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History

His­tory: “Why should I re­mem­ber the Wright Brothers’ first flight? I was not there. But as a ra­tio­nal­ist, could I dare to not re­mem­ber, when the event ac­tu­ally hap­pened? Is there so much differ­ence be­tween see­ing an event through your eyes—which is ac­tu­ally a causal chain in­volv­ing re­flected pho­tons, not a di­rect con­nec­tion—and see­ing an event through a his­tory book? Pho­tons and his­tory books both de­scend by causal chains from the event it­self.”

Dis­con­tin­u­ous progress in his­tory: an update

KatjaGrace
14 Apr 2020 0:00 UTC
162 points
20 comments31 min readLW link
(aiimpacts.org)

Cortés, Pizarro, and Afonso as Prece­dents for Takeover

Daniel Kokotajlo
1 Mar 2020 3:49 UTC
117 points
66 comments11 min readLW link

On Build­ing The­o­ries of History

Samo Burja
23 Feb 2018 23:40 UTC
69 points
20 comments4 min readLW link

The Coper­ni­can Revolu­tion from the Inside

jacobjacob
1 Nov 2017 10:51 UTC
146 points
45 comments19 min readLW link

Why ev­ery­thing might have taken so long

KatjaGrace
1 Jan 2018 1:00 UTC
145 points
15 comments3 min readLW link2 nominations1 review
(meteuphoric.wordpress.com)

Book Re­view: Ages Of Discord

Scott Alexander
3 Sep 2019 6:30 UTC
36 points
3 comments21 min readLW link
(slatestarcodex.com)

Book Re­view: Albion’s Seed

Scott Alexander
27 Apr 2016 8:40 UTC
22 points
1 comment32 min readLW link

Les­sons on AI Takeover from the conquistadors

17 Jul 2020 22:35 UTC
53 points
30 comments5 min readLW link

[Question] Have epistemic con­di­tions always been this bad?

Wei_Dai
25 Jan 2020 4:42 UTC
163 points
103 comments4 min readLW link

Mak­ing His­tory Available

Eliezer Yudkowsky
31 Aug 2007 19:52 UTC
74 points
82 comments3 min readLW link

Failing to Learn from History

Eliezer Yudkowsky
30 Aug 2007 20:22 UTC
58 points
11 comments1 min readLW link

Cross­ing the His­tory-Les­sons Threshold

lionhearted
17 Oct 2014 0:17 UTC
34 points
65 comments6 min readLW link

[An­swer] Why wasn’t sci­ence in­vented in China?

Ruby
23 Apr 2019 21:47 UTC
81 points
39 comments21 min readLW link

Study­ing Early Stage Science: Re­search Pro­gram Introduction

habryka
17 Jan 2020 22:12 UTC
34 points
1 comment15 min readLW link
(medium.com)

The Cold War di­vided Science

Douglas_Knight
5 Apr 2014 23:10 UTC
21 points
53 comments1 min readLW link

A brief his­tory of eth­i­cally con­cerned scientists

Kaj_Sotala
9 Feb 2013 5:50 UTC
70 points
150 comments14 min readLW link

Book re­view: The Sleep­walk­ers by Arthur Koestler

Richard_Ngo
23 Apr 2019 0:10 UTC
75 points
26 comments9 min readLW link
(thinkingcomplete.blogspot.com)

Book Re­view: The Se­crets of Alchemy

namespace
21 Jan 2018 19:01 UTC
48 points
7 comments14 min readLW link

Black Death at the Golden Gate (book re­view)

PeterMcCluskey
26 Jun 2020 16:09 UTC
17 points
0 comments4 min readLW link
(www.bayesianinvestor.com)

How min­i­mal is our in­tel­li­gence?

