan 23, 2018, 1:19 AM

82 points

68 votes

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34 comments4 min readLW link

(radimentary.wordpress.com)

How An Algorithm Feels From Inside

Eliezer YudkowskyFeb 11, 2008, 2:35 AM

233 points

199 votes

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83 comments4 min readLW link

Updated Hierarchy of Disagreement

B JacobsMay 28, 2020, 3:57 PM

14 points

8 votes

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13 comments2 min readLW link

Goal-directedness is behavioral, not structural

adamShimiJun 8, 2020, 11:05 PM

6 points

4 votes

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12 comments3 min readLW link

Coronavirus as a test-run for X-risks

Sammy MartinJun 13, 2020, 9:00 PM

71 points

27 votes

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10 comments18 min readLW link

God and Moses have a chat

YitzJun 17, 2020, 6:34 PM

19 points

15 votes

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17 comments6 min readLW link

Innovation and Dependence

smaslennikovJun 19, 2020, 7:39 PM

3 points

2 votes

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(smaslennikov.com)

Beware Isolated Demands For Rigor

Scott AlexanderSep 2, 2017, 7:50 PM

101 points

92 votes

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3 comments8 min readLW link

Science Doesn’t Trust Your Rationality

Eliezer YudkowskyMay 14, 2008, 2:13 AM

57 points

50 votes

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137 comments3 min readLW link

A reply to Agnes Callard

VaniverJun 28, 2020, 3:25 AM

90 points

26 votes

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36 comments3 min readLW link

Counterspells

Virgil KurkjianApr 27, 2019, 11:37 PM

98 points

34 votes

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24 comments10 min readLW link

A New Way to Visualize Biases

dtmJul 22, 2020, 5:57 PM

6 points

9 votes

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16 comments1 min readLW link

The Curse of Cursory Idealism

Noah BlaffJul 28, 2020, 7:56 PM

9 points

7 votes

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1 comment3 min readLW link

The Conceited Folly of Certainty

Noah BlaffJul 28, 2020, 7:56 PM

7 points

7 votes

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3 comments20 min readLW link

Delegate a Forecast

AmandangoJul 28, 2020, 5:43 PM

44 points

14 votes

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25 comments2 min readLW link

(forum.effectivealtruism.org)

Great rationality posts in the OB archives

lukeprogFeb 23, 2013, 11:33 PM

12 points

13 votes

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6 comments1 min readLW link

Great rationality posts by LWers not posted to LW

lukeprogFeb 16, 2013, 12:31 AM

40 points

33 votes

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56 comments1 min readLW link

The 5-Second Level

Eliezer YudkowskyMay 7, 2011, 4:51 AM

216 points

173 votes

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328 comments8 min readLW link

Mysterious Answers to Mysterious Questions

Eliezer YudkowskyAug 25, 2007, 10:27 PM

186 points

148 votes

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157 comments4 min readLW link

Rationality: From AI to Zombies

Rob BensingerMar 13, 2015, 3:11 PM

122 points

89 votes

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102 comments2 min readLW link

Your Rationality is My Business

Eliezer YudkowskyApr 15, 2007, 7:31 AM

128 points

109 votes

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28 comments3 min readLW link

The rational rationalist’s guide to rationally using “rational” in rational post titles

VaniverMay 27, 2012, 7:13 PM

125 points

127 votes

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53 comments1 min readLW link

New edition of “Rationality: From AI to Zombies”

Rob BensingerDec 15, 2018, 9:33 PM

82 points

34 votes

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27 comments2 min readLW link

Righting a Wrong Question

Eliezer YudkowskyMar 9, 2008, 1:00 PM

103 points

93 votes

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111 comments3 min readLW link

No One Can Exempt You From Rationality’s Laws

Eliezer YudkowskyOct 7, 2007, 5:24 PM

109 points

84 votes

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55 comments3 min readLW link

Hammertime Final Exam

alkjashMar 22, 2018, 1:10 AM

40 points

30 votes

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22 comments3 min readLW link

(radimentary.wordpress.com)

Hold Off On Proposing Solutions

Eliezer YudkowskyOct 17, 2007, 3:16 AM

98 points

80 votes

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51 comments3 min readLW link

Moral frameworks and the Harris/Klein debate

lincolnquirkMay 3, 2018, 9:49 AM

5 points

7 votes

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14 comments1 min readLW link

How to enjoy being wrong

lincolnquirkJul 27, 2011, 5:48 AM

30 points

25 votes

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13 comments5 min readLW link

Something’s Wrong

[deleted]Sep 5, 2010, 6:08 PM

127 points

121 votes

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164 comments2 min readLW link

A Rationalist’s Tale

lukeprogSep 28, 2011, 1:17 AM

118 points

95 votes

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308 comments6 min readLW link

A Dialogue on Rationalist Activism

moridinamaelSep 10, 2018, 6:30 PM

100 points

50 votes

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24 comments9 min readLW link

Branches of rationality

AnnaSalamonJan 12, 2011, 3:24 AM

106 points

87 votes

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66 comments5 min readLW link

Only say ‘rational’ when you can’t eliminate the word

Eliezer YudkowskyMay 31, 2012, 6:56 AM

88 points

75 votes

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49 comments1 min readLW link

Extreme Rationality: It’s Not That Great

Scott AlexanderApr 9, 2009, 2:44 AM

233 points

226 votes

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281 comments8 min readLW link

Prospect Theory: A Framework for Understanding Cognitive Biases

Scott AlexanderJul 10, 2011, 5:20 AM

98 points

84 votes

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49 comments4 min readLW link

The Good News of Situationist Psychology

lukeprogApr 1, 2011, 7:28 PM

76 points

72 votes

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49 comments3 min readLW link

Absolute Authority

Eliezer YudkowskyJan 8, 2008, 3:33 AM

89 points

80 votes

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78 comments7 min readLW link

Hindsight bias

Eliezer YudkowskyAug 16, 2007, 9:58 PM

72 points

64 votes

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25 comments2 min readLW link

A Dialogue On Doublethink

LoganStrohlMay 11, 2014, 7:38 PM

83 points

62 votes

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108 comments11 min readLW link

Singlethink

Eliezer YudkowskyOct 6, 2007, 7:24 PM

90 points

69 votes

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32 comments2 min readLW link

Rationality and the English Language

Eliezer YudkowskySep 12, 2007, 10:55 PM

94 points

76 votes

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33 comments4 min readLW link

Review of Scott Adams’ “How to Fail at Almost Everything and Still Win Big”

James_MillerDec 23, 2013, 8:48 PM

73 points

47 votes

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39 comments6 min readLW link

Life as metaphor for everything else.

Charlie SteinerApr 5, 2020, 7:21 AM

36 points

11 votes

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11 comments4 min readLW link

Rationality: Common Interest of Many Causes

Eliezer YudkowskyMar 29, 2009, 10:49 AM

71 points

58 votes

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52 comments4 min readLW link

Sorting Out Sticky Brains

AlicornJan 18, 2010, 4:18 AM

67 points

77 votes

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44 comments3 min readLW link

(Ir)rationality of Pascal’s wager

filozof3377@gmial.comAug 3, 2020, 8:57 PM

3 points

3 votes

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10 comments4 min readLW link

Epistemic Effort

RaemonNov 29, 2016, 4:08 PM

63 points

44 votes

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26 comments4 min readLW link

Epistea Summer Experiment (ESE)

Nora_Ammann, Jan_Kulveit, Anna Gajdova and kotrfa

Jan 24, 2020, 10:49 AM

49 points

17 votes

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3 comments5 min readLW link

Fundamentally Flawed, or Fast and Frugal?

Kaj_SotalaDec 20, 2009, 3:10 PM

49 points

44 votes

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86 comments6 min readLW link

Irrational Resistance to Business Success

Elliot TempleAug 2, 2020, 7:15 PM

3 points

2 votes

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4 comments4 min readLW link

Rationality Lessons in the Game of Go

GreenRootAug 21, 2010, 2:33 PM

49 points

53 votes

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150 comments4 min readLW link

Leveling Up in Rationality: A Personal Journey

lukeprogJan 17, 2012, 11:02 AM

50 points

64 votes

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59 comments5 min readLW link

How to Become a 1000 Year Old Vampire

[deleted]Oct 2, 2013, 5:07 AM

123 points

91 votes

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132 comments8 min readLW link

Let them eat cake: Interpersonal Problems vs Tasks

HughRistikOct 7, 2009, 4:35 PM

94 points

86 votes

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575 comments4 min readLW link

How Pascal’s Wager Saved My Soul

SRStarinDec 18, 2010, 8:47 PM

12 points

18 votes

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27 comments2 min readLW link

Goals for which Less Wrong does (and doesn’t) help

AnnaSalamonNov 18, 2010, 10:37 PM

86 points

68 votes

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104 comments4 min readLW link

The Scales of Justice, the Notebook of Rationality

Eliezer YudkowskyMar 13, 2007, 4:00 PM

87 points

73 votes

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21 comments2 min readLW link

Verbal Overshadowing and The Art of Rationality

panglossApr 27, 2009, 11:39 PM

69 points

70 votes

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24 comments3 min readLW link

Don’t Believe Wrong Things

Jacob FalkovichApr 25, 2018, 3:36 AM

21 points

20 votes

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36 comments13 min readLW link

Where to Draw the Boundary?

