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Ukraine #4: Prediction Market Movement Modeling

Zvi15 Mar 2022 22:20 UTC

28 points

2 comments14 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Do small studies add up?

one_forward15 Mar 2022 22:00 UTC

14 points

6 comments5 min readLW link

I read Einstein’s biography. Here are 15 quotes that reveal his philosophy on life.

dmabery15 Mar 2022 18:14 UTC

−7 points

5 comments1 min readLW link

AI researchers from Russia looking for a new home

AnonResearch15 Mar 2022 18:13 UTC

36 points

8 comments1 min readLW link

My current thoughts on the risks from SETI

Matthew Barnett15 Mar 2022 17:18 UTC

128 points

27 comments10 min readLW link

Smoking cigarettes in airplanes made the airplanes safer?

CraigMichael15 Mar 2022 17:03 UTC

9 points

1 comment1 min readLW link

Probabilistic Negotiation

Robert Kennedy15 Mar 2022 14:39 UTC

20 points

9 comments3 min readLW link

[Question] Who is doing Cryonics-relevant research?

Wuschel Schulz15 Mar 2022 10:26 UTC

32 points

4 comments1 min readLW link

Dual use of artificial-intelligence-powered drug discovery

Vaniver15 Mar 2022 2:52 UTC

93 points

15 comments1 min readLW link

(www.nature.com)

May I Speak?

Raythen14 Mar 2022 22:57 UTC

−8 points

13 comments1 min readLW link

ELK contest submission: route understanding through the human ontology

Vika, Ramana Kumar and Vikrant Varma

14 Mar 2022 21:42 UTC

21 points

2 comments2 min readLW link

[Question] MicroCOVID risk levels inaccurate due to undercounting in data sources vs wastewater data?

Sameerishere14 Mar 2022 20:04 UTC

6 points

1 comment1 min readLW link

One possible approach to develop the best possible general learning algorithm

martillopart14 Mar 2022 19:24 UTC

3 points

0 comments7 min readLW link

The Meaninglessness of it all

foxacc14 Mar 2022 17:56 UTC

−9 points

12 comments1 min readLW link

Ethicality Behind Breaking the Glass Ceiling

foxacc14 Mar 2022 17:56 UTC

31 points

15 comments2 min readLW link

Technological Resurrection: Two Possible Approaches

Alex Polischuk14 Mar 2022 17:53 UTC

−3 points

3 comments2 min readLW link

Omicron #16: Danger in China

Zvi14 Mar 2022 15:50 UTC

58 points

10 comments4 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Ukraine #3: Decision Theory, Madman Theory and the Mafioso Nature

Zvi14 Mar 2022 14:50 UTC

35 points

25 comments19 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

[Linkpost] Growth in FLOPS used to train ML models

Derek M. Jones14 Mar 2022 11:28 UTC

3 points

3 comments1 min readLW link

Shotgun Book Reviews: Against Method, The Knowledge Machine and Understanding Nature

adamShimi14 Mar 2022 8:13 UTC

28 points

2 comments8 min readLW link

Alex Tabarrok advocates for crowdfunding systems with Refund Bonuses. I think this might be a natural occurrence of a money pump against Causal Decision Theory pledgers

mako yass14 Mar 2022 7:27 UTC

17 points

13 comments1 min readLW link

(marginalrevolution.com)

Challenges to Yudkowsky’s Pronoun Reform Proposal

Zack_M_Davis13 Mar 2022 20:38 UTC

52 points

56 comments39 min readLW link 1 review

(unremediatedgender.space)

War-prompted Disaster Planning

jefftk13 Mar 2022 20:10 UTC

20 points

0 comments2 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

Whence the determinant?

