List of Probability Calibration Exercises

I recently spent a while looking at how different people had designed their probability calibration exercises (for ideas on how to design my own), and they turned out to be quite difficult to find. Many of the best ones were the least advertised and hardest to locate online. I figured I’d compile them all here in case anyone else finds themselves in a similar position. Please let me know about any I missed and I’ll add them to the post. Many of these are old and no longer maintained, so no guarantees as to quality.

https://​​bayes-up.web.app/​​

http://​​acritch.com/​​credence-game/​​

http://​​confidence.success-equation.com/​​

https://​​calibration-practice.neocities.org/​​

http://​​web.archive.org/​​web/​​20100529074053/​​http://​​www.acceleratingfuture.com/​​tom/​​?p=129

http://​​credencecalibration.com/​​

https://​​programs.clearerthinking.org/​​calibrate_your_judgment.html

https://​​www.openphilanthropy.org/​​calibration or https://​​80000hours.org/​​calibration-training/​​ (Different URLs for same application.)

https://​​calibration.lazdini.lv/​​

http://​​www.2pih.com/​​caltest/​​

http://​​web.archive.org/​​web/​​20161020032514/​​http://​​calibratedprobabilityassessment.org/​​

https://​​predictionbook.com/​​credence_games/​​try

https://​​calibration-training.netlify.app/​​

https://​​play.google.com/​​store/​​apps/​​details?id=com.the_calibration_game

https://​​www.metaculus.com/​​tutorials/​​

https://​​outsidetheasylum.blog/​​probability-calibration/​​