advocating for regulating AI on the basis of harms like this is bad, will eventually backfire, and should be modeled as a cost, not as a benefit, from the perspective of predicting how useful his actions will be on AI safety topics.
My main crux is the societal awareness[1] around capabilities of existing and future AIs and robots. I once remarked that laypeople do NOT foresee AI taking over the world because they fail to understand[2] the true extent of AIs’ transformative potential to the point of believing that the AIs have zero reasoning abilities.
A layperson who believed such nonsense would also believe that the AIs are at most toys capable of doing things like driving people into psychosis or destroying people’s relationships, but not of wiping mankind out and sustaining the civilisation. Therefore, I don’t understand how a safetyist can win the 2026 election while not making Bores-like factual errors.
UPD: on March 14 I remarked that the IABIED march had gathered 898 pledgers and 1630 people who signed to be notified of IABIED’s activities. By June 19 these numbers reached only 1105 and 1991.
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UPD: A similar point was made by Boaz Barak on the fourth fake graph.
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Examples include Freddie de Boer’s attempt to drive home the point that the AIs are unlikely to acquire such capabilities, Casey Simpson’s video full of factual errors or a video released in MAY 2026 whose author claims that AI is a technology with no lived experience and zero reasoning abilities. The latter video was released AFTER GPT-5.4 Pro solved an Erdös problem, but before the triumph of an unreleased OpenAI model.
Yes, I would be very interested in reading such a blog. I am also interested in a more pragmatic question of how actual alien life could have become intelligent and created a civilisation, for which there could be relevant posts like Cannell’s Brain Efficiency (which I assume to rule out bigger neural nets on the ground of energy-based constraints), a nonexistent post on scaling laws of brains depending on time lived (in a manner similar to Claudes’ trend (or logarithm thereof?!) over time?) and another nonexistent post on how a civilisation would find it HARD to emerge before specific conditions caused the Universe to create habitable planets and to let life actually grow there.