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Your Future Self’s Credences Should Be Unpredictable to You

David UdellMar 11, 2022, 11:33 PM

6 points

6 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

8 comments2 min readLW link

Arguments are good for helping people reason about things

AprilSRMar 11, 2022, 11:02 PM

29 points

14 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

8 comments1 min readLW link

Is There a Valley of Bad Civilizational Adequacy?

lbThingrbMar 11, 2022, 7:49 PM

13 points

6 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

1 comment2 min readLW link

Rhythm Stage Setup v4

jefftkMar 11, 2022, 7:40 PM

9 points

1 vote

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

0 comments5 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

Deep Dives: My Advice for Pursuing Work in Research

scasperMar 11, 2022, 5:56 PM

33 points

26 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

2 comments3 min readLW link

If your solution doesn’t work, make it work

Ege ErdilMar 11, 2022, 4:10 PM

17 points

8 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

7 comments5 min readLW link

[Question] Ways to invest your wealth if you believe in a high-variance future?

Alex_AltairMar 11, 2022, 4:07 PM

51 points

27 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

13 comments1 min readLW link

A Longlist of Theories of Impact for Interpretability

Neel NandaMar 11, 2022, 2:55 PM

127 points

73 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

41 comments5 min readLW link 2 reviews

Beyond micromarriages

Richard_NgoMar 11, 2022, 3:40 AM

93 points

52 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

13 comments3 min readLW link

(thinkingcomplete.blogspot.com)

On continuous decision boundaries

eeegnuMar 11, 2022, 3:36 AM

2 points

2 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

2 comments3 min readLW link

Book review: The Dawn of Everything

PeterMcCluskeyMar 11, 2022, 1:56 AM

24 points

10 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

1 comment7 min readLW link

(www.bayesianinvestor.com)

[Question] Are there any impossibility theorems for strong and safe AI?

David JohnstonMar 11, 2022, 1:41 AM

5 points

3 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

3 comments1 min readLW link

Algorithmic Measure of Emergence v2.0

intersticeMar 10, 2022, 8:26 PM

15 points

8 votes

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2 comments4 min readLW link

I left Russia on March 8

avturchinMar 10, 2022, 8:05 PM

127 points

61 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

16 comments1 min readLW link

What’s the chance a smart London resident dies of a Russian nuke in the next month?

DanielFilanMar 10, 2022, 7:20 PM

40 points

19 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

8 comments4 min readLW link

(danielfilan.com)

[Question] What’s the best ratio for Africans to starve compared to Ukrainians not dying in the war?

ChristianKlMar 10, 2022, 6:52 PM

9 points

29 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

28 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] Infohazards, hacking, and Bricking—how to formalize these concepts?

YitzMar 10, 2022, 4:42 PM

6 points

3 votes

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10 comments4 min readLW link

Ukraine Post #2: Options

ZviMar 10, 2022, 4:10 PM

84 points

44 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

55 comments24 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Covid 3/10/22: We Have a Plan

ZviMar 10, 2022, 4:10 PM

37 points

18 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

3 comments12 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Treat Examples as World-Building

adamShimiMar 10, 2022, 3:09 PM

19 points

9 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

0 comments2 min readLW link

[Question] Best LessWrong posts for understanding scientific studies.

Sean McAnenyMar 10, 2022, 1:13 PM

10 points

6 votes

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4 comments1 min readLW link

Donations, The First Year

jennMar 10, 2022, 3:57 AM

21 points

8 votes

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0 comments3 min readLW link

(jenn.site)

Programming note

HoldenKarnofskyMar 9, 2022, 9:20 PM

8 points

2 votes

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0 comments1 min readLW link

(www.cold-takes.com)

The Proof of Doom

johnlawrenceaspdenMar 9, 2022, 7:37 PM

27 points

17 votes

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18 comments3 min readLW link

[Survey] Expectations of a Post-ASI Order

Lone PineMar 9, 2022, 7:17 PM

5 points

3 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

0 comments1 min readLW link

A Rephrasing Of and Footnote To An Embedded Agency Proposal

JoshuaOSHickmanMar 9, 2022, 6:13 PM

5 points

3 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

0 comments5 min readLW link

ELK Sub—Note-taking in internal rollouts

HoagyMar 9, 2022, 5:23 PM

6 points

4 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

0 comments5 min readLW link

Meadow Theory

Duncan Sabien (Inactive)Mar 9, 2022, 5:13 PM

133 points

70 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

16 comments16 min readLW link 1 review

Being Moral is an end goal.

