Fu­ture Of Work

specbugJul 19, 2021, 11:16 PM
−1 points
6 comments6 min readLW link
(sixeleven.in)

Some thoughts on David Rood­man’s GWP model and its re­la­tion to AI timelines

Tom DavidsonJul 19, 2021, 10:59 PM
32 points
1 comment8 min readLW link

[Question] Work on Bayesian fit­ting of AI trends of perfor­mance?

JsevillamolJul 19, 2021, 6:45 PM
3 points
0 comments1 min readLW link

Is the ar­gu­ment that AI is an xrisk valid?

MACannonJul 19, 2021, 1:20 PM
5 points
61 comments1 min readLW link
(onlinelibrary.wiley.com)

Prepar­ing for ambition

Adam ZernerJul 19, 2021, 6:13 AM
19 points
8 comments10 min readLW link

Com­po­si­tion­al­ity: SQL and Subways

DanBJul 19, 2021, 5:37 AM
30 points
4 comments7 min readLW link

Happy paths and the plan­ning fallacy

Adam ZernerJul 18, 2021, 11:26 PM
38 points
10 comments3 min readLW link

One Study, Many Re­sults (Matt Clancy)

aarongertlerJul 18, 2021, 11:10 PM
84 points
19 comments9 min readLW link
(mattsclancy.substack.com)

Book Re­view: The Sig­nal and the Noise

Sam EnrightJul 18, 2021, 10:05 PM
16 points
2 comments6 min readLW link

Mu­nich SSC/​ACX (+LW) (on­line) meetup Au­gust 2021

vi21maobk9vpJul 18, 2021, 8:39 PM
7 points
0 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] Any tax­onomies of con­scious ex­pe­rience?

JohnDavidBustardJul 18, 2021, 6:28 PM
7 points
10 comments1 min readLW link

A model of de­ci­sion-mak­ing in the brain (the short ver­sion)

Steven ByrnesJul 18, 2021, 2:39 PM
20 points
0 comments3 min readLW link

The Moun­taineer’s Fallacy

Alex PowerJul 17, 2021, 11:45 PM
29 points
11 comments1 min readLW link

Reflect­ing on build­ing my own tools from scratch and ‘in­vent­ing on prin­ci­ple’

Amir BolousJul 17, 2021, 6:43 PM
44 points
7 comments5 min readLW link

A Models-cen­tric Ap­proach to Cor­rigible Alignment

J BostockJul 17, 2021, 5:27 PM
2 points
0 comments6 min readLW link

Gen­er­al­is­ing Logic Gates

J BostockJul 17, 2021, 5:25 PM
6 points
2 comments4 min readLW link

(2009) Shane Legg—Fund­ing safe AGI

Tomás B.Jul 17, 2021, 4:46 PM
36 points
2 comments1 min readLW link
(www.vetta.org)

Large cor­po­ra­tions can unilat­er­ally ban/​tax ran­somware pay­ments via bets

ryan_greenblattJul 17, 2021, 12:56 PM
26 points
5 comments2 min readLW link

Fix­ing the ar­bi­trari­ness of game depth

cousin_itJul 17, 2021, 12:37 PM
8 points
9 comments2 min readLW link

[Question] Equiv­a­lent of In­for­ma­tion The­ory but for Com­pu­ta­tion?

J BostockJul 17, 2021, 9:38 AM
5 points
27 comments1 min readLW link

Me­dia Diet: Cul­ti­vat­ing Voice, De­liber­ate Ac­tion, and Alive Time

WillaJul 17, 2021, 5:56 AM
5 points
2 comments2 min readLW link

[Question] What are some ex­am­ples from his­tory where a sci­en­tific the­ory pre­dicted a sig­nifi­cant ex­per­i­men­tal ob­ser­va­tion in ad­vance?

