[Question] Jay­ne­sian in­ter­pre­ta­tion—How does “es­ti­mat­ing prob­a­bil­ities” make sense?

Haziq Muhammad21 Jul 2021 21:36 UTC
4 points
40 comments1 min readLW link

Ask Not “How Are You Do­ing?”

Collisteru21 Jul 2021 17:53 UTC
15 points
14 comments2 min readLW link

Ran­dom­ized Zet­telkas­ten Test

Josephine21 Jul 2021 17:21 UTC
32 points
7 comments7 min readLW link

The shoot-the-moon strategy

jchan21 Jul 2021 16:19 UTC
90 points
18 comments1 min readLW link

Re­ward splin­ter­ing for AI design

Stuart_Armstrong21 Jul 2021 16:13 UTC
30 points
1 comment8 min readLW link

[Question] Why is Kleros val­ued so low?

ChristianKl21 Jul 2021 13:50 UTC
12 points
6 comments1 min readLW link

My Mar­riage Vows

Vanessa Kosoy21 Jul 2021 10:48 UTC
83 points
53 comments3 min readLW link

[Question] Is there a rea­son­able read­ing ac­cord­ing to which Baric, Shi et al 2015 isn’t gain-of-func­tion re­search?

ChristianKl21 Jul 2021 8:19 UTC
31 points
5 comments1 min readLW link

The Utility Func­tion of a Prepper

Alex Hollow21 Jul 2021 2:26 UTC
4 points
20 comments1 min readLW link
(alexhollow.wordpress.com)

Funds are available to sup­port LessWrong groups, among others

21 Jul 2021 1:11 UTC
88 points
3 comments1 min readLW link

Pu­n­ish­ing the good

KatjaGrace20 Jul 2021 23:30 UTC
28 points
10 comments2 min readLW link
(worldspiritsockpuppet.com)

En­tropic bound­ary con­di­tions to­wards safe ar­tifi­cial superintelligence

Santiago Nunez-Corrales20 Jul 2021 22:15 UTC
3 points
0 comments2 min readLW link
(www.tandfonline.com)

Work­ing With Monsters

johnswentworth20 Jul 2021 15:23 UTC
239 points
54 comments5 min readLW link1 review

An ex­am­i­na­tion of Me­tac­u­lus’ re­solved AI pre­dic­tions and their im­pli­ca­tions for AI timelines

CharlesD20 Jul 2021 9:08 UTC
28 points
0 comments7 min readLW link

Pi Sound Box

jefftk20 Jul 2021 4:10 UTC
10 points
0 comments1 min readLW link
(www.jefftk.com)

Book re­view: The Ex­pla­na­tion of Ideology

PeterMcCluskey20 Jul 2021 3:42 UTC
43 points
10 comments9 min readLW link
(www.bayesianinvestor.com)

In search of benev­olence (or: what should you get Clippy for Christ­mas?)

Joe Carlsmith20 Jul 2021 1:12 UTC
26 points
0 comments33 min readLW link

Fu­ture Of Work

specbug19 Jul 2021 23:16 UTC
−1 points
6 comments6 min readLW link
(sixeleven.in)

Some thoughts on David Rood­man’s GWP model and its re­la­tion to AI timelines

Tom Davidson19 Jul 2021 22:59 UTC
31 points
1 comment8 min readLW link

[Question] Work on Bayesian fit­ting of AI trends of perfor­mance?

Jsevillamol19 Jul 2021 18:45 UTC
3 points
0 comments1 min readLW link

Is the ar­gu­ment that AI is an xrisk valid?

MACannon19 Jul 2021 13:20 UTC
5 points
61 comments1 min readLW link
(onlinelibrary.wiley.com)

Prepar­ing for ambition

Adam Zerner19 Jul 2021 6:13 UTC
19 points
8 comments10 min readLW link

Com­po­si­tion­al­ity: SQL and Subways

DanB19 Jul 2021 5:37 UTC
30 points
4 comments7 min readLW link

Happy paths and the plan­ning fallacy

Adam Zerner18 Jul 2021 23:26 UTC
38 points
10 comments3 min readLW link

One Study, Many Re­sults (Matt Clancy)

aarongertler18 Jul 2021 23:10 UTC
84 points
19 comments9 min readLW link
(mattsclancy.substack.com)

Book Re­view: The Sig­nal and the Noise

Sam Enright18 Jul 2021 22:05 UTC
16 points
2 comments6 min readLW link

Mu­nich SSC/​ACX (+LW) (on­line) meetup Au­gust 2021

vi21maobk9vp18 Jul 2021 20:39 UTC
7 points
0 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] Any tax­onomies of con­scious ex­pe­rience?

