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FLI Podcast: On Superforecasting with Robert de Neufville

Palus AstraApr 30, 2020, 11:08 PM

6 points

3 votes

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0 comments52 min readLW link

“God Rewards Fools”

CzynskiApr 30, 2020, 10:51 PM

17 points

9 votes

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6 comments2 min readLW link

Generalized Efficient Markets and Academia

johnswentworthApr 30, 2020, 9:59 PM

52 points

20 votes

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29 comments2 min readLW link

Seasonality of COVID-19, Other Coronaviruses, and Influenza

Radford NealApr 30, 2020, 9:43 PM

10 points

4 votes

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9 comments1 min readLW link

(radfordneal.wordpress.com)

Covid-19 4/30: Stuck in Limbo

ZviApr 30, 2020, 8:40 PM

28 points

12 votes

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8 comments7 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

The Embarrassing Problem of Premature Exploitation

Richard MeadowsApr 30, 2020, 8:33 PM

42 points

26 votes

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7 comments7 min readLW link

(thedeepdish.org)

Forecasting Newsletter: April 2020

NunoSempereApr 30, 2020, 4:41 PM

22 points

7 votes

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3 comments6 min readLW link

Against strong bayesianism

Richard_NgoApr 30, 2020, 10:48 AM

69 points

38 votes

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65 comments6 min readLW link

Optimising Society to Constrain Risk of War from an Artificial Superintelligence

JohnCDraperApr 30, 2020, 10:47 AM

4 points

3 votes

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1 comment51 min readLW link

[Question] What is the alternative to intent alignment called?

Richard_NgoApr 30, 2020, 2:16 AM

12 points

4 votes

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6 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] Since the “Will COVID-19 survivors suffer lasting disability at a high rate?” thread was posted, has new information emerged that may update those estimates?

nonzerosumApr 29, 2020, 9:40 PM

12 points

5 votes

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0 comments1 min readLW link

List of prompts for brainstorming COVID response project ideas

nonzerosumApr 29, 2020, 9:39 PM

2 points

2 votes

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0 comments1 min readLW link

Melting democracy

Richard_NgoApr 29, 2020, 8:10 PM

30 points

11 votes

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6 comments6 min readLW link

(thinkingcomplete.blogspot.com)

Why anything that can be for-profit, should be

jasoncrawfordApr 29, 2020, 8:00 PM

51 points

24 votes

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39 comments6 min readLW link

(rootsofprogress.org)

On “COVID-19 Superspreader Events in 28 Countries: Critical Patterns and Lessons”

ZviApr 29, 2020, 7:40 PM

67 points

26 votes

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12 comments10 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Training Regime Day 25: Recursive Self-Improvement

Mark XuApr 29, 2020, 6:22 PM

15 points

8 votes

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0 comments2 min readLW link

Motivating Abstraction-First Decision Theory

johnswentworthApr 29, 2020, 5:47 PM

43 points

16 votes

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16 comments5 min readLW link

[AN #97]: Are there historical examples of large, robust discontinuities?

Rohin ShahApr 29, 2020, 5:30 PM

15 points

5 votes

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0 comments10 min readLW link

(mailchi.mp)

Facebook AI: A state-of-the-art open source chatbot

FactorialCodeApr 29, 2020, 5:21 PM

9 points

3 votes

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0 comments1 min readLW link

(ai.facebook.com)

Peter’s COVID Consolidated Brief − 29 Apr

Peter WildefordApr 29, 2020, 3:27 PM

54 points

20 votes

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5 comments32 min readLW link

I do not like math

lsusrApr 29, 2020, 11:27 AM

34 points

28 votes

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6 comments1 min readLW link

Negative Feedback and Simulacra

ElizabethApr 29, 2020, 2:00 AM

156 points

82 votes

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24 comments9 min readLW link 1 review

(acesounderglass.com)

[Question] Estimates of COVID risk rankings for different activities when together with people in the same household?

nonzerosumApr 29, 2020, 1:13 AM

1 point

1 vote

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0 comments1 min readLW link

Chris Masterjohn on Coronavirus, Part 2

philhApr 28, 2020, 9:50 PM

6 points

5 votes

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0 comments8 min readLW link

(reasonableapproximation.net)