Eliezer YudkowskyFeb 21, 2008, 7:14 PM

66 points

62 votes

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51 comments3 min readLW link

Extensions and Intensions

Eliezer YudkowskyFeb 4, 2008, 9:34 PM

79 points

61 votes

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28 comments4 min readLW link

Skill and leverage

KatjaGraceNov 3, 2019, 9:10 PM

49 points

22 votes

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8 comments2 min readLW link

(meteuphoric.com)

Mathematical Mindset

komponistoJul 11, 2018, 3:03 AM

54 points

22 votes

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5 comments2 min readLW link

Teenage Rationalists and Changing Your Mind

KPierAug 5, 2011, 6:19 PM

85 points

62 votes

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31 comments3 min readLW link

Explain/Worship/Ignore?

Eliezer YudkowskySep 2, 2007, 8:01 PM

90 points

80 votes

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87 comments2 min readLW link

The Proper Use of Doubt

Eliezer YudkowskyAug 6, 2007, 8:29 PM

77 points

69 votes

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33 comments3 min readLW link

Conservation of Expected Evidence

Eliezer YudkowskyAug 13, 2007, 3:55 PM

201 points

163 votes

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80 comments2 min readLW link

Is Rationality Teachable?

lukeprogSep 1, 2011, 11:59 AM

66 points

49 votes

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27 comments5 min readLW link

The Isolation Assumption of Expected Utility Maximization

Pedro OliboniAug 6, 2020, 4:05 AM

7 points

4 votes

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1 comment5 min readLW link

You Are Likely To Be Eaten By A Grue

AlicornMar 17, 2010, 1:18 AM

73 points

70 votes

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38 comments4 min readLW link

Five-minute rationality techniques

sketerpotAug 10, 2010, 2:24 AM

71 points

61 votes

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237 comments2 min readLW link

Test Your Rationality

RobinHansonMar 1, 2009, 1:21 PM

43 points

45 votes

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87 comments1 min readLW link

Categories of Sacredness

ZviFeb 27, 2018, 2:00 AM

21 points

17 votes

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36 comments8 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Dark Arts of Rationality

So8resJan 19, 2014, 2:47 AM

249 points

211 votes

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194 comments17 min readLW link

CFAR Participant Handbook now available to all

Duncan Sabien (Inactive)Jan 3, 2020, 3:43 PM

247 points

90 votes

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41 comments1 min readLW link 2 reviews

Lawful Uncertainty

Eliezer YudkowskyNov 10, 2008, 9:06 PM

82 points

69 votes

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57 comments4 min readLW link

Actually updating

SaraHaxAug 23, 2019, 5:46 PM

52 points

32 votes

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10 comments4 min readLW link

Class Project

Eliezer YudkowskyMay 31, 2008, 12:23 AM

55 points

48 votes

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37 comments4 min readLW link

Specificity: Your Brain’s Superpower

LironSep 2, 2019, 12:53 PM

79 points

44 votes

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8 comments1 min readLW link

SotW: Be Specific

Eliezer YudkowskyApr 3, 2012, 6:11 AM

76 points

52 votes

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306 comments12 min readLW link

Is Specificity a Mental Model?

LironSep 28, 2019, 10:53 PM

19 points

6 votes

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4 comments2 min readLW link

Hardened Problems Make Brittle Models

cousin_itMay 6, 2009, 6:31 PM

58 points

63 votes

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41 comments1 min readLW link

The Signal and the Corrective

MalcolmOceanFeb 11, 2018, 12:28 AM

21 points

12 votes

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3 comments1 min readLW link

(everythingstudies.com)

11 core rationalist skills

RokoDec 2, 2009, 8:09 AM

69 points

57 votes

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36 comments3 min readLW link

Be secretly wrong

BenquoDec 10, 2016, 7:06 AM

58 points

35 votes

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46 comments3 min readLW link

How to Understand and Mitigate Risk

Trinley GoldenbergMar 12, 2019, 10:14 AM

55 points

18 votes

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30 comments16 min readLW link

Boiling the Crab: Slow Changes (beneath Sensory Threshold) add up

RTiberiuJan 12, 2018, 8:44 PM

18 points

18 votes

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9 comments4 min readLW link

Realism and Rationality

bmgarfinkelSep 16, 2019, 3:09 AM

45 points

24 votes

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49 comments23 min readLW link

One thousand tips do not make a system

[deleted]Nov 30, 2012, 5:38 AM

73 points

53 votes

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28 comments4 min readLW link

Optimization and the Intelligence Explosion

Eliezer YudkowskyMar 11, 2015, 7:00 PM

50 points

34 votes

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1 comment7 min readLW link

Error detection bias in research

neq1Sep 22, 2010, 3:00 AM

73 points

60 votes

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37 comments2 min readLW link

[Question] How Can People Evaluate Complex Questions Consistently?

ElizabethAug 26, 2019, 8:33 PM

46 points

12 votes

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12 comments1 min readLW link

A few analogies to illustrate key rationality points

kilobugOct 9, 2011, 1:00 PM

69 points

60 votes

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52 comments5 min readLW link

A Hierarchy of Abstraction

lsusrAug 8, 2020, 8:19 AM

6 points

15 votes

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23 comments1 min readLW link

SotW: Check Consequentialism

Eliezer YudkowskyMar 29, 2012, 1:35 AM

58 points

45 votes

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313 comments7 min readLW link

Don’t Apply the Principle of Charity to Yourself

UnclGhostNov 19, 2011, 7:26 PM

81 points

62 votes

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24 comments2 min readLW link

Superhuman Meta Process

SquirrelInHellJan 3, 2018, 1:39 PM

21 points

22 votes

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(squirrelinhell.blogspot.com)

I want it my way!

nickhayesJan 4, 2019, 6:08 PM

39 points

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The Zeroth Skillset

katydeeJan 30, 2013, 12:46 PM

74 points

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So You Think You’re a Bayesian? The Natural Mode of Probabilistic Reasoning

Matt_SimpsonJul 14, 2010, 4:51 PM

66 points

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Update Yourself Incrementally

Eliezer YudkowskyAug 14, 2007, 2:56 PM

79 points

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Rationalization

Eliezer YudkowskySep 30, 2007, 7:29 PM

67 points

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[Hammertime Final Exam] Accommodate Yourself; Kindness Is An Epistemic Virtue; Privileging the Future

tcheasdfjklSep 8, 2018, 5:54 AM

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The most important step

JsevillamolMar 24, 2018, 12:34 PM

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Myopia and Comfort Zones

alkjashJan 20, 2018, 11:11 PM

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(radimentary.wordpress.com)

Take heed, for it is a trap

ZedAug 14, 2011, 10:23 AM

56 points

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Necessary, But Not Sufficient

pjebyMar 23, 2010, 5:11 PM

58 points

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The Technique Taboo

lsusrOct 30, 2019, 11:22 AM

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Antimemes

lsusrNov 26, 2019, 5:58 AM

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How to Talk About Antimemes

lsusrDec 22, 2019, 11:57 AM

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Overconfident talking down, humble or hostile talking up

ozziegooenNov 30, 2018, 12:41 PM

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Thoughts on tackling blindspots

HazardSep 27, 2018, 1:06 AM

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On Equivalence of Supergoals

Alexey FeldgendlerApr 20, 2018, 3:06 PM

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Image vs. Impact: Can public commitment be counterproductive for achievement?

patrissimoMay 28, 2009, 11:18 PM

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Personal examples of semantic stopsigns

AlexeiDec 6, 2013, 2:12 AM

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Taking the Hammertime Final Exam

lifelonglearnerMar 22, 2018, 5:22 PM

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Let There Be Light

AlicornMar 17, 2010, 7:35 PM

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Rebelling Within Nature

Eliezer YudkowskyJul 13, 2008, 12:32 PM

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Fundamental Doubts

Eliezer YudkowskyJul 12, 2008, 5:21 AM

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Reducing Agents: When abstractions break

HazardMar 31, 2018, 12:03 AM

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On the Openness personality trait & ‘rationality’

gwernOct 14, 2011, 1:07 AM

65 points

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How to Dissolve It

TurnTroutMar 7, 2018, 6:19 AM

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Beware Selective Nihilism

Wei DaiDec 20, 2012, 6:53 PM

61 points

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Rationally Ending Discussions

Elliot TempleAug 12, 2020, 8:34 PM

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Magic Tricks Revealed: Test Your Rationality

Peter WildefordAug 13, 2011, 5:23 AM

42 points

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The End (of Sequences)

Eliezer YudkowskyApr 27, 2009, 9:07 PM

43 points

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Rationality Is Not Systematized Winning

namespaceNov 11, 2018, 10:05 PM

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(www.thelastrationalist.com)

Unyielding Yoda Timers: Taking the Hammertime Final Exam

TurnTroutApr 3, 2018, 2:38 AM

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Infinite Summations: A Rationality Litmus Test

shevJan 20, 2017, 9:31 AM

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“Memento Mori”, Said The Confessor

namespaceFeb 2, 2020, 3:37 AM

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(www.thelastrationalist.com)

Gnostic Rationality

Gordon Seidoh WorleyOct 11, 2017, 9:44 PM

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Verifying Rationality via RationalPoker.com

LouieMar 25, 2011, 4:32 PM

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Say It Loud

Eliezer YudkowskySep 19, 2008, 5:34 PM

56 points

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Belief in Belief vs. Internalization

DesrtopaNov 29, 2010, 3:12 AM

41 points

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Gains from trade: Slug versus Galaxy—how much would I give up to control you?

