Biol­ogy-In­spired AGI Timelines: The Trick That Never Works

Eliezer Yudkowsky1 Dec 2021 22:35 UTC
165 points
142 comments65 min readLW link1 review

Open & Wel­come Thread De­cem­ber 2021

Pattern1 Dec 2021 19:57 UTC
15 points
31 comments1 min readLW link

Viral Mu­ta­tion, Pan­demics and So­cial Response

jmh1 Dec 2021 18:36 UTC
5 points
0 comments2 min readLW link

[Question] Are ex­pla­na­tions that ex­plain more phe­nom­ena always more un­likely than nar­rower ver­sions?

FinalFormal21 Dec 2021 18:34 UTC
3 points
4 comments1 min readLW link

Tak­ing Clones Seriously

Raymond D1 Dec 2021 17:29 UTC
58 points
45 comments2 min readLW link

Hy­pothe­ses about Find­ing Knowl­edge and One-Shot Causal Entanglements

J Bostock1 Dec 2021 17:01 UTC
16 points
4 comments5 min readLW link

The Limits Of Medicine—Part 1 - Small Molecules

George3d61 Dec 2021 15:51 UTC
26 points
1 comment9 min readLW link
(www.epistem.ink)

FDA Votes on Molunpiravir

Zvi1 Dec 2021 15:00 UTC
59 points
3 comments8 min readLW link
(thezvi.wordpress.com)

[Question] How do you write origi­nal ra­tio­nal­ist es­says?

lumenwrites1 Dec 2021 8:08 UTC
24 points
19 comments1 min readLW link

Ex­pe­rience with Cue Covid Testing

jefftk1 Dec 2021 2:50 UTC
19 points
2 comments2 min readLW link
(www.jefftk.com)

The Most /​Im­por­tant/​ Cen­tury? UPDATE: lo­ca­tion change

Thewal1 Dec 2021 1:52 UTC
1 point
0 comments1 min readLW link

In­fra-Bayesian phys­i­cal­ism: proofs part II

Vanessa Kosoy30 Nov 2021 22:27 UTC
9 points
0 comments25 min readLW link

In­fra-Bayesian phys­i­cal­ism: proofs part I

Vanessa Kosoy30 Nov 2021 22:26 UTC
9 points
0 comments21 min readLW link

In­fra-Bayesian phys­i­cal­ism: a for­mal the­ory of nat­u­ral­ized induction

Vanessa Kosoy30 Nov 2021 22:25 UTC
108 points
23 comments41 min readLW link1 review

DC Win­ter Solstice

maia30 Nov 2021 21:29 UTC
11 points
1 comment1 min readLW link

Rely­ing on Fu­ture Creativity

J Bostock30 Nov 2021 20:12 UTC
17 points
0 comments1 min readLW link

Reneg­ing Prosocially

[DEACTIVATED] Duncan Sabien30 Nov 2021 19:01 UTC
172 points
15 comments17 min readLW link1 review

Tears Must Flow

sapphire30 Nov 2021 18:37 UTC
21 points
26 comments1 min readLW link

Ma­chine Agents, Hy­brid Su­per­in­tel­li­gences, and The Loss of Hu­man Con­trol (Chap­ter 1)

Justin Bullock30 Nov 2021 17:35 UTC
4 points
0 comments8 min readLW link

[Question] Look­ing for rea­soned dis­cus­sion on Geert Van­den Boss­che’s ideas? +6 Months on...

megabranflake30 Nov 2021 16:30 UTC
12 points
2 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] How do Bayesi­ans tell what does and doesn’t count as ev­i­dence (which, e.g., hy­pothe­ses may ren­der more or less prob­a­ble if true)? Is it pos­si­ble for some­thing to fuzzily-be ev­i­dence?

LVSN30 Nov 2021 12:52 UTC
2 points
10 comments1 min readLW link

Self-study­ing to de­velop an in­side-view model of AI al­ign­ment; co-studiers wel­come!

