RSS

Futurism

TagLast edit: 18 Aug 2020 23:48 UTC by Ruby

Futurism is speculation about technologies or social trends that might exist in the near or distant future.

Less Wrong’s favorite type of futurism is speculation about AI risk. Other speculative future technologies include life extension, mind uploading, nanotechnology, and space colonization.

For efforts to predict future trends see Forecasting & Prediction and Forecasts (Lists of).

See also: Transhumanism, Fun Theory

[Question] What will 2040 prob­a­bly look like as­sum­ing no sin­gu­lar­ity?

Daniel Kokotajlo16 May 2021 22:10 UTC
102 points
86 comments4 min readLW link

Why is the Fu­ture So Ab­surd?

Eliezer Yudkowsky7 Sep 2007 8:42 UTC
42 points
17 comments3 min readLW link

A Quick Tax­on­omy of Ar­gu­ments for The­o­ret­i­cal Eng­ineer­ing Capabilities

Ruby21 May 2019 22:38 UTC
29 points
1 comment3 min readLW link

[Question] What is our true life ex­pec­tancy?

adamzerner23 Oct 2020 23:17 UTC
14 points
23 comments1 min readLW link

A re­view of Where Is My Fly­ing Car? by J. Storrs Hall

jasoncrawford6 Nov 2020 20:01 UTC
90 points
21 comments11 min readLW link
(rootsofprogress.org)

SpaceX will have mas­sive im­pact in the next decade

ChristianKl31 Dec 2020 1:04 UTC
35 points
30 comments2 min readLW link

What is the cur­rency of the fu­ture? 5 sug­ges­tions.

ViktorThink13 Jan 2021 21:10 UTC
17 points
11 comments2 min readLW link

The Accord

Timothy Underwood6 Apr 2021 15:44 UTC
22 points
1 comment1 min readLW link

Win­ston Churchill, fu­tur­ist and EA

jasoncrawford12 Jul 2021 2:07 UTC
60 points
10 comments4 min readLW link
(rootsofprogress.org)

Strate­gic im­pli­ca­tions of AIs’ abil­ity to co­or­di­nate at low cost, for ex­am­ple by merging

Wei_Dai25 Apr 2019 5:08 UTC
60 points
45 comments2 min readLW link2 nominations1 review

The Vuln­er­a­ble World Hy­poth­e­sis (by Bostrom)

Ben Pace6 Nov 2018 20:05 UTC
50 points
17 comments4 min readLW link
(nickbostrom.com)

31 Laws of Fun

Eliezer Yudkowsky26 Jan 2009 10:13 UTC
65 points
36 comments8 min readLW link

Claims & As­sump­tions made in Eter­nity in Six Hours

Ruby8 May 2019 23:11 UTC
48 points
7 comments3 min readLW link

Biolog­i­cal hu­mans and the ris­ing tide of AI

cousin_it29 Jan 2018 16:04 UTC
22 points
23 comments1 min readLW link

Where is my Fly­ing Car?

PeterMcCluskey15 Oct 2018 18:39 UTC
49 points
10 comments17 min readLW link
(www.bayesianinvestor.com)

To re­duce as­tro­nom­i­cal waste: take your time, then go very fast

Stuart_Armstrong13 Jul 2013 16:41 UTC
68 points
50 comments3 min readLW link

Siren wor­lds and the per­ils of over-op­ti­mised search

Stuart_Armstrong7 Apr 2014 11:00 UTC
69 points
417 comments7 min readLW link

After crit­i­cal event W hap­pens, they still won’t be­lieve you

Eliezer Yudkowsky13 Jun 2013 21:59 UTC
64 points
107 comments3 min readLW link

AGI will dras­ti­cally in­crease economies of scale

Wei_Dai7 Jun 2019 23:17 UTC
51 points
25 comments2 min readLW link1 nomination

Could we send a mes­sage to the dis­tant fu­ture?