Douglas_Reay
25 Nov 2012 23:34 UTC
56 points
214 comments6 min readLW link

A His­tory of Bayes’ Theorem

lukeprog
29 Aug 2011 7:04 UTC
57 points
87 comments15 min readLW link

[Question] Has there been a “memetic col­lapse”?

elityre
28 Dec 2019 5:36 UTC
31 points
7 comments1 min readLW link

Epistemic Spot Checks: The Fall of Rome

Elizabeth
16 Oct 2019 18:40 UTC
40 points
2 comments8 min readLW link
(acesounderglass.com)

Mini-re­view: ‘Prov­ing His­tory: Bayes’ The­o­rem and the Quest for the His­tor­i­cal Je­sus’

lukeprog
1 Feb 2012 19:20 UTC
22 points
34 comments1 min readLW link

Tra­di­tion is Smarter Than You Are

Kaj_Sotala
19 Sep 2018 17:54 UTC
68 points
10 comments1 min readLW link1 nomination
(scholars-stage.blogspot.com)

Jan Bloch’s Im­pos­si­ble War

Hivewired
17 Feb 2020 16:14 UTC
102 points
30 comments5 min readLW link
(hivewired.wordpress.com)

Les­sons from the Cold War on In­for­ma­tion Hazards: Why In­ter­nal Com­mu­ni­ca­tion is Critical

Gentzel
24 Feb 2018 23:34 UTC
82 points
10 comments4 min readLW link2 nominations

[Question] How has the cost of cloth­ing in­su­la­tion changed since 1970 in the USA?

DanielFilan
12 Jan 2020 23:31 UTC
14 points
10 comments1 min readLW link

De­bate Rules In Ben­jamin Fran­klin’s Junto

namespace
30 Oct 2018 23:42 UTC
83 points
8 comments1 min readLW link

The Oil Cri­sis of 1973

Elizabeth
22 May 2020 15:50 UTC
57 points
9 comments3 min readLW link
(acesounderglass.com)

The abrupt­ness of nu­clear weapons

paulfchristiano
25 Feb 2018 17:40 UTC
105 points
35 comments2 min readLW link

Re­search: Res­cuers dur­ing the Holocaust

Martin Sustrik
30 Apr 2018 6:15 UTC
103 points
8 comments9 min readLW link2 nominations1 review

Can the Chain Still Hold You?

lukeprog
13 Jan 2012 1:28 UTC
127 points
360 comments4 min readLW link

Drain­ing the swamp

jasoncrawford
28 Jan 2020 21:37 UTC
91 points
0 comments11 min readLW link
(rootsofprogress.org)

[Question] How did academia en­sure pa­pers were cor­rect in the early 20th Cen­tury?

Ben Pace
29 Dec 2018 23:37 UTC
94 points
16 comments2 min readLW link3 nominations1 review

Rule Thinkers In, Not Out

Scott Alexander
27 Feb 2019 2:40 UTC
103 points
49 comments4 min readLW link
(slatestarcodex.com)

And the AI would have got away with it too, if...

Stuart_Armstrong
22 May 2019 21:35 UTC
77 points
7 comments1 min readLW link

Farewell Aaron Swartz (1986-2013)

Kawoomba
12 Jan 2013 10:09 UTC
77 points
117 comments1 min readLW link

The Skep­tic’s Trilemma

Scott Alexander
15 Mar 2009 0:12 UTC
76 points
15 comments5 min readLW link

Stranger Than History

Eliezer Yudkowsky
1 Sep 2007 18:57 UTC
75 points
334 comments1 min readLW link

Guardians of Ayn Rand

Eliezer Yudkowsky
18 Dec 2007 6:24 UTC
72 points
129 comments5 min readLW link

When None Dare Urge Restraint

Eliezer Yudkowsky
8 Dec 2007 23:09 UTC
67 points
122 comments2 min readLW link

Eight Books To Read

Samo Burja
14 May 2019 17:40 UTC
63 points
11 comments6 min readLW link
(medium.com)

Why I am not a Quaker (even though it of­ten seems as though I should be)

