Is Ra­tion­al­ist Self-Im­prove­ment Real?

Jacob Falkovich9 Dec 2019 17:11 UTC
258 points
78 comments11 min readLW link3 reviews

Moloch Hasn’t Won

Zvi28 Dec 2019 16:30 UTC
179 points
40 comments7 min readLW link1 review
(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Seek­ing Power is Often Con­ver­gently In­stru­men­tal in MDPs

5 Dec 2019 2:33 UTC
162 points
39 comments17 min readLW link2 reviews
(arxiv.org)

Paper-Read­ing for Gears

johnswentworth4 Dec 2019 21:02 UTC
159 points
6 comments4 min readLW link1 review

Un­der­stand­ing “Deep Dou­ble Des­cent”

evhub6 Dec 2019 0:00 UTC
148 points
51 comments5 min readLW link4 reviews

2019 AI Align­ment Liter­a­ture Re­view and Char­ity Comparison

Larks19 Dec 2019 3:00 UTC
130 points
18 comments62 min readLW link

Firm­ing Up Not-Ly­ing Around Its Edge-Cases Is Less Broadly Use­ful Than One Might Ini­tially Think

Zack_M_Davis27 Dec 2019 5:09 UTC
122 points
43 comments8 min readLW link2 reviews

Prop­a­gat­ing Facts into Aesthetics

Raemon19 Dec 2019 4:09 UTC
109 points
35 comments11 min readLW link1 review

We run the Cen­ter for Ap­plied Ra­tion­al­ity, AMA

AnnaSalamon19 Dec 2019 16:34 UTC
108 points
324 comments1 min readLW link

Karate Kid and Real­is­tic Ex­pec­ta­tions for Disagree­ment Resolution

Raemon4 Dec 2019 23:25 UTC
101 points
23 comments4 min readLW link

Bayesian examination

Lê Nguyên Hoang9 Dec 2019 19:50 UTC
86 points
56 comments5 min readLW link

Against Pre­ma­ture Ab­strac­tion of Poli­ti­cal Issues

Wei Dai18 Dec 2019 20:19 UTC
86 points
22 comments2 min readLW link

Re­cent Progress in the The­ory of Neu­ral Networks

interstice4 Dec 2019 23:11 UTC
83 points
9 comments9 min readLW link

Ap­proval Ex­trac­tion Ad­ver­tised as Production

Benquo15 Dec 2019 14:51 UTC
82 points
39 comments19 min readLW link3 reviews
(benjaminrosshoffman.com)

Hu­mans Are Embed­ded Agents Too

johnswentworth23 Dec 2019 19:21 UTC
81 points
19 comments5 min readLW link

The Ac­tion­able Ver­sion of “Keep Your Iden­tity Small”

Hazard6 Dec 2019 1:34 UTC
80 points
14 comments4 min readLW link

Med­i­ta­tion Re­treat: Im­moral Mazes Se­quence Introduction

Zvi28 Dec 2019 0:50 UTC
78 points
16 comments4 min readLW link
(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Pro­gram­mers Should Plan For Lower Pay

jefftk29 Dec 2019 3:20 UTC
76 points
72 comments2 min readLW link
(www.jefftk.com)

Free Speech and Triskaideka­pho­bic Calcu­la­tors: A Re­ply to Hub­inger on the Rele­vance of Public On­line Dis­cus­sion to Ex­is­ten­tial Risk

Zack_M_Davis21 Dec 2019 0:49 UTC
75 points
25 comments2 min readLW link

[Question] Un­der what cir­cum­stances is “don’t look at ex­ist­ing re­search” good ad­vice?

Kaj_Sotala13 Dec 2019 13:59 UTC
74 points
18 comments2 min readLW link

[Question] What de­ter­mines the bal­ance be­tween in­tel­li­gence sig­nal­ing and virtue sig­nal­ing?

