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Eli Tyre

Karma: 10,346

I currently work for Palisade Research as a generalist and strategy director and for the Survival and Flourishing Fund, as a grant round facilitator.

I’ve been personally and professional involved with the rationality and x-risk mitigation communities since 2015, most notably working at CFAR from 2016 to 2021 as an instructor and curriculum developer. I’ve also done contract work for MIRI, Lightcone, BERI, the Atlas fellowship, etc.

I’m the single person in the world that has done the most development work on the Double Crux technique, and have explored other frameworks for epistemically resolving disagreements and bridging ontologies.

Even as I’m no longer professionally focused on rationality training, I continue to invest in my personal practice of adaptive rationality, developing and training techniques for learning and absorbing key lessons faster than reality forces me to.

My personal website is elityre.com.

[Question] What was the most effec­tive team you’ve ever been on, and what made it ex­cel­lent?

Eli Tyre24 Feb 2026 20:18 UTC
77 points
7 comments2 min readLW link

Some thoughts on what would make me en­dorse an AGI lab

Eli Tyre31 Jan 2026 23:14 UTC
42 points
19 comments5 min readLW link

Why AIs aren’t power-seek­ing yet

Eli Tyre11 Jan 2026 7:07 UTC
105 points
15 comments7 min readLW link

Help keep AI un­der hu­man con­trol: Pal­isade Re­search 2026 fundraiser

18 Dec 2025 23:41 UTC
105 points
66 comments6 min readLW link

Evolu­tion did a sur­pris­ing good job at al­ign­ing hu­mans...to so­cial status

Eli Tyre10 Mar 2024 19:34 UTC
55 points
43 comments1 min readLW link1 review

On the lethal­ity of bi­ased hu­man re­ward ratings

17 Nov 2023 18:59 UTC
48 points
10 comments37 min readLW link

Smart Ses­sions—Fi­nally a (kinda) win­dow-cen­tric ses­sion manager

Eli Tyre11 Nov 2023 18:54 UTC
14 points
4 comments5 min readLW link

Un­pack­ing the dy­nam­ics of AGI con­flict that sug­gest the ne­ces­sity of a premp­tive pivotal act

Eli Tyre20 Oct 2023 6:48 UTC
63 points
2 comments8 min readLW link

Briefly think­ing through some analogs of debate

Eli Tyre11 Sep 2022 12:02 UTC
20 points
3 comments4 min readLW link

Public be­liefs vs. Pri­vate beliefs

Eli Tyre1 Jun 2022 21:33 UTC
147 points
30 comments5 min readLW link

Twit­ter thread on postrationalists

Eli Tyre17 Feb 2022 9:02 UTC
148 points
33 comments5 min readLW link

[Question] What are some good pieces on civ­i­liza­tional de­cay /​ civ­i­liza­tional col­lapse /​ weak­en­ing of so­cietal fabric?

Eli Tyre6 Aug 2021 7:18 UTC
22 points
8 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] What are some trig­gers that prompt you to do a Fermi es­ti­mate, or to pull up a spread­sheet and make a sim­ple/​rough quan­ti­ta­tive model?

Eli Tyre25 Jul 2021 6:47 UTC
38 points
16 comments1 min readLW link

I’m no longer sure that I buy dutch book ar­gu­ments and this makes me skep­ti­cal of the “util­ity func­tion” abstraction

Eli Tyre22 Jun 2021 3:53 UTC
42 points
29 comments4 min readLW link

[Question] Why did the UK switch to a 12 week dos­ing sched­ule for COVID-19 vac­cines?

Eli Tyre20 Jun 2021 21:57 UTC
30 points
22 comments3 min readLW link

[Question] How do we pre­pare for fi­nal crunch time?

Eli Tyre30 Mar 2021 5:47 UTC
122 points
30 comments8 min readLW link1 review

[Question] What are some real life Inad­e­quate Equil­ibria?

Eli Tyre29 Jan 2021 12:17 UTC
50 points
63 comments3 min readLW link

#2: Neu­ro­cry­op­reser­va­tion vs whole-body preservation

13 Jan 2021 1:18 UTC
59 points
26 comments12 min readLW link

Some recom­men­da­tions for al­ign­ing the de­ci­sion to go to war with the pub­lic in­ter­est, from The Spoils of War

Eli Tyre27 Dec 2020 1:04 UTC
21 points
1 comment7 min readLW link

[Question] What is the cur­rent bot­tle­neck on ge­netic en­g­ineer­ing of hu­man em­bryos for im­proved IQ

Eli Tyre23 Oct 2020 2:36 UTC
36 points
13 comments1 min readLW link