Benquo
26 Sep 2017 7:00 UTC
62 points
20 comments16 min readLW link

Ein­stein’s Arrogance

Eliezer Yudkowsky
25 Sep 2007 1:29 UTC
67 points
88 comments3 min readLW link

USA v Pro­gres­sive 1979 excerpt

RyanCarey
27 Nov 2017 17:32 UTC
50 points
2 comments2 min readLW link

The Zom­bie Preacher of Somerset

Scott Alexander
28 Mar 2009 22:29 UTC
43 points
34 comments5 min readLW link

The Era Of Un­limited Every­thing: Un­limited Ma­te­ri­als & Un­limited Money

jdampolargo
1 Aug 2020 3:01 UTC
4 points
6 comments10 min readLW link

A map of Bay Area memespace

Julia_Galef
23 Sep 2013 17:34 UTC
49 points
29 comments7 min readLW link

Fight the Power

Jacobian
22 Jun 2020 2:19 UTC
21 points
3 comments7 min readLW link

Life as metaphor for ev­ery­thing else.

Charlie Steiner
5 Apr 2020 7:21 UTC
37 points
11 comments4 min readLW link

Sapiens

Vaniver
8 Apr 2015 2:56 UTC
49 points
12 comments13 min readLW link

Epistemic Spot Check: The Dorito Effect (Mark Schatzker)

Elizabeth
3 Oct 2018 17:10 UTC
45 points
8 comments1 min readLW link
(acesounderglass.com)

What Botswana Can Teach Us About Poli­ti­cal Stability

Samo Burja
9 May 2019 18:30 UTC
43 points
4 comments1 min readLW link
(medium.com)

Epistemic Spot Check: The Fate of Rome (Kyle Harper)

Elizabeth
24 Aug 2019 21:40 UTC
42 points
3 comments5 min readLW link
(acesounderglass.com)

A sim­ple sketch of how re­al­ism be­came unpopular

Rob Bensinger
11 Oct 2019 22:25 UTC
61 points
53 comments4 min readLW link

[Question] How Old is Smal­lpox?

Raemon
10 Dec 2018 10:50 UTC
40 points
5 comments2 min readLW link

The Gal­ileo af­fair: who was on the side of ra­tio­nal­ity?

Val
15 Feb 2015 20:52 UTC
37 points
71 comments7 min readLW link

Con­cepts Don’t Work That Way

lukeprog
28 Sep 2011 2:01 UTC
61 points
91 comments8 min readLW link

For progress to be by ac­cu­mu­la­tion and not by ran­dom walk, read great books

MichaelVassar
2 Mar 2010 8:11 UTC
55 points
115 comments3 min readLW link

We Agree: Speeches All Around!

JohnBuridan
14 Jun 2018 17:53 UTC
41 points
19 comments2 min readLW link

[Question] Which sci­en­tific dis­cov­ery was most ahead of its time?

Richard_Ngo
16 May 2019 12:58 UTC
40 points
14 comments1 min readLW link

Be­hav­iorism: Be­ware An­thro­po­mor­phiz­ing Humans

Scott Alexander
4 Jul 2011 20:40 UTC
56 points
24 comments3 min readLW link

How would you take over Rome?

Scott Alexander
14 Mar 2012 16:24 UTC
37 points
203 comments1 min readLW link

Are You a So­lar De­ity?

Scott Alexander
15 Mar 2009 19:30 UTC
38 points
24 comments4 min readLW link

[Question] His­tor­i­cal fore­cast­ing: Are there ways I can get lots of data, but only up to a cer­tain date?

elityre
21 Nov 2019 17:16 UTC
39 points
10 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] What is a rea­son­able out­side view for the fate of so­cial move­ments?

jacobjacob
4 Jan 2019 0:21 UTC
36 points
27 comments1 min readLW link

Tech­nol­ogy Changes Constraints

johnswentworth
25 Jan 2020 23:13 UTC
84 points
6 comments4 min readLW link

On first look­ing into Rus­sell’s History

Richard_Ngo
8 Nov 2018 11:20 UTC
35 points
6 comments5 min readLW link
(thinkingcomplete.blogspot.com)

[Question] Books on the zeit­geist of sci­ence dur­ing Lord Kelvin’s time.

Hazard
9 Dec 2019 0:17 UTC
32 points
8 comments1 min readLW link