Stuart_ArmstrongJul 23, 2013, 7:06 PM

55 points

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Confused as to usefulness of ‘consciousness’ as a concept

KnaveOfAllTradesJul 13, 2014, 11:01 AM

54 points

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Naturalism versus unbounded (or unmaximisable) utility options

Stuart_ArmstrongFeb 1, 2013, 5:45 PM

55 points

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Testing the Efficacy of Disagreement Resolution Techniques (and a Proposal for Testing Double Crux)

Ronny FernandezOct 21, 2019, 10:57 PM

35 points

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[Question] What authors consistently give accurate pictures of complex topics they discuss?

seezAug 21, 2019, 12:09 AM

34 points

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Metaphorical extensions and conceptual figure-ground inversions

jessicataJul 24, 2019, 6:21 AM

38 points

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(unstableontology.com)

The Hostile Arguer

ErrorNov 27, 2014, 12:30 AM

50 points

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To what degree do you model people as agents?

Swimmer963 (Miranda Dixon-Luinenburg) Aug 25, 2013, 7:29 PM

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Just the facts, ma’am!

lukeprogDec 10, 2011, 10:54 PM

61 points

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What epistemic hygiene norms should there be?

Kaj_SotalaMar 21, 2012, 7:26 PM

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On self-deception

irrationalOct 5, 2011, 6:46 PM

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Advancing Certainty

komponistoJan 18, 2010, 9:51 AM

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Please Don’t Fight the Hypothetical

TimSApr 20, 2012, 2:29 PM

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Constantly ask what you’re currently doing that is irrational

Eliezer YudkowskyMar 25, 2011, 8:21 AM

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Starting to see 2 months later

PausecafeJan 23, 2019, 8:46 PM

32 points

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TSR #9: Hard Rules

HazardJan 9, 2018, 2:57 PM

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What data generated that thought?

Kaj_SotalaApr 26, 2011, 12:54 PM

42 points

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Reference Points

lionhearted (Sebastian Marshall)Nov 17, 2010, 8:09 AM

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Applied cognitive science: learning from a faux pas

Kaj_SotalaDec 4, 2010, 11:15 AM

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A Call for Constant Vigilance

katydeeApr 3, 2013, 9:52 AM

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Solved Problems Repository

Qiaochu_YuanMar 27, 2013, 4:51 AM

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Rational Reading: Thoughts On Prioritizing Books

patrissimoMar 27, 2011, 7:54 PM

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Time Biases

PeterMcCluskeyJan 12, 2019, 9:35 PM

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(www.bayesianinvestor.com)

Rationality is about pattern recognition, not reasoning

JonahSMay 26, 2015, 7:23 PM

46 points

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Plant Seeds of Rationality

lukeprogMar 10, 2011, 5:51 PM

45 points

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Pattern-botching: when you forget you understand

MalcolmOceanJun 15, 2015, 10:58 PM

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An Ontology of Systemic Failures: Dragons, Bullshit Mountain, and the Cloud of Doom

ialdabaothSep 8, 2018, 6:19 PM

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Reductionism Revisited

alkjashMar 20, 2018, 6:00 AM

11 points

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(radimentary.wordpress.com)

An experiment

cousin_itJan 31, 2018, 12:20 PM

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Crowdsourcing the availability heuristic

kalla724Apr 25, 2012, 6:20 AM

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Examine your assumptions

Douglas_ReayMar 30, 2012, 11:28 AM

47 points

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The Institute For Propaganda Analysis, A Precursor and a Warning

[deleted]Mar 29, 2012, 6:23 PM

37 points

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Changes to my workflow

paulfchristianoAug 26, 2014, 5:29 PM

45 points

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Muehlhauser-Goertzel Dialogue, Part 1

lukeprogMar 16, 2012, 5:12 PM

42 points

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Rational Groups Kick Ass

talismanApr 25, 2009, 2:37 AM

32 points

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Desire is the direction, rationality is the magnitude

So8resApr 5, 2015, 5:27 PM

35 points

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Acknowledging Rationalist Angst

HazardNov 6, 2017, 5:26 AM

10 points

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Note on Terminology: “Rationality”, not “Rationalism”

Vladimir_NesovJan 14, 2011, 9:21 PM

37 points

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Introducing the Instrumental Rationality Sequence

lifelonglearnerApr 26, 2017, 9:53 PM

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Training Regime Day 0: Introduction

Mark XuFeb 14, 2020, 8:22 AM

36 points

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Training Regime Day 1: What is applied rationality?

Mark XuFeb 15, 2020, 9:03 PM

31 points

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Training Regime Day 2: Searching for bugs

Mark XuFeb 16, 2020, 5:16 PM

23 points

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Training Regime Day 3: Tips and Tricks

Mark XuFeb 17, 2020, 6:53 PM

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Training Regime Day 4: Murphyjitsu

Mark XuFeb 18, 2020, 5:33 PM

22 points

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Training Regime Day 5: TAPs

Mark XuFeb 19, 2020, 6:11 PM

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Training Regime Day 6: Seeking Sense

Mark XuFeb 20, 2020, 5:33 PM

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Training Regime Day 7: Goal Factoring

Mark XuFeb 21, 2020, 5:55 PM

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Training Regime Day 8: Noticing

Mark XuFeb 22, 2020, 7:47 PM

26 points

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Training Regime Day 9: Double-Crux

Mark XuFeb 23, 2020, 6:08 PM

11 points

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Training Regime Day 10: Systemization

Mark XuFeb 24, 2020, 5:20 PM

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Training Regime Day 11: Socratic Ducking

Mark XuFeb 25, 2020, 5:19 PM

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Training Regime Day 12: Focusing

Mark XuFeb 26, 2020, 7:07 PM

10 points

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Training Regime Day 13: Resolve Cycles

Mark XuFeb 27, 2020, 5:45 PM

11 points

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Training Regime Day 14: Traffic Jams

Mark XuFeb 28, 2020, 5:52 PM

8 points

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Training Regime Day 15: CoZE

Mark XuFeb 29, 2020, 5:13 PM

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Training Regime Day 16: Hamming Questions

Mark XuMar 1, 2020, 6:46 PM

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Three types of “should”

SniffnoyJun 2, 2018, 12:54 AM

9 points

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In favor of tabooing the word “values” and using only “priorities” instead

chaosmageOct 25, 2018, 10:28 PM

21 points

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Speculations on improving debating

Richard_NgoNov 5, 2018, 4:10 PM

22 points

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(thinkingcomplete.blogspot.com)

Marketing Rationality

ViliamNov 18, 2015, 1:43 PM

39 points

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The Power to Be Emotionally Mature

LironSep 16, 2019, 2:41 AM

32 points

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Becoming stronger together

b4yes_duplicate0.9924090729683128Jul 11, 2017, 1:00 PM

30 points

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39 comments9 min readLW link

The path of the rationalist

So8resApr 12, 2015, 1:44 AM

31 points

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Biases of Intuitive and Logical Thinkers

pwnoAug 13, 2013, 3:50 AM

32 points

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The Sin of Persuasion

DesrtopaNov 27, 2010, 9:44 PM

37 points

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How rationality can make your life more awesome

Julia_GalefNov 29, 2011, 1:23 AM

37 points

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The basic questions of rationality

[deleted]Aug 22, 2011, 2:23 AM

39 points

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Sequential Organization of Thinking: “Six Thinking Hats”

JustinShovelainMar 18, 2010, 5:22 AM

30 points

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Luck I: Finding White Swans

fowlertmDec 12, 2013, 5:56 PM

39 points

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Luck II: Expecting White Swans

fowlertmDec 15, 2013, 5:40 PM

10 points

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[Link] How to Dispel Your Illusions

[deleted]Dec 6, 2011, 2:46 PM

37 points

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Press Your Luck (3/3)

Douglas_ReayMar 8, 2018, 3:59 PM

8 points

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Choice begets regret

bryjnarJan 4, 2018, 8:28 PM

12 points

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TSR #3 Entrainment: Discussion

HazardDec 1, 2017, 4:46 PM

11 points

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RFC on an open problem: how to determine probabilities in the face of social distortion

ialdabaothOct 7, 2017, 10:04 PM

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The Correct Use of Analogy

SilentCalJul 16, 2014, 9:07 PM

35 points

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Failure By Analogy

Eliezer YudkowskyNov 18, 2008, 2:54 AM

24 points

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Surface Analogies and Deep Causes

