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Effi­cient Mar­ket Hypothesis

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Zoom Tech­nolo­gies, Inc. vs. the Effi­cient Mar­kets Hypothesis

Zack_M_DavisMay 11, 2020, 6:00 AM
72 points
47 comments4 min readLW link

The EMH Aten’t Dead

Richard MeadowsMay 15, 2020, 8:44 PM
197 points
88 comments19 min readLW link

Be­ing the (Pareto) Best in the World

johnswentworthJun 24, 2019, 6:36 PM
474 points
60 comments3 min readLW link3 reviews

Mar­kets are Anti-Inductive

Eliezer YudkowskyFeb 26, 2009, 12:55 AM
91 points
62 comments4 min readLW link

The Effi­cient Mar­ket Hy­poth­e­sis in Research

libaiJul 8, 2021, 5:00 PM
11 points
9 comments3 min readLW link

List of civil­i­sa­tional inadequacy

ChristianKlNov 23, 2017, 1:56 PM
38 points
52 comments1 min readLW link

How Effi­cient is the Char­i­ta­ble Mar­ket?

lukeprogAug 24, 2013, 5:57 AM
26 points
12 comments2 min readLW link

The EMH is False—Spe­cific Strong Evidence

sapphireMar 18, 2021, 6:38 PM
62 points
83 comments6 min readLW link

Dis­solv­ing the “Is the Effi­cient Mar­ket Hy­poth­e­sis Dead?” Question

AlexeiAug 2, 2020, 4:46 AM
37 points
4 comments7 min readLW link

Chap­ter 4: The Effi­cient Mar­ket Hypothesis

Eliezer YudkowskyMar 14, 2015, 7:00 PM
79 points
8 comments6 min readLW link

[Question] What are the best prece­dents for in­dus­tries failing to in­vest in valuable AI re­search?

Daniel KokotajloDec 14, 2020, 11:57 PM
18 points
16 comments1 min readLW link

Post-crash mar­ket effi­ciency 1696-2020

bfinnMay 22, 2020, 2:13 PM
22 points
8 comments3 min readLW link

Hero Licensing

Eliezer YudkowskyNov 21, 2017, 9:13 PM
241 points
83 comments52 min readLW link

Anti-EMH Ev­i­dence (and a plea for help)

Wei DaiDec 5, 2020, 6:29 PM
93 points
44 comments5 min readLW link

The Eco­nomic Con­se­quences of Noise Traders

FactorialCodeJun 14, 2020, 5:14 PM
45 points
3 comments1 min readLW link
(www.nber.org)

Gen­er­al­ized Effi­cient Mar­kets and Academia

johnswentworthApr 30, 2020, 9:59 PM
52 points
29 comments2 min readLW link

Moloch’s Toolbox (1/​2)

Eliezer YudkowskyNov 4, 2017, 9:46 PM
154 points
70 comments33 min readLW link

Inad­e­quacy and Modesty

Eliezer YudkowskyOct 28, 2017, 9:51 PM
132 points
80 comments18 min readLW link

Be less scared of overconfidence

benkuhnNov 30, 2022, 3:20 PM
163 points
22 comments9 min readLW link
(www.benkuhn.net)

An Equil­ibrium of No Free Energy

Eliezer YudkowskyOct 31, 2017, 9:27 PM
136 points
50 comments27 min readLW link

The Effi­cient LessWrong Hy­poth­e­sis—Stock In­vest­ing Competition

MrThinkApr 11, 2022, 8:43 PM
30 points
35 comments2 min readLW link

Con­trar­ian LW views and their eco­nomic implications

LarksOct 8, 2014, 11:48 PM
30 points
126 comments1 min readLW link

Effi­cient Mar­ket Frontier

AlexeiAug 22, 2020, 11:52 PM
19 points
3 comments10 min readLW link

MSP Ar­ti­cle Dis­cus­sion Meetup: The EMH, Long-Term In­vest­ing, and Lev­er­aged ETFs