Ege Erdil13 Mar 2022 19:38 UTC

28 points

27 comments6 min readLW link

Food manufacturers are out to get you

jwray13 Mar 2022 19:36 UTC

27 points

6 comments5 min readLW link

Game theory, sanctions, and Ukraine

Dumbledore's Army13 Mar 2022 17:45 UTC

27 points

36 comments3 min readLW link

How to Lumenate (UK Edition)

chanamessinger13 Mar 2022 13:43 UTC

47 points

17 comments5 min readLW link

New GPT3 Impressive Capabilities—InstructGPT3 [1/2]

simeon_c13 Mar 2022 10:58 UTC

72 points

10 comments7 min readLW link

Anecdotes Can Be Strong Evidence and Bayes Theorem Proves It

FCCC13 Mar 2022 4:06 UTC

16 points

3 comments4 min readLW link

Compute Trends — Comparison to OpenAI’s AI and Compute

lennart, Jsevillamol, Pablo Villalobos, Marius Hobbhahn, Tamay Besiroglu and anson.ho

12 Mar 2022 18:09 UTC

23 points

3 comments3 min readLW link

Experience Restarting Contra

jefftk12 Mar 2022 15:00 UTC

16 points

5 comments3 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

[Question] Is there a good dataset for the moments of the income distribution throughout history?

Ege Erdil12 Mar 2022 13:26 UTC

9 points

0 comments1 min readLW link

Why Rome?

Erich_Grunewald12 Mar 2022 11:29 UTC

19 points

7 comments8 min readLW link

(www.erichgrunewald.com)

Bear Surprise Freedom Network

CraigMichael12 Mar 2022 10:15 UTC

26 points

2 comments4 min readLW link

Book review of “Mengzi”

Anonymous12 Mar 2022 4:54 UTC

32 points

2 comments12 min readLW link

[Question] If someone with sufficient capabilities decides to deliberately create an Unaligned AGI, is there anything anyone can actually DO, to stop them?

nx205912 Mar 2022 0:01 UTC

−4 points

7 comments1 min readLW link

Your Future Self’s Credences Should Be Unpredictable to You

David Udell11 Mar 2022 23:33 UTC

6 points

8 comments2 min readLW link

Arguments are good for helping people reason about things

AprilSR11 Mar 2022 23:02 UTC

28 points

8 comments1 min readLW link

Is There a Valley of Bad Civilizational Adequacy?

lbThingrb11 Mar 2022 19:49 UTC

13 points

1 comment2 min readLW link

Rhythm Stage Setup v4

jefftk11 Mar 2022 19:40 UTC

9 points

0 comments5 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

Deep Dives: My Advice for Pursuing Work in Research

scasper11 Mar 2022 17:56 UTC

29 points

2 comments3 min readLW link

If your solution doesn’t work, make it work

Ege Erdil11 Mar 2022 16:10 UTC

17 points

7 comments5 min readLW link

[Question] Ways to invest your wealth if you believe in a high-variance future?

Alex_Altair11 Mar 2022 16:07 UTC

51 points

13 comments1 min readLW link

A Longlist of Theories of Impact for Interpretability

Neel Nanda11 Mar 2022 14:55 UTC

127 points

36 comments5 min readLW link 2 reviews

Beyond micromarriages

Richard_Ngo11 Mar 2022 3:40 UTC

91 points

13 comments3 min readLW link

(thinkingcomplete.blogspot.com)

On continuous decision boundaries

eeegnu11 Mar 2022 3:36 UTC

2 points

2 comments3 min readLW link

Book review: The Dawn of Everything

PeterMcCluskey11 Mar 2022 1:56 UTC

24 points

1 comment7 min readLW link

(www.bayesianinvestor.com)

[Question] Are there any impossibility theorems for strong and safe AI?

David Johnston11 Mar 2022 1:41 UTC

5 points

3 comments1 min readLW link

Algorithmic Measure of Emergence v2.0

interstice10 Mar 2022 20:26 UTC

15 points

2 comments4 min readLW link

I left Russia on March 8

avturchin10 Mar 2022 20:05 UTC

127 points

16 comments1 min readLW link