April drafts

Link post

By Katja Grace, April 1 2021

Today we are sharing with our blog readers a collection of yet-to-be-published drafts, in the hope of receiving feedback. We are especially looking for methodological critique, but all comments welcome!

Human-level performance estimate (Katja Grace)

How much hardware will we need to create AGI? (Asya Bergal)

Historic trends in AI Impacts productivity (Daniel Kokotajlo)

Analysis of superbombs as a global threat (Katja Grace)