RSS

Up­dated Beliefs (ex­am­ples thereof)

TagLast edit: 17 Aug 2023 18:38 UTC by mike_hawke

Updated Beliefs is a report of general beliefs or perspectives that one has substantially changed their mind about. A post on this may share what one used to think, what the new views are, and what caused the change. Sharing such accounts publicly is prosocial and allows others to learn from one’s experience too.

This tag is specifically for changes in general beliefs about the world – what you believed before, what you believe now, and causes of the change. If a post focuses reporting actions and outcomes together with an evaluation of the choices/​thinking patterns used, then it is a good fit for Postmortems & Retrospectives. Central examples of Updated Beliefs posts are “‘Other people are wrong’ vs ‘I am right’” and “Six Economics Misconceptions”; in contrast, a central example of a Postmortems & Retrospectives post is “Arbital Postmortem”.

Six eco­nomics mis­con­cep­tions of mine which I’ve re­solved over the last few years

Buck13 Jul 2020 3:01 UTC
193 points
59 comments9 min readLW link

“Other peo­ple are wrong” vs “I am right”

Buck22 Feb 2019 20:01 UTC
243 points
20 comments9 min readLW link2 reviews

Where I’ve Changed My Mind on My Ap­proach to Spec­u­la­tive Causes

Peter Wildeford16 Aug 2013 7:09 UTC
59 points
51 comments4 min readLW link

Up­dat­ing my AI timelines

Matthew Barnett5 Dec 2022 20:46 UTC
143 points
50 comments2 min readLW link

Fibromyal­gia, Pain & De­pres­sion. How much is due to phys­i­cal mis­al­ign­ment?

leggi29 Oct 2019 14:58 UTC
7 points
4 comments18 min readLW link

Three ways CFAR has changed my view of rationality

Julia_Galef10 Sep 2013 18:24 UTC
172 points
59 comments5 min readLW link

Have you changed your mind lately? On what?

Emile4 Jun 2012 19:54 UTC
39 points
106 comments1 min readLW link

Why I no longer iden­tify as transhumanist

Kaj_Sotala3 Feb 2024 12:00 UTC
58 points
27 comments3 min readLW link
(kajsotala.fi)

Oops on Com­mod­ity Prices

sarahconstantin10 Jun 2018 15:40 UTC
148 points
8 comments2 min readLW link
(srconstantin.wordpress.com)

Up­dates Thread

Adam Zerner9 Sep 2020 4:34 UTC
56 points
41 comments1 min readLW link

Self-driv­ing car bets

paulfchristiano29 Jul 2023 18:10 UTC
229 points
41 comments5 min readLW link
(sideways-view.com)

Link: Re-read­ing Kah­ne­man’s Think­ing, Fast and Slow

toomanymetas4 Jul 2016 6:32 UTC
26 points
9 comments1 min readLW link

Kelly *is* (just) about log­a­r­ith­mic utility

abramdemski1 Mar 2021 20:02 UTC
97 points
26 comments12 min readLW link1 review

List of re­solved con­fu­sions about IDA

Wei Dai30 Sep 2019 20:03 UTC
94 points
18 comments3 min readLW link

Book Re­view: De­sign Prin­ci­ples of Biolog­i­cal Circuits

johnswentworth5 Nov 2019 6:49 UTC
206 points
24 comments12 min readLW link1 review

Talk­ing Snakes: A Cau­tion­ary Tale

Scott Alexander13 Mar 2009 1:41 UTC
184 points
232 comments3 min readLW link

[Question] Willing to share some words that changed your be­liefs/​be­hav­ior?

[DEACTIVATED] Duncan Sabien23 Mar 2019 2:08 UTC
28 points
4 comments1 min readLW link

My Bayesian Enlightenment

Eliezer Yudkowsky5 Oct 2008 16:45 UTC
67 points
65 comments7 min readLW link

Musk, Star­link, and Crimea

NicholasKross23 Sep 2023 2:35 UTC
−12 points
0 comments5 min readLW link

[Question] If my pre­vi­ous re­search is wrong, what are my op­tions ?