Eliezer YudkowskyJun 22, 2008, 7:51 AM

36 points

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Skills and Antiskills

katydeeApr 26, 2014, 6:54 AM

43 points

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54 comments1 min readLW link

Towards an Algorithm for (Human) Self-Modification

moridinamaelMar 29, 2011, 11:40 PM

37 points

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Think Before You Speak (And Signal It)

Wei DaiMar 19, 2010, 10:21 PM

35 points

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Individual Rationality Is a Matter of Life and Death

patrissimoMar 21, 2009, 7:22 PM

25 points

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Willpower duality

GyrodiotJan 20, 2017, 9:56 AM

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(www.jrmyp.net)

My hour-long interview with Yudkowsky on “Becoming a Rationalist”

lukeprogFeb 6, 2011, 3:19 AM

33 points

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On Systems—Living a life of zero willpower

Neel NandaAug 16, 2020, 4:44 PM

38 points

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(www.neelnanda.io)

Hello ordinary folks, I’m the Chosen One

dadadarrenSep 4, 2020, 7:59 PM

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Rationalist Clue

Mass_DriverJan 8, 2011, 8:21 AM

37 points

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Being Foreign and Being Sane

fowlertmMay 25, 2013, 12:58 AM

35 points

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Blind artifacts

So8resApr 7, 2015, 11:23 PM

36 points

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[Question] Asking for help teaching a critical thinking class.

Ronny FernandezMar 7, 2019, 2:15 AM

22 points

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A Simple Motto

katerinjoFeb 18, 2018, 6:12 PM

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Escaping Your Past

Z_M_DavisApr 22, 2009, 9:15 PM

28 points

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Separating the roles of theory and direct empirical evidence in belief formation: the examples of minimum wage and anthropogenic global warming

VipulNaikJun 25, 2014, 9:47 PM

38 points

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Rationality Outreach: A Parable

[deleted]Mar 17, 2011, 1:10 PM

34 points

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Effortless Technique

Eliezer YudkowskyDec 23, 2007, 4:22 AM

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Some criticisms of polling

Jimdrix_HendriOct 25, 2020, 6:45 PM

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Passing the Recursive Buck

Eliezer YudkowskyJun 16, 2008, 4:50 AM

42 points

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Rationality and Positive Psychology

badgerMar 5, 2009, 3:31 PM

4 points

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Define Rationality

MarshallMar 5, 2009, 6:25 PM

1 point

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Whither Moral Progress?

Eliezer YudkowskyJul 16, 2008, 5:04 AM

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A Genius for Destruction

Eliezer YudkowskyAug 1, 2008, 7:25 PM

19 points

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Contaminated by Optimism

Eliezer YudkowskyAug 6, 2008, 12:26 AM

17 points

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A Parable of Four Riders

matejsuchyOct 30, 2020, 11:24 PM

3 points

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Sleeping Julia: Empirical support for thirder argument in the Sleeping Beauty Problem

Alex VNov 3, 2020, 12:21 AM

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Hot Air Doesn’t Disagree

Eliezer YudkowskyAug 16, 2008, 12:42 AM

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Invisible Frameworks

Eliezer YudkowskyAug 22, 2008, 3:36 AM

22 points

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Friedman’s “Prediction vs. Explanation”

Eliezer YudkowskySep 29, 2008, 6:15 AM

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Intelligence in Economics

Eliezer YudkowskyOct 30, 2008, 9:17 PM

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Building Something Smarter

Eliezer YudkowskyNov 2, 2008, 5:00 PM

22 points

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Disjunctions, Antipredictions, Etc.

Eliezer YudkowskyDec 9, 2008, 3:13 PM

27 points

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Communicating rationality to the public: Julia Galef’s “The Straw Vulcan”

lukeprogNov 25, 2011, 10:57 PM

34 points

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36 comments27 min readLW link

The Most Frequently Useful Thing

Eliezer YudkowskyFeb 28, 2009, 6:43 PM

12 points

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Wise Pretensions v.0

Eliezer YudkowskyFeb 20, 2009, 5:02 PM

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Formalization is a rationality technique

JohnicholasMar 6, 2009, 8:22 PM

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A Correspondence Theorem

johnswentworthOct 26, 2020, 11:28 PM

28 points

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3 comments9 min readLW link

The Mistake Script

jimrandomhMar 9, 2009, 5:35 PM

12 points

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Beginning at the Beginning

AnnoyanceMar 11, 2009, 7:23 PM

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60 comments4 min readLW link

Rational Defense of Irrational Beliefs

cleonidMar 12, 2009, 6:48 PM

5 points

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Comments for “Rationality”

Eliezer YudkowskyMar 16, 2009, 10:34 PM

2 points

5 votes

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42 comments1 min readLW link

Tarski Statements as Rationalist Exercise

Vladimir_NesovMar 17, 2009, 7:47 PM

12 points

21 votes

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10 comments4 min readLW link

[Question] Why should EA care about rationality (and vice-versa)?

Gordon Seidoh WorleyDec 9, 2018, 10:03 PM

14 points

3 votes

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Why I fail to act rationally

bentarmMar 26, 2009, 3:56 AM

15 points

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23 comments1 min readLW link

When It’s Not Right to be Rational

AnnoyanceMar 28, 2009, 4:15 PM

5 points

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22 comments1 min readLW link

Hygienic Anecdotes

badgerMar 29, 2009, 5:46 AM

10 points

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11 comments1 min readLW link

Building Communities vs. Being Rational

swestrupMar 31, 2009, 6:35 PM

21 points

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18 comments1 min readLW link

The Rationality Wars

Stefan_SchubertFeb 27, 2014, 5:08 PM

30 points

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43 comments3 min readLW link

Heuristic is not a bad word

HughRistikApr 6, 2009, 6:55 AM

11 points

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13 comments3 min readLW link

Only humans can have human values

PhilGoetzApr 26, 2010, 6:57 PM

51 points

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161 comments17 min readLW link

How Not to be Stupid: Know What You Want, What You Really Really Want

Psy-KoshApr 28, 2009, 1:11 AM

2 points

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39 comments4 min readLW link

Epistemic vs. Instrumental Rationality: Approximations

Peter_de_BlancApr 28, 2009, 3:12 AM

30 points

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29 comments1 min readLW link

Arthur Chu: Jeopardy! champion through exemplary rationality

syllogismFeb 2, 2014, 8:02 AM

33 points

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For-Profit Rationality Training

ksvanhornDec 28, 2011, 9:42 PM

31 points

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39 comments3 min readLW link

Extreme Rationality: It Could Be Great

badgerApr 9, 2009, 10:00 PM

15 points

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That Crisis thing seems pretty useful

Eliezer YudkowskyApr 10, 2009, 5:10 PM

18 points

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Spay or Neuter Your Irrationalities

AlicornApr 10, 2009, 8:08 PM

3 points

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Anti-rationality quotes

PhilGoetzApr 17, 2009, 5:55 PM

14 points

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Persuasiveness vs Soundness

PatrickApr 13, 2009, 8:43 AM

0 points

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19 comments2 min readLW link

Instrumental Rationality is a Chimera

Tom_TalbotApr 16, 2009, 11:15 PM

10 points

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36 comments2 min readLW link

Chomsky on reason and science

PhilGoetzApr 17, 2009, 5:52 PM

8 points

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Spreading the word?

Paul CrowleyApr 19, 2009, 7:25 PM

7 points

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46 comments1 min readLW link

How Not to be Stupid: Starting Up

Psy-KoshApr 28, 2009, 12:23 AM

13 points

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[Question] Reading/listening list for the US failing or other significant shifts?

Nicole RossNov 13, 2020, 3:34 PM

13 points

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Rationality: An Introduction

Rob BensingerMar 11, 2015, 7:00 PM

32 points

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Rationalist Role in the Information Age

byrnemaApr 30, 2009, 6:24 PM

7 points

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My Confusion about Moral Philosophy

Nacruno96Nov 14, 2020, 3:49 AM

1 point

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14 comments3 min readLW link

Rationality is winning—or is it?

tawMay 7, 2009, 2:51 PM

−8 points

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Epistemic vs. Instrumental Rationality: Case of the Leaky Agent

Wei DaiMay 7, 2009, 11:09 PM

18 points

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Rationality in the Media: Don’t (New Yorker, May 2009)

May 12, 2009, 1:32 PM

7 points

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My concerns about the term ‘rationalist’

JamesColeJun 4, 2009, 3:31 PM

12 points

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34 comments2 min readLW link

The Laws of Magic

AnnoyanceJun 15, 2009, 7:13 PM

20 points

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14 comments2 min readLW link

Do not ask what rationalists should do

thakilJul 13, 2011, 10:47 AM

34 points

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21 comments1 min readLW link

Why I write about the basics

lukeprogDec 10, 2011, 10:49 PM

26 points

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11 comments1 min readLW link

“I know I’m biased, but...”

