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How do take­off speeds af­fect the prob­a­bil­ity of bad out­comes from AGI?

KR
29 Jun 2020 22:06 UTC
15 points
2 comments8 min readLW link

[Question] If the “one cor­ti­cal al­gorithm” hy­poth­e­sis is true, how should one up­date about timelines and take­off speed?

Adam Scholl
26 Aug 2019 7:08 UTC
25 points
9 comments1 min readLW link

Soft take­off can still lead to de­ci­sive strate­gic advantage

Daniel Kokotajlo
23 Aug 2019 16:39 UTC
116 points
32 comments8 min readLW link

Take­off Speed: Sim­ple Asymp­totics in a Toy Model.

Aaron Roth
5 Mar 2018 17:07 UTC
31 points
20 comments9 min readLW link
(aaronsadventures.blogspot.com)

My Thoughts on Take­off Speeds

tristanm
27 Mar 2018 0:05 UTC
22 points
2 comments7 min readLW link

Fast Take­off in Biolog­i­cal Intelligence

eapache
25 Apr 2020 12:21 UTC
14 points
21 comments2 min readLW link

Sun­day Jun 28 – More On­line Talks by Cu­rated Authors

26 Jun 2020 19:13 UTC
26 points
1 comment1 min readLW link

Pos­si­ble take­aways from the coro­n­avirus pan­demic for slow AI takeoff

Vika
31 May 2020 17:51 UTC
117 points
32 comments3 min readLW link

Some con­cep­tual high­lights from “Disjunc­tive Sce­nar­ios of Catas­trophic AI Risk”

Kaj_Sotala
12 Feb 2018 12:30 UTC
68 points
4 comments6 min readLW link
(kajsotala.fi)

Mis­con­cep­tions about con­tin­u­ous takeoff

Matthew Barnett
8 Oct 2019 21:31 UTC
74 points
36 comments4 min readLW link

More on dis­am­biguat­ing “dis­con­ti­nu­ity”

alenglander
9 Jun 2020 15:16 UTC
16 points
1 comment3 min readLW link

Dist­in­guish­ing defi­ni­tions of takeoff

Matthew Barnett
14 Feb 2020 0:16 UTC
46 points
6 comments6 min readLW link

Will AI un­dergo dis­con­tin­u­ous progress?

SDM
21 Feb 2020 22:16 UTC
22 points
20 comments20 min readLW link

Model­ling Con­tin­u­ous Progress

SDM
23 Jun 2020 18:06 UTC
27 points
3 comments7 min readLW link

Why AI may not foom

John_Maxwell
24 Mar 2013 8:11 UTC
23 points
81 comments12 min readLW link