paulfchristiano9 Jun 2018 4:27 UTC
37 points
23 comments3 min readLW link

Isaac Asi­mov’s pre­dic­tions for 2019 from 1984

Jan_Kulveit28 Dec 2018 9:51 UTC
36 points
1 comment2 min readLW link
(www.thestar.com)

The Golden Age of Data

Collisteru4 Aug 2020 21:35 UTC
5 points
0 comments4 min readLW link

Eu­topia is Scary

Eliezer Yudkowsky12 Jan 2009 5:28 UTC
50 points
125 comments5 min readLW link

Elon Musk is wrong: Rob­o­taxis are stupid. We need stan­dard­ized rented au­tonomous tugs to move cus­tomized owned un­pow­ered wag­ons.

chaosmage4 Nov 2019 14:04 UTC
34 points
35 comments2 min readLW link

Build­ing Weirdtopia

Eliezer Yudkowsky12 Jan 2009 20:35 UTC
44 points
311 comments3 min readLW link

David Chalmers’ “The Sin­gu­lar­ity: A Philo­soph­i­cal Anal­y­sis”

lukeprog29 Jan 2011 2:52 UTC
54 points
203 comments4 min readLW link

“Can We Sur­vive Tech­nol­ogy” by von Neumann

Ben Pace18 Aug 2019 18:58 UTC
32 points
2 comments1 min readLW link
(geosci.uchicago.edu)

Fu­tur­is­tic Pre­dic­tions as Con­sum­able Goods

Eliezer Yudkowsky10 Apr 2007 0:18 UTC
35 points
19 comments1 min readLW link

Con­cep­tual is­sues in AI safety: the paradig­matic gap

vedevazz24 Jun 2018 15:09 UTC
33 points
0 comments1 min readLW link
(www.foldl.me)

Char­ac­ter­is­ing utopia

Richard_Ngo2 Jan 2020 0:00 UTC
25 points
3 comments22 min readLW link
(thinkingcomplete.blogspot.com)

On Be­com­ing Clueless

Martin Sustrik24 Sep 2019 4:20 UTC
34 points
2 comments1 min readLW link
(250bpm.com)

[Question] What are we pre­dict­ing for Neu­ral­ink event?

Dr_Manhattan12 Jul 2019 19:33 UTC
32 points
15 comments1 min readLW link

A Pro­posed Ad­just­ment to the Astro­nom­i­cal Waste Argument

Nick_Beckstead27 May 2013 3:39 UTC
34 points
38 comments12 min readLW link

Defeat­ing Mun­dane Holo­causts With Robots

lsparrish30 May 2011 22:34 UTC
34 points
28 comments2 min readLW link

Can’t Un­birth a Child

Eliezer Yudkowsky28 Dec 2008 17:00 UTC
35 points
96 comments3 min readLW link

Lone Ge­nius Bias and Re­turns on Ad­di­tional Researchers

ChrisHallquist1 Nov 2013 0:38 UTC
37 points
64 comments6 min readLW link

Is the po­ten­tial as­tro­nom­i­cal waste in our uni­verse too small to care about?