BB67 Apr 2021 16:44 UTC
50 points
9 comments1 min readLW link

How feel­ing more se­cure feels differ­ent than I expected

Kaj_Sotala17 Sep 2021 9:20 UTC
77 points
15 comments3 min readLW link
(kajsotala.fi)

Ta­boo “Out­side View”

Daniel Kokotajlo17 Jun 2021 9:36 UTC
348 points
33 comments8 min readLW link3 reviews

An Up­date on Academia vs. In­dus­try (one year into my fac­ulty job)

David Scott Krueger (formerly: capybaralet)3 Sep 2022 20:43 UTC
121 points
18 comments4 min readLW link

Alex Ir­pan: “My AI Timelines Have Sped Up”

Vaniver19 Aug 2020 16:23 UTC
43 points
20 comments1 min readLW link
(www.alexirpan.com)

Mis­takes repository

Dorikka9 Sep 2013 3:32 UTC
38 points
197 comments1 min readLW link

Why could you be op­ti­mistic that the Sin­gu­lar­ity is Near?

gwern14 Jul 2012 23:33 UTC
34 points
37 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] What are some ar­ti­cles that up­dated your be­liefs a lot on an im­por­tant topic?

Mati_Roy11 Mar 2020 22:34 UTC
34 points
3 comments1 min readLW link

Ex­treme up­dat­ing: The devil is in the miss­ing details

PhilGoetz25 Mar 2009 17:55 UTC
7 points
17 comments2 min readLW link

[Question] What did you learn from leaked doc­u­ments?

wassname2 Sep 2023 1:28 UTC
8 points
7 comments1 min readLW link

De­fund­ing My Mistake

ymeskhout4 Sep 2023 14:43 UTC
157 points
38 comments6 min readLW link

I Changed My Mind To­day—Canned Laughter

pre15 Apr 2009 23:59 UTC
15 points
9 comments3 min readLW link

Dear Self; We Need To Talk About So­cial Media

Elizabeth7 Dec 2021 0:40 UTC
155 points
19 comments10 min readLW link1 review
(acesounderglass.com)

At 87, Pearl is still able to change his mind

rotatingpaguro18 Oct 2023 4:46 UTC
135 points
14 comments5 min readLW link

Tech­nolog­i­cal stag­na­tion: Why I came around

jasoncrawford23 Jan 2021 22:05 UTC
191 points
79 comments8 min readLW link1 review
(rootsofprogress.org)

Leaky Del­e­ga­tion: You are not a Commodity

Darmani25 Jan 2021 2:04 UTC
296 points
34 comments15 min readLW link1 review

Change A View: An in­ter­est­ing on­line community

habryka30 Apr 2019 18:34 UTC
50 points
6 comments1 min readLW link
(changeaview.com)

A case for ca­pa­bil­ities work on AI as net pos­i­tive

Noosphere8927 Feb 2023 21:12 UTC
10 points
37 comments1 min readLW link

What I’ve learned from Less Wrong

Louie20 Nov 2010 12:47 UTC
111 points
235 comments3 min readLW link

List a few posts in Main and/​or Dis­cus­sion which ac­tu­ally made you change your mind

shminux13 Jun 2014 2:42 UTC
24 points
35 comments1 min readLW link

Posts I re­pent of

Will_Newsome20 Mar 2012 5:29 UTC
25 points
19 comments1 min readLW link

What fact that you know is true but most peo­ple aren’t ready to ac­cept it?

lorepieri3 Feb 2023 0:06 UTC
47 points
209 comments1 min readLW link

What false be­liefs have you held and why were you wrong?

Punoxysm16 Oct 2014 17:58 UTC
43 points
368 comments1 min readLW link

The Im­por­tance of Judg­ing: A Reflec­tion on Ra­tional Thought

CrimsonChin20 Jun 2023 22:49 UTC
2 points
0 comments4 min readLW link

Types of Con­fu­sion Experiences

Hazard11 Mar 2018 14:32 UTC
13 points
0 comments2 min readLW link

Men­tal Ill­ness Is Not Ev­i­dence Against Abuse Allegations

sarahconstantin13 May 2018 19:50 UTC
11 points
43 comments1 min readLW link

Knox and Sol­lecito freed

komponisto3 Oct 2011 20:24 UTC
39 points
114 comments1 min readLW link
No comments.