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What 2026 looks like

Daniel Kokotajlo6 Aug 2021 16:14 UTC

473 points

150 comments16 min readLW link 1 review

How To Write Quickly While Maintaining Epistemic Rigor

johnswentworth28 Aug 2021 17:52 UTC

428 points

38 comments4 min readLW link 3 reviews

Gravity Turn

alkjash16 Aug 2021 19:20 UTC

218 points

21 comments5 min readLW link 1 review

(radimentary.wordpress.com)

Can you control the past?

Joe Carlsmith27 Aug 2021 19:39 UTC

170 points

90 comments47 min readLW link 1 review

Outline of Galef’s “Scout Mindset”

Rob Bensinger10 Aug 2021 0:16 UTC

160 points

17 comments14 min readLW link

Curing insanity with malaria

Swimmer963 (Miranda Dixon-Luinenburg) 4 Aug 2021 2:28 UTC

159 points

8 comments4 min readLW link 1 review

The Death of Behavioral Economics

habryka22 Aug 2021 22:39 UTC

153 points

24 comments1 min readLW link 2 reviews

(www.thebehavioralscientist.com)

Welcome & FAQ!

Ruby and habryka

24 Aug 2021 20:14 UTC

114 points

11 comments6 min readLW link

Eight Hundred Slightly Poisoned Word Games

Scott Alexander9 Aug 2021 20:17 UTC

109 points

5 comments3 min readLW link

Against “blankfaces”

philh8 Aug 2021 23:00 UTC

102 points

12 comments4 min readLW link

(reasonableapproximation.net)

Coase’s “Nature of the Firm” on Polyamory

1a3orn13 Aug 2021 13:15 UTC

101 points

34 comments1 min readLW link 2 reviews

A short introduction to machine learning

Richard_Ngo30 Aug 2021 14:31 UTC

94 points

6 comments8 min readLW link

Modelling Transformative AI Risks (MTAIR) Project: Introduction

Davidmanheim and Aryeh Englander

16 Aug 2021 7:12 UTC

91 points

0 comments9 min readLW link

Automating Auditing: An ambitious concrete technical research proposal

evhub11 Aug 2021 20:32 UTC

88 points

13 comments14 min readLW link 1 review

How DeepMind’s Generally Capable Agents Were Trained

1a3orn20 Aug 2021 18:52 UTC

87 points

6 comments19 min readLW link

The Future: Where are the Colors and the Sports?

rogersbacon8 Aug 2021 18:55 UTC

82 points

37 comments8 min readLW link

A Response to A Contamination Theory of the Obesity Epidemic

skot52312 Aug 2021 4:23 UTC

82 points

36 comments10 min readLW link

(goodtosell.substack.com)

AI Safety Papers: An App for the TAI Safety Database

ozziegooen21 Aug 2021 2:02 UTC

81 points

13 comments2 min readLW link

Covid 8/12: The Worst Is Over

Zvi12 Aug 2021 13:30 UTC

79 points

66 comments26 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Training My Friend to Cook

lsusr29 Aug 2021 5:54 UTC

67 points

33 comments3 min readLW link

Staying Grounded

johnswentworth14 Aug 2021 17:43 UTC

66 points

15 comments4 min readLW link

The two-headed bacterium

Malmesbury10 Aug 2021 15:28 UTC

66 points

4 comments7 min readLW link

How to turn money into AI safety?

Charlie Steiner25 Aug 2021 10:49 UTC

66 points

26 comments8 min readLW link

Analysis of World Records in Speedrunning [LINKPOST]

Jsevillamol4 Aug 2021 15:26 UTC

65 points

16 comments1 min readLW link

We need a new philosophy of progress

jasoncrawford23 Aug 2021 21:31 UTC

65 points

44 comments2 min readLW link

(rootsofprogress.org)

Covid 8/5: Much Ado About Nothing

Zvi5 Aug 2021 14:00 UTC

63 points

34 comments31 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

COVID/Delta advice I’m currently giving to friends

Rob Bensinger24 Aug 2021 3:46 UTC

61 points

31 comments8 min readLW link

Garrabrant and Shah on human modeling in AGI

Rob Bensinger4 Aug 2021 4:35 UTC

60 points

10 comments47 min readLW link

Humanity is Winning the Fight Against Infectious Disease

lsusr30 Aug 2021 1:31 UTC

60 points

8 comments2 min readLW link

When Programmers Don’t Understand Code, Don’t Blame The User

Adam Zerner18 Aug 2021 19:59 UTC

60 points

13 comments3 min readLW link

AI Risk for Epistemic Minimalists

Alex Flint22 Aug 2021 15:39 UTC

58 points

12 comments13 min readLW link 1 review

Beware of small world puzzles

mukashi30 Aug 2021 6:00 UTC

58 points

6 comments4 min readLW link

LCDT, A Myopic Decision Theory

adamShimi and evhub

3 Aug 2021 22:41 UTC

57 points

50 comments15 min readLW link

Analogies and General Priors on Intelligence

riceissa and Sammy Martin

20 Aug 2021 21:03 UTC

57 points

12 comments14 min readLW link

[Question] Framing Practicum: Stable Equilibrium

johnswentworth9 Aug 2021 17:28 UTC

57 points

41 comments4 min readLW link

Provide feedback on Open Philanthropy’s AI alignment RFP

abergal and Nick_Beckstead

20 Aug 2021 19:52 UTC

56 points

6 comments1 min readLW link

Covid 8/26: Full Vaccine Approval

Zvi26 Aug 2021 13:00 UTC

56 points

46 comments15 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Perhaps vastly more people should be on FDA-approved weight loss medication

25Hour14 Aug 2021 17:22 UTC

56 points

30 comments8 min readLW link

Research agenda update

Steven Byrnes6 Aug 2021 19:24 UTC

55 points

40 comments7 min readLW link

Mildly against COVID risk budgets

Optimization Process16 Aug 2021 5:53 UTC

54 points

15 comments5 min readLW link

MIRI/OP exchange about decision theory

Rob Bensinger25 Aug 2021 22:44 UTC

54 points

7 comments10 min readLW link

When Most VNM-Coherent Preference Orderings Have Convergent Instrumental Incentives

TurnTrout9 Aug 2021 17:22 UTC

53 points

4 comments5 min readLW link

The Myth of the Myth of the Lone Genius

rogersbacon2 Aug 2021 20:55 UTC

53 points

24 comments9 min readLW link

Implicature Conflation

abramdemski9 Aug 2021 19:48 UTC

52 points

5 comments7 min readLW link

A Better Time until Sunburn Calculator

Josh Jacobson17 Aug 2021 0:40 UTC

52 points

11 comments2 min readLW link

Covid 8/19: Cracking the Booster

Zvi19 Aug 2021 14:20 UTC

52 points

23 comments21 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

[Question] What fraction of breakthrough COVID cases are attributable to low antibody count?

johnswentworth22 Aug 2021 4:07 UTC

51 points

11 comments1 min readLW link

Research productivity tip: “Solve The Whole Problem Day”

Steven Byrnes27 Aug 2021 13:05 UTC

50 points

5 comments4 min readLW link

The Codex Skeptic FAQ

Michaël Trazzi24 Aug 2021 16:01 UTC

49 points

24 comments2 min readLW link

OpenAI Codex: First Impressions

specbug13 Aug 2021 16:52 UTC

49 points

8 comments4 min readLW link

(sixeleven.in)