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Happy paths and the planning fallacy

Adam ZernerJul 18, 2021, 11:26 PM

38 points

10 comments3 min readLW link

One Study, Many Results (Matt Clancy)

aarongertlerJul 18, 2021, 11:10 PM

84 points

19 comments9 min readLW link

(mattsclancy.substack.com)

Book Review: The Signal and the Noise

Sam EnrightJul 18, 2021, 10:05 PM

16 points

2 comments6 min readLW link

Munich SSC/ACX (+LW) (online) meetup August 2021

vi21maobk9vpJul 18, 2021, 8:39 PM

7 points

0 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] Any taxonomies of conscious experience?

JohnDavidBustardJul 18, 2021, 6:28 PM

7 points

10 comments1 min readLW link

A model of decision-making in the brain (the short version)

Steven ByrnesJul 18, 2021, 2:39 PM

20 points

0 comments3 min readLW link

The Mountaineer’s Fallacy

Alex PowerJul 17, 2021, 11:45 PM

29 points

11 comments1 min readLW link

Reflecting on building my own tools from scratch and ‘inventing on principle’

Amir BolousJul 17, 2021, 6:43 PM

44 points

7 comments5 min readLW link

A Models-centric Approach to Corrigible Alignment

J BostockJul 17, 2021, 5:27 PM

2 points

0 comments6 min readLW link

Generalising Logic Gates

J BostockJul 17, 2021, 5:25 PM

6 points

2 comments4 min readLW link

(2009) Shane Legg—Funding safe AGI

Tomás B.Jul 17, 2021, 4:46 PM

36 points

2 comments1 min readLW link

(www.vetta.org)

Large corporations can unilaterally ban/tax ransomware payments via bets

ryan_greenblattJul 17, 2021, 12:56 PM

26 points

5 comments2 min readLW link

Fixing the arbitrariness of game depth

cousin_itJul 17, 2021, 12:37 PM

8 points

9 comments2 min readLW link

[Question] Equivalent of Information Theory but for Computation?

J BostockJul 17, 2021, 9:38 AM

5 points

27 comments1 min readLW link

Media Diet: Cultivating Voice, Deliberate Action, and Alive Time

WillaJul 17, 2021, 5:56 AM

5 points

2 comments2 min readLW link

[Question] What are some examples from history where a scientific theory predicted a significant experimental observation in advance?

InsubJul 17, 2021, 5:39 AM

8 points

9 comments1 min readLW link

Longtermism vs short-termism for personal life extension

Mati_RoyJul 17, 2021, 3:52 AM

12 points

2 comments2 min readLW link

Bayesianism versus conservatism versus Goodhart

Stuart_ArmstrongJul 16, 2021, 11:39 PM

15 points

2 comments6 min readLW link

“If and Only If” Should Be Spelled “Ifeff”

jimrandomhJul 16, 2021, 10:03 PM

24 points

21 comments1 min readLW link

Open Philanthropy is seeking proposals for outreach projects

abergal and ClaireZabel

Jul 16, 2021, 9:19 PM

61 points

2 comments10 min readLW link

[AN #156]: The scaling hypothesis: a plan for building AGI

Rohin ShahJul 16, 2021, 5:10 PM

46 points

20 comments8 min readLW link

(mailchi.mp)

Underlying model of an imperfect morphism

Stuart_ArmstrongJul 16, 2021, 1:13 PM

13 points

0 comments3 min readLW link

When beliefs become identities, truth-seeking becomes hard

WriterJul 16, 2021, 9:02 AM

7 points

2 comments4 min readLW link

(youtu.be)

Benchmarking an old chess engine on new hardware

hippkeJul 16, 2021, 7:58 AM

74 points

4 comments5 min readLW link 1 review

Lafayette: empty traffic signals

KatjaGraceJul 16, 2021, 4:30 AM

20 points

3 comments2 min readLW link

(worldspiritsockpuppet.com)

How to Sleep Better

Marius HobbhahnJul 16, 2021, 12:00 AM

50 points

49 comments15 min readLW link

Generalizing Koopman-Pitman-Darmois

johnswentworthJul 15, 2021, 10:33 PM

62 points

14 comments11 min readLW link

AlphaFold 2 paper released: “Highly accurate protein structure prediction with AlphaFold”, Jumper et al 2021

gwernJul 15, 2021, 7:27 PM

39 points

10 comments LW link

(www.nature.com)

Fractional progress estimates for AI timelines and implied resource requirements

Mark Xu and CarlShulman

Jul 15, 2021, 6:43 PM

55 points

6 comments7 min readLW link

Covid 7/15: Rates of Change

ZviJul 15, 2021, 5:10 PM

64 points

63 comments16 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Experimentation with AI-generated images (VQGAN+CLIP) | Solarpunk airships fleeing a dragon

Kaj_SotalaJul 15, 2021, 11:00 AM

44 points

4 comments2 min readLW link

(kajsotala.fi)

A closer look at chess scalings (into the past)

hippkeJul 15, 2021, 8:13 AM

50 points

14 comments4 min readLW link

Re: Competent Elites

lsusrJul 15, 2021, 5:16 AM

51 points

37 comments3 min readLW link

Is social theory our doom?

pchvykovJul 15, 2021, 3:31 AM

6 points

2 comments2 min readLW link

Lafayette: traffic vessels

KatjaGraceJul 15, 2021, 1:00 AM

27 points

1 comment2 min readLW link

(worldspiritsockpuppet.com)

A cognitive algorithm for “free will.”

DirectedEvolutionJul 14, 2021, 9:33 PM

26 points

27 comments3 min readLW link

Analyzing Punishment as Preventation

Yair HalberstadtJul 14, 2021, 3:12 PM

2 points

3 comments4 min readLW link

Model-based RL, Desires, Brains, Wireheading

Steven ByrnesJul 14, 2021, 3:11 PM

22 points

1 comment13 min readLW link

Essentialness of Data

jefftkJul 14, 2021, 3:40 AM

15 points

21 comments1 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

Imaginary reenactment to heal trauma – how and when does it work?

Kaj_SotalaJul 13, 2021, 10:10 PM

41 points

2 comments3 min readLW link

(kajsotala.fi)

The Bullwhip Effect

aysajanJul 13, 2021, 8:40 PM

19 points

11 comments4 min readLW link

CGP Grey on the difficulty of knowing what’s true [audio]

DanielFilanJul 13, 2021, 8:40 PM

23 points

5 comments1 min readLW link

(www.relay.fm)

Eponymous Laws Part 3: Miscellaneous

rogersbaconJul 13, 2021, 7:56 PM

5 points

3 comments4 min readLW link

Answering questions honestly instead of predicting human answers: lots of problems and some solutions

evhubJul 13, 2021, 6:49 PM

62 points

24 comments31 min readLW link

The Additive Summary Equation

johnswentworthJul 13, 2021, 6:23 PM

18 points

3 comments6 min readLW link

Seeking Samsara

jblueJul 13, 2021, 6:03 PM

1 point

0 comments4 min readLW link

[Question] What will the twenties look like if AGI is 30 years away?

Daniel KokotajloJul 13, 2021, 8:14 AM

29 points

18 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] Explorative Questions towards Argumentation + GitHub

cod3dJul 13, 2021, 6:01 AM

1 point

4 comments1 min readLW link

Typology of blog posts that don’t always add anything clear and insightful

KatjaGraceJul 13, 2021, 1:40 AM

50 points

3 comments9 min readLW link

(worldspiritsockpuppet.com)

[Question] Ideal College Education for an Aspiring Rationalist?

CollisteruJul 13, 2021, 1:39 AM

6 points

11 comments1 min readLW link