Wei Dai9 Dec 2019 0:11 UTC
69 points
37 comments2 min readLW link

In­duc­tive bi­ases stick around

evhub18 Dec 2019 19:52 UTC
64 points
15 comments3 min readLW link

Im­perfect Competition

Zvi30 Dec 2019 12:20 UTC
63 points
8 comments10 min readLW link
(thezvi.wordpress.com)

CFAR: Progress Re­port & Fu­ture Plans

Adam Scholl19 Dec 2019 6:19 UTC
63 points
5 comments7 min readLW link

Pre­face to CLR’s Re­search Agenda on Co­op­er­a­tion, Con­flict, and TAI

JesseClifton13 Dec 2019 21:02 UTC
62 points
10 comments2 min readLW link

[Part 2] Am­plify­ing gen­er­al­ist re­search via fore­cast­ing – re­sults from a pre­limi­nary exploration

19 Dec 2019 15:49 UTC
62 points
10 comments14 min readLW link1 review

One Million Dollars

jefftk19 Dec 2019 2:10 UTC
61 points
1 comment1 min readLW link
(www.jefftk.com)

Confabulation

lsusr8 Dec 2019 10:18 UTC
61 points
6 comments2 min readLW link

Might hu­mans not be the most in­tel­li­gent an­i­mals?

Matthew Barnett23 Dec 2019 21:50 UTC
56 points
41 comments3 min readLW link

Pre­dic­tive cod­ing = RL + SL + Bayes + MPC

Steven Byrnes10 Dec 2019 11:45 UTC
56 points
8 comments8 min readLW link

MIRI’s 2019 Fundraiser

Malo3 Dec 2019 1:16 UTC
55 points
0 comments9 min readLW link

[Part 1] Am­plify­ing gen­er­al­ist re­search via fore­cast­ing – Models of im­pact and challenges

19 Dec 2019 15:50 UTC
55 points
29 comments17 min readLW link

The Re­view Phase

Ben Pace9 Dec 2019 0:54 UTC
53 points
3 comments5 min readLW link

Speak­ing Truth to Power Is a Schel­ling Point

Zack_M_Davis30 Dec 2019 6:12 UTC
52 points
19 comments2 min readLW link

“You can’t pos­si­bly suc­ceed with­out [My Pet Is­sue]”

Raemon19 Dec 2019 1:12 UTC
52 points
14 comments1 min readLW link

LW For Ex­ter­nal Com­ments?

jefftk5 Dec 2019 18:30 UTC
52 points
7 comments1 min readLW link
(www.jefftk.com)

Perfect Competition

Zvi29 Dec 2019 13:30 UTC
51 points
29 comments7 min readLW link
(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Gen­er­al­iz­ing Ex­per­i­men­tal Re­sults by Lev­er­ag­ing Knowl­edge of Mechanisms

Carlos_Cinelli11 Dec 2019 20:39 UTC
50 points
5 comments1 min readLW link

T-Shaped Organizations

Vaniver16 Dec 2019 23:48 UTC
49 points
6 comments2 min readLW link

Is the rate of sci­en­tific progress slow­ing down? (by Tyler Cowen and Ben South­wood)

Ben Pace2 Dec 2019 3:45 UTC
49 points
6 comments1 min readLW link
(docs.google.com)

2020′s Pre­dic­tion Thread

bgold30 Dec 2019 23:18 UTC
48 points
77 comments1 min readLW link

Self and No-Self

Vaniver29 Dec 2019 6:15 UTC
48 points
3 comments2 min readLW link

Another AI Win­ter?

PeterMcCluskey25 Dec 2019 0:58 UTC
47 points
14 comments4 min readLW link
(www.bayesianinvestor.com)

2010s Pre­dic­tions Review

Tofly30 Dec 2019 21:47 UTC
47 points
10 comments1 min readLW link

Should We Still Fly?

jefftk20 Dec 2019 2:00 UTC
47 points
13 comments1 min readLW link
(www.jefftk.com)

A parable in the style of In­visi­ble Cities

Daniel Kokotajlo16 Dec 2019 15:55 UTC
45 points
6 comments1 min readLW link

[Per­sonal Ex­per­i­ment] One Year with­out Junk Media

lsusr14 Dec 2019 8:26 UTC
45 points
11 comments1 min readLW link

Un­der­stand­ing Ma­chine Learn­ing (I)

Rafael Harth20 Dec 2019 18:22 UTC
44 points
12 comments11 min readLW link

A list of good heuris­tics that the case for AI x-risk fails

David Scott Krueger (formerly: capybaralet)2 Dec 2019 19:26 UTC
43 points
14 comments2 min readLW link

Clar­ify­ing Power-Seek­ing and In­stru­men­tal Convergence

TurnTrout20 Dec 2019 19:59 UTC
42 points
7 comments3 min readLW link