Running barefoot will produce the same observations, right? So any waste heat going into your shoes is probably a small amount.
I’d be happy to offer free editing services as my time allows, and maybe the research assistant role if you could describe what you need or anticipate needing a bit more. I have a BS in statistics and have worked in AI for a few years.
party girl, if you finish this series and still have club stories you end up not sharing, I would love to hear them over some coffee or lunch. I find this whole thing incredibly fascinating.
There’s a neat formula starting up here.
Crass Puppet: the glasses only give rude responses
Sass Puppet: the glasses only give sarcastic responses
Mass Puppet: the glasses convert you to Catholicism, responses are Latin prayers
Bass Puppet: the glasses… make you into a fish?
Ass Puppet: it ends in a porno
GLORY TO THE DARK LOR- I mean, dark mode.
Do you have any recommendations on resources to consult or tools to buy? I was thinking of investing some time/money into learning before you posted this and this has pushed me over the top. :)
Thanks! I thought manifold had already done this, but couldn’t find the feature when I went to look for it. I’ll check again and then contact them if I still don’t see it. Among the players I know they seem the most likely to be interested in doing it.
Is anyone aware of an online platform for making private forecasting tournaments / prediction markets with play money? Ideally I want to send someone a link, have them make an account, and then have access to a group of private questions I’ve made.
I estimate a 900% chance that no variant will ever be named ‘Xi’ as it would link it to a certain head of state.
I watched an interview of Austrians who are not dosed and stuck at home. One of the things it mentioned is that if the government forces you to get an injection, it would be responsible for any bad outcomes as a result. But since they are just putting you on house arrest, it’s still the citizen’s choice to get vaccinated and therefore the responsibility is shifted to them. If I believed the vaccines were likely to cause substantial harm this would look like a way for the government to mandate dangerous vaccines without actually doing it. So the increased choice is a net negative in that sense.
But since I don’t believe that, my main concern is that the not-technically-a-mandate-but-pretty-much-a-mandate policy will trade a lot of Austria’s public trust and social cohesion for the public health benefit. Knowing nothing about Austria in particular, and since predicting the future is hard, I refrain from passing any judgment on whether or not it will be a good trade. But hopefully the Austrian bureaucracy did its due diligence.
This is delightful. You should absolutely bring this up when she’s older.
Clearly the best episode.
Just as a note, I think there is a history of outlandish/trolling advice letters being submitted to Slate, especially about culture war issues. I have no idea if the linked article here is sincere or not though. Something something Poe’s law.
A note to anyone looking to lie for a booster shot: I tried to be clever and tell the pharmacist I needed a second Moderna dose (both so i wouldn’t be pressed into getting another dose afterward and so I could insist on Moderna). I then had to prove my first dose was also Moderna which i obviously couldn’t do, so i was refused a dose (yes, really.) When i asked, the pharmacist confirmed that if I’d asked for a first dose instead i would have gotten it. So don’t be clever, just pretend you were hesitant and now you are getting over it.
I consistently had to force down the “wow i want to read that next” response I typically get.
Unfortunately there is also the risk that bystanders decide you have given your kids too much independence and call the police or otherwise harass you.
Lenore Skenazy had this happen to her when she allowed her son to take a subway by himself.
It sounds like you are interested in some ideas related to Free Range parenting; Let Grow might also be of interest.
Most plausibly, a mixture of private charity or investment and/or some sort of loan or “donation” by the host country.
I think that is necessarily true, yes. A reasonable thing to do would be to report multiple numbers; “confirmed cases”, “suspected cases”, “estimated total cases”, each with a clear definition.
The medical examiner thing seems totally fine—in this county they only see bodies that are sent for autopsies; i.e. something is fishy about their death. If you die in an ICU because of low oxygenation you don’t get sent to the medical examiner. If you die from a knife to the back and your family wants to argue that you died from COVID-19 then it makes sense for the medical examiner to want them to pay for it.
My mom, a Suffolk county based doctor who used to do autopsies
Two treatments I’ve heard of through unverified interwebs:
Ivermectin (yeah I follow that guy’s YouTube, there’s lots of study about it but afaik the usefulness for smell loss in particular is anecdotal). The mechanism would likely be that it clears out residual viral particles/pieces of cellular garbage that are causing damage.
LSD (apparently a small dose helped a guy? I think this story is on Zvi’s latest covidpost.) Obviously a lot more risk with this one and I would guess it could only work by increasing sensory output because psychedelics. (This kinda tracks with the essential oils suggestion? Sniffing stuff a lot could rewire some neurons I guess.)