Wei_Dai21 Oct 2014 8:44 UTC
65 points
16 comments2 min readLW link

Modest Superintelligences

Wei_Dai22 Mar 2012 0:29 UTC
34 points
100 comments1 min readLW link

Scry­ing for out­comes where the prob­lem of deep­fakes has been solved

MakoYass15 Apr 2019 4:45 UTC
26 points
10 comments4 min readLW link

Against easy su­per­in­tel­li­gence: the un­fore­seen fric­tion argument

Stuart_Armstrong10 Jul 2013 13:47 UTC
39 points
48 comments5 min readLW link

Es­ti­mat­ing the con­se­quences of de­vice de­tec­tion tech

Jsevillamol8 Jul 2018 18:25 UTC
24 points
4 comments7 min readLW link

Some Thoughts on Sin­gu­lar­ity Strategies

Wei_Dai13 Jul 2011 2:41 UTC
37 points
29 comments3 min readLW link

The hu­man problem

PhilGoetz1 Apr 2010 19:41 UTC
35 points
8 comments4 min readLW link

Evolu­tion “failure mode”: chickens

Yuxi_Liu26 Apr 2019 11:42 UTC
21 points
9 comments4 min readLW link

Wealth from Self-Repli­cat­ing Robots

Algernoq15 Jul 2014 4:42 UTC
4 points
27 comments3 min readLW link

Cut­ting edge technology

Elo31 Oct 2017 6:00 UTC
10 points
7 comments2 min readLW link

Thoughts on min­i­miz­ing de­signer baby drama

John_Maxwell12 May 2015 11:22 UTC
27 points
195 comments2 min readLW link

[Speech] Wor­lds That Never Were

mingyuan12 Jan 2019 19:53 UTC
23 points
0 comments3 min readLW link

What could be done with RNA and DNA se­quenc­ing that’s 1000x cheaper than it’s now?

ChristianKl26 Jun 2018 12:24 UTC
16 points
7 comments1 min readLW link

Touch­ing the Old

Eliezer Yudkowsky20 Jul 2008 9:19 UTC
15 points
32 comments1 min readLW link

As­cended Econ­omy?

Scott Alexander30 May 2016 21:06 UTC
6 points
0 comments9 min readLW link

To­tal Nano Domination

Eliezer Yudkowsky27 Nov 2008 9:54 UTC
20 points
23 comments10 min readLW link

Per­mit­ted Pos­si­bil­ities, & Locality

Eliezer Yudkowsky3 Dec 2008 21:20 UTC
20 points
22 comments12 min readLW link

The Thing That I Protect

Eliezer Yudkowsky7 Feb 2009 19:18 UTC
25 points
24 comments5 min readLW link

Out­line of pos­si­ble Sin­gu­lar­ity sce­nar­ios (that are not com­pletely dis­as­trous)

Wei_Dai6 Jul 2011 21:17 UTC
38 points
40 comments2 min readLW link

What does the world look like, the day be­fore FAI efforts suc­ceed?

[deleted]16 Nov 2012 20:56 UTC
36 points
64 comments6 min readLW link

Cas­cio in The At­lantic, more on cog­ni­tive en­hance­ment as ex­is­ten­tial risk mitigation

Roko18 Jun 2009 15:09 UTC
23 points
92 comments3 min readLW link

Apoca­lypse, corrupted

Stuart_Armstrong26 Jun 2019 13:46 UTC
20 points
13 comments2 min readLW link

Bio­con­ser­va­tive and bio­mod­er­ate sin­gu­lar­i­tar­ian positions

Roko2 Jun 2009 13:19 UTC
13 points
53 comments3 min readLW link

Wikipe­dia ar­ti­cles from the future

snarles29 Oct 2014 12:49 UTC
30 points
86 comments1 min readLW link

Why Re­cent Protein Fold­ing Ad­vance­ments Should Change Your Per­sonal Health Strategy

lisperati3 Dec 2020 2:39 UTC
11 points
0 comments3 min readLW link

[Question] Pre-Hind­sight Prompt: Why did 2021 NOT bring a re­turn to nor­malcy?

mike_hawke6 Dec 2020 17:35 UTC
22 points
13 comments1 min readLW link

Can an econ­omy keep on grow­ing?

invertedpassion16 Mar 2021 9:55 UTC
0 points
12 comments6 min readLW link

The Price Of Space Is Friendship

sxae24 Mar 2021 11:27 UTC
14 points
19 comments3 min readLW link

Utopic Nightmares

Jozdien14 May 2021 21:24 UTC
10 points
20 comments5 min readLW link

Books Re­view: “Sapi­ens”, “Homo Deus” and “21 Les­sons For The 21st Cen­tury”, by Yu­val Noah Harari

Luca Parodi13 Oct 2021 16:21 UTC
14 points
2 comments16 min readLW link
No comments.