Are we in an AI over­hang?

Andy Jones27 Jul 2020 12:48 UTC
259 points
106 comments4 min readLW link

DARPA Digi­tal Tu­tor: Four Months to To­tal Tech­ni­cal Ex­per­tise?

JohnBuridan6 Jul 2020 23:34 UTC
213 points
22 comments7 min readLW link

Limits of Cur­rent US Pre­dic­tion Mar­kets (Pre­dic­tIt Case Study)

aphyer14 Jul 2020 7:24 UTC
198 points
48 comments7 min readLW link

Six eco­nomics mis­con­cep­tions of mine which I’ve re­solved over the last few years

Buck13 Jul 2020 3:01 UTC
195 points
59 comments9 min readLW link

Thiel on Progress and Stagnation

Richard_Ngo20 Jul 2020 20:27 UTC
173 points
32 comments11 min readLW link
(docs.google.com)

Swiss Poli­ti­cal Sys­tem: More than You ever Wanted to Know (I.)

Martin Sustrik19 Jul 2020 1:11 UTC
171 points
39 comments24 min readLW link2 reviews

Reread­ing At­las Shrugged

Vaniver28 Jul 2020 18:54 UTC
160 points
36 comments13 min readLW link1 review

“Can you keep this con­fi­den­tial? How do you know?”

Raemon21 Jul 2020 0:33 UTC
159 points
41 comments3 min readLW link2 reviews

Devel­op­men­tal Stages of GPTs

orthonormal26 Jul 2020 22:03 UTC
140 points
71 comments7 min readLW link1 review

Si­tu­at­ing LessWrong in con­tem­po­rary philos­o­phy: An in­ter­view with Jon Livengood

Suspended Reason1 Jul 2020 0:37 UTC
117 points
21 comments19 min readLW link

Can you get AGI from a Trans­former?

Steven Byrnes23 Jul 2020 15:27 UTC
115 points
40 comments12 min readLW link

Align­ment As A Bot­tle­neck To Use­ful­ness Of GPT-3

johnswentworth21 Jul 2020 20:02 UTC
111 points
57 comments3 min readLW link

Solv­ing Math Prob­lems by Relay

17 Jul 2020 15:32 UTC
103 points
26 comments7 min readLW link

Clas­sify­ing games like the Pri­soner’s Dilemma

philh4 Jul 2020 17:10 UTC
103 points
28 comments6 min readLW link1 review
(reasonableapproximation.net)

Kelly Bet on Everything

Jacob Falkovich10 Jul 2020 2:48 UTC
101 points
20 comments5 min readLW link2 reviews

At­ten­tion is your scarcest resource

benkuhn30 Jul 2020 1:00 UTC
96 points
2 comments4 min readLW link
(www.benkuhn.net)

Learn­ing the prior

paulfchristiano5 Jul 2020 21:00 UTC
92 points
28 comments8 min readLW link
(ai-alignment.com)

Re­veal Culture

MalcolmOcean25 Jul 2020 3:36 UTC
91 points
18 comments7 min readLW link2 reviews

Swiss Poli­ti­cal Sys­tem: More than You ever Wanted to Know (II.)

Martin Sustrik22 Jul 2020 13:50 UTC
90 points
24 comments12 min readLW link
(250bpm.com)

Col­lec­tion of GPT-3 results

Kaj_Sotala18 Jul 2020 20:04 UTC
89 points
24 comments1 min readLW link
(twitter.com)

Covid 7/​2: It Could Be Worse

Zvi2 Jul 2020 20:20 UTC
85 points
13 comments16 min readLW link
(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Be impatient

benkuhn24 Jul 2020 1:30 UTC
84 points
5 comments7 min readLW link
(www.benkuhn.net)

High Stock Prices Make Sense Right Now

johnswentworth3 Jul 2020 20:16 UTC
83 points
27 comments4 min readLW link

Your Pri­ori­ti­za­tion is Underspecified

romeostevensit10 Jul 2020 20:48 UTC
82 points
13 comments5 min readLW link

Covid 7/​16: Be­com­ing the Mask

Zvi16 Jul 2020 12:40 UTC
82 points
20 comments15 min readLW link
(thezvi.wordpress.com)

How good is hu­man­ity at co­or­di­na­tion?

