I’m using pictures because I couldn’t get either editor to accept a proper table.
chaosmage
Karma: 1,836
What cognitive biases feel like from the inside
In a car park? But they will be way more densely packed than cars in car parks, because no humans need access. The cabins get placed there and retrieved from there by autonomous engines.
Here are more use cases.
A specialized cabin for your kid to drive to/from school alone, or for your toddler to drive to/from kindergarten alone. Robotaxis will definitely be used for this because it is super valuable to parents. But a small specialized cabin would be more economical than a standard (typical car size) cabin fitted with child seats.
Visiting dialysis station.
Specialized delivery cabins for particular types of cargo: refrigerated, extra suspension, stuff for transporting animals. We do this with trucks, but trucks are big because they’re optimized to need less human drivers per mass of cargo, and once that restriction is gone the disadvantages of big trucks should incentivize a move to smaller cargo vehicles.
I think these three are major enough that even if we stay with single vehicles, these use cases would merit development of specialized robotaxis to cover them, sooner or later. But a tug and cabin system gets there sooner.
I think I made a mistake using the word “accommodation”. (English isn’t my first language.) What I meant is basically “where the people and cargo are stored safely and comfortably”. That can be something big to live in, but it could also be a single seat cabin for a commute.
The point is you can have several different types for different purposes, because you don’t need to buy an expensive motor and computer with each of them.
Good points.
Agree about the battery swaps, but swapping a tug would be easier.
Cargo containers are definitely like this, but they’re big because it is more economical to spread the cost of the driver over a large amount of cargo. Cargo wagons/modules could be in a wide range of sizes, including small/fast ones that are more like courier service than like bulk transport.
You don’t need a parking spot—the system can still be used as a robotaxi, it just has additional uses.
You don’t need to be where your wagon is, you can send it places. Because of that, you could even rent out your wagon (say you offer a rental sound system or a mobile massage parlor).
If you’re a first world citizen and able to spend $35k+ on a car, sure. Most of the cars that need replacing are way cheaper, and their replacement needs to be way cheaper too.
Elon Musk is wrong: Robotaxis are stupid. We need standardized rented autonomous tugs to move customized owned unpowered wagons.
Functional silence: communication that minimizes change of receiver’s beliefs
There is a Secular Solstice in Berlin, Germany, but it happens in a small apartment so it has to be invitation only and is already full AFAIK.
Frankfurt, Germany might again be doing one but I do not know particulars.
Leipzig, Germany is not having one this year due to the place where the last couple of Solstices happened being currently infested with toddlers.
The text is beautifully condensed. And the handwritten style does help it look casual/inviting.
But the whole thing loaded significantly slower than I read. How many megabytes is this post? I haven’t waited this long for a website to load for years.
What really helps is mortality and our inbred need to leave a legacy. It is better to pick a project with low probability of success than none at all. That can help you stick with something you only estimate to have a low chance of success, at least long enough to have sunk costs kick in. Does for me anyway.
This mechanism may only work for one man projects, or work in tight knit groups like bands of musicians. Your contribution to a big project doesn’t feel like a legacy to the same degree.
That sounds a *lot* like http://slatestarcodex.com/2018/04/01/the-hour-i-first-believed/ .
It does not sound a lot like any existing variant of Panpsychism. Since the word isn’t doing any work here, I suggest you do without it.
In favor of tabooing the word “values” and using only “priorities” instead
No, the degree of outrage also depends on closeness to the victim. In this case Jews will feel closer to Israelis (the victims of Palestinians), and Muslims will feel closer to Palestinians (the victims of Israelis) so that’s what they’re outraged about. Closeness to the perpetrator is a factor I think, but I don’t expect it is stronger than closeness to the victim.
An optimistic explanation of the outrage epidemic
Yes! Thank you!
I’ve had similar ideas for a long time. I’ve translated three books and find that I think of many acts of communication as translations. In particular, I find it useful to think of misunderstandings as mistranslations.
To think of thinking/speaking styles as languages just plain makes sense, and I feel that when people “are on the same wavelength” what is really happening is that they’re (somewhat unusually) actually speaking the same language.
I don’t use this concept for processes inside a single mind, though. Might be worth thinking about, but a term that denotes work with explicit communications does not seem like a good fit for processes that are almost entirely implicit.
#6 is really “we want legal euthanasia” right? Might as well say it like it is.
I think legal prostitution belongs on the list as well.
And maybe an end to tax advantages for churches? Because that’s direct state funding for irrationality.
I’m fantasizing about infographics with multiple examples of the same bias, an explanation how they’re all biased the same way, and very brief talking points like “we’re all biased, try to avoid this mistake, forgive others if they make it, learn more at LessWrong.com″.
They could be mass produced with different examples. Like one with a proponent of Minimum Wage and an opponent of it, arguing under intense confirmation bias as described in the table above, with a headline like “Why discussions about Minimum Wage often fail”. Another one “Why discussions of Veganism often fail”, another one “Why discussions of Gun Control often fail” etc. Each posted to the appropriate subreddits etc. Then evolve new versions based on what got the most upvotes.
But I am completely clueless about how to do infographics. I’d love for someone to grab the idea and run with it. But realistically I should probably try to half-ass something and hope it shows enough potential for someone with the skills to take pity.
Or at least get more eyes on it to further improve the concept. Getting feedback from fellow LessWrongers was extremely helpful for development thus far.