[deleted]May 10, 2011, 8:03 PM

32 points

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21 comments3 min readLW link

A LessWrong “rationality workbook” idea

jwhendyJan 9, 2011, 5:52 PM

25 points

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26 comments3 min readLW link

Evolution and fitness vs self-awareness and memetics

FractalParrotNov 29, 2020, 9:07 PM

3 points

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Avoiding Failure: Fallacy Finding

PatrickJul 3, 2009, 5:59 PM

14 points

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19 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] A short talk on SB and friends

Jon ZeroNov 29, 2020, 9:07 PM

10 points

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Rationality Power Tools

Nic_SmithSep 19, 2010, 6:20 AM

27 points

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67 comments6 min readLW link

What happens when your beliefs fully propagate

AlexeiFeb 14, 2012, 7:53 AM

29 points

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Two Kinds of Irrationality and How to Avoid One of Them

ChrisHallquistFeb 2, 2012, 6:13 PM

30 points

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9 comments4 min readLW link

[Question] Will AGI have “human” flaws?

Agustinus TheodorusDec 23, 2020, 3:43 AM

1 point

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Asking For Help

Neel NandaDec 27, 2020, 11:32 AM

23 points

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(neelnanda.io)

Retrospective on Teaching Rationality Workshops

Neel NandaJan 3, 2021, 5:15 PM

59 points

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2 comments31 min readLW link

What should normal people do?

seezOct 25, 2013, 2:28 AM

33 points

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94 comments2 min readLW link

Mini thoughts on mintheism

CraigMichaelJan 11, 2021, 5:14 AM

15 points

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When Hope Fails

resurgamJan 25, 2021, 8:22 PM

5 points

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[Question] Early career choices to maximise learning?

EvzenFeb 4, 2021, 1:37 PM

6 points

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What it means to be lucky

Amir BolousFeb 6, 2021, 5:40 PM

7 points

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Quadratic, not logarithmic

Valentin2026Feb 8, 2021, 3:42 AM

82 points

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Einstein’s Speed

Eliezer YudkowskyMay 21, 2008, 2:48 AM

58 points

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Timeless Identity

Eliezer YudkowskyJun 3, 2008, 8:16 AM

51 points

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248 comments14 min readLW link

Heuristic: Replace “No Evidence” with “No Reason”

Yair HalberstadtFeb 15, 2021, 9:25 PM

44 points

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Aim to get rejected often

Amir BolousFeb 22, 2021, 10:38 PM

10 points

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[Question] A ‘Practice of Rationality’ Sequence?

abramdemskiFeb 14, 2020, 10:56 PM

78 points

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25 comments3 min readLW link

The Psychological Diversity of Mankind

Kaj_SotalaMay 9, 2010, 5:53 AM

134 points

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162 comments7 min readLW link

Irrational arguments or valuable heuristics?

Hauntology Ph.D.Mar 8, 2021, 5:34 AM

8 points

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Direct effects matter!

Aaron BergmanMar 14, 2021, 4:33 AM

95 points

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(aaronbergman.substack.com)

Useful Questions Repository

Qiaochu_YuanJul 25, 2013, 2:58 AM

40 points

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Some blindspots in rationality and effective altruism

RemmeltMar 19, 2021, 11:40 AM

38 points

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46 comments14 min readLW link

On LessWrong/Rationality and Political Debates

sophia_xuMar 20, 2021, 6:26 PM

22 points

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How You Can Gain Self Control Without “Self-Control”

spencergMar 24, 2021, 11:38 PM

102 points

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41 comments23 min readLW link

Call to the technical support of reality

bayesyatinaMar 25, 2021, 8:05 PM

7 points

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2 comments1 min readLW link

Learning Russian Roulette

BunthutApr 2, 2021, 6:56 PM

24 points

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38 comments2 min readLW link

[Question] What if we could use the theory of Mechanism Design from Game Theory as a medium achieve AI Alignment?

farari7Apr 4, 2021, 12:56 PM

4 points

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Identifiability Problem for Superrational Decision Theories

BunthutApr 9, 2021, 8:33 PM

17 points

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On Sleep Procrastination: Going To Bed At A Reasonable Hour

emily.fanApr 17, 2021, 2:10 AM

22 points

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22 comments9 min readLW link

When Should the Fire Alarm Go Off: A model for optimal thresholds

peterbarnettApr 28, 2021, 12:27 PM

40 points

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(peterbarnett.org)

Arguing from a Gap of Perspective

ideenrunMay 1, 2021, 10:42 PM

6 points

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Simulation theology: practical aspect.

Valentin2026May 5, 2021, 2:20 AM

11 points

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On “Epistemic Trespassing” and Intellectual Modesty

Aidan_KieransMay 16, 2021, 12:40 AM

9 points

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The Reebok effect

Jan Christian RefsgaardMay 21, 2021, 5:11 PM

13 points

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(statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)

Controlling Intelligent Agents The Only Way We Know How: Ideal Bureaucratic Structure (IBS)

Justin BullockMay 24, 2021, 12:53 PM

11 points

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Curated conversations with brilliant rationalists

spencergMay 28, 2021, 2:23 PM

153 points

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Good Macro, Bad Micro

IlemauzarJun 4, 2021, 4:30 AM

14 points

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On making fictional miracles seem plausible

Yair HalberstadtMay 31, 2021, 11:32 AM

5 points

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If You Want to Find Truth You Need to Step Into Cringe

WriterJun 1, 2021, 7:03 PM

23 points

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11 comments5 min readLW link

(youtu.be)

Neo-Mohism

Bae's TheoremJun 16, 2021, 9:57 PM

5 points

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Irrational Modesty

Tomás B.Jun 20, 2021, 7:38 PM

132 points

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7 comments1 min readLW link

Going Out With Dignity

Tomás B.Jul 9, 2021, 10:07 PM

176 points

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24 comments6 min readLW link 1 review

A Guide for Productivity

Marius HobbhahnJul 23, 2021, 7:03 AM

27 points

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7 comments41 min readLW link

Reflecting on building my own tools from scratch and ‘inventing on principle’

Amir BolousJul 17, 2021, 6:43 PM

44 points

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7 comments5 min readLW link

In Praise (and Defence) of The People

OlitnessJul 27, 2021, 7:13 AM

−8 points

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(olitness.wordpress.com)

A Framework for Disagreements

Anshul JainJul 31, 2021, 1:51 AM

1 point

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The World is Continuous, Not Discrete

Anshul JainJul 31, 2021, 2:26 AM

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[Question] Do Bayesians like Bayesian model Averaging?

Haziq MuhammadAug 2, 2021, 12:24 PM

4 points

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[Question] Halpern’s paper—A refutation of Cox’s theorem?

Haziq MuhammadAug 11, 2021, 9:25 AM

11 points

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7 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] Jaynes-Cox Probability: Are plausibilities objective?

Haziq MuhammadAug 12, 2021, 2:23 PM

9 points

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17 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] Has Van Horn fixed Cox’s theorem?

Haziq MuhammadAug 29, 2021, 6:36 PM

9 points

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1 comment1 min readLW link

Rationality Is Expertise With Reality

Horatio Von BeckerSep 2, 2021, 8:45 PM

−14 points

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18 comments1 min readLW link

Harry Potter and the Methods of Psychomagic | Chapter 1: Affect

Henry ProwbellSep 15, 2021, 5:03 PM

55 points

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4 comments7 min readLW link

[Question] Why do we talk about autism (spectrum) without talking about borderline p.d.?

MoritzGSep 22, 2021, 2:32 PM

−11 points

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8 comments1 min readLW link

The underappreciated value of original thinking below the frontier

EmrikOct 2, 2021, 4:03 PM

34 points

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2 comments2 min readLW link

What makes us happy and depressed?

