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Old and New Saw Blades

jefftkDec 21, 2019, 2:00 AM

14 points

0 comments1 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

The Counterfactual Prisoner’s Dilemma

Chris_LeongDec 21, 2019, 1:44 AM

21 points

17 comments3 min readLW link

Free Speech and Triskaidekaphobic Calculators: A Reply to Hubinger on the Relevance of Public Online Discussion to Existential Risk

Zack_M_DavisDec 21, 2019, 12:49 AM

77 points

25 comments2 min readLW link

Quadratic voting for the 2018 Review

Ben PaceDec 20, 2019, 10:59 PM

39 points

42 comments5 min readLW link

Clarifying Power-Seeking and Instrumental Convergence

TurnTroutDec 20, 2019, 7:59 PM

42 points

8 comments3 min readLW link

Polio and the controversy over randomized clinical trials

jasoncrawfordDec 20, 2019, 7:49 PM

18 points

3 comments2 min readLW link

(rootsofprogress.org)

Understanding Machine Learning (I)

Rafael HarthDec 20, 2019, 6:22 PM

44 points

12 comments11 min readLW link

Sections 5 & 6: Contemporary Architectures, Humans in the Loop

JesseCliftonDec 20, 2019, 3:52 AM

27 points

4 comments10 min readLW link

Should We Still Fly?

jefftkDec 20, 2019, 2:00 AM

47 points

13 comments1 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

[Question] Reason and Intuition in science

Unknown128Dec 20, 2019, 1:35 AM

−6 points

18 comments1 min readLW link

Causal Abstraction Intro

johnswentworthDec 19, 2019, 10:01 PM

24 points

6 comments1 min readLW link

We run the Center for Applied Rationality, AMA

AnnaSalamonDec 19, 2019, 4:34 PM

108 points

324 comments1 min readLW link

[Part 1] Amplifying generalist research via forecasting – Models of impact and challenges

Bird Concept, ozziegooen, Elizabeth, NunoSempere and Ben Goldhaber

Dec 19, 2019, 3:50 PM

55 points

29 comments17 min readLW link

[Part 2] Amplifying generalist research via forecasting – results from a preliminary exploration

Bird Concept, ozziegooen, Elizabeth, NunoSempere and Ben Goldhaber

Dec 19, 2019, 3:49 PM

62 points

10 comments14 min readLW link 1 review

When Goodharting is optimal: linear vs diminishing returns, unlikely vs likely, and other factors

Stuart_ArmstrongDec 19, 2019, 1:55 PM

24 points

18 comments7 min readLW link

Neural networks as non-leaky mathematical abstraction

George3d6Dec 19, 2019, 12:23 PM

14 points

12 comments8 min readLW link

(blog.cerebralab.com)

CFAR: Progress Report & Future Plans

Adam SchollDec 19, 2019, 6:19 AM

63 points

5 comments7 min readLW link

Propagating Facts into Aesthetics

RaemonDec 19, 2019, 4:09 AM

134 points

38 comments11 min readLW link 1 review

What’s going on with this failure of Bayes to converge?

OrbordeDec 19, 2019, 3:58 AM

7 points

3 comments1 min readLW link

(a-point-in-tumblspace.tumblr.com)

2019 AI Alignment Literature Review and Charity Comparison

LarksDec 19, 2019, 3:00 AM

130 points

18 comments62 min readLW link

One Million Dollars

jefftkDec 19, 2019, 2:10 AM

61 points

1 comment1 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

“You can’t possibly succeed without [My Pet Issue]”

RaemonDec 19, 2019, 1:12 AM

54 points

14 comments1 min readLW link

Abstraction, Causality, and Embedded Maps: Here Be Monsters

johnswentworthDec 18, 2019, 8:25 PM

26 points

1 comment4 min readLW link

Against Premature Abstraction of Political Issues

Wei DaiDec 18, 2019, 8:19 PM

94 points

22 comments2 min readLW link

Inductive biases stick around

evhubDec 18, 2019, 7:52 PM

64 points

15 comments3 min readLW link

[AN #77]: Double descent: a unification of statistical theory and modern ML practice