Training Regime Day 24: Resolve Cycles 2

Mark XuApr 28, 2020, 7:00 PM

20 points

8 votes

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0 comments2 min readLW link

A Book Review

Zack_M_DavisApr 28, 2020, 5:43 PM

15 points

13 votes

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3 comments1 min readLW link

(unremediatedgender.space)

UAP and Global Catastrophic Risks

avturchinApr 28, 2020, 1:07 PM

8 points

5 votes

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12 comments1 min readLW link

Growth mindset for better sex

agentydragonApr 28, 2020, 8:49 AM

7 points

10 votes

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5 comments2 min readLW link

A speculative incentive design: self-determined price commitments as a way of averting monopoly

mako yassApr 28, 2020, 7:44 AM

5 points

3 votes

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17 comments1 min readLW link

Emergency Central Planning

jefftkApr 28, 2020, 12:50 AM

16 points

6 votes

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14 comments1 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

Market-shaping approaches to accelerate COVID-19 response: a role for option-based guarantees?

DerekF and Davidmanheim

Apr 27, 2020, 10:43 PM

38 points

11 votes

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2 comments6 min readLW link 1 review

The Best Virtual Worlds for “Hanging Out”

RaemonApr 27, 2020, 9:54 PM

60 points

26 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

31 comments10 min readLW link 1 review

[Link] COVID-19 causing deadly blood clots in younger people

orthonormalApr 27, 2020, 9:02 PM

46 points

16 votes

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10 comments1 min readLW link

[Editted for removal]

kungfuhobbitApr 27, 2020, 8:59 PM

1 point

1 vote

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0 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] What physical trigger-action plans did you implement?

Mati_RoyApr 27, 2020, 8:10 PM

5 points

4 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

3 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] What social trigger-action plans did you implement?

Mati_RoyApr 27, 2020, 8:08 PM

5 points

4 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

2 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] What cognitive trigger-action plans did you implement?

Mati_RoyApr 27, 2020, 7:58 PM

4 points

3 votes

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2 comments1 min readLW link

Training Regime Day 23: TAPs 2

Mark XuApr 27, 2020, 5:37 PM

15 points

8 votes

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0 comments2 min readLW link

A Brief Update on Updates

SlimepriestessApr 27, 2020, 5:30 PM

15 points

7 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

0 comments2 min readLW link

(hivewired.wordpress.com)

Cambridge Virtual LW/SSC Meetup

NoSignalNoNoiseApr 27, 2020, 3:41 AM

6 points

1 vote

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

0 comments1 min readLW link

Helping Lily Make Dinner

jefftkApr 27, 2020, 2:10 AM

15 points

8 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

5 comments2 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

It’s Not About The Nail

eapacheApr 26, 2020, 11:50 PM

30 points

20 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

8 comments2 min readLW link

Training Regime Day 22: Murphyjitsu 2

Mark XuApr 26, 2020, 8:18 PM

13 points

6 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

0 comments2 min readLW link

[Question] Should we be reassessing the argument for globalization?

jmhApr 26, 2020, 1:52 PM

5 points

1 vote

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

8 comments1 min readLW link

Post/meta-skepticism I

OuroborusApr 26, 2020, 12:18 AM

8 points

8 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

10 comments3 min readLW link

(ouroborusdotblog.wordpress.com)

Training Regime Day 21: Executing Intentions

Mark XuApr 25, 2020, 10:16 PM

13 points

5 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

3 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] What are your favorite examples of distillation?

NaiveTortoiseApr 25, 2020, 5:06 PM

49 points

15 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

6 comments1 min readLW link

On New York’s Antibody Tests

ZviApr 25, 2020, 3:20 PM

31 points

16 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

1 comment12 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Fast Takeoff in Biological Intelligence

eapacheApr 25, 2020, 12:21 PM

14 points

7 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

21 comments2 min readLW link

[Question] Why is my (our?) reasoning process noisy?

emanuele ascaniApr 25, 2020, 12:19 PM

9 points

7 votes

Overall karma indicates overall quality.

4 comments2 min readLW link

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