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Phase transitions and AGI

Ege Erdil and Metaculus

Mar 17, 2022, 5:22 PM

45 points

14 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

19 comments9 min readLW link

(www.metaculus.com)

Covid 3/17/22: The Rise of BA.2

ZviMar 17, 2022, 4:20 PM

44 points

19 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

23 comments23 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

[Question] Is Grabby Aliens built on good anthropic reasoning?

Steven ByrnesMar 17, 2022, 2:12 PM

42 points

18 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

29 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] Maximize in a limited domain. Hope for the future.

DacynMar 17, 2022, 2:05 PM

4 points

1 vote

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

0 comments8 min readLW link

Is there a link between Immigration Policy and Inflation?

hawkebiaMar 17, 2022, 11:26 AM

9 points

4 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

3 comments2 min readLW link

Using GPT-3 for preventing conflict during messaging — a pitch for an app

Eli_Mar 17, 2022, 11:02 AM

22 points

15 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

17 comments3 min readLW link

[Question] What is the equivalent of the “do” operator for finite factored sets?

Chris van MerwijkMar 17, 2022, 8:05 AM

8 points

3 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

2 comments1 min readLW link

EA Career Workshop (Berkeley, 3/19)

Raj ThimmiahMar 17, 2022, 6:50 AM

3 points

1 vote

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

0 comments1 min readLW link

The One Who Says, “Enough”

SableMar 17, 2022, 6:17 AM

5 points

5 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

20 comments8 min readLW link

Why a No-Fly-Zone would be the biggest gift to Putin, and why Zelenskyy keeps asking for it [Linkpost and commentary]

DojanMar 17, 2022, 3:13 AM

48 points

27 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

16 comments3 min readLW link

[Question] Formal epistemiology for extracting truth from news sources

EnigmaMar 17, 2022, 2:06 AM

18 points

12 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

16 comments1 min readLW link

On expected utility, part 1: Skyscrapers and madmen

Joe CarlsmithMar 16, 2022, 9:58 PM

24 points

15 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

16 comments12 min readLW link

What do paradigm shifts look like?

leogaoMar 16, 2022, 7:17 PM

18 points

10 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

2 comments1 min readLW link

Thoughts on Crowdfunding with Refund Bonuses

Yoav RavidMar 16, 2022, 4:29 PM

38 points

18 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

19 comments6 min readLW link

[Question] Can you only realize objects in your mind after they appear?

CuiMar 16, 2022, 4:12 PM

3 points

3 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

6 comments1 min readLW link

[Intro to brain-like-AGI safety] 8. Takeaways from neuro 1/2: On AGI development

Steven ByrnesMar 16, 2022, 1:59 PM

57 points

20 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

2 comments14 min readLW link

Replacing Natural Interpretations

adamShimiMar 16, 2022, 1:05 PM

19 points

6 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

0 comments7 min readLW link

Some (potentially) fundable AI Safety Ideas

Logan RiggsMar 16, 2022, 12:48 PM

22 points

14 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

5 comments5 min readLW link

[Quote] Why does i show up in Quantum Mechanics and other Beautiful Math Mysteries

Gunnar_ZarnckeMar 16, 2022, 11:58 AM

9 points

11 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

2 comments1 min readLW link

War Mode vs. Peace Mode

konstellMar 16, 2022, 3:36 AM

10 points

6 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

2 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] Danger(s) of theorem-proving AI?

YitzMar 16, 2022, 2:47 AM

8 points

4 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

8 comments1 min readLW link

Ukraine #4: Prediction Market Movement Modeling

ZviMar 15, 2022, 10:20 PM

28 points

16 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

2 comments14 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Do small studies add up?

one_forwardMar 15, 2022, 10:00 PM

14 points

8 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

6 comments5 min readLW link

I read Einstein’s biography. Here are 15 quotes that reveal his philosophy on life.

dmaberyMar 15, 2022, 6:14 PM

−7 points

6 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

5 comments1 min readLW link

AI researchers from Russia looking for a new home

AnonResearchMar 15, 2022, 6:13 PM

36 points

23 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

8 comments1 min readLW link

My current thoughts on the risks from SETI

Matthew BarnettMar 15, 2022, 5:18 PM

133 points

62 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

27 comments10 min readLW link

Smoking cigarettes in airplanes made the airplanes safer?

