Hmm okay. That does seem encouraging.
Roko
Karma: 6,077
Is this a downstream consequence of the Nick Bostrom comments about race from the 1990s?
“willing to inflict large amounts of harm/suffering on others in pursuit of one’s own interests/goals (in a way that can’t be plausibly justified as justice or the like)”
Yes, obviously.
The vast majority of people would inflict huge amounts of disutility on others if they thought they could get away with it and benefitted from it.
Also does this have any theoretical model that backs it up?
E.g. take N agents with preferred world-states W1, … Wn
Does this system emerge naturally?
Why shouldn’t this apply recursively?
E.g. imagine that within each of the two major factions, there is a 48%/52% split. Doesn’t that imply civil war within the factions?
If your faction lacks the veto-mechanism but the opposing faction has it doesn’t that mean that the opposing faction is stronger than you because you have a debilitating civil war, but they don’t?
Ability to go sleep… Sleep deprivation is one of the greatest effect sizes for IQ
Interesting!
Being alive is so much fun. Sleep is death, I don’t want to sleep!
I not only feel censored, I am censored in the sense that my ability to speak is being taken away. The causality seems to be people downvoting --> negative karma --> algo prevents posting, but that’s still censorship
Less Wrong automated systems are inadvertently Censoring me
The point of probabilities is to quantify uncertainty, not to wait until you are omnipotent and have all the data needed to reach certainty
it’s the largest wet market in central China
Got a source for that?
My impression of Huanan Seafood Market is that it contained only a very small number of animals that are even potential candidates for the virus, and is mostly fish (seafood).
Wikipedia contradicts itself on this, claiming circa 100 animals in one section and then circa 10,000 in a different section. Do you know what is going on here?
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Huanan_Seafood_Wholesale_Market#Facility_and_operations
I don’t think you understand probability theory
I’m open to sponsorship to do further research at $200/hr. DM me if you’re interested.
Credibly dismiss? What?
Given that they were already caught in two separate coverups, it is not only not implausible it is highly likely that some kind of cover-up of the early cases was attempted. The only question is whether they succeeded to the extent of making it look like the wet market was the origin.
hmmm interesting
The whole point of probability theory is to make decisions when you do not have “perfect data sources”
Why even talk about probabilistic reasoning if you won’t use it until the data is “perfect” and you are omniscient?
It is not a misprint.
This kind of strategy is rational once you’re sure that The Singularity is going to happen and it’s just a matter of waiting out Moore’s Law, there are benefits to being first.
Yes. I have noticed that I prefer hyphens, and now that I think about why it’s because they make writing less ambiguous.
I would hope that there is a plan to reconstitute FHI as an independent research organization