Hard­ware is already ready for the sin­gu­lar­ity. Al­gorithm knowl­edge is the only bar­rier.

Andrew VlahosMar 30, 2021, 10:48 PM
17 points
3 comments3 min readLW link

Op­ti­miza­tion, spec­u­la­tions on the X and only X prob­lem.

Donald HobsonMar 30, 2021, 9:38 PM
10 points
5 comments3 min readLW link

A com­mand-line gram­mar of graphics

philhMar 30, 2021, 8:30 PM
21 points
10 comments3 min readLW link
(reasonableapproximation.net)

[Question] How many micro­morts do you get per UV-in­dex-hour?

David Scott Krueger (formerly: capybaralet)Mar 30, 2021, 5:23 PM
20 points
9 comments1 min readLW link

Many meth­ods of causal in­fer­ence try to iden­tify a “safe” sub­set of variation

tailcalledMar 30, 2021, 2:36 PM
13 points
6 comments9 min readLW link

Ra­tion­al­ism be­fore the Sequences

Eric RaymondMar 30, 2021, 2:04 PM
597 points
83 comments11 min readLW link2 reviews

[Question] TAI?

Logan ZoellnerMar 30, 2021, 12:41 PM
10 points
8 comments1 min readLW link

In­fo­haz­ard Dis­cus­sion with An­ders Sandberg

Linda LinseforsMar 30, 2021, 10:12 AM
18 points
0 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] How do we pre­pare for fi­nal crunch time?

Eli TyreMar 30, 2021, 5:47 AM
118 points
30 comments8 min readLW link1 review

Lo­gan Strohl on ex­er­cise norms

Rob BensingerMar 30, 2021, 4:28 AM
64 points
30 comments3 min readLW link

Ju­lia Galef and Matt Ygle­sias on bioethics and “ethics ex­per­tise”

Rob BensingerMar 30, 2021, 3:06 AM
45 points
10 comments4 min readLW link

Pro­gres­sive High­light­ing: Pick­ing What To Make Into Flashcards

DirectedEvolutionMar 29, 2021, 10:57 PM
51 points
4 comments3 min readLW link

Some Com­plaint-Ac­tion Gaps

mike_hawkeMar 29, 2021, 9:15 PM
40 points
3 comments2 min readLW link

Sys­tem­atiz­ing Epistemics: Prin­ci­ples for Re­solv­ing Forecasts

DavidmanheimMar 29, 2021, 8:46 PM
33 points
8 comments11 min readLW link

Bureau­cracy is a world of magic

dominicqMar 29, 2021, 12:41 PM
73 points
32 comments3 min readLW link

The im­por­tance of how you weigh it

Joe CarlsmithMar 29, 2021, 4:59 AM
35 points
1 comment12 min readLW link

Agree­ing to Disagree: to­wards a bet­ter un­der­stand­ing of agreeableness

Aaron BergmanMar 29, 2021, 3:14 AM
11 points
1 comment8 min readLW link
(aaronbergman.substack.com)

Sce­nar­ios and Warn­ing Signs for Ajeya’s Ag­gres­sive, Con­ser­va­tive, and Best Guess AI Timelines

Kevin LiuMar 29, 2021, 1:38 AM
25 points
1 comment9 min readLW link
(kliu.io)

Notes on effec­tive-al­tru­ism-re­lated re­search, writ­ing, test­ing fit, learn­ing, and the EA Forum

MichaelAMar 28, 2021, 11:43 PM
14 points
0 comments4 min readLW link

Trans­parency Trichotomy

Mark XuMar 28, 2021, 8:26 PM
25 points
2 comments7 min readLW link

Im­prove­ment for pun­dit pre­dic­tion comparisons

orthonormalMar 28, 2021, 6:50 PM
16 points
4 comments1 min readLW link

The Point of Easy Progress

silentbobMar 28, 2021, 4:38 PM
59 points
6 comments8 min readLW link

Re­view of “Fun with +12 OOMs of Com­pute”

