Al­gorith­mic Mea­sure of Emer­gence v2.0

interstice10 Mar 2022 20:26 UTC
15 points
2 comments4 min readLW link

I left Rus­sia on March 8

avturchin10 Mar 2022 20:05 UTC
127 points
16 comments1 min readLW link

What’s the chance a smart Lon­don res­i­dent dies of a Rus­sian nuke in the next month?

DanielFilan10 Mar 2022 19:20 UTC
40 points
8 comments4 min readLW link
(danielfilan.com)

[Question] What’s the best ra­tio for Afri­cans to starve com­pared to Ukraini­ans not dy­ing in the war?

ChristianKl10 Mar 2022 18:52 UTC
9 points
28 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] In­fo­haz­ards, hack­ing, and Brick­ing—how to for­mal­ize these con­cepts?

Yitz10 Mar 2022 16:42 UTC
6 points
10 comments4 min readLW link

Ukraine Post #2: Options

Zvi10 Mar 2022 16:10 UTC
84 points
55 comments24 min readLW link
(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Covid 3/​10/​22: We Have a Plan

Zvi10 Mar 2022 16:10 UTC
37 points
3 comments12 min readLW link
(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Treat Ex­am­ples as World-Building

adamShimi10 Mar 2022 15:09 UTC
19 points
0 comments2 min readLW link

[Question] Best LessWrong posts for un­der­stand­ing sci­en­tific stud­ies.

Sean McAneny10 Mar 2022 13:13 UTC
10 points
4 comments1 min readLW link

Dona­tions, The First Year

jenn10 Mar 2022 3:57 UTC
21 points
0 comments3 min readLW link
(jenn.site)

Pro­gram­ming note

HoldenKarnofsky9 Mar 2022 21:20 UTC
8 points
0 comments1 min readLW link
(www.cold-takes.com)

Luna Love­g­ood and the Fidelius Curse—Part 10

lsusr9 Mar 2022 19:59 UTC
27 points
15 comments2 min readLW link

The Proof of Doom

johnlawrenceaspden9 Mar 2022 19:37 UTC
27 points
18 comments3 min readLW link

[Sur­vey] Ex­pec­ta­tions of a Post-ASI Order

Lone Pine9 Mar 2022 19:17 UTC
5 points
0 comments1 min readLW link

A Rephras­ing Of and Foot­note To An Embed­ded Agency Proposal

JoshuaOSHickman9 Mar 2022 18:13 UTC
5 points
0 comments5 min readLW link

ELK Sub—Note-tak­ing in in­ter­nal rollouts

Hoagy9 Mar 2022 17:23 UTC
6 points
0 comments5 min readLW link

Meadow Theory

[DEACTIVATED] Duncan Sabien9 Mar 2022 17:13 UTC
132 points
16 comments16 min readLW link1 review

Be­ing Mo­ral is an end goal.

Yair Halberstadt9 Mar 2022 16:37 UTC
10 points
17 comments1 min readLW link

It Looks Like You’re Try­ing To Take Over The World

gwern9 Mar 2022 16:35 UTC
404 points
120 comments1 min readLW link1 review
(www.gwern.net)

Effects are cor­re­lated, policy out­comes are not, and multi-fac­tor ex­pla­na­tions are hard

Thomas Kehrenberg9 Mar 2022 15:30 UTC
15 points
2 comments14 min readLW link
(tm.kehrenberg.net)

Ask AI com­pa­nies about what they are do­ing for AI safety?

mic9 Mar 2022 15:14 UTC
51 points
0 comments2 min readLW link

[In­tro to brain-like-AGI safety] 7. From hard­coded drives to fore­sighted plans: A worked example

Steven Byrnes9 Mar 2022 14:28 UTC
78 points
0 comments9 min readLW link

Against Think­ing About The Unactionable

George3d69 Mar 2022 11:55 UTC
20 points
2 comments8 min readLW link
(www.epistem.ink)

[Question] Will Rus­sia de­fault, and if so, will it lead to fi­nan­cial crisis?