Marius HobbhahnOct 3, 2021, 6:25 AM

16 points

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7 comments19 min readLW link

Book Review: Existential Risk and Growth

jkim2Oct 11, 2021, 1:07 AM

9 points

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1 comment7 min readLW link

关于中国的“巫”的部分解释（Some explanations of “wu” in China）

AxiomsOct 20, 2021, 8:56 AM

−4 points

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Sentience, Sapience, Consciousness & Self-Awareness: Defining Complex Terms

LukeOnlineOct 20, 2021, 1:48 PM

8 points

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6 comments4 min readLW link

Scout Mindset and Latter-Day Saint Apostasy

Erich_GrunewaldOct 23, 2021, 2:18 PM

22 points

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Harry Potter and the Methods of Psychomagic | Chapter 2: The Global Neuronal Workspace

Henry ProwbellOct 26, 2021, 6:54 PM

43 points

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8 comments9 min readLW link

Foma: Beliefs that Cause Themselves to be True

atuckerJun 20, 2011, 5:13 AM

36 points

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39 comments3 min readLW link

In Defence of Optimizing Routine Tasks

leogaoNov 9, 2021, 5:09 AM

47 points

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6 comments3 min readLW link 1 review

Sasha Chapin on bad social norms in rationality/EA

Kaj_SotalaNov 17, 2021, 9:43 AM

47 points

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(sashachapin.substack.com)

Laplace’s rule of succession

Ege ErdilNov 23, 2021, 3:48 PM

48 points

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[Question] How do you write original rationalist essays?

lumenwritesDec 1, 2021, 8:08 AM

22 points

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18 comments1 min readLW link

HIRING: Inform and shape a new project on AI safety at Partnership on AI

madhu_likaDec 7, 2021, 7:37 PM

1 point

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0 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] Can you prove that 0 = 1?

purplelightFeb 4, 2022, 9:31 PM

−10 points

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How the Equivalent Bet Test Actually Works

Erich_GrunewaldDec 18, 2021, 11:17 AM

4 points

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Harry Potter and the Methods of Psychomagic | Chapter 3: Intelligence Explosions

Henry ProwbellJan 20, 2022, 1:11 PM

21 points

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Tough Choices and Disappointment

maralornDec 24, 2021, 9:59 PM

2 points

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Working through D&D.Sci, problem 2 (preface)

Pablo RepettoJan 1, 2022, 5:40 PM

3 points

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(pabloernesto.github.io)

Use Normal Predictions

Jan Christian RefsgaardJan 9, 2022, 3:01 PM

137 points

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69 comments6 min readLW link

The possibility of no good amazing forecasters

Johannes C. MayerJan 3, 2022, 12:57 PM

3 points

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[Question] How would you explain Bayesian thinking to a ten year old?

lumenwritesJan 5, 2022, 5:25 PM

7 points

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3 comments1 min readLW link

SONN : What’s Next ?

D𝜋Jan 9, 2022, 8:15 AM

−17 points

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A compilation of misuses of statistics

Younes KamelFeb 14, 2022, 9:53 PM

4 points

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(youneskamel.substack.com)

Books Worthy of Integration

Roven SkyfalFeb 20, 2022, 8:03 AM

12 points

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2 comments3 min readLW link

If your solution doesn’t work, make it work

Ege ErdilMar 11, 2022, 4:10 PM

17 points

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The Ontics and The Decouplers

hawkebiaMar 24, 2022, 2:04 PM

11 points

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An outline of an ironic LessWrong post

YitzMar 25, 2022, 10:51 PM

−8 points

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Practical everyday human strategizing

akaTricksterMar 27, 2022, 2:20 PM

6 points

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0 comments3 min readLW link

[Question] If you lose enough Good Heart Tokens, will you lose real-world money?

YitzApr 1, 2022, 9:11 PM

9 points

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Moloch and the sandpile catastrophe

Eric RaymondApr 2, 2022, 3:35 PM

115 points

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26 comments3 min readLW link

Problem of Induction: What if Instants Were Independent

EpiritoApr 3, 2022, 12:54 AM

0 points

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A Brief Excursion Into Molecular Neuroscience

JanApr 10, 2022, 5:55 PM

45 points

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8 comments19 min readLW link

(universalprior.substack.com)

Rationalist Should Win. Not Dying with Dignity and Funding WBE.

CitizenTenApr 12, 2022, 2:14 AM

23 points

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How I use Anki: expanding the scope of SRS

CallumMcDougallApr 12, 2022, 8:28 AM

28 points

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8 comments19 min readLW link

[Question] What recent academic areas of study have a sample size that is ‘too small’?

casualphysicsenjoyerApr 16, 2022, 1:52 PM

2 points

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4 comments1 min readLW link

Unity of Doctrine vs Unity of Method in Philosophy

JonathanErhardtApr 22, 2022, 1:16 PM

6 points

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Your Utility Function is Your Utility Function

David UdellMay 6, 2022, 7:15 AM

34 points

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16 comments2 min readLW link

Proclamation of game-theoretic emergence

dr_diagorasMay 19, 2022, 6:09 PM

−4 points

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The misguided pursuit of existentialism and absurdism in combatting nihilism

SundaeMay 26, 2022, 9:17 PM

−3 points

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Sneaking Suspicion

benwrMay 27, 2022, 7:17 PM

17 points

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2 comments1 min readLW link

Rationalism in an Age of Egregores

David UdellJun 1, 2022, 7:29 AM

13 points

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[Repost] Non-Nashian Game Theory: A Normal-Form Primer

Ghislain FournyJun 1, 2022, 4:40 PM

47 points

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14 comments8 min readLW link

Our mental building blocks are more different than I thought

Marius HobbhahnJun 15, 2022, 11:07 AM

44 points

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11 comments14 min readLW link

FYI: I’m working on a book about the threat of AGI/ASI for a general audience. I hope it will be of value to the cause and the community

Darren McKeeJun 15, 2022, 6:08 PM

42 points

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Intelligence in Commitment Races

David UdellJun 24, 2022, 2:30 PM

22 points

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A Litany Missing from the Canon

benwrJun 17, 2022, 1:39 AM

38 points

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Have The Effective Altruists And Rationalists Brainwashed Me?

UtilityMonsterJun 19, 2022, 4:05 PM

6 points

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[Question] What is the most probable AI?

Zeruel017Jun 20, 2022, 11:26 PM

−2 points

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Building an Epistemic Status Tracker

rcuJun 22, 2022, 6:57 PM

6 points

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6 comments1 min readLW link

Abadarian Trades

David UdellJun 30, 2022, 4:41 PM

15 points

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22 comments2 min readLW link

Murphyjitsu: an Inner Simulator algorithm

CFAR!DuncanJun 30, 2022, 9:50 PM

54 points

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21 comments11 min readLW link

Hedonistic Isotopes:

TrozxzrJun 30, 2022, 4:49 PM

1 point

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0 comments1 min readLW link

Aversion Factoring

CFAR!DuncanJul 7, 2022, 4:09 PM

68 points

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1 comment8 min readLW link

Genders Discrimination

Jacob FalkovichJul 7, 2022, 3:20 PM

11 points

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16 comments4 min readLW link

Exposition as science: some ideas for how to make progress

riceissaJul 8, 2022, 1:29 AM

21 points

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Mosaic and Palimpsests: Two Shapes of Research

adamShimiJul 12, 2022, 9:05 AM

38 points

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Everyone is an Imposter

TharinJul 13, 2022, 8:46 AM

18 points

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(echoesandchimes.com)

To-do waves

Paweł SysiakJul 16, 2022, 1:19 AM

3 points

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A summary of every “Highlights from the Sequences” post

Orpheus16Jul 15, 2022, 11:01 PM

92 points

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Sexual Abuse attitudes might be infohazardous

Pseudonymous OtterJul 19, 2022, 6:06 PM

214 points

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Getting Unstuck on Counterfactuals

Chris_LeongJul 20, 2022, 5:31 AM

7 points

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A Short Intro to Humans

Ben AmitayJul 20, 2022, 3:28 PM

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Utility functions and probabilities are entangled

Thomas KwaJul 26, 2022, 5:36 AM

15 points

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How Promising is Theoretical Research on Rationality? Seeking Career Advice

Aspirant223Jul 26, 2022, 1:08 AM

3 points

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Unifying Bargaining Notions (2/2)

DiffractorJul 27, 2022, 3:40 AM

102 points

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[Question] How does one recognize information and differentiate it from noise?

M. Y. ZuoAug 3, 2022, 3:57 AM

4 points

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Gears-Level Understanding, Deliberate Performance, The Strategic Level

CFAR!DuncanAug 5, 2022, 5:11 PM

28 points

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[Question] COVID-19 Group Testing Post-mortem?

gwernAug 5, 2022, 4:32 PM

73 points

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Area under the curve, Eat Dirt, Broccoli Errors, Copernicus & Chaos

CFAR!DuncanAug 8, 2022, 8:17 AM

32 points

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How (not) to choose a research project

Garrett Baker, CatGoddess and Johannes C. Mayer

Aug 9, 2022, 12:26 AM

76 points

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[Question] What are some alternatives to Shapley values which drop additivity?

eapiAug 9, 2022, 9:16 AM

10 points

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(math.stackexchange.com)

Radio Bostrom: Audio narrations of papers by Nick Bostrom

peter_hartreeAug 9, 2022, 8:56 AM

12 points

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(forum.effectivealtruism.org)

The Host Minds of HBO’s Westworld.

NerretAug 12, 2022, 6:53 PM

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Argument by Intellectual Ordeal

lcAug 12, 2022, 1:03 PM

26 points

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[Question] Perfect Predictors

aditya malikAug 12, 2022, 11:51 AM

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“What Mistakes Are You Making Right Now?”

