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Forecasts (Specific Predictions) Tag Last edit: 26 Aug 2020 20:12 UTC by Raemon Forecasts (Specific Predictions) . This tag is for specific predictions about unknown facts or future events. Discussion of the practice of making forecasts can be found in Forecasting and Prediction . Related: Betting .
Above all, don’t ask what to believe—ask what to anticipate. Every question of belief should flow from a question of anticipation, and that question of anticipation should be the center of the inquiry. – Making Beliefs Pay Rent
Relevant New Old 22 Aug 2020 2:33 UTC 134 points
2 min read LW link 8 Jan 2024 17:31 UTC 23 points
30 min read LW link Zvi 9 Jan 2024 19:30 UTC 33 points
31 min read LW link (thezvi.wordpress.com)
Zvi 11 Jul 2024 15:00 UTC 45 points
41 min read LW link (thezvi.wordpress.com)
28 Oct 2021 20:40 UTC 62 points
11 min read LW link (www.metaculus.com)
Zvi 2 Dec 2021 12:50 UTC 39 points
7 min read LW link (thezvi.wordpress.com)
ike 2 Jan 2022 6:34 UTC 13 points
1 min read LW link (misinfounderload.substack.com)
Zvi 10 Jan 2022 15:50 UTC 44 points
7 min read LW link (thezvi.wordpress.com)
Zvi 17 Jan 2022 16:10 UTC 38 points
9 min read LW link (thezvi.wordpress.com)
Zvi 25 Jan 2022 18:30 UTC 34 points
22 min read LW link (thezvi.wordpress.com)
Zvi 1 Feb 2022 20:30 UTC 30 points
18 min read LW link (thezvi.wordpress.com)
Zvi 28 Feb 2022 19:20 UTC 67 points
16 min read LW link (thezvi.wordpress.com)
bmg 19 Jun 2022 17:25 UTC 29 points
1 min read LW link Yitz 30 Jun 2022 18:58 UTC 76 points
2 min read LW link (storage.googleapis.com)
Yitz 1 Sep 2022 21:15 UTC 30 points
3 min read LW link (archiveofourown.org)
fumin 1 Oct 2022 19:45 UTC −10 points
9 min read LW link (docs.google.com)
jefftk 17 Jan 2023 18:10 UTC 17 points
2 min read LW link (www.jefftk.com)
Zvi 14 Feb 2023 12:20 UTC 20 points
23 min read LW link (thezvi.wordpress.com)
Zvi 17 Feb 2023 13:10 UTC 25 points
20 min read LW link (thezvi.wordpress.com)
JakubK 17 Mar 2023 6:40 UTC 56 points
2 min read LW link (docs.google.com)
Zvi 23 Feb 2021 17:20 UTC 53 points
10 min read LW link (thezvi.wordpress.com)
Yoyo Y 7 May 2023 16:54 UTC 1 point
1 min read LW link (www.reciprocity.io)
12 Jun 2023 12:01 UTC 0 points
24 min read LW link 20 Sep 2022 22:25 UTC 28 points
2 min read LW link Zvi 18 Oct 2020 22:40 UTC 37 points
4 min read LW link (thezvi.wordpress.com)
philh 19 Mar 2020 21:10 UTC 16 points
2 min read LW link (reasonableapproximation.net)
Amandango 28 Jul 2020 17:43 UTC 44 points
2 min read LW link (forum.effectivealtruism.org)
Zvi 14 Mar 2022 15:50 UTC 58 points
4 min read LW link (thezvi.wordpress.com)
habryka 12 Sep 2020 6:38 UTC 44 points
1 min read LW link (www.openphilanthropy.org)
Zvi 27 Apr 2021 0:40 UTC 42 points
12 min read LW link (thezvi.wordpress.com)
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