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On Context And People

Jan19 Mar 2022 23:38 UTC

7 points

0 comments10 min readLW link

(universalprior.substack.com)

[Question] When will kids stop wearing masks at school?

Daniel Kokotajlo19 Mar 2022 22:13 UTC

15 points

6 comments1 min readLW link

Exploring Finite Factored Sets with some toy examples

Thomas Kehrenberg19 Mar 2022 22:08 UTC

49 points

1 comment9 min readLW link

(tm.kehrenberg.net)

Rationalists Should Learn Lock Picking

brook19 Mar 2022 18:00 UTC

21 points

10 comments2 min readLW link

Wargaming AGI Development

ryan_b19 Mar 2022 17:59 UTC

37 points

10 comments5 min readLW link

[Question] Can you be Not Even Wrong in AI Alignment?

throwaway823819 Mar 2022 17:41 UTC

22 points

7 comments8 min readLW link

Goal-directedness: imperfect reasoning, limited knowledge and inaccurate beliefs

Morgan_Rogers19 Mar 2022 17:28 UTC

4 points

1 comment21 min readLW link

[Question] Thoughts on the SPIES Forecasting Method?

Fer32dwt34r3dfsz19 Mar 2022 15:22 UTC

19 points

4 comments2 min readLW link

Retrospective: Context and Communication

The Guild of the Rose19 Mar 2022 14:45 UTC

19 points

0 comments1 min readLW link

(guildoftherose.org)

Notes on Social Responsibility

David Gross19 Mar 2022 14:44 UTC

17 points

4 comments19 min readLW link

[Linkpost] 7 Swedish Words to Import

mike_hawke19 Mar 2022 2:36 UTC

18 points

4 comments1 min readLW link

(everythingstudies.com)

[Question] What to do after inventing AGI?

elephantcrew18 Mar 2022 22:30 UTC

9 points

4 comments1 min readLW link

Cold Takes reader survey—let me know what you want more and less of!

HoldenKarnofsky18 Mar 2022 19:20 UTC

17 points

1 comment1 min readLW link

(www.cold-takes.com)

[Question] What Should I Do Today?

Cui18 Mar 2022 16:36 UTC

10 points

5 comments2 min readLW link

Only needs a flying saucer

Mary Chernyshenko18 Mar 2022 15:11 UTC

76 points

3 comments2 min readLW link

Learned Blankness and Expectations of Solubility

brook18 Mar 2022 12:42 UTC

8 points

2 comments2 min readLW link

On expected utility, part 2: Why it can be OK to predictably lose

Joe Carlsmith18 Mar 2022 8:38 UTC

13 points

4 comments16 min readLW link

Nuclear Deterrence 101 (and why the US can’t even hint at intervening in Ukraine)

Darmani18 Mar 2022 7:25 UTC

36 points

9 comments3 min readLW link

[Question] Our time in history as evidence for simulation theory?

Garrett Garzonie18 Mar 2022 3:35 UTC

3 points

2 comments1 min readLW link

Vegas ACX/SSC/LW meetup

jwray18 Mar 2022 2:33 UTC

4 points

0 comments1 min readLW link

On Defecting On Yourself

David Udell18 Mar 2022 2:21 UTC

35 points

6 comments4 min readLW link

Phase transitions and AGI

Ege Erdil and Metaculus

17 Mar 2022 17:22 UTC

45 points

19 comments9 min readLW link

(www.metaculus.com)

Covid 3/17/22: The Rise of BA.2

Zvi17 Mar 2022 16:20 UTC

44 points

23 comments23 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

[Question] Is Grabby Aliens built on good anthropic reasoning?

Steven Byrnes17 Mar 2022 14:12 UTC

38 points

29 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] Maximize in a limited domain. Hope for the future.

Dacyn17 Mar 2022 14:05 UTC

4 points

0 comments8 min readLW link

Is there a link between Immigration Policy and Inflation?

hawkebia17 Mar 2022 11:26 UTC

9 points

3 comments2 min readLW link

Using GPT-3 for preventing conflict during messaging — a pitch for an app

Eli_17 Mar 2022 11:02 UTC

22 points

16 comments3 min readLW link

[Question] What is the equivalent of the “do” operator for finite factored sets?

Chris van Merwijk17 Mar 2022 8:05 UTC

8 points

2 comments1 min readLW link

EA Career Workshop (Berkeley, 3/19)

Raj Thimmiah17 Mar 2022 6:50 UTC

3 points

0 comments1 min readLW link

The One Who Says, “Enough”

Sable17 Mar 2022 6:17 UTC

5 points

20 comments8 min readLW link

Why a No-Fly-Zone would be the biggest gift to Putin, and why Zelenskyy keeps asking for it [Linkpost and commentary]

Dojan17 Mar 2022 3:13 UTC

48 points

16 comments3 min readLW link

[Question] Formal epistemiology for extracting truth from news sources

Enigma17 Mar 2022 2:06 UTC

18 points

16 comments1 min readLW link

Luna Lovegood and the Fidelius Curse—Part 11

lsusr17 Mar 2022 0:19 UTC

24 points

3 comments1 min readLW link

On expected utility, part 1: Skyscrapers and madmen

Joe Carlsmith16 Mar 2022 21:58 UTC

24 points

16 comments12 min readLW link

What do paradigm shifts look like?

leogao16 Mar 2022 19:17 UTC

18 points

2 comments1 min readLW link

Thoughts on Crowdfunding with Refund Bonuses

Yoav Ravid16 Mar 2022 16:29 UTC

37 points

19 comments6 min readLW link

[Question] Can you only realize objects in your mind after they appear?

Cui16 Mar 2022 16:12 UTC

3 points

6 comments1 min readLW link

[Intro to brain-like-AGI safety] 8. Takeaways from neuro 1/2: On AGI development

Steven Byrnes16 Mar 2022 13:59 UTC

57 points

2 comments14 min readLW link

Replacing Natural Interpretations

adamShimi16 Mar 2022 13:05 UTC

16 points

0 comments7 min readLW link

Some (potentially) fundable AI Safety Ideas

Logan Riggs16 Mar 2022 12:48 UTC

21 points

5 comments5 min readLW link

[Quote] Why does i show up in Quantum Mechanics and other Beautiful Math Mysteries

Gunnar_Zarncke16 Mar 2022 11:58 UTC

9 points

2 comments1 min readLW link

War Mode vs. Peace Mode

konstell16 Mar 2022 3:36 UTC

10 points

2 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] Danger(s) of theorem-proving AI?

Yitz16 Mar 2022 2:47 UTC

8 points

8 comments1 min readLW link

Ukraine #4: Prediction Market Movement Modeling

Zvi15 Mar 2022 22:20 UTC

28 points

2 comments14 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Do small studies add up?

one_forward15 Mar 2022 22:00 UTC

14 points

6 comments5 min readLW link

I read Einstein’s biography. Here are 15 quotes that reveal his philosophy on life.

dmabery15 Mar 2022 18:14 UTC

−7 points

5 comments1 min readLW link

AI researchers from Russia looking for a new home

AnonResearch15 Mar 2022 18:13 UTC

36 points

8 comments1 min readLW link

My current thoughts on the risks from SETI

Matthew Barnett15 Mar 2022 17:18 UTC

128 points

27 comments10 min readLW link

Smoking cigarettes in airplanes made the airplanes safer?

CraigMichael15 Mar 2022 17:03 UTC

9 points

1 comment1 min readLW link

Probabilistic Negotiation

Robert Kennedy15 Mar 2022 14:39 UTC

20 points

9 comments3 min readLW link