Rohin ShahDec 18, 2019, 6:30 PM

21 points

4 comments14 min readLW link

(mailchi.mp)

Rationalist Solstice Madison

marywangDec 18, 2019, 3:56 PM

1 point

0 comments1 min readLW link

The Neuroscience of Anxiety

digital_carverDec 18, 2019, 2:20 PM

8 points

0 comments1 min readLW link

(www.scotthyoung.com)

The Vostok Ice Cores Revisited pt. II

LymphateraDec 18, 2019, 11:50 AM

1 point

2 comments19 min readLW link

The Vostok Ice Cores Revisited pt. I

LymphateraDec 18, 2019, 11:42 AM

1 point

0 comments11 min readLW link

[Question] How should I dispose of a dangerous idea?

RedManDec 18, 2019, 3:49 AM

−12 points

23 comments1 min readLW link

Big Community Solstice

jefftkDec 18, 2019, 2:30 AM

17 points

5 comments2 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

[Question] On the role of abstraction in mathematics and the natural sciences

Faustus2Dec 18, 2019, 12:04 AM

17 points

11 comments2 min readLW link

Is Causality in the Map or the Territory?

johnswentworthDec 17, 2019, 11:19 PM

23 points

36 comments3 min readLW link

[Question] Counterfactual Mugging: Why should you pay?

Chris_LeongDec 17, 2019, 10:16 PM

7 points

59 comments3 min readLW link

A dilemma for prosaic AI alignment

Daniel KokotajloDec 17, 2019, 10:11 PM

42 points

31 comments3 min readLW link

Sections 3 & 4: Credibility, Peaceful Bargaining Mechanisms

JesseCliftonDec 17, 2019, 9:46 PM

20 points

2 comments12 min readLW link

Sections 1 & 2: Introduction, Strategy and Governance

JesseCliftonDec 17, 2019, 9:27 PM

35 points

8 comments14 min readLW link

Counterfactual Induction (Lemma 4)

DiffractorDec 17, 2019, 5:05 AM

4 points

0 comments7 min readLW link

Counterfactual Induction (Algorithm Sketch, Fixpoint proof)

DiffractorDec 17, 2019, 5:04 AM

5 points

2 comments7 min readLW link

Counterfactual Induction

DiffractorDec 17, 2019, 5:03 AM

22 points

7 comments6 min readLW link

Voluntourism

jefftkDec 17, 2019, 12:40 AM

17 points

2 comments2 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

T-Shaped Organizations

VaniverDec 16, 2019, 11:48 PM

49 points

6 comments2 min readLW link

How’s that Epistemic Spot Check Project Coming?

ElizabethDec 16, 2019, 10:50 PM

39 points

16 comments4 min readLW link

(acesounderglass.com)

To Be Decided #4

Ian David MossDec 16, 2019, 6:41 PM

8 points

0 comments4 min readLW link

How time tracking can help you prioritize

lynettebyeDec 16, 2019, 5:07 PM

35 points

2 comments5 min readLW link

A parable in the style of Invisible Cities

Daniel KokotajloDec 16, 2019, 3:55 PM

45 points

6 comments1 min readLW link

Taxi Industry Regulation, Deregulation, and Reregulation: The Paradox of Market Failure

OrbordeDec 16, 2019, 8:05 AM

12 points

0 comments1 min readLW link

(papers.ssrn.com)

Boston Solstice 2019 Retrospective

jefftkDec 15, 2019, 9:20 PM

32 points

8 comments4 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

Approval Extraction Advertised as Production

BenquoDec 15, 2019, 2:51 PM

82 points

39 comments19 min readLW link 3 reviews

(benjaminrosshoffman.com)