sanxiyn9 Mar 2022 6:34 UTC
11 points
6 comments1 min readLW link

On pre­sent­ing the case for AI risk

Aryeh Englander9 Mar 2022 1:41 UTC
54 points
17 comments4 min readLW link

Deriv­ing Our World From Small Datasets

Capybasilisk9 Mar 2022 0:34 UTC
5 points
4 comments2 min readLW link

ELK prize results

9 Mar 2022 0:01 UTC
135 points
50 comments21 min readLW link

We’re already in AI takeoff

Valentine8 Mar 2022 23:09 UTC
133 points
117 comments7 min readLW link

Value ex­trap­o­la­tion, con­cept ex­trap­o­la­tion, model splintering

Stuart_Armstrong8 Mar 2022 22:50 UTC
16 points
1 comment2 min readLW link

ACX meetup #5

sallatik8 Mar 2022 22:36 UTC
1 point
0 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] Pre­dic­tion Mar­ket News/​Ticker?

Raelifin8 Mar 2022 21:44 UTC
13 points
3 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] Non-co­er­cive mo­ti­va­tion for al­ign­ment re­search?

Jonathan Moregård8 Mar 2022 20:50 UTC
4 points
0 comments1 min readLW link

PSA for aca­demics in Ukraine (or any­where else) who want to come to the United Kingdom

gabrielrecc8 Mar 2022 20:00 UTC
3 points
0 comments1 min readLW link

Prepar­ing for Power Ou­tages in Disasters

tragedyofthecomments8 Mar 2022 17:02 UTC
20 points
6 comments4 min readLW link

Bu­gout Bags for Disasters

tragedyofthecomments8 Mar 2022 17:02 UTC
5 points
1 comment4 min readLW link

Food Pre­pared­ness for Disasters

tragedyofthecomments8 Mar 2022 17:02 UTC
5 points
3 comments4 min readLW link

Water Pre­pared­ness for Disasters

tragedyofthecomments8 Mar 2022 17:02 UTC
5 points
1 comment3 min readLW link

Nu­clear Pre­pared­ness Guide

tragedyofthecomments8 Mar 2022 17:01 UTC
35 points
7 comments11 min readLW link

[Question] Is there a good solu­tion for doc­u­ments that need to be signed with a bal­l­point pen un­der suicide watch?

ChristianKl8 Mar 2022 15:58 UTC
11 points
4 comments1 min readLW link

[MLSN #3]: NeurIPS Safety Paper Roundup

Dan H8 Mar 2022 15:17 UTC
45 points
0 comments4 min readLW link

It’s not WWIII if 5/​6 of hu­man­ity re­mains neutral

lsusr8 Mar 2022 9:20 UTC
9 points
20 comments1 min readLW link

Effec­tive Ideas is an­nounc­ing a $100,000 blog prize

fin7 Mar 2022 21:45 UTC
43 points
1 comment2 min readLW link
(forum.effectivealtruism.org)

[Question] Depen­den­cies and con­di­tional prob­a­bil­ities in weather forecasts

AnthonyC7 Mar 2022 21:23 UTC
8 points
2 comments1 min readLW link

Help Ukraine

ubik7 Mar 2022 20:40 UTC
0 points
9 comments1 min readLW link

The First-Per­son Per­spec­tive Is Not A Ran­dom Sample

dadadarren7 Mar 2022 16:31 UTC
41 points
27 comments5 min readLW link

An In­tu­itive In­tro­duc­tion to Func­tional De­ci­sion Theory

Heighn7 Mar 2022 16:07 UTC
19 points
3 comments7 min readLW link

An In­tu­itive In­tro­duc­tion to Ev­i­den­tial De­ci­sion Theory

Heighn7 Mar 2022 16:06 UTC
5 points
0 comments3 min readLW link

An In­tu­itive In­tro­duc­tion to Causal De­ci­sion Theory

Heighn7 Mar 2022 16:05 UTC
3 points
3 comments6 min readLW link

Ba­sic Con­cepts in De­ci­sion Theory

Heighn7 Mar 2022 16:05 UTC
3 points
1 comment2 min readLW link

How to Best Use Twitter

Zvi7 Mar 2022 15:40 UTC
61 points
8 comments16 min readLW link
(thezvi.wordpress.com)