CraigMichaelMar 15, 2022, 5:03 PM

9 points

4 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

1 comment1 min readLW link

Probabilistic Negotiation

Robert KennedyMar 15, 2022, 2:39 PM

20 points

12 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

9 comments3 min readLW link

[Question] Who is doing Cryonics-relevant research?

Wuschel SchulzMar 15, 2022, 10:26 AM

32 points

13 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

4 comments1 min readLW link

Dual use of artificial-intelligence-powered drug discovery

VaniverMar 15, 2022, 2:52 AM

93 points

49 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

15 comments1 min readLW link

(www.nature.com)

May I Speak?

RaythenMar 14, 2022, 10:57 PM

−8 points

11 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

13 comments1 min readLW link

ELK contest submission: route understanding through the human ontology

Vika, Ramana Kumar and Vikrant Varma

Mar 14, 2022, 9:42 PM

21 points

9 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

2 comments2 min readLW link

[Question] MicroCOVID risk levels inaccurate due to undercounting in data sources vs wastewater data?

SameerishereMar 14, 2022, 8:04 PM

6 points

4 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

1 comment1 min readLW link

One possible approach to develop the best possible general learning algorithm

martillopartMar 14, 2022, 7:24 PM

3 points

3 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

0 comments7 min readLW link

The Meaninglessness of it all

foxaccMar 14, 2022, 5:56 PM

−9 points

11 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

12 comments1 min readLW link

Ethicality Behind Breaking the Glass Ceiling

foxaccMar 14, 2022, 5:56 PM

31 points

35 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

15 comments2 min readLW link

Technological Resurrection: Two Possible Approaches

Alex PolischukMar 14, 2022, 5:53 PM

−3 points

6 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

3 comments2 min readLW link

Omicron #16: Danger in China

ZviMar 14, 2022, 3:50 PM

58 points

30 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

10 comments4 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Ukraine #3: Decision Theory, Madman Theory and the Mafioso Nature

ZviMar 14, 2022, 2:50 PM

35 points

19 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

25 comments19 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

[Linkpost] Growth in FLOPS used to train ML models

Derek M. JonesMar 14, 2022, 11:28 AM

3 points

3 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

3 comments1 min readLW link

Shotgun Book Reviews: Against Method, The Knowledge Machine and Understanding Nature

adamShimiMar 14, 2022, 8:13 AM

28 points

14 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

3 comments8 min readLW link

Alex Tabarrok advocates for crowdfunding systems with Refund Bonuses. I think this might be a natural occurrence of a money pump against Causal Decision Theory pledgers

mako yassMar 14, 2022, 7:27 AM

17 points

11 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

13 comments1 min readLW link

(marginalrevolution.com)

Challenges to Yudkowsky’s Pronoun Reform Proposal

Zack_M_DavisMar 13, 2022, 8:38 PM

47 points

77 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

56 comments39 min readLW link 1 review

(unremediatedgender.space)

War-prompted Disaster Planning

jefftkMar 13, 2022, 8:10 PM

20 points

10 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

0 comments2 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

Whence the determinant?

Ege ErdilMar 13, 2022, 7:38 PM

28 points

15 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

27 comments6 min readLW link

Food manufacturers are out to get you

jwrayMar 13, 2022, 7:36 PM

28 points

23 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

6 comments5 min readLW link

Game theory, sanctions, and Ukraine

Dumbledore's ArmyMar 13, 2022, 5:45 PM

27 points

16 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

36 comments3 min readLW link

How to Lumenate (UK Edition)

chanamessingerMar 13, 2022, 1:43 PM

49 points

19 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

17 comments5 min readLW link

New GPT3 Impressive Capabilities—InstructGPT3 [1/2]

simeon_cMar 13, 2022, 10:58 AM

72 points

32 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

10 comments7 min readLW link

Anecdotes Can Be Strong Evidence and Bayes Theorem Proves It

FCCCMar 13, 2022, 4:06 AM

16 points

11 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

3 comments4 min readLW link

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