InsubJul 17, 2021, 5:39 AM
8 points
9 comments1 min readLW link

Longter­mism vs short-ter­mism for per­sonal life extension

Mati_RoyJul 17, 2021, 3:52 AM
12 points
2 comments2 min readLW link

Bayesi­anism ver­sus con­ser­vatism ver­sus Goodhart

Stuart_ArmstrongJul 16, 2021, 11:39 PM
15 points
2 comments6 min readLW link

“If and Only If” Should Be Spel­led “Ifeff”

jimrandomhJul 16, 2021, 10:03 PM
24 points
21 comments1 min readLW link

Open Philan­thropy is seek­ing pro­pos­als for out­reach projects

Jul 16, 2021, 9:19 PM
61 points
2 comments10 min readLW link

[AN #156]: The scal­ing hy­poth­e­sis: a plan for build­ing AGI

Rohin ShahJul 16, 2021, 5:10 PM
46 points
20 comments8 min readLW link
(mailchi.mp)

Un­der­ly­ing model of an im­perfect morphism

Stuart_ArmstrongJul 16, 2021, 1:13 PM
13 points
0 comments3 min readLW link

When be­liefs be­come iden­tities, truth-seek­ing be­comes hard

WriterJul 16, 2021, 9:02 AM
7 points
2 comments4 min readLW link
(youtu.be)

Bench­mark­ing an old chess en­g­ine on new hardware

hippkeJul 16, 2021, 7:58 AM
74 points
4 comments5 min readLW link1 review

La­fayette: empty traf­fic signals

KatjaGraceJul 16, 2021, 4:30 AM
20 points
3 comments2 min readLW link
(worldspiritsockpuppet.com)

How to Sleep Better

Marius HobbhahnJul 16, 2021, 12:00 AM
50 points
49 comments15 min readLW link

Gen­er­al­iz­ing Koop­man-Pit­man-Darmois

johnswentworthJul 15, 2021, 10:33 PM
62 points
14 comments11 min readLW link

AlphaFold 2 pa­per re­leased: “Highly ac­cu­rate pro­tein struc­ture pre­dic­tion with AlphaFold”, Jumper et al 2021

gwernJul 15, 2021, 7:27 PM
39 points
10 commentsLW link
(www.nature.com)

Frac­tional progress es­ti­mates for AI timelines and im­plied re­source requirements

Jul 15, 2021, 6:43 PM
55 points
6 comments7 min readLW link

Covid 7/​15: Rates of Change

ZviJul 15, 2021, 5:10 PM
64 points
63 comments16 min readLW link
(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Ex­per­i­men­ta­tion with AI-gen­er­ated images (VQGAN+CLIP) | So­larpunk air­ships flee­ing a dragon

Kaj_SotalaJul 15, 2021, 11:00 AM
44 points
4 comments2 min readLW link
(kajsotala.fi)

A closer look at chess scal­ings (into the past)

hippkeJul 15, 2021, 8:13 AM
50 points
14 comments4 min readLW link

Re: Com­pe­tent Elites

lsusrJul 15, 2021, 5:16 AM
51 points
37 comments3 min readLW link

Is so­cial the­ory our doom?

pchvykovJul 15, 2021, 3:31 AM
6 points
2 comments2 min readLW link

La­fayette: traf­fic vessels

KatjaGraceJul 15, 2021, 1:00 AM
27 points
1 comment2 min readLW link
(worldspiritsockpuppet.com)

A cog­ni­tive al­gorithm for “free will.”

DirectedEvolutionJul 14, 2021, 9:33 PM
26 points
27 comments3 min readLW link

An­a­lyz­ing Pu­n­ish­ment as Preventation

Yair HalberstadtJul 14, 2021, 3:12 PM
2 points
3 comments4 min readLW link

Model-based RL, De­sires, Brains, Wireheading

Steven ByrnesJul 14, 2021, 3:11 PM
22 points
1 comment13 min readLW link

Essen­tial­ness of Data

jefftkJul 14, 2021, 3:40 AM
15 points
21 comments1 min readLW link
(www.jefftk.com)

Imag­i­nary reen­act­ment to heal trauma – how and when does it work?

Kaj_SotalaJul 13, 2021, 10:10 PM
41 points
2 comments3 min readLW link
(kajsotala.fi)

The Bul­lwhip Effect

aysajanJul 13, 2021, 8:40 PM
19 points
11 comments4 min readLW link

CGP Grey on the difficulty of know­ing what’s true [au­dio]

DanielFilanJul 13, 2021, 8:40 PM
23 points
5 comments1 min readLW link
(www.relay.fm)

Epony­mous Laws Part 3: Mis­cel­la­neous

rogersbaconJul 13, 2021, 7:56 PM
5 points
3 comments4 min readLW link

An­swer­ing ques­tions hon­estly in­stead of pre­dict­ing hu­man an­swers: lots of prob­lems and some solutions

evhubJul 13, 2021, 6:49 PM
62 points
24 comments31 min readLW link