JohnDavidBustard18 Jul 2021 18:28 UTC
7 points
10 comments1 min readLW link

A model of de­ci­sion-mak­ing in the brain (the short ver­sion)

Steven Byrnes18 Jul 2021 14:39 UTC
20 points
0 comments3 min readLW link

The Moun­taineer’s Fallacy

Alex Power17 Jul 2021 23:45 UTC
29 points
11 comments1 min readLW link

Reflect­ing on build­ing my own tools from scratch and ‘in­vent­ing on prin­ci­ple’

Amir Bolous17 Jul 2021 18:43 UTC
44 points
7 comments5 min readLW link

A Models-cen­tric Ap­proach to Cor­rigible Alignment

J Bostock17 Jul 2021 17:27 UTC
2 points
0 comments6 min readLW link

Gen­er­al­is­ing Logic Gates

J Bostock17 Jul 2021 17:25 UTC
6 points
2 comments4 min readLW link

(2009) Shane Legg—Fund­ing safe AGI

Tomás B.17 Jul 2021 16:46 UTC
36 points
2 comments1 min readLW link
(www.vetta.org)

Large cor­po­ra­tions can unilat­er­ally ban/​tax ran­somware pay­ments via bets

ryan_greenblatt17 Jul 2021 12:56 UTC
26 points
5 comments2 min readLW link

Fix­ing the ar­bi­trari­ness of game depth

cousin_it17 Jul 2021 12:37 UTC
8 points
9 comments2 min readLW link

[Question] Equiv­a­lent of In­for­ma­tion The­ory but for Com­pu­ta­tion?

J Bostock17 Jul 2021 9:38 UTC
5 points
27 comments1 min readLW link

Me­dia Diet: Cul­ti­vat­ing Voice, De­liber­ate Ac­tion, and Alive Time

Willa17 Jul 2021 5:56 UTC
5 points
2 comments2 min readLW link

[Question] What are some ex­am­ples from his­tory where a sci­en­tific the­ory pre­dicted a sig­nifi­cant ex­per­i­men­tal ob­ser­va­tion in ad­vance?

Insub17 Jul 2021 5:39 UTC
8 points
9 comments1 min readLW link

Longter­mism vs short-ter­mism for per­sonal life extension

Mati_Roy17 Jul 2021 3:52 UTC
12 points
2 comments2 min readLW link

Bayesi­anism ver­sus con­ser­vatism ver­sus Goodhart

Stuart_Armstrong16 Jul 2021 23:39 UTC
15 points
2 comments6 min readLW link

“If and Only If” Should Be Spel­led “Ifeff”

jimrandomh16 Jul 2021 22:03 UTC
24 points
21 comments1 min readLW link

Open Philan­thropy is seek­ing pro­pos­als for out­reach projects

16 Jul 2021 21:19 UTC
61 points
2 comments10 min readLW link

[AN #156]: The scal­ing hy­poth­e­sis: a plan for build­ing AGI

Rohin Shah16 Jul 2021 17:10 UTC
46 points
20 comments8 min readLW link
(mailchi.mp)

Un­der­ly­ing model of an im­perfect morphism

Stuart_Armstrong16 Jul 2021 13:13 UTC
13 points
0 comments3 min readLW link

When be­liefs be­come iden­tities, truth-seek­ing be­comes hard

Writer16 Jul 2021 9:02 UTC
7 points
2 comments4 min readLW link
(youtu.be)

Bench­mark­ing an old chess en­g­ine on new hardware

hippke16 Jul 2021 7:58 UTC
72 points
4 comments5 min readLW link1 review

La­fayette: empty traf­fic signals

KatjaGrace16 Jul 2021 4:30 UTC
19 points
3 comments2 min readLW link
(worldspiritsockpuppet.com)

How to Sleep Better

Marius Hobbhahn16 Jul 2021 0:00 UTC
48 points
49 comments15 min readLW link

Gen­er­al­iz­ing Koop­man-Pit­man-Darmois

johnswentworth15 Jul 2021 22:33 UTC
59 points
12 comments11 min readLW link