Vael Gates30 Nov 2021 9:25 UTC
13 points
0 comments4 min readLW link

My take on higher-or­der game theory

Nisan30 Nov 2021 5:56 UTC
41 points
8 comments5 min readLW link

AI Gover­nance Fun­da­men­tals—Cur­ricu­lum and Application

Mau30 Nov 2021 2:19 UTC
17 points
0 comments1 min readLW link

Seek­ing Truth Too Hard Can Keep You from Winning

Gordon Seidoh Worley30 Nov 2021 2:16 UTC
27 points
8 comments3 min readLW link

Visi­ble Thoughts Pro­ject and Bounty Announcement

So8res30 Nov 2021 0:19 UTC
249 points
104 comments13 min readLW link1 review

Soares, Tal­linn, and Yud­kowsky dis­cuss AGI cognition

29 Nov 2021 19:26 UTC
121 points
39 comments40 min readLW link1 review

[Question] COVID Era: Up­dat­ing On Life Risks

jmh29 Nov 2021 17:27 UTC
6 points
2 comments3 min readLW link

Snoo App Thoughts

jefftk29 Nov 2021 16:40 UTC
11 points
5 comments2 min readLW link
(www.jefftk.com)

Omicron Var­i­ant Post #2

Zvi29 Nov 2021 16:30 UTC
120 points
34 comments14 min readLW link
(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Com­ments on Allan Dafoe on AI Governance

Alex Flint29 Nov 2021 16:16 UTC
13 points
0 comments7 min readLW link

How to mea­sure FLOP/​s for Neu­ral Net­works em­piri­cally?

Marius Hobbhahn29 Nov 2021 15:18 UTC
16 points
5 comments7 min readLW link

Watch­ing My­self Program

matto29 Nov 2021 13:44 UTC
56 points
12 comments2 min readLW link

Ques­tion/​Is­sue with the 5/​10 Problem

acgt29 Nov 2021 10:45 UTC
6 points
3 comments3 min readLW link

Red­wood Re­search is hiring for sev­eral roles

29 Nov 2021 0:16 UTC
44 points
0 comments1 min readLW link

Com­pute Re­search Ques­tions and Met­rics—Trans­for­ma­tive AI and Com­pute [4/​4]

lennart28 Nov 2021 22:49 UTC
7 points
0 comments16 min readLW link

An­throp­ics and the Univer­sal Distribution

Joe Carlsmith28 Nov 2021 20:35 UTC
52 points
9 comments47 min readLW link

The Ra­tion­al­ists of the 1950s (and be­fore) also called them­selves “Ra­tion­al­ists”

Owain_Evans28 Nov 2021 20:17 UTC
187 points
30 comments3 min readLW link1 review

[Question] Is it bet­ter to fix a prob­lem di­rectly, or start again so the prob­lem never hap­pens?

Oluwalase Jotham28 Nov 2021 20:00 UTC
2 points
4 comments1 min readLW link

TTS au­dio of “Ngo and Yud­kowsky on al­ign­ment difficulty”

Quintin Pope28 Nov 2021 18:11 UTC
4 points
3 comments1 min readLW link

The bonds of fam­ily and com­mu­nity: Poverty and cru­elty among Rus­sian peas­ants in the late 19th century

jasoncrawford28 Nov 2021 17:22 UTC
149 points
36 comments15 min readLW link1 review
(rootsofprogress.org)

Solve Cor­rigi­bil­ity Week

Logan Riggs28 Nov 2021 17:00 UTC
39 points
21 comments1 min readLW link

Ap­par­ently win­ning by the bias of your opponents

tailcalled28 Nov 2021 13:20 UTC
22 points
4 comments7 min readLW link

Why Be­d­room Closets?

jefftk28 Nov 2021 3:20 UTC
12 points
9 comments1 min readLW link
(www.jefftk.com)

Frame Control

Aella27 Nov 2021 22:59 UTC
314 points
282 comments23 min readLW link2 reviews

Why Study Physics?

johnswentworth27 Nov 2021 22:30 UTC
70 points
30 comments3 min readLW link

[Linkpost] Be­ing Nor­mal by Brian Caplan

Gunnar_Zarncke27 Nov 2021 22:19 UTC
38 points
5 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] How could a friendly AI deal with hu­mans try­ing to sab­o­tage it? (like how pre­sent day in­ter­net trolls in­tro­duce such prob­lems)

M. Y. Zuo27 Nov 2021 22:07 UTC
7 points
10 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] How com­mon are abio­ge­n­e­sis events?

Dach27 Nov 2021 19:40 UTC
3 points
11 comments1 min readLW link

Sub­mit com­ments on Paxlovid to the FDA (dead­line Nov 29th).

DirectedEvolution27 Nov 2021 18:44 UTC
20 points
1 comment2 min readLW link