25HourDec 27, 2023, 4:50 PM
3 points
1 comment1 min readLW link

Vac­ci­na­tion with the EMH

DirectedEvolutionDec 29, 2020, 3:05 AM
17 points
16 comments8 min readLW link

Zero­ing Out

ZviNov 5, 2017, 4:10 PM
55 points
8 comments4 min readLW link
(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Moloch’s Toolbox (2/​2)

Eliezer YudkowskyNov 7, 2017, 1:58 AM
113 points
56 comments24 min readLW link

Limits of Cur­rent US Pre­dic­tion Mar­kets (Pre­dic­tIt Case Study)

aphyerJul 14, 2020, 7:24 AM
210 points
50 comments7 min readLW link

Sun­day July 12 — talks by Scott Garrabrant, Alexflint, alexei, Stu­art_Armstrong

Bird Concept and Ben Pace
Jul 8, 2020, 12:27 AM
19 points
2 comments1 min readLW link

Retro fun­der pro­file & Man­i­fund team recs (ACX Grants 2024: Im­pact Mar­ket)

Saul MunnMar 26, 2024, 3:29 AM
9 points
0 comments1 min readLW link

AI Safety via Luck

JozdienApr 1, 2023, 8:13 PM
82 points
7 comments11 min readLW link

Mar­ket Misconceptions

gilchAug 20, 2020, 4:46 AM
27 points
8 comments4 min readLW link

Coron­avirus crash vs history

bfinnJun 14, 2021, 10:55 AM
39 points
3 comments2 min readLW link

Vio­lat­ing the EMH—Pre­dic­tion Markets

sapphireMar 28, 2021, 4:05 AM
40 points
9 comments4 min readLW link

Against us­ing stock prices to fore­cast AI timelines

basil.halperin, tmychow and J. Zachary Mazlish
Jan 10, 2023, 4:03 PM
23 points
2 comments2 min readLW link

Stock mar­ket hints for 2021 from past crashes

bfinnDec 30, 2020, 8:05 PM
19 points
8 comments2 min readLW link

Pro­gram­mers Should Plan For Lower Pay

jefftkDec 29, 2019, 3:20 AM
77 points
72 comments2 min readLW link
(www.jefftk.com)

Op­ti­miza­tion and Ad­e­quacy in Five Bullets

james.lucassenJun 6, 2022, 5:48 AM
35 points
2 comments4 min readLW link
(jlucassen.com)

The Ker­nel of Mean­ing in Prop­erty Rights

Abhimanyu Pallavi SudhirJun 21, 2024, 1:12 AM
7 points
6 comments2 min readLW link

[Question] Is the “busi­ness cy­cle” an ac­tual eco­nomic prin­ci­ple?

LironJun 18, 2019, 2:52 PM
43 points
15 comments1 min readLW link

Your Fu­ture Self’s Cre­dences Should Be Un­pre­dictable to You

David UdellMar 11, 2022, 11:33 PM
6 points
8 comments2 min readLW link

A Frac­tion of Global Mar­ket Cap­i­tal­iza­tion as the Best Currency

Greenless MirrorMar 31, 2025, 1:30 PM
0 points
25 comments7 min readLW link

[Question] How can I con­vince my cryp­to­bro friend that S&P500 is effi­cient?

AhmedNeedsATherapistDec 4, 2024, 8:04 PM
−7 points
10 comments1 min readLW link

Re­tail In­vestor Advantages

leogaoDec 7, 2021, 2:08 AM
13 points
13 comments1 min readLW link

pa­tio11′s “Ob­ser­va­tions from an EA-ad­ja­cent (?) char­i­ta­ble effort”

RobertMDec 10, 2022, 12:27 AM
43 points
0 comments1 min readLW link
(forum.effectivealtruism.org)

AGI and the EMH: mar­kets are not ex­pect­ing al­igned or un­al­igned AI in the next 30 years

basil.halperin, J. Zachary Mazlish and tmychow
Jan 10, 2023, 4:06 PM
119 points
44 comments26 min readLW link
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