Mar 28, 2021, 2:55 PM
65 points
21 comments8 min readLW link1 review

Buy­ing a house and mak­ing friends in un­ex­pected places

dominicqMar 28, 2021, 2:35 PM
28 points
4 comments1 min readLW link

The (not so) para­dox­i­cal asym­me­try be­tween po­si­tion and momentum

Erik JennerMar 28, 2021, 1:31 PM
21 points
10 comments4 min readLW link

In­framea­sures and Do­main Theory

DiffractorMar 28, 2021, 9:19 AM
28 points
3 comments33 min readLW link

In­fra-Do­main proofs 1

DiffractorMar 28, 2021, 9:16 AM
13 points
0 comments23 min readLW link

In­fra-Do­main Proofs 2

DiffractorMar 28, 2021, 9:15 AM
14 points
0 comments21 min readLW link

Vio­lat­ing the EMH—Pre­dic­tion Markets

sapphireMar 28, 2021, 4:05 AM
40 points
9 comments4 min readLW link

Core Path­ways of Aging

johnswentworthMar 28, 2021, 12:31 AM
275 points
129 comments22 min readLW link1 review

Nash Equil­ibria in Liti­ga­tion Set­tle­ment Ne­go­ti­a­tion in the U.S.A.

supposedlyfunMar 27, 2021, 11:26 PM
10 points
0 comments2 min readLW link

Mak­ing a Cheer­ful Bid

DirectedEvolutionMar 27, 2021, 7:37 PM
10 points
9 comments2 min readLW link

Think like an ed­u­ca­tor about code quality

Adam ZernerMar 27, 2021, 5:43 AM
44 points
8 comments9 min readLW link

[Question] Cal­ibrat­ing Ad­e­quate Food Consumption

Gunnar_ZarnckeMar 27, 2021, 12:00 AM
5 points
6 comments1 min readLW link

Guild of Ser­vants Bac­cha­na­lia (March 27, 2021)

moridinamaelMar 26, 2021, 4:35 PM
12 points
1 comment1 min readLW link

Co­her­ence ar­gu­ments im­ply a force for goal-di­rected behavior

KatjaGraceMar 26, 2021, 4:10 PM
91 points
25 comments11 min readLW link1 review
(aiimpacts.org)

Where did the idea of x-risk come from?

fowlertmMar 26, 2021, 3:39 PM
−8 points
2 comments1 min readLW link

Learn and prac­tice us­ing Han­lon’s Ra­zor with ex­er­cises.

icompetetowinMar 26, 2021, 2:20 PM
−7 points
2 commentsLW link
(newsletter.decisionschool.org)

CFAR rEUnion (Septem­ber 24-27, 2021)

Jiří NádvorníkMar 26, 2021, 10:51 AM
33 points
0 comments1 min readLW link

Com­mu­ni­ca­tion Re­quires Com­mon In­ter­ests or Differ­en­tial Sig­nal Costs

Zack_M_DavisMar 26, 2021, 6:41 AM
40 points
13 comments3 min readLW link1 review

Toward A Bayesian The­ory Of Willpower

Scott AlexanderMar 26, 2021, 2:33 AM
104 points
28 comments6 min readLW link

Some things I’ve learned in college

Aaron BergmanMar 25, 2021, 9:30 PM
22 points
1 comment7 min readLW link
(aaronbergman.substack.com)

Use your ra­tio­nal­ity or it’s useless

XxXMar 25, 2021, 9:23 PM
4 points
1 comment1 min readLW link

Money Buys Happiness

XxXMar 25, 2021, 9:02 PM
0 points
2 comments1 min readLW link

Call to the tech­ni­cal sup­port of reality

bayesyatinaMar 25, 2021, 8:05 PM
8 points
2 comments1 min readLW link

The dan­ger of er­ror descriptions

gistyaMar 25, 2021, 8:05 PM
−1 points
2 comments3 min readLW link

Austin Vir­tual Meetup 3/​27: Cal­ibra­tion prac­tice with Wits and Wagers

SilasBartaMar 25, 2021, 5:53 PM
9 points
0 comments1 min readLW link

On lan­guage mod­el­ing and fu­ture ab­stract rea­son­ing research

alexlyzhovMar 25, 2021, 5:43 PM
3 points
1 comment1 min readLW link
(docs.google.com)

[Question] Is a Self-Iter­at­ing AGI Vuln­er­a­ble to Thomp­son-style Tro­jans?

sxaeMar 25, 2021, 2:46 PM
15 points
6 comments3 min readLW link

Covid 3/​25: Own Goals

ZviMar 25, 2021, 1:50 PM
80 points
17 comments19 min readLW link
(thezvi.wordpress.com)