Buck21 Jul 2020 20:01 UTC
82 points
44 comments3 min readLW link

Com­pe­ti­tion: Am­plify Ro­hin’s Pre­dic­tion on AGI re­searchers & Safety Concerns

stuhlmueller21 Jul 2020 20:06 UTC
82 points
40 comments3 min readLW link

What Failure Looks Like: Distill­ing the Discussion

Ben Pace29 Jul 2020 21:49 UTC
81 points
14 comments7 min readLW link

What counts as defec­tion?

TurnTrout12 Jul 2020 22:03 UTC
81 points
21 comments5 min readLW link1 review

The Gold­bach con­jec­ture is prob­a­bly cor­rect; so was Fer­mat’s last theorem

Stuart_Armstrong14 Jul 2020 19:30 UTC
80 points
27 comments4 min readLW link

PSA: Tag­ging is Awesome

abramdemski30 Jul 2020 17:52 UTC
76 points
19 comments1 min readLW link

What a 20-year-lead in mil­i­tary tech might look like

Daniel Kokotajlo29 Jul 2020 20:10 UTC
75 points
47 comments16 min readLW link

[Question] How “hon­est” is GPT-3?

abramdemski8 Jul 2020 19:38 UTC
72 points
18 comments5 min readLW link

Crit­i­cism of some pop­u­lar LW articles

DirectedEvolution19 Jul 2020 1:16 UTC
71 points
19 comments6 min readLW link

[Question] To what ex­tent is GPT-3 ca­pa­ble of rea­son­ing?

TurnTrout20 Jul 2020 17:10 UTC
70 points
73 comments16 min readLW link

The Ba­sic Dou­ble Crux pattern

Eli Tyre22 Jul 2020 6:41 UTC
66 points
21 comments4 min readLW link

Bet­ter pri­ors as a safety problem

paulfchristiano5 Jul 2020 21:20 UTC
65 points
7 comments5 min readLW link
(ai-alignment.com)

Tag­ging Open Call /​ Dis­cus­sion Thread

Ruby28 Jul 2020 21:58 UTC
65 points
118 comments4 min readLW link

What Would I Do? Self-pre­dic­tion in Sim­ple Algorithms

Scott Garrabrant20 Jul 2020 4:27 UTC
64 points
12 comments5 min readLW link

Ar­gu­ments against my­opic training

Richard_Ngo9 Jul 2020 16:07 UTC
62 points
39 comments12 min readLW link

Mazes and Duality

14 Jul 2020 19:54 UTC
62 points
10 comments6 min readLW link

Les­sons on AI Takeover from the conquistadors

17 Jul 2020 22:35 UTC
61 points
31 comments5 min readLW link

AI Re­search Con­sid­er­a­tions for Hu­man Ex­is­ten­tial Safety (ARCHES)

habryka9 Jul 2020 2:49 UTC
60 points
7 comments1 min readLW link
(arxiv.org)

Covid 7/​23: The Se­cond Summit

Zvi23 Jul 2020 14:40 UTC
59 points
6 comments8 min readLW link
(thezvi.wordpress.com)

The Equa­tion of Knowledge

Lê Nguyên Hoang7 Jul 2020 16:09 UTC
58 points
3 comments7 min readLW link

$1000 bounty for OpenAI to show whether GPT3 was “de­liber­ately” pre­tend­ing to be stupi­der than it is

jacobjacob21 Jul 2020 18:42 UTC
56 points
39 comments2 min readLW link
(twitter.com)

Covid 7/​9: Lies, Damn Lies and Death Rates

Zvi9 Jul 2020 13:40 UTC
56 points
16 comments15 min readLW link
(thezvi.wordpress.com)

A space of pro­pos­als for build­ing safe ad­vanced AI

Richard_Ngo10 Jul 2020 16:58 UTC
55 points
4 comments4 min readLW link

Be­come a per­son who Ac­tu­ally Does Things

Neel Nanda25 Jul 2020 9:29 UTC
53 points
17 comments3 min readLW link
(www.neelnanda.io)

What does it mean to ap­ply de­ci­sion the­ory?

abramdemski8 Jul 2020 20:31 UTC
53 points
5 comments8 min readLW link