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Your Future Self’s Credences Should Be Unpredictable to You

David Udell11 Mar 2022 23:33 UTC

6 points

8 comments2 min readLW link

Arguments are good for helping people reason about things

AprilSR11 Mar 2022 23:02 UTC

29 points

8 comments1 min readLW link

Is There a Valley of Bad Civilizational Adequacy?

lbThingrb11 Mar 2022 19:49 UTC

13 points

1 comment2 min readLW link

Rhythm Stage Setup v4

jefftk11 Mar 2022 19:40 UTC

9 points

0 comments5 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

Deep Dives: My Advice for Pursuing Work in Research

scasper11 Mar 2022 17:56 UTC

33 points

2 comments3 min readLW link

If your solution doesn’t work, make it work

Ege Erdil11 Mar 2022 16:10 UTC

17 points

7 comments5 min readLW link

[Question] Ways to invest your wealth if you believe in a high-variance future?

Alex_Altair11 Mar 2022 16:07 UTC

51 points

13 comments1 min readLW link

A Longlist of Theories of Impact for Interpretability

Neel Nanda11 Mar 2022 14:55 UTC

127 points

41 comments5 min readLW link 2 reviews

Beyond micromarriages

Richard_Ngo11 Mar 2022 3:40 UTC

93 points

13 comments3 min readLW link

(thinkingcomplete.blogspot.com)

On continuous decision boundaries

eeegnu11 Mar 2022 3:36 UTC

2 points

2 comments3 min readLW link

Book review: The Dawn of Everything

PeterMcCluskey11 Mar 2022 1:56 UTC

24 points

1 comment7 min readLW link

(www.bayesianinvestor.com)

[Question] Are there any impossibility theorems for strong and safe AI?

David Johnston11 Mar 2022 1:41 UTC

5 points

3 comments1 min readLW link

Algorithmic Measure of Emergence v2.0

interstice10 Mar 2022 20:26 UTC

15 points

2 comments4 min readLW link

I left Russia on March 8

avturchin10 Mar 2022 20:05 UTC

127 points

16 comments1 min readLW link

What’s the chance a smart London resident dies of a Russian nuke in the next month?

DanielFilan10 Mar 2022 19:20 UTC

40 points

8 comments4 min readLW link

(danielfilan.com)

[Question] What’s the best ratio for Africans to starve compared to Ukrainians not dying in the war?

ChristianKl10 Mar 2022 18:52 UTC

9 points

28 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] Infohazards, hacking, and Bricking—how to formalize these concepts?

Yitz10 Mar 2022 16:42 UTC

6 points

10 comments4 min readLW link

Ukraine Post #2: Options

Zvi10 Mar 2022 16:10 UTC

84 points

55 comments24 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Covid 3/10/22: We Have a Plan

Zvi10 Mar 2022 16:10 UTC

37 points

3 comments12 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Treat Examples as World-Building

adamShimi10 Mar 2022 15:09 UTC

19 points

0 comments2 min readLW link

[Question] Best LessWrong posts for understanding scientific studies.

Sean McAneny10 Mar 2022 13:13 UTC

10 points

4 comments1 min readLW link

Donations, The First Year

jenn10 Mar 2022 3:57 UTC

21 points

0 comments3 min readLW link

(jenn.site)

Programming note

HoldenKarnofsky9 Mar 2022 21:20 UTC

8 points

0 comments1 min readLW link

(www.cold-takes.com)

The Proof of Doom

johnlawrenceaspden9 Mar 2022 19:37 UTC

27 points

18 comments3 min readLW link

[Survey] Expectations of a Post-ASI Order

Lone Pine9 Mar 2022 19:17 UTC

5 points

0 comments1 min readLW link

A Rephrasing Of and Footnote To An Embedded Agency Proposal

JoshuaOSHickman9 Mar 2022 18:13 UTC

5 points

0 comments5 min readLW link

ELK Sub—Note-taking in internal rollouts

Hoagy9 Mar 2022 17:23 UTC

6 points

0 comments5 min readLW link

Meadow Theory

Duncan Sabien (Inactive)9 Mar 2022 17:13 UTC

134 points

16 comments16 min readLW link 1 review

Being Moral is an end goal.

Yair Halberstadt9 Mar 2022 16:37 UTC

10 points

17 comments1 min readLW link

It Looks Like You’re Trying To Take Over The World

gwern9 Mar 2022 16:35 UTC

410 points

120 comments1 min readLW link 1 review

(www.gwern.net)

Effects are correlated, policy outcomes are not, and multi-factor explanations are hard

Thomas Kehrenberg9 Mar 2022 15:30 UTC

16 points

2 comments14 min readLW link

(tm.kehrenberg.net)

Ask AI companies about what they are doing for AI safety?

mic9 Mar 2022 15:14 UTC

51 points

0 comments2 min readLW link

[Intro to brain-like-AGI safety] 7. From hardcoded drives to foresighted plans: A worked example

Steven Byrnes9 Mar 2022 14:28 UTC

80 points

3 comments10 min readLW link

Against Thinking About The Unactionable

George3d69 Mar 2022 11:55 UTC

20 points

2 comments8 min readLW link

(www.epistem.ink)

[Question] Will Russia default, and if so, will it lead to financial crisis?

sanxiyn9 Mar 2022 6:34 UTC

11 points

6 comments1 min readLW link

On presenting the case for AI risk

Aryeh Englander9 Mar 2022 1:41 UTC

54 points

17 comments4 min readLW link

Deriving Our World From Small Datasets

Capybasilisk9 Mar 2022 0:34 UTC

5 points

4 comments2 min readLW link

ELK prize results

paulfchristiano and Mark Xu

9 Mar 2022 0:01 UTC

138 points

50 comments21 min readLW link

We’re already in AI takeoff

Valentine8 Mar 2022 23:09 UTC

146 points

118 comments7 min readLW link

Value extrapolation, concept extrapolation, model splintering

Stuart_Armstrong8 Mar 2022 22:50 UTC

16 points

1 comment2 min readLW link

ACX meetup #5

sallatik8 Mar 2022 22:36 UTC

1 point

0 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] Prediction Market News/Ticker?

Raelifin8 Mar 2022 21:44 UTC

13 points

3 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] Non-coercive motivation for alignment research?

Jonathan Moregård8 Mar 2022 20:50 UTC

4 points

0 comments1 min readLW link

PSA for academics in Ukraine (or anywhere else) who want to come to the United Kingdom

gabrielrecc8 Mar 2022 20:00 UTC

3 points

0 comments1 min readLW link

Preparing for Power Outages in Disasters

tragedyofthecomments8 Mar 2022 17:02 UTC

20 points

6 comments4 min readLW link

Bugout Bags for Disasters

tragedyofthecomments8 Mar 2022 17:02 UTC

5 points

1 comment4 min readLW link

Food Preparedness for Disasters

tragedyofthecomments8 Mar 2022 17:02 UTC

5 points

3 comments4 min readLW link

Water Preparedness for Disasters

tragedyofthecomments8 Mar 2022 17:02 UTC

6 points

1 comment3 min readLW link

Nuclear Preparedness Guide

tragedyofthecomments8 Mar 2022 17:01 UTC

38 points

7 comments11 min readLW link

[Question] Is there a good solution for documents that need to be signed with a ballpoint pen under suicide watch?

ChristianKl8 Mar 2022 15:58 UTC

11 points

4 comments1 min readLW link