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Causal Ab­strac­tion Intro

johnswentworthDec 19, 2019, 10:01 PM
24 points
6 comments1 min readLW link

We run the Cen­ter for Ap­plied Ra­tion­al­ity, AMA

AnnaSalamonDec 19, 2019, 4:34 PM
108 points
324 comments1 min readLW link

[Part 1] Am­plify­ing gen­er­al­ist re­search via fore­cast­ing – Models of im­pact and challenges

Bird Concept, ozziegooen, Elizabeth, NunoSempere and Ben Goldhaber
Dec 19, 2019, 3:50 PM
55 points
29 comments17 min readLW link

[Part 2] Am­plify­ing gen­er­al­ist re­search via fore­cast­ing – re­sults from a pre­limi­nary exploration

Bird Concept, ozziegooen, Elizabeth, NunoSempere and Ben Goldhaber
Dec 19, 2019, 3:49 PM
62 points
10 comments14 min readLW link1 review

When Good­hart­ing is op­ti­mal: lin­ear vs diminish­ing re­turns, un­likely vs likely, and other factors

Stuart_ArmstrongDec 19, 2019, 1:55 PM
24 points
18 comments7 min readLW link

Neu­ral net­works as non-leaky math­e­mat­i­cal abstraction

George3d6Dec 19, 2019, 12:23 PM
14 points
12 comments8 min readLW link
(blog.cerebralab.com)

CFAR: Progress Re­port & Fu­ture Plans

Adam SchollDec 19, 2019, 6:19 AM
63 points
5 comments7 min readLW link

Prop­a­gat­ing Facts into Aesthetics

RaemonDec 19, 2019, 4:09 AM
134 points
38 comments11 min readLW link1 review

What’s go­ing on with this failure of Bayes to con­verge?

OrbordeDec 19, 2019, 3:58 AM
7 points
3 comments1 min readLW link
(a-point-in-tumblspace.tumblr.com)

2019 AI Align­ment Liter­a­ture Re­view and Char­ity Comparison

LarksDec 19, 2019, 3:00 AM
130 points
18 comments62 min readLW link

One Million Dollars

jefftkDec 19, 2019, 2:10 AM
61 points
1 comment1 min readLW link
(www.jefftk.com)

“You can’t pos­si­bly suc­ceed with­out [My Pet Is­sue]”

RaemonDec 19, 2019, 1:12 AM
54 points
14 comments1 min readLW link

Ab­strac­tion, Causal­ity, and Embed­ded Maps: Here Be Monsters

johnswentworthDec 18, 2019, 8:25 PM
26 points
1 comment4 min readLW link

Against Pre­ma­ture Ab­strac­tion of Poli­ti­cal Issues

Wei DaiDec 18, 2019, 8:19 PM
94 points
22 comments2 min readLW link

In­duc­tive bi­ases stick around

evhubDec 18, 2019, 7:52 PM
64 points
15 comments3 min readLW link

[AN #77]: Dou­ble de­scent: a unifi­ca­tion of statis­ti­cal the­ory and mod­ern ML practice

Rohin ShahDec 18, 2019, 6:30 PM
21 points
4 comments14 min readLW link
(mailchi.mp)

Ra­tion­al­ist Sols­tice Madison

marywangDec 18, 2019, 3:56 PM
1 point
0 comments1 min readLW link

The Neu­ro­science of Anxiety

digital_carverDec 18, 2019, 2:20 PM
8 points
0 comments1 min readLW link
(www.scotthyoung.com)

The Vos­tok Ice Cores Re­vis­ited pt. II

LymphateraDec 18, 2019, 11:50 AM
1 point
2 comments19 min readLW link

The Vos­tok Ice Cores Re­vis­ited pt. I

LymphateraDec 18, 2019, 11:42 AM
1 point
0 comments11 min readLW link

[Question] How should I dis­pose of a dan­ger­ous idea?

RedManDec 18, 2019, 3:49 AM
−12 points
23 comments1 min readLW link

Big Com­mu­nity Solstice

jefftkDec 18, 2019, 2:30 AM
17 points
5 comments2 min readLW link
(www.jefftk.com)

[Question] On the role of ab­strac­tion in math­e­mat­ics and the nat­u­ral sciences

Faustus2Dec 18, 2019, 12:04 AM
17 points
11 comments2 min readLW link

Is Causal­ity in the Map or the Ter­ri­tory?

johnswentworthDec 17, 2019, 11:19 PM
23 points
36 comments3 min readLW link

[Question] Coun­ter­fac­tual Mug­ging: Why should you pay?

