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The Arrows of Time

lsusr21 Dec 2019 11:42 UTC

5 points

6 comments3 min readLW link

Old and New Saw Blades

jefftk21 Dec 2019 2:00 UTC

14 points

0 comments1 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

The Counterfactual Prisoner’s Dilemma

Chris_Leong21 Dec 2019 1:44 UTC

21 points

17 comments3 min readLW link

Free Speech and Triskaidekaphobic Calculators: A Reply to Hubinger on the Relevance of Public Online Discussion to Existential Risk

Zack_M_Davis21 Dec 2019 0:49 UTC

75 points

25 comments2 min readLW link

Quadratic voting for the 2018 Review

Ben Pace20 Dec 2019 22:59 UTC

39 points

42 comments5 min readLW link

Clarifying Power-Seeking and Instrumental Convergence

TurnTrout20 Dec 2019 19:59 UTC

42 points

7 comments3 min readLW link

Polio and the controversy over randomized clinical trials

jasoncrawford20 Dec 2019 19:49 UTC

18 points

3 comments2 min readLW link

(rootsofprogress.org)

Understanding Machine Learning (I)

Rafael Harth20 Dec 2019 18:22 UTC

44 points

12 comments11 min readLW link

Sections 5 & 6: Contemporary Architectures, Humans in the Loop

JesseClifton20 Dec 2019 3:52 UTC

27 points

4 comments10 min readLW link

Should We Still Fly?

jefftk20 Dec 2019 2:00 UTC

47 points

13 comments1 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

[Question] Reason and Intuition in science

Unknown12820 Dec 2019 1:35 UTC

−6 points

18 comments1 min readLW link

Causal Abstraction Intro

johnswentworth19 Dec 2019 22:01 UTC

24 points

6 comments1 min readLW link

We run the Center for Applied Rationality, AMA

AnnaSalamon19 Dec 2019 16:34 UTC

108 points

324 comments1 min readLW link

[Part 1] Amplifying generalist research via forecasting – Models of impact and challenges

jacobjacob, ozziegooen, Elizabeth, NunoSempere and bgold

19 Dec 2019 15:50 UTC

55 points

29 comments17 min readLW link

[Part 2] Amplifying generalist research via forecasting – results from a preliminary exploration

jacobjacob, ozziegooen, Elizabeth, NunoSempere and bgold

19 Dec 2019 15:49 UTC

62 points

10 comments14 min readLW link 1 review

When Goodharting is optimal: linear vs diminishing returns, unlikely vs likely, and other factors

Stuart_Armstrong19 Dec 2019 13:55 UTC

24 points

18 comments7 min readLW link

Neural networks as non-leaky mathematical abstraction

George3d619 Dec 2019 12:23 UTC

14 points

11 comments8 min readLW link

(blog.cerebralab.com)

CFAR: Progress Report & Future Plans

Adam Scholl19 Dec 2019 6:19 UTC

63 points

5 comments7 min readLW link

Propagating Facts into Aesthetics

Raemon19 Dec 2019 4:09 UTC

118 points

36 comments11 min readLW link 1 review

What’s going on with this failure of Bayes to converge?

Orborde19 Dec 2019 3:58 UTC

7 points

3 comments1 min readLW link

(a-point-in-tumblspace.tumblr.com)

2019 AI Alignment Literature Review and Charity Comparison

Larks19 Dec 2019 3:00 UTC

130 points

18 comments62 min readLW link

One Million Dollars

jefftk19 Dec 2019 2:10 UTC

61 points

1 comment1 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

“You can’t possibly succeed without [My Pet Issue]”

Raemon19 Dec 2019 1:12 UTC

52 points

14 comments1 min readLW link

Abstraction, Causality, and Embedded Maps: Here Be Monsters

johnswentworth18 Dec 2019 20:25 UTC

26 points

1 comment4 min readLW link

Against Premature Abstraction of Political Issues

Wei Dai18 Dec 2019 20:19 UTC

86 points

22 comments2 min readLW link

Inductive biases stick around

evhub18 Dec 2019 19:52 UTC

64 points

15 comments3 min readLW link

[AN #77]: Double descent: a unification of statistical theory and modern ML practice

Rohin Shah18 Dec 2019 18:30 UTC

21 points

4 comments14 min readLW link

(mailchi.mp)

Rationalist Solstice Madison

marywang18 Dec 2019 15:56 UTC

1 point

0 comments1 min readLW link

The Neuroscience of Anxiety

digital_carver18 Dec 2019 14:20 UTC

8 points

0 comments1 min readLW link

(www.scotthyoung.com)

The Vostok Ice Cores Revisited pt. II

Lymphatera18 Dec 2019 11:50 UTC

1 point

2 comments19 min readLW link

The Vostok Ice Cores Revisited pt. I

Lymphatera18 Dec 2019 11:42 UTC

1 point

0 comments11 min readLW link

[Question] How should I dispose of a dangerous idea?

RedMan18 Dec 2019 3:49 UTC

−13 points

23 comments1 min readLW link

Big Community Solstice

jefftk18 Dec 2019 2:30 UTC

17 points

5 comments2 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

[Question] On the role of abstraction in mathematics and the natural sciences

Faustus218 Dec 2019 0:04 UTC

17 points

11 comments2 min readLW link

Is Causality in the Map or the Territory?

johnswentworth17 Dec 2019 23:19 UTC

23 points

36 comments3 min readLW link

[Question] Counterfactual Mugging: Why should you pay?

Chris_Leong17 Dec 2019 22:16 UTC

6 points

59 comments3 min readLW link

A dilemma for prosaic AI alignment

Daniel Kokotajlo17 Dec 2019 22:11 UTC

40 points

30 comments3 min readLW link

Sections 3 & 4: Credibility, Peaceful Bargaining Mechanisms

JesseClifton17 Dec 2019 21:46 UTC

20 points

2 comments12 min readLW link

Sections 1 & 2: Introduction, Strategy and Governance

JesseClifton17 Dec 2019 21:27 UTC

35 points

8 comments14 min readLW link

Counterfactual Induction (Lemma 4)

Diffractor17 Dec 2019 5:05 UTC

4 points

0 comments7 min readLW link

Counterfactual Induction (Algorithm Sketch, Fixpoint proof)

Diffractor17 Dec 2019 5:04 UTC

5 points

2 comments7 min readLW link

Counterfactual Induction

Diffractor17 Dec 2019 5:03 UTC

22 points

7 comments6 min readLW link

Voluntourism

jefftk17 Dec 2019 0:40 UTC

17 points

2 comments2 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

T-Shaped Organizations

Vaniver16 Dec 2019 23:48 UTC

49 points

6 comments2 min readLW link

How’s that Epistemic Spot Check Project Coming?

Elizabeth16 Dec 2019 22:50 UTC

39 points

16 comments4 min readLW link

(acesounderglass.com)

To Be Decided #4

Ian David Moss16 Dec 2019 18:41 UTC

8 points

0 comments4 min readLW link

How time tracking can help you prioritize

lynettebye16 Dec 2019 17:07 UTC

32 points

2 comments5 min readLW link

A parable in the style of Invisible Cities

Daniel Kokotajlo16 Dec 2019 15:55 UTC

45 points

6 comments1 min readLW link

Taxi Industry Regulation, Deregulation, and Reregulation: The Paradox of Market Failure

Orborde16 Dec 2019 8:05 UTC

12 points

0 comments1 min readLW link

(papers.ssrn.com)

Boston Solstice 2019 Retrospective

jefftk15 Dec 2019 21:20 UTC

32 points

8 comments4 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)