Yair HalberstadtMar 9, 2022, 4:37 PM

10 points

6 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

17 comments1 min readLW link

It Looks Like You’re Trying To Take Over The World

gwernMar 9, 2022, 4:35 PM

410 points

219 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

120 comments1 min readLW link 1 review

(www.gwern.net)

Effects are correlated, policy outcomes are not, and multi-factor explanations are hard

Thomas KehrenbergMar 9, 2022, 3:30 PM

16 points

8 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

2 comments14 min readLW link

(tm.kehrenberg.net)

Ask AI companies about what they are doing for AI safety?

micMar 9, 2022, 3:14 PM

51 points

26 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

0 comments2 min readLW link

[Intro to brain-like-AGI safety] 7. From hardcoded drives to foresighted plans: A worked example

Steven ByrnesMar 9, 2022, 2:28 PM

80 points

30 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

3 comments10 min readLW link

Against Thinking About The Unactionable

George3d6Mar 9, 2022, 11:55 AM

20 points

17 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

2 comments8 min readLW link

(www.epistem.ink)

[Question] Will Russia default, and if so, will it lead to financial crisis?

sanxiynMar 9, 2022, 6:34 AM

11 points

10 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

6 comments1 min readLW link

On presenting the case for AI risk

Aryeh EnglanderMar 9, 2022, 1:41 AM

54 points

25 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

17 comments4 min readLW link

Deriving Our World From Small Datasets

CapybasiliskMar 9, 2022, 12:34 AM

5 points

2 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

4 comments2 min readLW link

ELK prize results

paulfchristiano and Mark Xu

Mar 9, 2022, 12:01 AM

138 points

56 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

50 comments21 min readLW link

We’re already in AI takeoff

ValentineMar 8, 2022, 11:09 PM

146 points

178 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

118 comments7 min readLW link

Value extrapolation, concept extrapolation, model splintering

Stuart_ArmstrongMar 8, 2022, 10:50 PM

16 points

5 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

1 comment2 min readLW link

ACX meetup #5

sallatikMar 8, 2022, 10:36 PM

1 point

1 vote

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

0 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] Prediction Market News/Ticker?

RaelifinMar 8, 2022, 9:44 PM

13 points

6 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

3 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] Non-coercive motivation for alignment research?

Jonathan MoregårdMar 8, 2022, 8:50 PM

4 points

2 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

0 comments1 min readLW link

PSA for academics in Ukraine (or anywhere else) who want to come to the United Kingdom

gabrielreccMar 8, 2022, 8:00 PM

3 points

1 vote

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

0 comments1 min readLW link

Preparing for Power Outages in Disasters

tragedyofthecommentsMar 8, 2022, 5:02 PM

20 points

7 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

6 comments4 min readLW link

Bugout Bags for Disasters

tragedyofthecommentsMar 8, 2022, 5:02 PM

5 points

2 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

1 comment4 min readLW link

Food Preparedness for Disasters

tragedyofthecommentsMar 8, 2022, 5:02 PM

5 points

3 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

3 comments4 min readLW link

Water Preparedness for Disasters

tragedyofthecommentsMar 8, 2022, 5:02 PM

6 points

4 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

1 comment3 min readLW link

Nuclear Preparedness Guide

tragedyofthecommentsMar 8, 2022, 5:01 PM

38 points

19 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

7 comments11 min readLW link

[Question] Is there a good solution for documents that need to be signed with a ballpoint pen under suicide watch?

ChristianKlMar 8, 2022, 3:58 PM

11 points

7 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

4 comments1 min readLW link

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