How to derive an “ought” from an “is”:
https://alonzofyfe.substack.com/p/deriving-ought-from-is-hypothetical
CronoDAS
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I always thought that the problem with “belling the Cat” is not that a mouse would inevitably fail to bell the cat, but rather that whichever mouse did it would presumably be killed by the Cat shortly afterwards. So even though belling the cat wouid be good for the other mice, no individual mouse wants to be the one that has to do it
Almost nobody, anyway.
Isn’t the cost here that you need to keep track of the seed(s) used in your pseudorandom number generator and store them as a secret key? It does seem like a fairly trivial cost, though.
And does this method work if you don’t have the entire AI output from the beginning? For example, you ask the AI to write ten essays in a row, and then turn in only the last one to check if it has the watermark. If your PRNG is good, can you easily tell if a sequence “eventually” gets produced by a seed? Or do token limits make this a non-issue?
I’d be worried about random people being able to do the equivalent of teleporting a bomb into the Oval Office. Car bombs are hard enough to defend against...
CATS: ALL YOUR P ARE BELONG TO US
Barack Obama: The question of P is above my pay grade.
Shakespeare: To P or not to P, that is the question
Mad Magazine: Whether ’tis nobler to suffer, or goeth behind yon tree...
I like to joke that the reason quantum mechanics and general relativity are incompatible is that the universe is running on buggy code. ;)
[LINK] The Ferrett fails will save against the Dark Arts
As the saying goes, adding more manpower to a late software project makes it later.
“Keynes said that in hundred years the productivity would increase so much that we would only need to work 3-day work weeks.”—“Well, I guess people have a revealed preference to work 5-day work weeks.”—Sure, smart guy. Show me where can I find the job advertisements for the 3-day work week jobs. Oh, there are none! So from the fact that I didn’t choose from an empty set you can figure out what my true desire is. Amazing!
To be fair, in surveys, most people do answer that they wouldn’t want to work fewer hours if it meant that they would get less take-home pay.
You’re not wrong, but most part-time jobs are different kinds of work than full-time jobs, and they also pay terrible hourly wages when compared to the kind of work that is only available on a full-time schedule.
Paraphrasing stand up comic Paula Poundstone:
You’re probably wondering how I ended up with fifteen cats. The answer is that I had thirteen cats, and then I got two more!
Wasn’t the facial feedback hypothesis one of the things that didn’t survive the replication crisis—I think I remember it specifically being one of the things that failed to replicate?
<joke> If video games have taught me anything, it’s that you should always go out of your way to help other people with their problems. That way, you get more of that sweet, sweet EXP that you need to turn yourself into an unstoppable killing machine! </joke>
Ultima IV (NES) taught me that I should try to be a good person.
I’ve done the same thing with the SNES shmup Space Megaforce. I’ve played the hell out of it and have gotten really good, so sometimes when I was feeling as though I couldn’t do anything right I’d turn that game on and prove myself wrong by playing through the whole game without using continues. (I’ve had successful one-credit clears on Normal, Hard, and Tricky difficulty so far. The only one left unconquered is Wild.)
Sometimes I can do something on a phone myself faster than I can use spoken words to explain to someone else how to do it for me. But in general, yes.
Oops. I need to find the second half of the argument—I thought it would have been in that one. Sorry.
https://alonzofyfe.substack.com/p/moral-ought-ought-not-and-reasons
https://alonzofyfe.substack.com/p/solving-the-central-problem-of-morality