Chris_LeongDec 17, 2019, 10:16 PM
7 points
59 comments3 min readLW link

A dilemma for pro­saic AI alignment

Daniel KokotajloDec 17, 2019, 10:11 PM
42 points
31 comments3 min readLW link

Sec­tions 3 & 4: Cred­i­bil­ity, Peace­ful Bar­gain­ing Mechanisms

JesseCliftonDec 17, 2019, 9:46 PM
20 points
2 comments12 min readLW link

Sec­tions 1 & 2: In­tro­duc­tion, Strat­egy and Governance

JesseCliftonDec 17, 2019, 9:27 PM
35 points
8 comments14 min readLW link

Coun­ter­fac­tual In­duc­tion (Lemma 4)

DiffractorDec 17, 2019, 5:05 AM
4 points
0 comments7 min readLW link

Coun­ter­fac­tual In­duc­tion (Al­gorithm Sketch, Fix­point proof)

DiffractorDec 17, 2019, 5:04 AM
5 points
2 comments7 min readLW link

Coun­ter­fac­tual Induction

DiffractorDec 17, 2019, 5:03 AM
22 points
7 comments6 min readLW link

Voluntourism

jefftkDec 17, 2019, 12:40 AM
17 points
2 comments2 min readLW link
(www.jefftk.com)

T-Shaped Organizations

VaniverDec 16, 2019, 11:48 PM
49 points
6 comments2 min readLW link

How’s that Epistemic Spot Check Pro­ject Com­ing?

ElizabethDec 16, 2019, 10:50 PM
39 points
16 comments4 min readLW link
(acesounderglass.com)

To Be De­cided #4

Ian David MossDec 16, 2019, 6:41 PM
8 points
0 comments4 min readLW link

How time track­ing can help you prioritize

lynettebyeDec 16, 2019, 5:07 PM
35 points
2 comments5 min readLW link

A parable in the style of In­visi­ble Cities

Daniel KokotajloDec 16, 2019, 3:55 PM
45 points
6 comments1 min readLW link

Taxi In­dus­try Reg­u­la­tion, Dereg­u­la­tion, and Rereg­u­la­tion: The Para­dox of Mar­ket Failure

OrbordeDec 16, 2019, 8:05 AM
12 points
0 comments1 min readLW link
(papers.ssrn.com)

Bos­ton Sols­tice 2019 Retrospective

jefftkDec 15, 2019, 9:20 PM
32 points
8 comments4 min readLW link
(www.jefftk.com)

Ap­proval Ex­trac­tion Ad­ver­tised as Production

BenquoDec 15, 2019, 2:51 PM
82 points
39 comments19 min readLW link3 reviews
(benjaminrosshoffman.com)

[Question] When would an agent do some­thing differ­ent as a re­sult of be­liev­ing the many wor­lds the­ory?

mako yassDec 15, 2019, 1:02 AM
13 points
35 comments1 min readLW link

Is the term mesa op­ti­mizer too nar­row?

Matthew BarnettDec 14, 2019, 11:20 PM
39 points
21 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] Table­top Role Play­ing Game or in­ter­ac­tive sto­ries for my daughter

kotrfaDec 14, 2019, 2:05 PM
2 points
10 comments1 min readLW link

[Per­sonal Ex­per­i­ment] One Year with­out Junk Media

lsusrDec 14, 2019, 8:26 AM
45 points
11 comments1 min readLW link

Ac­knowl­edge­ments & References

JesseCliftonDec 14, 2019, 7:04 AM
6 points
0 comments14 min readLW link

Eggy Waffles

jefftkDec 14, 2019, 2:40 AM
9 points
0 comments1 min readLW link
(www.jefftk.com)

[Question] Book Recom­men­da­tions for so­cial skill de­vel­op­ment?

TeachDec 14, 2019, 12:36 AM
11 points
23 comments1 min readLW link

[Link] “Do­ing be­ing ra­tio­nal: polymerase chain re­ac­tion” by David Chapman

KennyDec 13, 2019, 11:54 PM
12 points
6 comments1 min readLW link

Pre­face to CLR’s Re­search Agenda on Co­op­er­a­tion, Con­flict, and TAI

JesseCliftonDec 13, 2019, 9:02 PM
62 points
10 comments2 min readLW link

LWCM—LessWrong Congress Meetup

Felix KargDec 13, 2019, 6:09 PM
5 points
0 comments1 min readLW link