It already seems like we can infer that dragon-existence has, to you, nontrivial subjective likelihood because you don’t loudly proclaim “dragons don’t exist” and because you regard investigation as uncomfortably likely to turn you into a believer of something socially unacceptable.
If you think it’s in fact, like, 20% likely (a reasonable “nontrivial likelihood” guess for people to make), seems like the angry dragons-don’t-exist people should be 20% angry at you.
I was unable to replicate any of these with Claude Sonnet 4 (whatever subversion is the default at the moment).
https://claude.ai/share/4c93a15f-d7f2-46ed-8f58-d82d96680307
https://claude.ai/share/49ed13ed-d1ce-45d7-8bb6-197bb84439bf
(here’s the actual first one I ran of the above, where I forgot to turn off web search, which IMO invalidates that run)
https://claude.ai/share/77fde879-aeaf-4e05-bdbd-6863ae9aae18
https://claude.ai/share/084258c4-009f-48c8-b5bc-2976fab9e96f