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Happy paths and the planning fallacy

Adam Zerner18 Jul 2021 23:26 UTC

38 points

10 comments3 min readLW link

One Study, Many Results (Matt Clancy)

aarongertler18 Jul 2021 23:10 UTC

84 points

19 comments9 min readLW link

(mattsclancy.substack.com)

Book Review: The Signal and the Noise

Sam Enright18 Jul 2021 22:05 UTC

16 points

2 comments6 min readLW link

Munich SSC/ACX (+LW) (online) meetup August 2021

vi21maobk9vp18 Jul 2021 20:39 UTC

7 points

0 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] Any taxonomies of conscious experience?

JohnDavidBustard18 Jul 2021 18:28 UTC

7 points

10 comments1 min readLW link

A model of decision-making in the brain (the short version)

Steven Byrnes18 Jul 2021 14:39 UTC

20 points

0 comments3 min readLW link

The Mountaineer’s Fallacy

Alex Power17 Jul 2021 23:45 UTC

29 points

11 comments1 min readLW link

Reflecting on building my own tools from scratch and ‘inventing on principle’

Amir Bolous17 Jul 2021 18:43 UTC

44 points

7 comments5 min readLW link

A Models-centric Approach to Corrigible Alignment

J Bostock17 Jul 2021 17:27 UTC

2 points

0 comments6 min readLW link

Generalising Logic Gates

J Bostock17 Jul 2021 17:25 UTC

6 points

2 comments4 min readLW link

(2009) Shane Legg—Funding safe AGI

Tomás B.17 Jul 2021 16:46 UTC

36 points

2 comments1 min readLW link

(www.vetta.org)

Large corporations can unilaterally ban/tax ransomware payments via bets

ryan_greenblatt17 Jul 2021 12:56 UTC

26 points

5 comments2 min readLW link

Fixing the arbitrariness of game depth

cousin_it17 Jul 2021 12:37 UTC

8 points

9 comments2 min readLW link

[Question] Equivalent of Information Theory but for Computation?

J Bostock17 Jul 2021 9:38 UTC

5 points

27 comments1 min readLW link

Media Diet: Cultivating Voice, Deliberate Action, and Alive Time

Willa17 Jul 2021 5:56 UTC

5 points

2 comments2 min readLW link

[Question] What are some examples from history where a scientific theory predicted a significant experimental observation in advance?

Insub17 Jul 2021 5:39 UTC

8 points

9 comments1 min readLW link

Longtermism vs short-termism for personal life extension

Mati_Roy17 Jul 2021 3:52 UTC

12 points

2 comments2 min readLW link

Bayesianism versus conservatism versus Goodhart

Stuart_Armstrong16 Jul 2021 23:39 UTC

15 points

2 comments6 min readLW link

“If and Only If” Should Be Spelled “Ifeff”

jimrandomh16 Jul 2021 22:03 UTC

24 points

21 comments1 min readLW link

Open Philanthropy is seeking proposals for outreach projects

abergal and ClaireZabel

16 Jul 2021 21:19 UTC

61 points

2 comments10 min readLW link

[AN #156]: The scaling hypothesis: a plan for building AGI

Rohin Shah16 Jul 2021 17:10 UTC

46 points

20 comments8 min readLW link

(mailchi.mp)

Underlying model of an imperfect morphism

Stuart_Armstrong16 Jul 2021 13:13 UTC

13 points

0 comments3 min readLW link

When beliefs become identities, truth-seeking becomes hard

Writer16 Jul 2021 9:02 UTC

7 points

2 comments4 min readLW link

(youtu.be)

Benchmarking an old chess engine on new hardware

hippke16 Jul 2021 7:58 UTC

72 points

4 comments5 min readLW link 1 review

Lafayette: empty traffic signals

KatjaGrace16 Jul 2021 4:30 UTC

19 points

3 comments2 min readLW link

(worldspiritsockpuppet.com)

How to Sleep Better

Marius Hobbhahn16 Jul 2021 0:00 UTC

48 points

49 comments15 min readLW link

Generalizing Koopman-Pitman-Darmois

johnswentworth15 Jul 2021 22:33 UTC

59 points

12 comments11 min readLW link

AlphaFold 2 paper released: “Highly accurate protein structure prediction with AlphaFold”, Jumper et al 2021

gwern15 Jul 2021 19:27 UTC

39 points

10 comments1 min readLW link

(www.nature.com)

Fractional progress estimates for AI timelines and implied resource requirements

Mark Xu and CarlShulman

15 Jul 2021 18:43 UTC

55 points

6 comments7 min readLW link

Covid 7/15: Rates of Change

Zvi15 Jul 2021 17:10 UTC

64 points

63 comments16 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Experimentation with AI-generated images (VQGAN+CLIP) | Solarpunk airships fleeing a dragon

Kaj_Sotala15 Jul 2021 11:00 UTC

44 points

4 comments2 min readLW link

(kajsotala.fi)

A closer look at chess scalings (into the past)

hippke15 Jul 2021 8:13 UTC

50 points

14 comments4 min readLW link

Re: Competent Elites

lsusr15 Jul 2021 5:16 UTC

49 points

37 comments3 min readLW link

Is social theory our doom?

pchvykov15 Jul 2021 3:31 UTC

6 points

2 comments2 min readLW link

Lafayette: traffic vessels

KatjaGrace15 Jul 2021 1:00 UTC

27 points

1 comment2 min readLW link

(worldspiritsockpuppet.com)

A cognitive algorithm for “free will.”

DirectedEvolution14 Jul 2021 21:33 UTC

23 points

27 comments3 min readLW link

Analyzing Punishment as Preventation

Yair Halberstadt14 Jul 2021 15:12 UTC

2 points

3 comments4 min readLW link

Model-based RL, Desires, Brains, Wireheading

Steven Byrnes14 Jul 2021 15:11 UTC

22 points

1 comment13 min readLW link

Essentialness of Data

jefftk14 Jul 2021 3:40 UTC

15 points

21 comments1 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

Imaginary reenactment to heal trauma – how and when does it work?

Kaj_Sotala13 Jul 2021 22:10 UTC

41 points

2 comments3 min readLW link

(kajsotala.fi)

The Bullwhip Effect

aysajan13 Jul 2021 20:40 UTC

19 points

11 comments4 min readLW link

CGP Grey on the difficulty of knowing what’s true [audio]

DanielFilan13 Jul 2021 20:40 UTC

23 points

5 comments1 min readLW link

(www.relay.fm)

Eponymous Laws Part 3: Miscellaneous

rogersbacon13 Jul 2021 19:56 UTC

5 points

3 comments4 min readLW link

Answering questions honestly instead of predicting human answers: lots of problems and some solutions

evhub13 Jul 2021 18:49 UTC

62 points

24 comments31 min readLW link

The Additive Summary Equation

johnswentworth13 Jul 2021 18:23 UTC

15 points

3 comments6 min readLW link

Seeking Samsara

jblue13 Jul 2021 18:03 UTC

1 point

0 comments4 min readLW link

[Question] What will the twenties look like if AGI is 30 years away?

Daniel Kokotajlo13 Jul 2021 8:14 UTC

29 points

18 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] Explorative Questions towards Argumentation + GitHub

cod3d13 Jul 2021 6:01 UTC

1 point

4 comments1 min readLW link

Typology of blog posts that don’t always add anything clear and insightful

KatjaGrace13 Jul 2021 1:40 UTC

50 points

3 comments9 min readLW link

(worldspiritsockpuppet.com)

[Question] Ideal College Education for an Aspiring Rationalist?

Collisteru13 Jul 2021 1:39 UTC

6 points

11 comments1 min readLW link