David UdellAug 15, 2022, 9:19 PM

13 points

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Building a Bugs List prompts

CFAR!DuncanAug 13, 2022, 8:00 AM

54 points

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All the posts I will never write

Alexander Gietelink OldenzielAug 14, 2022, 6:29 PM

52 points

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Statistics for vague concepts and “Colors” of places

Q HomeAug 19, 2022, 10:33 AM

−1 points

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Adversarial epistemology

jchanAug 24, 2022, 4:57 PM

25 points

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Schelling Points in Thing-Space

Richard HenageAug 24, 2022, 4:19 PM

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Solving Alignment by “solving” semantics

Q HomeAug 27, 2022, 4:17 AM

14 points

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I Tripped and Became GPT! (And How This Updated My Timelines)

FrankophoneSep 1, 2022, 5:56 PM

31 points

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On the nature of help—a framework for helping

FaustifyAug 29, 2022, 8:42 PM

3 points

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Overton Gymnastics: An Exercise in Discomfort

Shoshannah Tekofsky and omark

Sep 5, 2022, 7:20 PM

39 points

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Can “Reward Economics” solve AI Alignment?

Q HomeSep 7, 2022, 7:58 AM

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[Question] In a lack of data, how should you weigh credences in theoretical physics’s Theories of Everything, or TOEs?

Noosphere89Sep 7, 2022, 6:25 PM

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What Should AI Owe To Us? Accountable and Aligned AI Systems via Contractualist AI Alignment

xuanSep 8, 2022, 3:04 PM

31 points

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How To Actually Succeed

Jordan ArelSep 13, 2022, 12:21 AM

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I’m taking a course on game theory and am faced with this question. What’s the rational decision?

Dalton MaberySep 14, 2022, 12:27 AM

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AstralCodexTen and Rationality Meetup Organisers’ Retreat — Europe, Middle East, and Africa 2023

Sam F. BrownSep 15, 2022, 10:38 PM

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Rationality Dojo Berlin Handout

UnplannedCauliflowerSep 19, 2022, 8:11 PM

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Losing the root for the tree

Adam ZernerSep 20, 2022, 4:53 AM

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Features and Antifeatures

Davis_KingsleySep 20, 2022, 5:54 PM

22 points

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Scraping training data for your mind

Henrik KarlssonSep 21, 2022, 4:27 PM

45 points

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(escapingflatland.substack.com)

Funding is All You Need: Getting into Grad School by Hacking the NSF GRFP Fellowship

hapaninSep 22, 2022, 9:39 PM

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Opt out from the Funni

CoafosSep 24, 2022, 10:07 PM

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On Generality

Eris DiscordiaSep 26, 2022, 4:06 AM

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Probabilistic reasoning for description and experience

Q HomeSep 27, 2022, 10:57 AM

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Reflection on a Consulting Workshop

myutinSep 29, 2022, 3:04 AM

11 points

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FDT is not directly comparable to CDT and EDT

SMKSep 29, 2022, 2:42 PM

29 points

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[Link] “Improper Nouns” by siderea

KennySep 29, 2022, 1:28 PM

17 points

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The Importance-Avoidance Effect

David HartsoughSep 30, 2022, 10:09 AM

19 points

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Statistics for objects with shared identities

Q HomeOct 3, 2022, 9:21 AM

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Self-defeating conspiracy theorists and their theories

M. Y. ZuoOct 4, 2022, 12:48 AM

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Research Deprioritizing External Communication

jefftkOct 6, 2022, 12:20 PM

34 points

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Calibrate—New Chrome Extension for hiding numbers so you can guess

chanamessingerOct 7, 2022, 11:21 AM

57 points

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(chrome.google.com)

Signaling Guilt

KriegerOct 8, 2022, 8:40 PM

20 points

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What if human reasoning is anti-inductive?

Q HomeOct 11, 2022, 5:15 AM

1 point

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Apollo

Jarred FilmerOct 10, 2022, 9:30 PM

42 points

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When should you defer to expertise? A useful heuristic (Crosspost from EA forum)

Noosphere89Oct 13, 2022, 2:14 PM

9 points

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(forum.effectivealtruism.org)

The importance of studying subjective experience

Q HomeOct 21, 2022, 8:43 AM

8 points

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Method of statements: an alternative to taboo

Q HomeNov 16, 2022, 10:57 AM

7 points

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Sanity-checking in an age of hyperbole

Ciprian Elliu IvanofOct 31, 2022, 8:04 PM

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The circular problem of epistemic irresponsibility

Roman LeventovOct 31, 2022, 5:23 PM

5 points

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K-types vs T-types — what priors do you have?

Cleo NardoNov 3, 2022, 11:29 AM

67 points

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Further considerations on the Evidentialist’s Wager

Martín SotoNov 3, 2022, 8:06 PM

−4 points

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[Question] Can we get around Godel’s Incompleteness theorems and Turing undecidable problems via infinite computers?

Noosphere89Nov 5, 2022, 6:01 PM

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Word-Distance vs Idea-Distance: The Case for Lanoitaring

SableNov 6, 2022, 5:25 AM

7 points

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(affablyevil.substack.com)

Eudaimonia, Voltron, and The Multi-Dimensional Crisis Revolution

Jarred FilmerNov 6, 2022, 1:03 AM

24 points

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The Matrix of Untruth

MiguelDevNov 10, 2022, 6:42 PM

−3 points

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(www.whitehatstoic.com)

Do Timeless Decision Theorists reject all blackmail from other Timeless Decision Theorists?

myrenNov 11, 2022, 12:38 AM

1 point

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Where the logical fallacy is not (Generalization From Fictional Evidence)

banevNov 11, 2022, 10:41 AM

−12 points

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The sky is not blue (pardon the obviousness)

banevNov 13, 2022, 10:49 AM

−13 points

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Decision making under model ambiguity, moral uncertainty, and other agents with free will?

Jobst HeitzigNov 13, 2022, 12:50 PM

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The Futility of Status and Signalling

Ape in the coatNov 13, 2022, 5:14 PM

17 points

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Rational overconfidence in the tens of billions: recent example

banevNov 13, 2022, 10:48 PM

−20 points

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New free Substack blog on the psychology of belief

Derrick FarnellNov 14, 2022, 8:48 AM

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Utilitarianism and the idea of a “rational agent” are fundamentally inconsistent with reality

banevNov 16, 2022, 12:19 AM

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[Question] What kind of bias is this?

Daniel SamuelNov 17, 2022, 6:44 PM

3 points

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Motivated Cognition and the Multiverse of Truth

Q HomeNov 22, 2022, 12:51 PM

8 points

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My Deontology Says Narrow-Mindedness is Always Wrong

LVSNNov 18, 2022, 6:11 AM

6 points

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SBF, Pascal’s Mugging, and a Proposed Solution

Cole KillianNov 18, 2022, 6:39 PM

−2 points

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On Morality, Ethics, and all that Jazz

Delen HeismanNov 20, 2022, 8:00 PM

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(delen.substack.com)

Research Principles for 6 Months of AI Alignment Studies

Shoshannah TekofskyDec 2, 2022, 10:55 PM

22 points

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Chat GPT’s views on Metaphysics and Ethics

Cole KillianDec 3, 2022, 6:12 PM

5 points

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(twitter.com)

[Question] How should I judge the impact of giving $5k to a family of three kids and two mentally ill parents?

BlakeDec 5, 2022, 1:42 PM

10 points

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Playing shell games with definitions

weverkaDec 8, 2022, 7:35 PM

9 points

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ChatGPT has a HAL Problem

Paul AndersonDec 14, 2022, 9:31 PM

1 point

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How Death Feels

sisyphusDec 18, 2022, 11:47 PM

−7 points

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Podcast: What’s Wrong With LessWrong

AlfredDec 21, 2022, 7:06 AM

−32 points

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(youtu.be)

Mental acceptance and reflection

remember and Gabriel Alfour

Dec 22, 2022, 2:32 PM

34 points

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Introduction: Bias in Evaluating AGI X-Risks

Remmelt and flandry19

Dec 27, 2022, 10:27 AM

0 points

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Presumptive Listening: sticking to familiar concepts and missing the outer reasoning paths

RemmeltDec 27, 2022, 3:40 PM

−14 points

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(mflb.com)

To Be Particular About Morality

AGODec 31, 2022, 7:58 PM

6 points

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Effectively self-studying over the Internet

libaiJan 3, 2023, 4:23 PM

4 points

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Orange County ACX 14 Forer Statements and Boundaries

Michael MichalchikJan 6, 2023, 4:39 AM

1 point

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You’re Not One “You”—How Decision Theories Are Talking Past Each Other

keith_wynroeJan 9, 2023, 1:21 AM

26 points

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11 comments8 min readLW link

Rationality Practice: Self-Deception

DarmaniJan 9, 2023, 4:07 AM

6 points

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Forecasting extreme outcomes

AidanGothJan 9, 2023, 4:34 PM

4 points

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(docs.google.com)

Idea: Learning How To Move Towards The Metagame

AlgonJan 10, 2023, 12:58 AM

10 points

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Talents

jennJan 10, 2023, 5:17 PM

3 points

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A simple thought experiment showing why recessions are an unnecessary bug in our economic system

skogsnisseJan 11, 2023, 12:43 AM

1 point

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Write to Think

Michael SamoilovJan 12, 2023, 12:33 AM

9 points

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The AI Control Problem in a wider intellectual context

philosophybearJan 13, 2023, 12:28 AM

10 points

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Wokism, rethinking priorities and the Bostrom case

Arturo MaciasJan 14, 2023, 2:27 AM

−29 points

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Wheel of Consent Theory for Rationalists and Effective Altruists

adamwilderJan 13, 2023, 5:59 PM

1 point

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Aligned with what?

Program DenJan 14, 2023, 10:28 AM

3 points

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41 comments1 min readLW link

Non-directed conceptual founding

TsviBTJan 15, 2023, 2:56 PM

11 points

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Freiburg—Units of Exchange

omarkJan 15, 2023, 9:34 PM

2 points

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Panopticons aren’t enough

Program DenJan 15, 2023, 12:55 PM

−10 points

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Why you ask the significance question why

SliderJan 16, 2023, 3:44 AM

6 points

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hollowing’s Shortform

hollowingJan 16, 2023, 6:10 PM

1 point

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What can thought-experiments do?

Cleo NardoJan 17, 2023, 12:35 AM

13 points

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3 comments5 min readLW link

Five Reasons to Lie

DzoldzayaJan 17, 2023, 4:53 PM

−1 points

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Productivity.txt

LazarIlicJan 17, 2023, 7:05 PM

−3 points

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(github.com)

Quotes Worth Talking About

akaTricksterJan 17, 2023, 9:26 PM

−1 points

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Prototype of Using GPT-3 to Generate Textbook-length Content

Rafael CosmanJan 18, 2023, 2:25 PM

2 points

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(github.com)

A problem with group epistemics

Mckay JensenJan 18, 2023, 5:06 PM

4 points

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(quevivasbien.github.io)

Paretoism, a “safe” AI governance paradigm

Jonas MetzgerJan 19, 2023, 11:09 PM

3 points

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Intersubjectivity Collapse and Idea Scarcity Fallacy

Michael MichalchikJan 20, 2023, 11:28 PM

1 point

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A new Heuristic to Update on the Credences of Others

aaron_maiJan 21, 2023, 9:00 PM

6 points

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Quantum Suicide, Decision Theory, and The Multiverse

SlimepriestessJan 22, 2023, 8:44 AM

3 points

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(voidgoddess.org)

What fills a vacuum?

Logan KiellerJan 22, 2023, 7:25 PM

18 points

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6 comments2 min readLW link

Regular Meetup (topic: Defining Rationality)

HaroldJan 23, 2023, 8:53 AM

2 points

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The Human-AI Reflective Equilibrium

Allison DuettmannJan 24, 2023, 1:32 AM

11 points

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Visualisation of Probability Mass

brookJan 25, 2023, 3:09 PM

7 points

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AstralCodexTen / LessWrong Meetup

Søren ElverlinJan 25, 2023, 6:36 PM

3 points

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Just another thought experiment

Bohdan Kudlai Jan 26, 2023, 7:29 PM

−11 points

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Alex Loftus’s Shortform

Alex LoftusJan 26, 2023, 9:05 PM

1 point

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Basics of Rationalist Discourse

Duncan Sabien (Inactive)Jan 27, 2023, 2:40 AM

217 points

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175 comments36 min readLW link

Spooky action at a distance in the loss landscape

Jesse Hoogland and Filip Sondej

Jan 28, 2023, 12:22 AM

53 points

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(www.jessehoogland.com)

The Knockdown Argument Paradox

Bryan FrancesJan 28, 2023, 7:23 PM

−12 points

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February Meetup – Reasoning in the face of bias from observation selection effects

shaneebertJan 29, 2023, 5:20 PM

2 points

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Simulacra Levels Summary

ZviJan 30, 2023, 1:40 PM

67 points

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(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Whatever their arguments, Covid vaccine sceptics will probably never convince me

contrarianbritJan 30, 2023, 1:42 PM

8 points

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(thomasprosser.substack.com)

Karlsruhe Rationality Meetup: How to be Less Wong [sic] about Dating

Felix KargJan 30, 2023, 10:59 PM

3 points

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Beware of Fake Alternatives

silentbobJan 31, 2023, 10:21 AM

49 points

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10 comments4 min readLW link

Nice Clothes are Good, Actually

Gordon Seidoh WorleyJan 31, 2023, 7:22 PM

51 points

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28 comments4 min readLW link

Subitisation of Self

vitaliyaFeb 1, 2023, 9:18 AM

12 points

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4 comments2 min readLW link

A simple technique to reduce negative rumination

cranberry_bearFeb 2, 2023, 1:33 AM

9 points

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OC LW/ACX Saturday (2/4/23) Chat GPT simulates safety and 12 virtues of rationality

Michael MichalchikFeb 2, 2023, 9:51 PM

1 point

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Stanzas On Power Calculation

DirectedEvolutionFeb 5, 2023, 7:15 PM

9 points

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The Pervasive Illusion of Seeing the Complete World

ShmiFeb 9, 2023, 6:47 AM

34 points

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1 comment2 min readLW link

FLI Podcast: Connor Leahy on AI Progress, Chimps, Memes, and Markets (Part 1/3)

remember and Andrea_Miotti

Feb 10, 2023, 1:55 PM

37 points

16 votes

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[S] D&D.Sci: All the D8a. Allllllll of it.

aphyerFeb 10, 2023, 9:14 PM

29 points

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The Practitioner’s Path 2.0: the Pragmatist Archetype

EvenflairFeb 11, 2023, 3:48 PM

17 points

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(guildoftherose.org)

How I Learn From Textbooks

DirectedEvolutionFeb 12, 2023, 4:45 AM

19 points

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2 comments8 min readLW link

[Question] Is writing an effective way to improve critical thinking? How do we validate that?

JD RanpariyaFeb 12, 2023, 7:54 AM

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0 comments1 min readLW link

Vladimir_Nesov Mar 19, 2023, 8:52 PM
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So here’s a patch that broke formatting, and no apparent revert action in the UI. How are such things supposed to be addressed? (Preview would help with preventing similar mistakes, which also doesn’t seem to be available in the UI.)
Ruby Oct 2, 2020, 6:47 PM
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From the old discussion page. The comments concern the historical version of the page (see History of the page). Not the modern version. They are preserved for posterity.
Talk:Rationality
This is a brief analysis of the wiki page.
Claims made by the page:
(1) Rationality is the characteristic of thinking and acting optimally.
(2) An agent is rational if it wields its intelligence in such a way as to maximize the convergence between its beliefs and reality; and acts on these beliefs in such a manner as to maximize its chances of achieving whatever goals it has.
(3) For humans, this means mitigating (as much as possible) the influence of cognitive biases.
(4) Instrumental rationality is the art of choosing and implementing actions that steer the future toward outcomes ranked higher in one’s preferences. Said preferences are not limited to ‘selfish’ preferences or unshared values; they include anything one cares about.
(5) Epistemic rationality is that part of rationality which involves achieving accurate beliefs about the world.
(6) It involves updating on receiving new evidence, mitigating cognitive biases, and examining why you believe what you believe.
(7) It can be seen as a form of instrumental rationality in which knowledge and truth are goals in themselves, whereas in other forms of instrumental rationality, knowledge and truth are only potential aids to achieving goals.
(8) Someone practising instrumental rationality might even find falsehood useful.
Support given and implied:
(1), (2), (4), (5), (6) could be taken as definitions, with (3), (7), (8) as their consequences. If this were done, it would need to be shown that (1), (2), (4), (5), (6) are good definitions. This would consist in the following. Firstly, a purpose for stating the definitions would be given. This purpose could be, for example, to capture our pre-theoretical use of “rationality”, in order to utilise our intuitions about statements involving “rationality” as evidence for more complex statements. Alternatively, this purpose could be, for example, to provide a technical definition of “rationality” which will be used later on, in the same way a mathematical symbol is used as a place holder for a more complex mathematical object. Secondly, the definitions would be shown to be consistent, well-formed and clear, each to an appropriate level depending on the purpose. For instance, if the purpose was to provide a technical definition, the definitions would need to be fully consistent, precise and formed out of other precise terms in a way consistent with those terms. If the purpose was to capture our pre-theoretical usage, the definitions would need to be consistent insofar as we believe our pre-theoretical usage, in the realm of the intuitions we wish to utilise, to be, as precise as our pre-theoretical usage in the relevant realm is, and to be as close as possible to our pre-theoretical usage in the relevant realm. Once all this was done, it would be shown that the definitions are good. Finally, it would need to be shown that (3), (7), (8) are indeed consequences of the definitions.
The blog posts linked may contain support for the claims in the manner outlined above, or in another manner.
Suggestions
The way in which the blog posts linked are intended to support the claims could be made explicit on the page. If any of the blog posts intend to support the claims by taking (1), (2), (4), (5), (6), or some combination of those, as definitions, the purpose of those definitions could be made explicit on the page.
Merge with Rationalism?
I would like to rename and merge this page with Rationalism—comments? Deku-shrub (talk) 04:07, 15 April 2017 (AEST)
jimrandomh Aug 28, 2020, 1:51 AM
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The intro paragraph of this tag is more important than most tags, since it appears when you hover over the tag in the filters on the front page, or on a post page, and will be many peoples’ first exposure to the definition.